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Russia: Going Old School On Terrorists
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April 2, 2010: Three years ago, Russia believed that it had defeated the Islamic terrorist movement in Chechnya. But the terrorists have not been completely destroyed, and kept trying to organize attacks inside Russia. While the Islamic terrorism is new, unrest in Chechnya isn't.

When Chechnya first tried to separate itself from Russia (after the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991), Russia responded with an inept military operation (1994-6) that killed over 35,000 people, and failed. Russia withdrew and left the Chechens to their own devices. In effect, the Chechens could pretend they were independent, while the Russians pretended they weren't. Problem was, the Chechens could not agree on how to form a unified government, and stumbled into a perpetual civil war. Along the way, some factions adopted Islamic radicalism, and tried to spread their "Islamic rule" into adjacent areas, that were still very much under Russian control. Other, less religious, factions, used Chechnya as a safe haven for smuggling and kidnapping operations throughout southern Russia.

In 1999, the Russians came back in, and the second pacification campaign made greater use of commandoes and better trained and led troops in general. This campaign killed about 5,000 people, but succeeded. The main reason for the success was the use of an ancient Russian technique. Basically, the Russians sought out Chechens who would be willing to run Chechnya, under Russian supervision, as long as they could keep the crime and terrorism under control. The Russians didn't care how "their Chechens" did it, as long as there was not a return to the 1994-9 era of rampant criminal activity. And no Islamic terrorism either. Over the last five years, the violence, and Islamic terrorism inside Chechnya, and Russia, declined. 

Russia has been periodically pacifying Chechnya for two centuries using these techniques. While the mass media condemned Russia for its brutal tactics, the Russians didn't care. They didn't care in the past, when criticized by foreign governments and media. They don't care, because they know they'll have to do it again in the future. Meanwhile, with the Chechnya problem "solved," Russia sought to improve its relations with Moslem nations, as a way to immunize itself from additional Islamic terrorism. Russia's new Moslem friends were less likely to support Islamic radicals trying to gain a foothold among Russia's growing Moslem population. Russian diplomatic efforts were supported by offers to sell weapons and providing diplomatic support in the UN, and in other international venues. This has worked, and Russia is now much more popular in Moslem nations, despite the defeat of the Moslem people in Chechnya.

When reminded of this, the Russians merely point out that, for the most part, it's Moslems killing Moslems in Chechnya, and that sort of thing is accepted throughout the Moslem world. But bombs going off in Moscow kills non-Moslems, and the government responds savagely to that. The government has announced that the security forces have been ordered to use "more aggressive" tactics against the Islamic terrorist groups in the Caucasus. This will work. Russia will be criticized for using arbitrary arrest and torture of non-Slavs throughout the country. Russia won't care, and will do what it has long done when it felt threatened.  

Chechnya, Dagestan and Ingushetia have long been troubled by corruption and crime. This breeds unrest among the population, and with the Internet, it's easier for the angry young men to get organized, and dangerous.

April 1, 2010: In Dagestan, a car bomb went off prematurely, killing two people and wounding another.

March 31, 2010: In Dagestan, two suicide bombers killed twelve people in Dagestan. Chechen terrorist leader Doku Umarov took credit for the recent attacks. Umarov took over leadership of Islamic terrorists in the Caucasus four years ago. Russia had killed a number of Islamic terrorist leaders by that time, and Umarov spent several years getting his organization out of Chechnya (where it was too difficult to operate) and into neighboring areas (Dagestan and Ingushetia).

March 30, 2010: The two Moscow bombers were identified as Chechen women, probably widows. Persuading widows to become suicide bombers is easier in Islamic or Caucasus cultures because windows have a harsh life, and revenge is a big deal. Female suicide bombers have been used before, and came to be called "Black Widows."

March 29, 2010: In Moscow, two suicide bombers detonated their explosives in the subway, killing 43 and wounding nearly a hundred. This was the first major terror attack in Moscow in six years.


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Bob Cortez       4/2/2010 6:40:07 AM
Delenda est Chechnya!  What harm would that do?  Three days later, no one would remember.
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maruben    Going Old School On Terrorists AND FAIL AGAIN   4/2/2010 7:10:18 PM

Massacre in woods that brought war to Moscow's metro

Luke Harding in Ingushetia reports on the murder of four teenagers that inspired bombings

Lance Blade       4/2/2010 7:31:20 PM
Doubtful that Umarov launched the attack specifically to avenge some garlic-pickers. More likely, at least according to Russian media, that he was being sidelined by other radical groups and just wanted to remind people that he still matters. It's probable he may not even have played that big a part in the attack... there are lots of people in Chechnya with lots of anger and nothing to lose.
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trenchsol       4/3/2010 10:27:46 AM
How does Luke Harding know that those guys were just garlic pickers ? What if they "intelligence pickers" in disguise ?
LH refers to some human rights organizations, and they are not always reliable.
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Nichevo       4/5/2010 10:15:58 AM
Just a suggestion - if you can arrange a firing squad, blindfold them, and then shoot and knife (knife and shoot?) them, you probably have them in your physical possession, and so could - and this is just an idea - INTERROGATE, ARREST and INVESTIGATE them.
Just a thought, now.  I don't want to blow your minds or anything.

But you guys have been at it for like 150 years at least.  Sure, you'll never give up (and apparently they'll never give up), but at least there's no rush where you had to kill them because a satellite window or a treaty or a hunting season was expiring, was there?
Now bring the tu quoque, it's all you know.
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aidan110       4/6/2010 2:38:01 AM
The Russians will win eventually. What was the saying? Ah yes, "they made a desert and called it peace." -Tacitus Roman historian.
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Photon       4/8/2010 1:17:41 AM
Hmmm ... if the Russians pissed off as hell ...... how about re-enact Katyn but in Chechnya?  Bring in a large fleet of excavating equipments, while arresting tens of thousands of Chechen men of military age.  Dig extensive trenches, then have them face the trenches, followed by popping bullets into the backs of their heads, finally finishing them off by covering the trenches?!?
If you are think of doing a reprisal, might as well make it as huge as possible." align="absmiddle" border="0" alt="" />
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Nichevo    In their inimitable Slavic style,   4/10/2010 11:06:21 PM
The Russians prefer to re-enact Katyn in Katyn.
From The Belmont Club:
April 10th, 2010 3:16 am

The Woods of Smolensk

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The Polish President and numerous top officials died aboard a TU-154 while trying to land at Smolensk airbase.He was on his way to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the Katyn Massacre which took place in the woods near that city. Lech Kaczy&&24;ski ?was an activist in the pro-democratic anti-Communist movement in Poland ? During the martial law introduced by the communists in December, 1981, he was interned as an anti-socialist element. After his release from internment, he returned to trade union activities, becoming a member of the underground Solidarity.? A BBC blog soliciting reader reactions said ?Mr Kaczynski has been a controversial figure in Polish politics, advocating a right-wing Catholic agenda.?

The New York Times described him as ?a source of tension within the EU?. It described him as a firm believer in close military ties with the US, an arrangement which Kaczy&&24;ski believed would keep his powerful neighbor at bay.

As soon as he took office in the presidential headquarters in the center of Warsaw, Mr. Kaczynski forged very close relations with Ukraine and Georgia, determined to bring them closer to NATO and eventually have them admitted to the American-led military organization.

But his staunch defense of these two countries often upset leading members of the E.U., especially Germany, which was concerned that an expanded NATO would threaten Russia, or lead to new East-West tensions?.

He lobbied hard for the United States to deploy part of its controversial anti-ballistic missile shield in Poland, believing it would add to Poland?s security vis-à-vis Russia. Such plans, supported by President George W. Bush, were scaled back by President Obama.

Dozens of important Polish officials died with him. Among those in the crash were Poland?s first lady, the head of the National Security Bureau, the Chief of the Polish Army General Staff, the President of the National Bank of Poland and the Bishop of the Military Ordinariate of the Polish Army. In terms of loss it is a miniature of the decapitation event he gone to commemorate: the Katyn Massacre.

After Poland went down before the onslaught of Nazi and Soviet forces in 1939-40, Joseph Stalin and Lavrenty Beria decided to decapitate the country?s society. Since the Polish army required all university graduates to become reserve officers, the NKVD decided to kill two birds with one stone and eliminate the both the trained military manpower of Poland and its ?intelligensia?.  In 1940 the Communists shot more than 22,000 Polish officers in woods near Smolensk.  These included an admiral, two generals, 24 colonels, 79 lieutenant colonels, 258 majors, 654 captains, 17 naval captains, seven chaplains, three landowners, a prince, 20 university professors, hundeds of physicians lawyers, engineers and teachers, more than 100 writers and journalists among others.

In true Bolshevik style, there was a cover story: the Soviets claimed the Nazis did it. But although the Nazis were guilty of many other crimes, Katyn was not one of them. ?In April 1943, when the Polish government-in-exile

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Hamilcar    Putin will lead the crash investigation.   4/10/2010 11:18:05 PM" width="654" height="490" />
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Lance Blade       4/11/2010 9:19:27 AM

The Russians prefer to re-enact Katyn in Katyn.

Are you a conspiracy theorist, Nichy? Do you also believe the US went to Iraq for oil?
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