Iran is doing little to discourage American talk of bombing Iranian
nuclear facilities. Such an attack would entrench the religious dictatorship
that is currently running Iran. Iranian nationalism being what it is, a bombing
campaign would destroy much of the pro-American feelings that exist in Iran.
The Islamic conservatives know that such an attack would slow nuclear weapons
research, but not halt it. Also, unless the Europeans signed on for a bombing
attack, such a strike would make the Europeans far more amenable to forgetting
30, 2006: The UN and the Europeans continue to go through the motions of
forcing Iran to halt its nuclear weapons program. Iran, knowing that the UN and
Europe would not likely do anything decisive, continue to insist that there is
no Iranian nuclear program, while continuing to develop nuclear weapons (which
have not been tested yet) and ballistic missiles (which are already in
production and service) to deliver them.
25, 2006: The several million armed members of the Islamic conservative
militia, the Basij, are being given police powers. This militia, about 1.2
million are organized and ready for active duty at any time, are willing to
kill for the cause. Some 400,000 of the Basij can be mobilized and deployed
within days. The government has increased training for the Basij, and passed
out more money to Basij leaders, and is holding more mobilization drills. Any
grassroots rebellion against the Islamic conservative government, would have to
get past the Basij first.