Russia: January 31, 2000

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Russia announced that the fall of Grozny imminent. Another 34 rebels surrendered today. Russia will gain much useful information from the surrendered rebels, even if the rebels are not particularly forthcoming. Russia estimates that there are still over a thousand rebels in the city, and some 3,500 in the countryside (mostly in the area between Grozny and the Georgian border to the south. Russia has gotten Georgia to allow Russian troops to control both sides of the Georgian border, making it much more difficult for the rebels to get large quantities of supplies to them inside Chechnya. Russias influence in Georgia makes it equally unlikely that the Chechen rebels will be able to operate from bases in Georgia. 


 

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