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How Pakistan Gets Screwed

March 31, 2009: India is paying Israeli firms several hundred million dollars for components, technology and expertise needed to build an effective anti-ballistic missile system. India has already purchased two Israeli Green Pine anti-missile radars. India is apparently impressed by Israel's Arrow anti-ballistic missile system, which can knock down an incoming warhead when it is about a minute away from hitting a target in Israel.

Israel has two batteries of Arrow missiles, and over a hundred missiles available. An Arrow battery has 4-8 launchers, and each launcher carries a six missiles in containers. The Arrow was developed to knock down Scud type missiles fired from Syria, Saudi Arabia or Iraq. The two ton Arrow is being replaced with the 1.3 ton Arrow II, which can shoot down longer range ballistic missiles fired from Iran.

India cannot buy Arrow without permission from the United States. That is because American firms contributed technology to Arrow, and the United States currently needs to maintain good relations with Pakistan (the Indian neighbor with nuclear weapons who is most likely to use them.) However, Israel can assist India in building its own version of Arrow. India already has developed some good anti-missile technology, so what Israel brings to the table are improvements, and experience.

The anti-missile work is part of a $1.4 billion Indian deal with Israel. However, there are accusations that this sale was facilitated by the payment of a $120 million bribe. This sort of corruption has long plagued Indian arms deals, and the government has been going after those receiving the bribes with increasing success. Yet the shady deals continue.

The Israeli contract calls for partial payments based on the achievement of certain technical goals. India is going to pay for results, and only after the results are verified. Given Pakistan's small arsenal of ballistic missiles, an Indian anti-missile system would seriously cripple the Pakistani nuclear threat. Pakistan is not wealthy enough to get into a nuclear arms race, thus the Israeli-Indian anti-missile program leaves Pakistan screwed.

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sjdoc    Screwing Pakistan for fun and profit   3/31/2009 6:22:27 AM
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"...thus the Israeli-Indian anti-missile program leaves Pakistan screwed."
 
Because the government of Pakistan - by its very name (much less its nature) a militant Islamic nation-state cobbled together our out of culturally, linguistically, and ethnically disparate minority groups that have in common only their nominal religious beliefs - is less able to use nuclear weapons to threaten the "infidels" living nearby, this is supposed somehow to be conjured as an injustice?
 
Let us assume for a moment that the government of India wishes to conquer and annex Pakistan or any part thereof.  The Vale of Kashmir is under Indian jurisdiction, and has been since partition; Pakistani demands for the surrender of this territory amont less to an irridentist sentiment than plain insanity.
 
Would the officers of India's government attempt such a measure?  If so, why?  And how?  When East Pakistan seceded to become Bangladesh, Bengal could very easily have been annexed by India.  They didn't bother.  Why the hell would they bother to take on the burden of governing the far more fractious Moslems of the Indus Valley and points west?
 
A credible strategic nuclear threat is of legitimate value to Pakistan only as a defensive force multiplier to deter aggression.  Inasmuch as the only nation state with a reason to attack Pakistan now or in the immediate future governs from Washington City, the acquisition by India of missile defense technology leaves nobody in Islamabad "screwed" in any way whatsoever.
 
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