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Where Will The Missiles Go?

June 5, 2008:  Taiwan's newly elected, pro-China, president visited China recently and met with Chinese leaders. While Taiwan still maintains its independence, by backing away from formally declaring independence, China felt obliged to make nice as well. So China will stop installing cruise and ballistic missiles on the coast opposite Taiwan (180 kilometers away across the Taiwan Straits), and then begun reducing the number (about 1,300) currently installed. Taiwan did not announce that it would also shut down its anti-ballistic missile program, or purchase of additional U.S. F-16 fighters.

 

The Chinese missiles carry one ton or half ton warheads, and were expected to be used to try and cripple Taiwanese air force and navy, as well as attacking headquarters and communications targets. After that, China would try to invade with airborne and amphibious forces. Without those missiles, Taiwans's superior air and naval forces would make it very difficult, if not impossible, for the invasion force to cross the straits.

 

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YelliChink       6/5/2008 8:25:34 AM
This is misinformation. First of all, it is the KMT chairman who visited Mainland China. President Ma never did so. And second, no one expects commies will stop the missile build up had the quake didn't happen, and they will resume the build up soon after.Talk is cheap, and commies are not to be trusted.
 
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Softwar       6/5/2008 8:39:04 AM
The missiles in question - DF-11 and DF-15 - plus the new DF-25 - are all MOBILE systems.  You can roll them out of the firing zone around Taiwan and just as quickly roll them back.  As long as the PLA depends on these beasties - the threat of war remains at a higher level - even if they are pulled back 1000 km.  The IRBM threat is what led to the treaty between the US and USSR - SS-20 v. Pershing made for a quick and very destructive war in Europe.  The hair-trigger effect of weapons with a flight time of less than 10 minutes from launch to impact is what keeps things tense.  Of course, the PLA has to rely on these missiles since they cannot field a credible air force or navy.
 
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