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Last Chance For The EFV

June 9, 2008:  The U.S. Marine Corps has a procurement disaster on their hands. It's all about their new EFV (Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle).  Congress is refusing to provide money for mass production until reliability and protection (against roadside bombs) issues are taken care of. So far, prototype EFVs have had one failure, on average, for every 4.5 hours of operations. The marines insist they have fixed the reliability and protection issues, and Congress has provided money to build seven of the modified EFVs to confirm that. The seven new EFVs will be used to test reliability and roadside bomb protection. If the tests are successful, Congress will allow development to continue.

 

Two years ago, it was decided that, instead of buying 1,013 EFVs, the order would be cut 44 percent, to 565 vehicles. High development expenses have resulted in per vehicle cost of over $12 million. Costs have continued to climb, and each EVF will not only cost over $22 million, but the vehicles won't be ready for service until 2015. The EFVs were originally supposed to start entering service in 2008.

 

 The marines ordered the first 15 production models of its EFV in late 2005. Tests with these vehicles did not go well. While the high-speed water-jet propulsion system feature (the cause of most of the problems) is still there, it may have to go if the marines are ever to get their new armored vehicle.

 

The EFV is an amphibious armored vehicle, was previously called the AAAV (Advanced Amphibious Assault Vehicle). Weighing nearly 36 tons, the EFV is 10.5 feet tall, 12 feet wide and just under 30 feet long. It's armed with a 30mm automatic cannon (MK34 Bushmaster) and a 7.62 mm co-axial machine gun. The EFV also has better armor protection and electronics than the AAV7 is replaces.

 

 The EFV has been in development for over a decade, and has been delayed largely because of a complex water-jet propulsion system which allows it to travel at 60 kilometers an hour while in the water. This capability was specified to reduce the danger (from enemy fire) when the EFVs were moving from their transports to shore, a distance of 30-50 kilometers. The additional gear required for the water jet system made the vehicle less robust and reliable, and fixing those problems has taken a lot of time. Otherwise, the EFV is basically a truly amphibious Infantry Fighting Vehicle (IFV), similar to the army's smaller M-2 Bradley. The EFV has a crew of three, and carries 18 passengers.

 

The current force of 1,057 AAV7s entered service three decades ago and are falling apart. Moreover, some two thirds of the AAV7s saw service in Iraq, where they got as much use in two months as they normally did in two years of peacetime operations. In response to this, most of the AAV7s are being refurbished, so they can still be used until the end of the decade, when enough EFVs will be entering service to replace the older vehicles.

 

The EFV is about 25 percent heavier than the AAV7, and somewhat larger. It now costs nearly ten times as much as the $2.5 million AAV7 (taking inflation into account).  The marines apparently feel they can get by with half as many amphibious armored vehicles because future wars are likely to be more dependent on delivering troops by air, or moving them around in armored hummers.

 

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LB    Apparently   6/9/2008 6:05:50 AM
The USMC doesn't feel it can do without large numbers of IFV but rather that they will get by with what they can afford and maybe down the road be able to afford more.  The notion that "future wars are likely to be more dependent on delivering troops by air, or moving them around in armored hummers" is simply ridiculous.

Even were one to move a large unit by air, even including it's armored vehicles you still need to supply it by sea.  The entire notion of deploying and sustaining by air any sort of large non leg mobile force is fiction.  Moreover, the armored hummers show you're better off in an MRAP which is simply a wheeled APC geared toward mine resistance.  In fact the original mission for the armored hummers was replacing the M3 in the recon role and for the most part the US Army concluded that was rather stupid and recon should be done with armored vehicles that can fight for information- rather like the lesson's everyone should have learned from WWII and every modern conflict since.

The USMC may have made a mistake in designing the EFV to be all things to all people.  The water jet system for the high water speed might have been much.  Then again if the USMC ever has to do an opposed landing again the troops might enjoy not being a slow target.  The nation requires a replacement for the AAV7.  The EFV is probably over designed and too expensive but I very much doubt canceling it and creating a new program would save any money.  It almost never works that way at DOD. 

What the USMC will probably do is provide less EFV's for each of the 3 MPS sqdn's.  Frex, MPSRON 1 has about 105 AAV7's. 

The other little problem the USMC has is that they actually believe in the rifle squad and thus can not get by with 6, on paper, dismounts per IFV.  So it's not as easy as replacing the AAV's in a MPSRON with say Bradley's, not to mention doubling your logistic and support pipeline.  So what really happens is the USMC makes do with old AAV7's for a long time to come.



 
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ambush       6/9/2008 8:29:31 PM
 

The problem is not that the Marine Corps believes in the Rifle Squad, a belief they should damn well have.   Too bad the Army cannot have the same belief.  The Marine?s problem is that they are trying to get too much out of one design, jack of all trades master of none. They can have a ship to shore amphibious assault vehicle or an IFV; with current technology they cannot have both.

 An IFV (non-amphibious) equipped Marine Corps is simply a second land Army for the United States. Not to mention the strain on ship to shore lift assets all those IFVs would place on the MEU.

 Instead of trying to configure itself like all future wars are going to be like Iraq the Corps should its continue with its world-wide expeditionary kick in the door/roof force. If it needs to Army or otherwise assume a mech /armor role it can adapt the way it always has.

The Marines needs high speed, over the horizon, ship to shore amphibious vehicle. If it can perform a secondary role as an armored personnel carrier so much the better but it need not be a Bradley.

 The options could be something like the EFV without the IFV requirements or perhaps a combat hovercraft with light armor protections armed with a 20mm and AGL in a remote turret and carry about 15 to 20 Marines. Remember priority one is ship to shore movement, not General Patton type operations  further inland.
 
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JFKY       6/9/2008 10:40:32 PM

Ambush touches on a point central to this debate; this isn?t about a commitment to the squad, whatever THAT means?  (What evidence do you advance that the US Army is NOT committed to the squad, and what commitment look like, and why OUGHT a service focus on the squad, as opposed to the platoon or company, in short this supposed lack of focus deserves its own thread with some specifics.) 

 

Instead, like many programs, the EFV represents a compromise.  The Marines can?t afford hundreds of M-2?s to transport the assault force in, so 6-12 person vehicles are out.  But neither does the USMC want one hit to destroy a company, so 60-100 person assault vehicles are out?plus the such a large vehicle could not carry the troops inland, thru defenses and into the enemy?s rear, even in a beach assault or onto the objective(s) further inland.  So the M2/3 is out (too small), a LCAC is out (too big a target, not mobile enough).  So it needs to be something ?in-between?.  In this case it was the EFV, carrying 18 troops, a squad and the weapons unit, or a command unit, or an engineer unit, or a medical team, or the ALO/FSO?a squad and something.  The EFV?s size has little to do with a focus on the squad, and more to do with economics, is it ?right-sized? enough that we can afford a goodly number of them, but small enough that when one takes a hit, that the Company/Battalion is not incapable of completing its assigned mission?

 

As to its IFV-ness?the Marines began the AAV-7, or LVTP-7 began life with the .50 Cal. HMG.  The Marines, thru the years, have sought to upgrade its fire power.  In its 30-plus year career, the USMC has found it needs a better turret!  That would seem to be user-driven upgrade, not just a focus on becoming a ?second Army? or as one General put it, ?A bitched up Army that speaks Navy lingo.?  Instead, the Marines felt that the landing craft/assault vehicle was under-armed and armoured.  I might point out that the LVTP?s preceding the AAV-7 carried three machine guns, or a 37 mm gun turret, or 75mm howitzer turret, and this was in the ?Old Amphibious Corps?, c. 1945-65.  So, it would seem that the USMC has found the need for serious firepower on its assault craft, even, when the Marine focus was on Amphibious as opposed to Expeditionary Warfare. 

 

A 20mm weapon is a very limited weapon and a poor choice, I?d argue for an alternative.  It will NOT damage AFV?s or APC?s, by-and-large, and its explosive content is too low to make it an effective suppressive weapon.  You will note that most nations that adopted the 20mm for their APC/IFV have upgraded their turret weapon, to 25-40mm caliber.  The EFV?s main gun allows it to engage APC?s and, I?d imagine, T-54/62?s (side, top, or rear-possibly frontally IF an APFSDS round is developed), field fortifications, AND infantry in emplacements, thru an air burst ability.  Overall, the Marines may have chosen well with the weapons fit of the EFV.

 

Finally, you?ll discover that the USMC?s mission is, whatever the SeccDef SAYS it is?and if the USMC wants to be the ?kick-in the door? force, let?s disband the divisions and air wings?because as a kick in the door force all we need are battalions and brigades.  The USMC, itself, realizes the dangers of ?kick in the door? and amphibious warfare missions, simply that if the USMC is going to tie itself to 50 kilometres of the sea and not fighting in the ?big wars? too, the USMC will be cut, drastically.  Approximately 50% or more of the DoD budget is going to the ground forces, when historically they?ve had 30-40%  Why, because the ground forces, Army and Marines) are FIGHTING the GWoT.  The USMC reverts back to being an ?afloat? presence, expect to see the Army absorb more of the Marine budget.  In this the Marines are being very sagacious, and have some history on their side.  Desert Storm and OIF all involved Marine DIVISIONS, operating well inland?so did Vietnam, and Korea.  USMC understands something Ambush doesn?t, that a Corps that does only one thing, floating on boats, in a battalion-sized element, makes for a very expensive battalion and an over-specialized Corps, which is subject to drastic cuts and revisions.

 

Bottom-Line: the vehicle may be overly ambitious, from the propulsion side, but its size issue has nothing to do with any focus or not on the squad and its weapons fit is a good choice and one well within the realm of Marine weapons fits for previous Landing Vehicles.

 

 
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LB    Mission   6/9/2008 11:15:43 PM
The USMC forced entry requirement is something the nation needs.  One can make a very good argument for an AAV.  That said the USMC has used it's AAV as IFV since WWII and certainly during Gulf War I and II not to mention the entire Iraq operation.  The USMC does actually use it's AAV's as IFV's.  If all one has are APC's they end up being used that way to some degree too.

Frankly out of everything the USMC will use it's EFV's for the least will be for opposed amphibious assault landing.  Doctrine is not to land where the other guy expects or defends.  The high speed requirement of the EFV is certainly nice to have but not if it forces the cost of the thing so high the USMC doesn't get enough and not if the cost to maintain the overly complex system is too high.  Excellent weapon systems have been retired because they simply take too many hours to operate.  The USMC has always operated much more hand to mouth than the other services and overly complex systems are not in their interests.

All of this aside the EFV is a reasonable compromise for all that it does.  How reliable it can be is an open question.  The main consideration is simply cost.  It's already apparent they will get less than requirements due to cost.  One might be better off one day in the future going into combat without the high speed capability if the choice is having far fewer in the MEB.  There are certainly going to be far fewer for a MEB from each MPSRON.

One might note the use of MPSRON's are far more likely than amphibious assault, simply note how often they've been used.  In this case the AAV7's are used as IFV's.  The EFV will be used as one as well.  That the Corp could have something better for that role that was not as fast in the water is I believe a truism.

As for the USMC love of the rifle squad I was making a sarcastic jab at the US Army.  Rarely, if ever, does one see even the 6 dismounts each Bradley squad should have on paper.  An entire Brigade now has  216 dismounts on paper.  See Daniel P. Bolger  (MG) "Death Ground", it's in print and in paperback.  Within are citations showing the US Army in it's non Bradley infantry batt wishing for a rifle squad above 9.  The USMC with it's 13 man squad is organized for sustained heavy combat.  There's a wealth of discussion to be had online regarding the size of a rifle squad.  The US Army has too few trigger pullers on paper and almost never has in the field what the TO&E says there should be.

I've posted from time to time on this site the view that binary brigades are extremely wasteful and lack the ability to engage in sustained combat.  There's very little tactical flexibility with 2 batt.  Everyone concluded by the late 1980s' that the way best way to go was a 4 batt heavy brigade and some nations like West Germany and South Korea also added a 5th reserve batt for rear area security.  If an objective needs to be secured with a batt does the brigade move on with 1 batt to the next obj?  The last nation I can recall that went to a binary structure in order to be efficient in a colonial war was Italy in the 1930's- that structure did not work out well for them in the 1940's...




 
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ambush       6/10/2008 12:59:32 AM
 

While the Marine Corps has indeed operated inland it did not reconfigure itself as a second land Army. It mounted more firepower on it AAVs but they were still amphibious and carried a rifle squad at least. It should be remembered that the Corps conducted hundreds of amphibious missions like Operation Starlight and search and destroy mission like Fortress Sentry along the Vietnamese coast, many of at least a battalion in strength.   The first large conventional unit inside Afghanistan was made up of Marines units in the Persian Gulf-maneuver from the sea.

 The Marines main justification for being is the entry from the sea. Granted it also has other duties that the "President may direct" but there is no conceivable way to organize and equip for every possible mission. If you are going to organize and equip the Corps like the Army why have the Corps? The Corps has done alright for itself concentrating on the amphibious mission and adapting to the others.   As it turns out the organization is great for not only amphibious missions but also places like Afghanistan and other places you need a lot of rifleman on the ground. It is less well situated for charging across the desert but has demonstrated it can do it.   There is a lot of merit to the idea of making Afghanistan a Marine mission and Iraq the Army one. 
A better question would be why we found ourselves the position of having to use the Corps in this manner?  It is not as if the Corps stormed the beaches in GWI & II and then fought their way to Baghdad. Why did the Army not have sufficient forces or the ability to move them fast enough into the region to do the job? Of course this
brings about issues to only with Army but air and sea lift.

 EFV represents an attempt to do too much with one vehicle. It almost like designing the Bradley to function has a helicopter and IFV. Something has to give and I think it should be the IFV part of the design.

 
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Herald12345    You have the Corps.....    6/10/2008 4:16:52 AM
............because 800 men in time is better than 8,000 men TOO LATE.

Herald

 
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Carl S       6/10/2008 6:14:31 AM
LB wrote:

"The USMC may have made a mistake in designing the EFV to be all things to all people.  The water jet system for the high water speed might have been much.  Then again if the USMC ever has to do an opposed landing again the troops might enjoy not being a slow target.  The nation requires a replacement for the AAV7.  The EFV is probably over designed and too expensive but I very much doubt canceling it and creating a new program would save any money.  It almost never works that way at DOD. 

What the USMC will probably do is provide less EFV's for each of the 3 MPS sqdn's.  Frex, MPSRON 1 has about 105 AAV7's. " 

The high speed capability of the EFV is the core of its problems.  First the hydroplane mechanizm of chines can only be deployed in realatively deep water.  Reefs and shallow beach gradients prevents its use, deployment and recovery.  This means the the thing has to stop where the bottom remains shallow enough and deploy or recover the planing mechanism.  The shallow water navigation is done at speeds comparable to existing AAV.  A second issue is the power plant.  For balance or center of gravity reasons the power pack sits in the center of the vehical reducing cargo space and complicating passenger stowafe.  More important the engine is a unique design having fewer that usual parts and design features in common with other engines in general use.  This places special demands on training of the crew and mechanics, and increases the costs & difficulty in providing replacement parts.

The 'high speed sea movement' thing needs to be revisited and lower cost solutions found.  I suspect the best case outcome will the EFV serve as a interm vehical as R & D continues in a new program.
 
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B.Smitty       6/10/2008 8:28:08 AM
Carl S is right, it's not that the EFV wants to be an IFV - the 30mm turret isn't that much larger or more costly than the AAV7's .50/40mm turret. 

It's that the EFV wants to do ship-to-shore at 25+kts, and be in fighting condition once it gets there. 

High speed is mandatory if we wish to have an opposed landing capability - amphibious ships must remain over the horizon, or risk being an easy AShM/artillery target.   We can't have Marines riding for hours in their 8kt AAV7s from 20-30 miles offshore.  They're slow, easy targets.

Carrying vehicles via hovercraft or other ship-to-shore connector is also problematic for the inital assault, as it will take multiple sorties to build up sufficient combat power ashore - not good when the first wave comes under fire immediately.  Also not good for the fragile connector, who's numbers in a MAGTF are limited anyway.

Sadly, if we wish to keep this capability, the EFV seems like the right way to go, IMHO.



 
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Mrbinga       6/10/2008 11:18:42 AM
So what if anything are they going to replace this turkey with when it is canceled, or will they just rebuild and modernize the current AAVs?
 
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ambush       6/10/2008 7:33:45 PM

So what if anything are they going to replace this turkey with when it is canceled, or will they just rebuild and modernize the current AAVs?



 

The current AAVs are too slow for rapid over the horizon  ship to shore movement.  The additional armor and other upgrades also have put a strain on the suspension system so movement ashore is a problem.

 

 Looking at just a ship to shore requirement and forgetting the IFV part which would mean reduced armor protection etc, perhaps a lighter EFV would be more do-able.  If not I like the idea of a small armed, lightly armored hovercraft capable of carrying 15 to 20 men.

 

 Ideally you would want the MEU to be able to have enough of whatever you use (EFV, hovercraft etc) to carry a re-enforced rifle company in a single lift. A problem is that when the LHA (R) comes on line well deck space will be at an even greater premium so the size of whatever we use will be even more important. Hovercraft that could perform the dual role of assault landing and follow logistical lifts (perhaps able to carry small vehicles) would perhaps be of more value than an EFV.

 
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Herald12345    Smqall hovercraft are inefficient.    6/10/2008 8:05:48 PM
-mechanically complex, unreliable and suicidally vulnerable to mines, machine gun  and auto-cannon fire.

Size matters as in SAFETY. There is a GOOD engineering reason why we use small speed boats for raiders and LCACs  for  ship to shore air cushion vehicle movement.

We'll just have to learn to embrace the helo for speed and the SLOW swimming long endurance amphibian tractor.

Herald

 
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ambush       6/10/2008 8:30:31 PM

-mechanically complex, unreliable and suicidally vulnerable to mines, machine gun  and auto-cannon fire.

Size matters as in SAFETY. There is a GOOD engineering reason why we use small speed boats for raiders and LCACs  for  ship to shore air cushion vehicle movement.

We'll just have to learn to embrace the helo for speed and the SLOW swimming long endurance amphibian tractor.

Herald


 

Marine amphibs have always had the mine problem; mine protection has a weight penalty which affects the water part of the amphibious thing.   Even during Vietnam it was common practice to ride on top of the big old LVTP-5s instead of in them because of the mine hazard, as with the M-113s.

 

 To me it still boils down to having an amphibious capability or an IFV capability. We may have to, as you suggest rely on an older design till technology catches up to your plans. IF that is the case scrap the EFV and remanufacture /build new AAV-7s


 
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Carl S       6/10/2008 11:24:23 PM
Hovercraft are not a option for amphib assualts.  At least not with the current technology.  They are too large, noisy, and vulnerable.  They are very usefull as a high speed transport, but are definitly not a alternate for AAV or the EFV.  

I would note that the 'Over the Horizon' (OTH) requirement that spawned the EFV, and several other items, was based on the assumption of a enemy that would be our equal or near equal in high tech weapons and general fire power.  That is we could not count on USN & USAF support properly suppresing threats to the amphib ships & the assualt force.  Hence the OTH  was to keep the amphib transports safer and add some range & flexiblity to the surface assualt force.

Since that assumption was made some twentyfive years have passed and the threat has changed.  We contemplate very different enemys now and for the near future.  The nature of reconissance/target accquzition and fire power have changed.  It is quite possible the ultra high speed EFV is a obsolecent system, no longer usefull for the current battlefield and probablly obsolete on the next generation of battlefields.  

Development needs to start very soon on a less costly and generally capable assuallt amphibian.
 
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sjdoc    In addition to opposed landings...   6/11/2008 12:58:56 AM
--
...the U.S. Marine Corps (especially the MEUs deployed aboard amphibious task groups) serve a critical role as "State Department Troops," intervening in low-intensity conflict environments where American citizens and other friendly foreign nationals require protection and evacuation from failed states and other environments turned suddenly and catastrophically hostile.
 
This would tend to argue for small and medium amphibious craft - capable of large cargo/personnel lift - independent of the ability to function as IFVs, capable of handling shallow-water as well as steep-to-beach landings in both coastal and riverine operations, with armored combat vehicles and wheeled MRAP personnel carriers deliverable over-the-beach to provide the means for deeper, more sustained operations as required.
 
Doubtless, the ability of the EFV to come in from over-the-horizon at high speed is important to maintain the credibility of the Marine Corps' capabilities (which is in large part what makes the Navy's amphibious task groups such strategically and operationally valuable "intimidation factor" elements).  However, the reliance upon a technologically complex vehicle to serve in a sustained inland combat function strikes one as wasteful and perhaps intrinsically impossible.  The sight of columns of AAV7s driving up graded and paved highways to Baghdad with the 1st MEF in 2003 ran that conclusion home with great force.
 
Not to beat the simile to death, the phrase "Ducks out of water" is inescapable.
 
--
 
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