by Austin Bay
January 19, 2005
Saddam Hussein's henchmen are already casting their votes in
this month's Iraqi elections -- with bombs, kidnapping and murder as their
ballots.
This antidemocratic campaign has deep and dirty pockets:
billions skimmed from Saddam's extortion, theft and smuggling schemes. The
illicit money stash pays for terror and civil war -- blood money that spills
more blood.
Last September, I wrote a column that argued: "The Iraqi civil
war started in summer 2003, when a group of hard-core Baath (and
Sunni-dominated) holdouts decided their route to personal survival -- and
possible track back to power in Baghdad -- was relentlessly savage
violence."
As the Jan. 30 election approaches, the holdouts' violence is
intensifying -- a vicious crescendo of attacks designed to break Iraqi will
and shatter American nerve. The Baath fascist reactionaries and Musab
al-Zarqawi's Islamo-fascist religious zealots seek to deny the Iraqi people
the chance to build a nation where the consent of the governed creates
legitimacy.
But these thugs are going to fail. The Iraqi people are going to
deal the Middle East's ancien regime of tyrant and
terrorist a devastating political and psychological defeat. Despite the
campaign of chaos and intimidation, a recent poll in Baghdad found 60 to 70
percent of the capital's voters intend to vote. Kurdish and Iraqi Shia
leaders predict a good turnout in their regions. Americans can barely manage
a 50 percent voter turnout, and here, nobody lobs mortar rounds at the
electorate.
The new Iraqi government will confront a host of post-election
security challenges, chief among them rebuilding the Iraqi military. The
Interim Iraqi Government (IIG) says it now has 11 divisions with 60,000
troops and intends to have 100,000 soldiers by the end of 2005. Raw numbers
are misleading -- at the moment, only a handful of battalions are trained
and reliable. Building an effective army takes years. Until Iraq can assure
its own internal and external defense, coalition forces will remain close at
hand.
Because money is the spine of the holdouts' civil war, the IIG
has made recovering Saddam's cash a high priority. There are indications
that the IIG and the coalition have seriously damaged the former regime's
financial network. In December, the IIG arrested Izzi-din Mohammad Hassan
al-Majid. Al-Majid is a former Republican Guard officer, a distant cousin of
Saddam and the nephew of the notorious Ali Hassan al-Majid (Chemical Ali).
The IIG reported that al-Majid, through a thicket of front companies based
in Europe and the Middle East, controlled from $2 billion to $7 billion
stolen by elements of the former regime to fund the current terrorist
operations in Iraq. The IIG also said that al-Majid was in contact with
three terror groups: Ansar al-Sunna, Mohammed's Army and the Islamic
Resistance Army.
It's an open secret that the IIG believes Saddam's surviving
cronies have financial resources stashed throughout the Middle East. Last
summer, the Iraqi government suggested Syria was "harboring" former members
of Saddam's regime. While Syria's government vehemently denies this
accusation, its denials defy common sense. Perhaps the Syrian government
itself isn't directly involved, but Iraqi and Syrian Baathists have
long-term personal connections. At a minimum, Saddam's money would pay for
safe houses protected by Syrian criminal syndicates.
If al-Majid confirms the alleged Syrian connections, expect more
arrests as Damascus seeks to placate Baghdad and Washington by providing new
intelligence about the cross-border movements of "former regime" personnel.
The search for Saddam's billions merges with an international
squeeze on Al Qaeda's financial assets. Banks -- particularly banks in the
Persian Gulf region -- have come under careful scrutiny. Several
questionable "Islamic charities" in the U.S. and Europe were shut down after
investigators linked them to terrorists. The U.S. has also cracked down on
"non-structured modes of terror financing." Improved intelligence
information and better international police cooperation have made "informal
money transfer operations" by individuals and small businesses more
difficult.
If the arrest of al-Majid leads to the recovery of Saddam's
stolen billions, it will be a major step toward victory by the Iraqi
government.