by Austin Bay
February 2, 2010
In a recent
propaganda rant, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed to deal "a
telling blow against global arrogance" on Feb. 11, the day Tehran's malignant
mullahs celebrate the 31st anniversary of their Ayatollah Khomeini-led Islamic
revolution, which toppled Iran's Shah.
lingo of Iran's dictators, "global arrogance" describes the behavior
of many enemies, including Western Europeans and the U.N. Security Council
(when it employs sanctions to curb Iran's nuke quest). As for "a telling
blow," given Ahmadinejad's penchant for exaggeration, a blow could mean
another televised diatribe (bombast) or the terrifying revelation that mullahs
possess a nuclear weapon.
We can, of
course, ultimately count on Ahmadinejad or another mouthy despot to specify
America as a source of truly world-girdling arrogance. Khomeini dubbed America
"The Great Satan," and damning America remains essential Khomeinist
liturgy. It definitely troubles Tehran's wicked turbans that 31 years after
Khomeini's condemnation America still exists and even occasionally defies them.
Last month, Ahmadinejad yet again prophesied an "end to American
civilization" and the American "system."
Iran, however, strongly indicate Iran's repugnant regime is far more fragile
Movement" opponents of the dictatorship intend to stage mass
demonstrations on Feb. 11 throughout Iran. The Green Movement anti-regime
campaign sprang to life in the wake of Iran's disputed June 2009 elections.
regime's Revolutionary Guard militia has threatened to stop the protestors,
whom the mullahs call "foreign agents." The activists demand fair
elections, a tyranny-shattering concept the clerics claim must be inspired by
In a column
published in late June 2009, as the post-election demonstrations began to wane,
I wrote that Iran had entered "Limbo, an uncertain yet perilous period of
time separating anger-driven demonstrations from either bloody tyrannical
repression or sustained popular struggle producing a liberalizing
months later, the Green Movement is definitely a sustained popular struggle,
though not quite a systemic revolt. The movement is no monolith, but a
disparate collection of groups. It has reformists (who support extensive, rapid
reform), incrementalists (who favor certain reforms) and radicals of all sorts
(some promoting Western-style democracy). The factions, however, are all
outraged by the endemic theft and corruption of the Khomeinist elites and
dismayed by Iran's insistently stagnant economy. Concern over the growing
political and economic clout of the Revolutionary Guard Corps also unites them.
Iranian nationalism, one decoupled from the Ayatollah Khomeini, is another
potential glue. Movement leaders have discussed changing the nation's name from
the Khomeinists' Islamic Republic of Iran to simply the Iranian Republic. While
a name change may appear superficial, when so many Iranians feel cheated,
exploited and excluded by Khomeini's heirs, its implications are immense.
to a "new nationalism" may be behind opposition leader Mir Hossein
Moussavi's statement this week that "the current political situation in
Iran indicates the presence of the remaining roots of tyranny and dictatorship
of the Shah." Moussavi declared, "I don't believe that the revolution
achieved its goals."
America and its allies continue to try to deny the mullahs a nuclear bomb and prevent
a telling blow from striking vulnerable nations. The U.S. announced the
deployment of eight advanced Patriot anti-missile missile batteries to Kuwait,
Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. U.S. Navy Aegis ships with
Standard-3 anti-ballistic missiles are also in the Persian Gulf.
deployments, and suggestions by U.S. officials that Iranian nuclear facilities
can be targeted, mark what diplomats call "a change in tone."
Anti-Americans will call these deployments arrogant -- I call them sensible and
this "change" signals the end of the Obama administration's hapless
spate of stupid Middle Eastern diplomacy, which included his "no
pre-conditions" promise to the mullahs regarding negotiations and his June
2009 groveling apology from America. Obama delivered that tyrant and
terrorist-inflating hooey a week before the Iranian elections. If Obama really
wants to end the mullahs' bomb quest, he should support Iran's opposition. That
means supporting regime change -- in Tehran.