Murphy's Law: Counting Warships Becomes Dangerous

Archives

May 8, 2012: The U.S. Congress has warned the U.S. Navy to be careful if it changes the way it measures its combat strength. The navy proposes to count hospital ships, patrol boats, and other support craft as combat ships (or "primary mission platforms").

In reality it's never been simple to measure the combat power of a fleet. Early in the 20th century there was an explosion of new ship types (subs, destroyers, battleships, aircraft carriers, fast attack boats armed with torpedoes, and so on) and it's still unclear how one should measure all of these new warship types against each other. For several centuries before that it was pretty much a matter of counting the number of heavy guns you had afloat. But for the last century there's been a lot more variety, and measuring the overall strength has become difficult. It only became worse with the introduction of effective anti-aircraft and anti-ship missiles in the last half century, as well as the introduction of "smart" (software controlled) mines and torpedoes in the last few decades.

These days fleet comparisons are best shown on a spreadsheet, with not one overall value but several (capabilities for landing troops, delivering air strikes, sinking enemy merchant and warships, clearing mines, and keeping hostile subs from your shipping). Most fleets specialize and a few (like the United States) are pretty good across the board. But politicians and the media prefer just one number, even if it's misleading. Simplicity rules in journalism and politics.

 


Article Archive

Murphy's Law: Current 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 


X

ad
0
20

Help Keep Us Soaring

We need your help! Our subscription base has slowly been dwindling. We need your help in reversing that trend. We would like to add 20 new subscribers this month.

Each month we count on your subscriptions or contributions. You can support us in the following ways:

  1. Make sure you spread the word about us. Two ways to do that are to like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.
  2. Subscribe to our daily newsletter. We’ll send the news to your email box, and you don’t have to come to the site unless you want to read columns or see photos.
  3. You can contribute to the health of StrategyPage. A contribution is not a donation that you can deduct at tax time, but a form of crowdfunding. We store none of your information when you contribute..
Subscribe   Contribute   Close