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Subject: Russia annexes Lithuania, or at least makes an attempt to do so.
SYSOP    3/26/2014 8:57:05 PM
Russia annexes Lithuania, or at least makes an attempt to do so. Enter a more detailed explanation of the event. Give your thoughts of why or why not you think the even will happen. Let people know why you think this is important. This will posted to the message boards automatically.
 
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IDNeon       4/12/2014 5:11:49 AM
No need to annex Lithuania. Russia controls baltic through Kaliningrad. Russia will continue to extract wealth from Lithuania via globalist corporation means (preferred method of western countries) and use cyber bullying and sabre rattling to keep baltic nations in check.
Russia's next focus after annexing the very large Crimean oil fields is what to do with South east Ukraine's modestly large industrial capital (as in kapital).
If Putin feels internal pressure from Kiev he will embargo Ukrainian exports and rebuild Ukrankian industry in Russia.
If Putin feels external pressure from west to move Ukraine westward and keep their industry (50-60% sometimes 90% trades east) alive. Putin will invade to Kiev but may not seize farther west because that is where anti-Russian resistance is strongest and where industry and nuclear plants end.
 
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HR    Rusian Baltic   4/12/2014 9:39:51 PM
You give too much credit to Russia. The Danes and most important the Swedes are the key to the Baltic. And then Norway's Atlantic seaboard is next in military importance.
 
Some of you interested in the LCS; The Hellfire has been selected as the anti-swarm boat defensive missile. Its ability to fire in salvoes and its guidance made the difference. So the Griffin lost out.
 
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IDNeon       4/13/2014 1:58:06 AM
If what you said about denmark and sweden is true then Russia would have invaded them and secured them during the Napoleonic wars. Instead they took the baltic states and formally made them a part of their sphere in the 1920s/30s. Historically Russia has only been interested in controlling that baltic coast. It has north atlantic access from polyarny.
 
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HR    IDNEon   4/13/2014 11:44:20 AM
There is a difference between what you want to do and what you can do.
 
Sweden is today and more so it its past a formidable military obstacle. When I was young and reading about Russian history a phrase that sticks to my mind was (paraphrasing) that the Swedes did not conquer Russian because there where not enough Swedes but in every war they had them they soundly defeated them.
 
In more recent times Nazi Germany saw the importance of Norway and occupied it. And even though Germany at that time vastly outnumbered the Swedes they understood the difficulty of occupying the country and settle for political and cooperative accommodations... so even is small population and small economy it is a relatively speaking tough nut that will give pause to larger foes.
 
Right now the exit from the Baltic to the Atlantic is dominated by these three countries. Aircrafts positioned in any of them would bottle up all surface maritime traffic, make submarine passage very hazardous and their re-supply beyond difficult. Because of the numerous anchorages available a fleet of small missile carrying boats would be difficult to neutralizes and in those constrained waters deadly.
 
Russia would live to break out of that. Global warming might help them there.
 
 
 
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