The Strategypage is a comprehensive summary of military news and affairs.
 News As History - October 11, 2008

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StrategyPage's Prediction Market

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Correct at Close: 89.29%       Open Events: 75
Correct Over Lifetime: 85.07% Settled Events: 663




CatagoryEventCurrent Prediction
China Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government
Details
FALSE
The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008
Details
FALSE
China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008
Details
FALSE
Sino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere Incident
Details
TRUE
The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists.
Details
FALSE
The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies.
Details
FALSE
North Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power
Details
FALSE
Europe Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008
Details
TRUE
General Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office.
Details
TRUE
Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US.
Details
FALSE
Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power.
Details
FALSE
Iraq USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes
Details
TRUE
Middle East October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October.
Details
NONE
The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel.
Details
FALSE
The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008.
Details
FALSE
Formation of a Arab Gulf Treaty Organization. Any two or more of the following Iraq, Kuwate, Barain, Qutar, UAE treaty with the United States to suport each others defence. Formal name may varie.
Details
FALSE
Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq.
Details
FALSE
Iran will not use nukes on Israel.
Details
TRUE
Iraq will become a weak Federal Republic with a strong Kurdish area, a Shi'a area under Iranian domination and a Sunni area that is in chaos.
Details
FALSE
Iran will have a nuclear weapon that it can launch against Israel by the end of 2010
Details
FALSE
Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU).
Details
FALSE
Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel
Details
FALSE
Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries.
Details
TRUE
Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008
Details
FALSE
Sci/Tech By the end of 2009, the Large Hadron Collider will have failed to detect neutralinos, gravitons, or the Higgs Boson
Details
TRUE
X-Prize victory will spawn a variety of competitors and competitions, resulting in commercial dominance of the spacelaunch field within 20 years.
Details
TRUE
Sports Man Utd win 2008-09 Prem
Details
FALSE
Terrorism Osama bin Laden will be killed by the end of 2008
Details
FALSE
A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel.
Details
FALSE
There will be an al qaeda-style terrorist attack within the first 18 months of the new presidents term.
Details
FALSE
usa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike.
Details
FALSE
Terrorists will kill more than 20,000 American civilians by April 2013.
Details
FALSE
US The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000
Details
FALSE
Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate.
Details
FALSE
President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs.
Details
FALSE
The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives.
Details
FALSE
President Obama normalizes relations with Cuba.
Details
FALSE
Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination).
Details
FALSE
Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election.
Details
TRUE
Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3.
Details
TRUE
After one year, President Obama''s appointments will have fewer women and minorities than did President Bush''s at one year of his first term.
Details
FALSE
After six months, President Obama still will not have filled his Cabinet (Dept Secretaries, NSA, WH CoS).
Details
TRUE
Obama is elected President of the United States
Details
FALSE
Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus.
Details
FALSE
A party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules.
Details
TRUE
Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count.
Details
TRUE
Australia will receive US permission to procure the F-22 Raptor by 2014.
Details
TRUE
Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared.
Details
FALSE
McCain will be elected president of the United States
Details
TRUE
The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008
Details
FALSE
Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States,
Details
FALSE
Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States.
Details
FALSE
Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States.
Details
FALSE
USAF and NASA jointly develop the first ever Fighter jet working on non-gasoline fuels.
Details
FALSE
The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections
Details
FALSE
The US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010.
Details
FALSE
In the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009
Details
FALSE
Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election.
Details
FALSE
Dow Jones average will close below 6000`
Details
FALSE
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy.
Details
FALSE
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator.
Details
TRUE
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state.
Details
FALSE
Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws
Details
FALSE
The next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in.
Details
FALSE
George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president.
Details
FALSE
Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term.
Details
FALSE
The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President.
Details
FALSE
Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement
Details
FALSE
World Venezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces.
Details
FALSE
Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed
Details
FALSE
Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants
Details
FALSE
Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves.
Details
FALSE
In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces".
Details
FALSE
By 2012, Moslem scholars will publish evidence that Jesus did not die on the cross.
Details
FALSE
A nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count.
Details
FALSE