Here is the scenario. Sometime in the near future, Quebec succeeds. A few years later, the US president invites the remaining English-speaking provinces into the USA as sovereign states. What is the effect? With NAFTA in effect, I doubt it will have much of an economic impact. Since the Canadian military is so small relative to the US military, it would not have too much economic impact. But the political impact could be huge. Right now American politics is evenly divided between liberal northern Democrats and conservative southern Republicans. Presumably, Canada would strongly support the Democrats. Democrats would win control of the House, Senate and Presidency. It would suddenly become almost impossible for conservative Republicans to win national majorities, so they would be forced to become more moderate. Conservative Republicans would rule the South and Utah, but nothing else. Elsewhere, the Republican party would look more like the Canadian Conservative party. The Democrats would be almost as powerful as the Liberals are in Canada. Suddenly, American politics would more closely resemble Canadian politics than it does today (at least on the national level). I know the idea of joining the USA offends many Canadians, but perhaps Canadians would have much more influence on the world within the USA than outside it. |