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Subject: Watch for 2-/3-Fronts [Kor-Twn] If US Invades Iraq This Fall!    7/24/2002 7:54:49 PM
The current total size of the US armed forces predicates against fighting high-intensity conventional multi-front limited wars. If is to ever hit the fan against Dubyoo''s WOT, the time frame for China-NK is when USF''s are preoccupied in the Persian Gulf, and especially if PC forbades the USG from resorting to a new public draft of manpower.
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Merchant    RE:Watch for 2-/3-Fronts [Kor-Twn] If US Invades Iraq This Fall!   1/18/2003 2:40:29 AM
What do you think about the possibility of the springtime instead? The North Korean problem could only get worse if the Palestienians decide to open up a whole new problem along with some of Israels beligerant neighbors at the same time. China decides now is the time to go after Taiwan and North Korea goes ahead and lobs a bomb toward Japan in spite then hauls off and nukes Seoul. Keep 'em Flying
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A Berman    RE:Watch for 2-/3-Fronts [Kor-Twn] If US Invades Iraq This Fall!   1/20/2003 7:50:27 AM
China will never attack Taiwan. That game is over. China has too much investment with Taiwan in both directions and the Chinese economy would suffer far too greatly. As for North Korea, I expect them to up the ante this very week. They are ruled by emotion and pride, not by logic, and the newscycle has missed them and focused on Iraq for the past few days. Plus, they have been rewarded for their stupidity, so expect it to continue.
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