Military History | How To Make War | Wars Around the World Rules of Use How to Behave on an Internet Forum
Air Defense Discussion Board
   Return to Topic Page
Subject: Iran gets the S-300
Shirrush    12/26/2007 2:16:12 PM
Now it's confirmed.
 
Quote    Reply

Show Only Poster Name and Title     Newest to Oldest
Pages: PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7   NEXT
Shirrush    Jeff_F_F   12/31/2007 3:54:27 PM

 
It is interesting to note that both of the antagonistic middle eastern powers with active WMD programs shut those programs down after the US invaded Iraq. Iran shut their nuclear program down in October of 2003. Quadaffi not only shut down his chemical weapons program but turned over his stockpile and signed onto the CWC in December. Sounds like our ME strategy is proving pretty successful in general. I'd suggest that this is also evidence that the Iranian leadership is behaving rationally rather than like the fantically suicidal jihadists that alarmists suggest they are.

I can't believe you're THAT naive! Syria, albeit hindered by an "unfortunate" spate of "industrial accidents", has not even made its WMD program clandestine, as Iran did ca. 2003 with the help of the Nork molerats.
And please expect a few nasty surprises from of Mu'ammar as well!

 
Quote    Reply

DarthAmerica    Shirrush reply   12/31/2007 5:49:16 PM

Now it's the Iranians claiming they're not getting the super-SAMs!
Go figure!

Never mind. We have managed to whip up a nice little tsunami in a glass of water here, and it's been a pleasure.
I'm confident Jastayme3, or any other of our honorable thread archaeologists/necromancers, will dig up this thread as soon as the Mullahs do get the S-300, or its Chicom clone.

Happy New Year to you all. May 2008 bring all of us Victory, Peace, and Wisdom.


Ummm, does I told you so cover this?

-DA

P.S. Happy New Year
 
Quote    Reply

Bluewings12       12/31/2007 8:39:29 PM
Jeff :
""I had no idea that your analysis of the world situation was so dire. So, BW if the following situation is correct do you also support France and the rest of the EU either looking the other way, or actively aiding the following developments:""
(...)
""
Or are you actually hoping that the Iranians will nuke Israel off the map.""
""
We know how much you hate them..."""

What 's bloody wrong with you Jeff ?? You and I are probably on the same wavelenth but you somehow missunderstood what I stand for .
Darth Squirrel 's analysis is spot on (hat off to him) and is something rather hard to swallow for a delusional american , if there is one . He shares our view we have here in Europe and we have a clearer understanding of what is going on "in between the lines" than the USA do .
The EU is not looking the other way or activing the military development of an Iranian Aor H bomb . At the contrary Jeff .
We are trying to play their game ---> peacefull nuclear , by trying to sell them everything they need to do make cheap electricity because we know what Tech we can give them and what Tech we cannot give them . There is a huge difference between a nuclear electric power plant and a uranium bomb , as you know .
We think that we can archive that goal because the Iranian military nuke program is at the baby stage and we can deal with them with 2 Aces in our hands and 2 more up our sleeves .
Obviously , the Russians might undermine our efforts and might even give the Iranians what they need , just to exclude the USA from the ME for the time being (Geopolitic re-drawing) .

Jeff , I don 't give a monkey about Iran or Israel . They 're all decent people and if they cannot go with each other , it is not my problem and I couldn 't care less .
I don 't give a monkey if they 're Jews or Persians or Arabs , good to them .
I am French and I like it this way .

Cheers .
 
Quote    Reply

Herald12345       12/31/2007 8:44:21 PM

...I fully agree with Darth Squirrel, and I somehow resent the way he is treated on this board.
There is no way the US will be able to turn Iraq and Afghanistan into democracies surrounding Iran from both sides, not in a million years, and even if they do, that still won't help the Iranian people get rid of a fascist police state with a large armed, illiterate and fanaticized militia. If there's anything DA and Herald don't understand, or refuse to face, it is how fascism works.
Now, their strategy of containment will give the Mullahs enough time, not only to develop nuclear weapons, but to acquire a nuclear arsenal such as what India and Durka-durkaPakistan now have. Which makes sure that when the Mullahs finally go to war in order to speed up the advent of the 12th Imam, the war will be all-out nuclear.
Waiting for that to happen is a greater crime against humanity than an "aggression" against Iran's regime and military capabilities. Fact: the US and the West have the capability to prevent a nuclear holocaust in the Middle-East and to return Iran to its rightful place in the family of civilized nations, but would rather have all the Iranians (and their neighbors) incinerated in three years time than help them now.
But hey, what do I know about such things, I'm just an Israeli!
 


Shirrush:

The Wehrmacht took two of my German uncles, and they died fighting for a regime they hated..
My American grandfather died fighting against those Nazi bastards.
I've walked the ground of Bergen Belsen and Dachau.
I had my father shot up by PRC bandits, other members of my family suffered at the hands of those bastards as well..

I may not understand fascism the way you do, but I am not totally ignorant of what it is.

I also think I know what war costs.

Darth Squirrel gets what he deserves. He proclaims but does not justify. As I said elsewhere, I don't want a million  Human being's deaths on my conscience until we try everything reasonable. If reasonable measures fail, then let the hammer fall.


But we aren't quite there, yet.

Herald
 
Quote    Reply

Darth Squirrel       1/4/2008 2:13:37 AM



...I fully agree with Darth Squirrel, and I somehow resent the way he is treated on this board.
There is no way the US will be able to turn Iraq and Afghanistan into democracies surrounding Iran from both sides, not in a million years, and even if they do, that still won't help the Iranian people get rid of a fascist police state with a large armed, illiterate and fanaticized militia. If there's anything DA and Herald don't understand, or refuse to face, it is how fascism works.
Now, their strategy of containment will give the Mullahs enough time, not only to develop nuclear weapons, but to acquire a nuclear arsenal such as what India and Durka-durkaPakistan now have. Which makes sure that when the Mullahs finally go to war in order to speed up the advent of the 12th Imam, the war will be all-out nuclear.
Waiting for that to happen is a greater crime against humanity than an "aggression" against Iran's regime and military capabilities. Fact: the US and the West have the capability to prevent a nuclear holocaust in the Middle-East and to return Iran to its rightful place in the family of civilized nations, but would rather have all the Iranians (and their neighbors) incinerated in three years time than help them now.
But hey, what do I know about such things, I'm just an Israeli!
 



Shirrush:

The Wehrmacht took two of my German uncles, and they died fighting for a regime they hated..
My American grandfather died fighting against those Nazi bastards.
I've walked the ground of Bergen Belsen and Dachau.
I had my father shot up by PRC bandits, other members of my family suffered at the hands of those bastards as well..

I may not understand fascism the way you do, but I am not totally ignorant of what it is.

I also think I know what war costs.

Darth Squirrel gets what he deserves. He proclaims but does not justify. As I said elsewhere, I don't want a million  Human being's deaths on my conscience until we try everything reasonable. If reasonable measures fail, then let the hammer fall.


But we aren't quite there, yet.

Herald


   You're a good straightforward and linear thinker Herald, but your mind is unwilling (I didn't say unable) to cope with the abstract.  This is also the case for most of the (red-blooded) Americans involved in US geostrategic planning, and it is why the US is being beaten.  Both the relative and absolute power of the United States is declining rapidly, but most people, even professional military men, simply refuse to accept it.  Or rather, they refuse to accept that there are and will continue to be serious strategic consequences of this decline.  You are also out of the loop on a whole range of geostrategic issues that are well-accepted in certain professional circles. 
 
   On example is the proposal for forward-deployed missile defense bases in eastern Europe.  I outlined a technically simple but strategically advanced theory about the primary reason behind Russian opposition to MDA assets there (and Chinese opposition to them in the US and Pacific).  The reason is that a small but significant md capability negates an enemy's threat of initiating a limited nuclear exchange.  You denounced my theory as hogwash and smugly proclaimed that US nuclear doctrine calls for a full-scale retaliatory strike that would wreak total destruction of the enemy.  I let it drop because I figured it's not your area of expertise and I remember when my logic process was bound by the limits of what I wanted to accept, rather than reality as it was clearly before me.
   That theory is well-discussed in the geostrategic community but you
 
Quote    Reply

DarthAmerica       1/4/2008 3:10:37 AM

The above post is simply more long winded ranting, raving crap of course with no support for any of it's assertions.
-DA
 
Quote    Reply

Herald12345    I guess, DS missed the orbital mechanics lesson I gave three months ago on this very board?   1/4/2008 4:06:54 AM


The above post is simply more long winded ranting, raving crap of course with no support for any of it's assertions.

-DA

You know, DA, "I never repeat myself more than five times."

You denounced my theory as hogwash and smugly proclaimed that US nuclear doctrine calls for a full-scale retaliatory strike that would wreak total destruction of the enemy.  I let it drop because I figured it's not your area of expertise and I remember when my logic process was bound by the limits of what I wanted to accept, rather than reality as it was clearly before me.
   That theory is well-discussed in the geostrategic community but you will not have read about it on the DrudgeReport, or seen it in a USNews piece, or even found it on more specialized websites (hobby sites, really) like Globalsecurity.org and Fas.org.  You were not able to offer a single piece of evidence to refute it, but you were also not able to offer an explanation as to why Russian opposition to it is so fierce.

By the way, nut hoarder-[that's you, DS] you are a LIAR. The Russians don't like OTH radars in the Czech republic  because it robs them of their chance to first strike us without warning from their western missile fields where the bulk of their best rockets are. Its the difference between thirty minutes and fifteen minutes as far as US warning times go. We can clear all silos in thirty. Not so sure how many Minuteman birds will fly in 15.

And of course it would spot Iranian inbounds.

Physics here is physics, not what YOU would call common sense. 

Herald

 
Quote    Reply

DarthAmerica    Herald reply   1/4/2008 4:33:27 AM
He really is incorrect about the entire concept of missile defense and why Russia is mad at it. The suggestion that China or Russia would all of the sudden fire off one or two ICBMs in some limited strike under the assumption that the United States would only respond in kind and thats it is absurd. It's absurd to think the Russians and Chinese are that stupid and it's plane insane to think the USA would do any less that annihilate in total.
 
The reason the Russians are mad in addition to what Herald mentioned is because of the future implications a BMD would have on their nuclear forces which is the only real credible means of fighting NATO they have left.
 
-DA
 
Quote    Reply

displacedjim       1/4/2008 8:19:48 AM



By the way, nut hoarder-[that's you, DS] you are a LIAR. The Russians don't like OTH radars in the Czech republic  because it robs them of their chance to first strike us without warning from their western missile fields where the bulk of their best rockets are. Its the difference between thirty minutes and fifteen minutes as far as US warning times go. We can clear all silos in thirty. Not so sure how many Minuteman birds will fly in 15.

And of course it would spot Iranian inbounds.

Physics here is physics, not what YOU would call common sense. 

Herald


That seems odd to me, since our DSP satellites detect in the boost phase, as in within the first few seconds of launch.
 
Jim H


 
 
Quote    Reply

Herald12345    There are things in heaven and on Earth.   1/4/2008 8:41:40 AM
One of the things that always frightened me DJ was how easy it is to blank orbiting infrared sensors-even GSO ones. That dazzling I would call an act of war, but are you willing to launch everything on that EW trick, or do you wait for the radar tracks?

I believe we can detect a launch plume from within the first 30 seconds of ignition, but that doesn't tell us WHERE the rocket is headed. OTH radars are blob detectors, but they do give you an ICBM vector baseline quickly. Trouble is you always had to wait for the ICBM to come within US OTH radar coverage to be sure  before you counter-launched on warning. That meant a 15 minute nailbiting exercise as you waited for the Russian rockets to climb to apogee; so you could see which way they pointed. If it was near radar horizon trajectory, goodbye PRCs, but if it kept climbing into your radar FoV and drifted right to left, get the counter-launch warning out to the missile farms FAST.

Herald

 
Quote    Reply
PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7   NEXT



 Latest
 News
 
 Most
 Read
 
 Most
 Commented
 Hot
 Topics