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Subject: Is Pakistan the new Iraq?
PowerPointRanger    10/24/2007 12:32:03 AM
Just as things seem to be cooling off in Iraq, things seem to be heating up in Pakistan. Is it possible that al Qaeda has shifted focus to Pakistan after concluding their war in Iraq was lost? Why not? Pakistan has an unstable, heavily-infiltrated government--oh, and nuclear weapons! I believe they have concluded that Pakistan had a better up-side. If they can topple the pro-US government and replace it with radicals, they would gain instant access to nukes.
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Herald1234    That is my nightmare.   10/24/2007 1:07:14 AM

That the idiots Zawahiri and bin Laden decided to write off Iraq three years ago, and instead contacted their ISI controllers, and plotted together with those curs to overthrow what was left of the Pakistani  government and put in an al Qaeda  state in Islamabad. Its what I would have done, given my  resources and the  apparent ineptitude of the US NSC to counter that possibility. Trying to blow up Bhutto [not that she doesn't deserve it] looks just like the right kind of ISI opening move to head in that direction.

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PowerPointRanger    Butto   10/27/2007 11:53:23 AM
I have to admit, she has guts.  She might be just what America needs in Pakistan--a moderate, pro-US, WOMAN, in charge.
Normally, I consider gender to be of incidental importance in a political realm, but not here.  Because the Taliban are so anti-woman, Butto has become an incarnation of their greatest fear: a powerful woman.  They will expend every resource possible to get her.
So this has, to paraphrase Sun Tzu, provoke our enemy into reckless behavior.
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chupooey    pakistan - middle east   11/4/2007 12:52:18 PM
I think that pakistan - iraq anology is not correct, in iraq there is no one with the power but strong holds of 3-4 power houses, but in Pakistan army is still in power and has authority over almost whole Pakistan. one may remember that some times ago the new classification added pakistan in middle east, probably US wants to apply the middle east strategy here to support his backed people in Government.
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bob the brit       11/4/2007 1:21:23 PM
i'm suprised no-one has mentioned musharraf's latest move and what it throws into the equation
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PowerPointRanger    The Million Dollar Question   11/4/2007 10:12:57 PM
My instincts say that it will just make matters worse.  Musharraf has got a tiger by the tail here.  He isn't in control of things, but he's afraid to let go.  I don't think it's a matter of his being corrupt, so much as understanding that the people who take over after he steps down will be both corrupt and vengeful.
On the other hand, Pakistan has a long tradition of military dictatorship.  Pakistanis may be more resigned to it than we would expect (especially after that huge bomb blast targeting Butto).
I think this will somehow end with Musharraf going into exile in the US or getting assassinated--when it happens is anyone's guess.
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