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Subject: Abadgaran
MCW    11/29/2004 7:33:53 PM
As I predicted on the strategypage many eons ago, Iran has slipped ever closer to a full blown totalitarian state. Iranian neo-conservatives, or should I say neo Islamic-Nazis, known as Abadgaran won the rigged parliamentary elections of 2004, thus trouncing the reformists. Recently the Abadgaran has made a power play in Tehran, hoping to gain enough clout to crush President Khatami and to capture the presidency in 2005. Even if Abadgaran does not capture the presidency and it instead goes to a more traditionalist conservative, the victory of the radical right will be almost complete. If the US does not successfully promote regime change, the most likely outcome will be for the more traditional conservatives to be pushed aside by the more radical and authoritarian neo-conservatives, who will eventually capture the presidency. From there it is on to the golden prize, the faqihship. In this way Thermidor in Iran will come to a close, and the regime will finally be consolidated. Dr. Matthew C. Wells
 
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MCW    RE:Abadgaran   5/22/2005 10:13:46 PM
It was just announced today that the Guardian Council has banned all of the reformist candidates in the upcoming presidential elections. This means that no matter who wins, the conservatives will control everything and only be moments away from consolidating their hold on power. This is an unfortunate development that could have been averted if the analysis contained in the 2002 book, "Parallelism, A Handbook of Social Analysis, The Study of Revolution and Hegemonic War" was heeded by US policy makers.
 
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displacedjim    RE:Abadgaran   5/24/2005 7:46:41 PM
"This is an unfortunate development that could have been averted if the analysis contained in the 2002 book, "Parallelism, A Handbook of Social Analysis, The Study of Revolution and Hegemonic War" was heeded by US policy makers." -- mcw ---- Which pages hold the part about how policymakers in other countries like America could have prevented the radical Islamists in Iran from consolidating their revolution? Displacedjim
 
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MCW    RE:Abadgaran   6/18/2005 4:53:23 PM
Today it was announced that the two frontrunners in the Iranian presidential elections are the pragmatic conservative Rafsanjani and the ultra-conservative militatist Ahmadinejad. Thus there will be a runoff election. Nevertheless whomever it is that triumphs, Iran will be under the complete control of the radical right...Can dictatorship be far off? Dr. Wells
 
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MCW    RE:Abadgaran   7/9/2005 11:34:49 PM
The situation in Tehran is serious. It seems that the neo-cons have captured all of the major elected offices in Iran. The new conflict will undoubtedly be between the neo-cons in the in the parliament and presidency and the traditional conservatives in the faqihship and the Council of Guardians. It should be noted that the Iranian right-wing is dissimilar from Republicans here in the US. Both traditionalists and neo-cons are anti-democratic in orientation. This is particularly true of the neo-cons who seem to desire the creation of an Islamic-style military dictatorship in Tehran. While some in the regular armed forces may be of western orientation, the revolutionary guard type and the basij are anti-western, anti-US, but not anti-modern. Dr. Matthew Wells
 
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