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Subject: EU/USA War, based on a specific scenario
mightypeon    9/14/2005 11:25:31 AM
Well, such a thing has been debated quite often, but never with a semirealistc Scenario in mind. Lets just go with the following quite random timeline: 2005/2006: several minor annoyances and trade disagreements happen between Europe and the USA. Bsuh, who is figures that he needs a populartiy boost seeks a spacegoat and starts a Nation wide Germany and France bashing campaign. Beeing bashed by Bush promtply leds to the reelection of Chancellor Schroeder. Spring 2006: The European Iranian talks come to a break, Iran stops its Nuclear programm as well as the support of terrorist groups in Israel, in exchange it gains a host of European arms. Amongst them is a shipment of 400 Leopard 2A4 tanks (in fact, Iran gets the Europane equipment the Europeans would have exchanged or upgraded enyway) In addition, the Iranians grant European companies first rights in developing Iranian Oil fields. Summer 2006 While the irani army is getting trained with their new equipment, a heavy shiite uprising breaks out in eastern Irak. The Shiites demand to be a part of Iran, the rebellion is crushed by the US military. 11.09.06 The US are hit by Terroists. The Gouverment claims Iran to be the culprit. The forces that just crushed the Shiite Rebellion in eastern Irak move up the border. Seeing a hole in the Iranian defense, an US general asks for permission to invade and gets it. While diplomatic conuselatins are still ongoing, the US troops overwhelm the tactically suprsied and not fully trained Irani border forces with minimal losses. The US imprisons the equally suprised European staff still teaching the Iranis. 18.09.06: While US forces are making further progress into Iran, the EU demands the freedom of its instruction staff. 19.09.06: Bush says "that the Europeans can kiss his behind" in an Interview. 20.09.06: German troops surround US bases in Germany. 21.09.06 Seeing America is distracted, Shiite rebels in Irak rise up again. All European powers cancel any overflight rights to the US that have been previously in place. A violent Mob lynches several Germans in a rural american willage, the local police stands by, of course this leads to another uproar in the EU. 22.09.06 With aid from local rebels, a British officer of Pakistani origin manages to escape his prison camp. He shoots a GI while doing so. 23.09.06 The American advance is stalled by logistal problems and constant partisan warfare. 24.09.06 Rumors inclince that the runaway British officer is activly particiapting in the Irani resistance. Pakistan cancel its cooperation with the US. 25.09.06 Under the cover of bad weather, the Iranis start are quick, dedicated and determined counter offensive against the US forces. The US line is breached. The way of the attack implies the Iranis had satellite info on the American positions, as well as human intelligence sources in the American army. In addition, the attack was carefully cordinated with partisan activites in the Ameriakn rear. The American gouverment blames the EU on the defeat and threatens consequences. Schroeder is cited saying "America and which army?" in a private circle. 26.09.05 A massive American airstrike takes out a lot of Irans ammunition producing facilites. Several EU cititzens are killed during the attack. Due to a misprinted order, a imprisoned European instructor is sent to Guantanamo because he shares the name of a terrorist. 27.09.06 The interment of a European instructor interred in Guantanamo is leaked to the BBC. Diplomatic relations between the EU countries and the USA are severed. China proclaims its neutrality in an eventual conflict. Fistfights break out before American Baracks in Germany. 28.09.06 Backed up by reeinforcements, the US manage to flank the Irani force. Hoping on the fact that the US have other problems to take care off, Iran offers peace talks. 29.09.06 A first ceasefire between Iran and the USA is concluded. Iran sends some "terrorists" to the US and labels them as the bad evil instigators. 30.09.06 The US refuses to return the still held instructors. The EU ulitmativly demand the return of the instructors. German troops move into 2 logistical US bases in Germany and arrest the American troops. 01.10.06 Led by a overly rash American Colonell, a Batallion of bradleys fires at approaching German troops. Beeing led by an equally rash German Oberst, the Leopard 2A6 MBTs fire back. The USA and Europe are at war. Now that we have a Scenario, what would be your predictions?
 
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eldnah    RE:Basilisk Station   10/19/2005 8:25:49 PM
Sorry, left out a bit of information: the shoulder patch of the British MAG to the northwest territory indians was that of a buffalo skull over the crosses of Sts George and Andrew, surmounted by the Taj Mahal, flanked by Kaffirs with assegis. Did I violate any rules of heraldy?
 
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french stratege    Basilisk Station    10/21/2005 9:29:36 PM
"The vindictiveness of the treaty also greatly contributed to the sense of unfair punishment that made so many willing to listen to someone who promised to make Germany "Respected" again." Versailles treaty was not more unfair than peace treaty of French German 1870 war were we lost Alscace and paid huge reparations while its was our territory which was the battlefield. Moreover it was Germany which did attack France in 1914, violated Belgium neutrality, did some massacre in Belgium on civilian as soon in 1914, use combat gaz and unrestricted warfare and so on.. "the US blocked attempts to enforce the versille treaty and force the cenastion of German rearmerment." That is true but UK was complice.ANd it is the combined opposition of both which prevented France to enforce it unfortunately.
 
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Basilisk Station    RE:Basilisk Station    10/21/2005 11:01:10 PM
>Versailles treaty was not more unfair than peace treaty of French German >1870 war were we lost Alscace and paid huge reparations while its was >our territory which was the battlefield. >Moreover it was Germany which did attack France in 1914, violated >Belgium neutrality, did some massacre in Belgium on civilian as soon >in 1914, use combat gaz and unrestricted warfare and so on.. >"the US blocked attempts to enforce the versille treaty and force >the cenastion of German rearmerment." >That is true but UK was complice.ANd it is the combined opposition >of both which prevented France to enforce it unfortunately. So by your logic, we should have treated Germany far harsher after WWII, because their behavior in WWII was far worse than it was in WWI. After all the situation in Europe was so much better after WWI than it was after WWII. Is your grasp of history feeble enough to believe this? Or in otherwords since Germany stupidly imposed a harsh and vindictive treaty on France that led directly to WWI, that it was smart for France to stupidly impose a harsh and vindictive treaty on Germany, that led directly to WWII. I don't think so. After WWII, instead of imposing a harsh punative treaty like after WWI, the US helped rebuild Germany. We made sure it became a stable prosperous nation and there hasn't been a war in western Europe since then. I think that shows that the vindictiveness France showed after WWI was a major mistake, probably one of the worst ones in history. What ever the US may have done to interfere with the Treaty of Versille being implemented, the only real mistake was in letting it be imposed in the first place. If a sane end to WWI had been put in place then maybe Hitler would only ever have been known as an obscure painter of no real talent.
 
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ProDemocracy    RE:Basilisk Station    10/21/2005 11:11:19 PM
"That is true but UK was complice.ANd it is the combined opposition of both which prevented France to enforce it unfortunately." --France invaded the Saar in 1923 to enforce reparations...up until around 1935-1936, France was quite capable, with or without her E European allies, of going it alone against Germany to enforce Versailles. They opted not to. "Versailles treaty was not more unfair than peace treaty of French German 1870 war were we lost Alscace and paid huge reparations while its was our territory which was the battlefield." --France recovered from 1870 much faster than the Germans anticipated they would. But the swift recovery in terms of paying reparations and rebuilding their military shows that while the treaty was certainly unfair, it did not cripple France to the point of never rising as a world power again. Germany, on the other hand, had to outright break the treaty in order to recover economically. Also, Germany did not disarm France after 1870.
 
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Pseudonym    RE:Basilisk Station    10/22/2005 10:25:57 AM
"If a sane end to WWI had been put in place then maybe Hitler would only ever have been known as an obscure painter of no real talent." Which is why the United States WILL NEVER FOLLOW EUROPE TO A MAJOR WAR. We try to finish it, they try to return the Status Quo.
 
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Shooter    RE:EU/USA War, based on a specific scenario   10/29/2005 10:44:26 PM
Why dont you play a war game to find out! If you like to game, I have a ner round of The last World War starting some time soon. There are openings foe as many as 13 players. You pick a Nation/State/Geopol/Religious groupe and equip it as you like with technology that was/might have been available on May 3 1945! It is a hoot to play by E-Mail any one is wellcome!
 
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SteelGear    RE:Gotta love make believe   2/20/2006 8:09:18 PM
This is pretty far fetched kinda stuff. A "german / french bashing campain" ??? We know Bush can be dim witted at times but I sincerely doubt he is that stupid or that his advisors would allow him to try. Relations with countries in Europe is crucial to US foriegn policy and Bush knows this (give him just a little credit). The whole EU would never give away such hardware to the Iranians. Iranians back terrorist and terrorists attacked Europe (Spain 2004 and London 2005). The French might do arms deals with Iran but that would put it at odds with other members of the EU. Incase you haven't read recent news....the Shiites actually don't mind the Americans at all...its just the Sunni minority. So I don't see how a "heavy shiite uprising breaks out in eastern Iraq" can occur. Shiite are Iran friendly but anti-Americanism in Iraq is something that is blown widely out of proportion in the mass media. "Iranis had satellite info on the American positions"??? Mate, if the Iranians had the capacity to crack the codes of the CIA and the NSA to use US satilites, America would have been big trouble a long time ago. Iran niether has the technologial edge, expertise nor the funding to accomplish this. "A massive American airstrike takes out a lot of Irans ammunition producing facilites. Several EU cititzens are killed during the attack." There is such a thing called precision munitions. There are also something called concrete munitions which greatly collateral damage and civilian casualties. see this link for details ==> http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/2919249.stm "Due to a misprinted order, a imprisoned European instructor is sent to Guantanamo because he shares the name of a terrorist." Mugshot photos and DNA identification would correct this issue. So all in all, an imaginative senario for a unstable world in the near future but thats the only place it will exsist.......someone's imagination.
 
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SteelGear    RE:Dark America...Pseudonym   2/20/2006 8:26:24 PM
Has anyone mentioned anything at all about the fact that EU find it incredibly hard to agree on anything at all.
 
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SteelGear    RE:Scenario Prediction   2/20/2006 8:29:19 PM
When i made my response I didn't see the whole thread but i agree with Braddock as well on his views
 
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Ozamist    I thought this happend back in WW2 and ww1?   4/26/2006 11:32:57 PM
Well didnt this happen you coulda made it a bit more intuitive us attack germans wow Giving that germany has no nuclear weapons and this is Darth usa i say usa wins because dark america nukes the bajesus outta them you make invading iran Read so easy thats what they said about iraq hmm thats was almost four years ago you do not need to run for a goverment position thank you
 
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