December 26,2008:
Chad has agreed to allow the UN to
deploy a force of 4,900 peacekeepers in the Spring of 2009. The UN has come up
with a new plan for this force, based on the failed efforts of the 3,700 EU
peacekeepers that are already there. The problem with the EU force was that it
was unable to cover much ground. As a result, some of the refugee camps are
controlled by rebel groups or bandits. The UN plan calls for stationing 400
troops at six locations, nearest to the refugee camps. A thousand troops would
be available as a mobile reserve, and 18 helicopters would be on hand to move
troops and supplies around. It's a plan, but there's no knowing if it will work
until the UN gets the troops and aircraft there. The rebels and bandits are
resourceful, and have come to depend on the food and other supplies they steal
from the refugee camps and aid groups.
Chadian
rebel groups announced that they had united and agreed to hold elections 18
months after they overthrow the current government. The recent development of oil exports has brought several billion
dollars a year into the national treasury. This provides more of an incentive
for various tribal coalitions (which is what the rebel groups are) to take
control of the government, and the money. Even if the rebels held elections, that would
not stop them from looting the treasury and spending all that oil money on
themselves.
The UN knows
that weapons are being shipped into Chad, and often ending up in the hands of
bandits and rebel groups. But the government denies allowing arms smuggling
(the rebels ignore inquiries), and UN inspectors have been unable to gather any
proof of exactly who is doing what. Chad is a big place, full of armed groups
who are hostile for foreign investigators.
December 8,
2008: Four Mi-8 transport helicopters, and 200 Russian troops to operate,
maintain and protect them, have arrived.