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August 28, 2014
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"Many minds make quick work of uncertainty."


Past Predictions

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Correct at Close:85.74%      Open Events: 67
Correct Over Lifetime:84.89%Settled Events: 1304

ResultCorrectEvent
Category
Settled Date

Pro Futures

Con Futures

Pro Value

Con Value

Created Date

Pro
Lifetime
NRussia invades Ukraine.Russia8/26/2014
000.000.008/2/2014
Con
Lifetime
YObama resigns the Presidency, a la Nixon.US8/26/2014
08282.001.005/14/2013
Con
Lifetime
YRussia reclaims the rest of Ukraine, either by force or politically.Russia7/5/2014
18788.001.013/22/2014
Con
Lifetime
YMorsi and the Muslim Brotherhood regain power.Middle East7/5/2014
04747.001.007/6/2013
Con
Lifetime
YAustralia will receive US permission to procure the F-22 Raptor by 2014.US7/2/2014
295373613.661.081/30/2008
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea launches an attack against China.China7/2/2014
08585.001.001/3/2014
Con
Lifetime
NScott Brown runs for the U.S. Senate as the Republican candidate from New Hampshire.US7/2/2014
2101.0021.0012/17/2013
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael attacks Iran, with or without the backing of the west and or the Saudi backed alliance.Middle East7/2/2014
04545.001.0011/15/2013
Con
Lifetime
YAssad is overthrown in Syria.Middle East7/2/2014
11112.001.098/7/2013
Con
Lifetime
YEgypt and Ethiopia go to war over damming the Nile.Middle East7/2/2014
02323.001.006/12/2013
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton goes to jail for the Benghazi attack.US7/2/2014
0163163.001.005/12/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YJay Carney resigns before the mid-term elections.US6/15/2014
2021.1011.005/20/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Rangers win the Stanley Cup.Sports6/14/2014
01111.001.005/23/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chicago Blackhawks win the Stanley Cup.Sports6/10/2014
01313.001.005/23/2014
Con
Lifetime
YMaduro is removed from office in Venezuela, one way or another.World6/10/2014
1135136.001.012/23/2014
Con
Lifetime
YLebanon slips back into civil war.Middle East6/10/2014
02020.001.0011/20/2013
Con
Lifetime
YYanukovich gets reinstalled as the Ukrainian President.Russia6/10/2014
04545.001.002/28/2014
Pro
Lifetime
YGeneral al-Sisi wins the Election in Egypt.Middle East5/28/2014
1101.0011.005/14/2014
Con
Lifetime
YWar between Ukraine and Russia.Russia5/14/2014
04646.001.003/2/2014
Con
Lifetime
YBritain leaves the EU.Europe5/14/2014
04848.001.005/13/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Detroit Red Wings win the Stanley Cup.Sports5/14/2014
01010.001.004/22/2014
Con
Lifetime
YSomaliland will be recognized by a major power by may day, 2014Middle East5/14/2014
11354.181.314/20/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea launches a provocatory attack against South Korea.China4/30/2014
120552,056.001.0012/18/2013
Con
Lifetime
YIranian fleet launches SCUDs across USA.US4/18/2014
05656.001.003/1/2014
Pro
Lifetime
NKathleen Sebelius leaves or resigns as head of the HHS.US4/10/2014
01414.001.004/2/2014
Con
Lifetime
YRadiological bomb detonated in Aspen or Vail, CO during winter holiday weekend.Terrorism4/2/2014
100327233.721.038/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YErdogan is removed from office either through a coup by the armed forces (any branch) or he is arrested.Middle East4/2/2014
0235235.001.001/3/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThere is a major outbreak of civil disorder in China, and the people overthrow the ruling party.China4/2/2014
0589589.001.004/7/2013
Con
Lifetime
YKathleen Sebelius is either fired or resigns due to the badly botched roll out of Obama care.US4/2/2014
14344.001.0210/14/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThere is a terrorist attack in Russia during the olympics in a city other than Sochi or the olympic areaTerrorism3/2/2014
1015005.951.201/1/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThere is a terrorist attack at the winter olympic games in Sochi.Terrorism3/2/2014
15051.001.021/1/2014
Con
Lifetime
NErdogan resigns as Turkeys Premier.Middle East3/2/2014
000.000.0012/25/2013
Pro
Lifetime
NPutin invades Ukraine like he did with Georgia back in 2008.Russia3/2/2014
000.000.002/22/2014
Con
Lifetime
YGive peace a deadline plan succedes in ending all wars.General2/26/2014
015821,582.001.007/21/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NThe protests in the Ukraine bring down the government of Yanukovich.Russia2/22/2014
000.000.001/23/2014
Con
Lifetime
NThe Denver Broncos win the Super Bowl.Sports2/3/2014
000.000.001/2/2014
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl.Sports2/3/2014
000.000.0012/22/2013
Con
Lifetime
NThe San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl.Sports1/20/2014
000.000.001/6/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThe next liberal Democrat controlled Congress will raise the issue of giving federal workers collective bargaining rights.US1/18/2014
10526.201.194/15/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Carolina Panthers win the Super Bowl.Sports1/17/2014
01010.001.001/2/2014
Con
Lifetime
YThe Kansas City Chiefs win the Super Bowl.Sports1/5/2014
0500500.001.0011/6/2013
Con
Lifetime
YA weapon of mass destruction will be used in a terrorist attack somewhere in the world by the end of 2013Terrorism1/1/2014
106617602.651.6112/5/2008
Con
Lifetime
YWorldwide statist policies cause a worldwide famine which reduces overall population > 18%.World1/1/2014
0278278.001.008/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YFord, citing the difficults competing with publicly subsidized competitors, declares bankruptcy amd is bought by the government.US1/1/2014
105122012.621.098/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YPart or all of the United States power grid goes down due to terrorist event, computer hackers, or unusual solar activity.Sci/Tech1/1/2014
3407553.221.457/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YFrance is attacked with a major terrorist attack for supporting the attacks on Syria.Middle East1/1/2014
07272.001.008/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
YBritain is attacked in a major terrorist attack for supporting the attack on Syria.Middle East1/1/2014
1011212.201.098/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe US is attacked in a major terror attack as revenge for the attacks on Syria.Middle East1/1/2014
02121.001.008/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
NThe current outbreak of bird flu in China becomes a pandemic, with at least 2,000 recorded deaths attributed to the current strain.China1/1/2014
000.000.004/7/2013
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda in the Magreb overthrows the government in Mali.Middle East1/1/2014
09191.001.001/16/2013
Con
Lifetime
YCongress will vote to Not attack Syria by 2 votes, One Republican, One Democrat.Middle East1/1/2014
12122.001.059/13/2013
Con
Lifetime
YHezballah launches a large scale missile attack on Israel.Middle East1/1/2014
03838.001.008/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
YRussia and Saudi Arabia form an alliance.Middle East1/1/2014
0266266.001.008/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
YIran launches an attack against Israel.Middle East1/1/2014
0136136.001.008/28/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chinese army invades North Korea to prevent an attack by the South Koreans, with or without US support.China1/1/2014
0542542.001.004/7/2013
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Un is assasinated.China1/1/2014
0102102.001.004/7/2013
Con
Lifetime
YRevolution in Iran, and the mullahs are overthrown.Middle East1/1/2014
1231232.001.001/10/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Arab uprising spread to Jordan, and King Abdullah II loses his throne.Middle East1/1/2014
0246246.001.0012/7/2012
Con
Lifetime
Ymajor i.e. magnitude four or better earth quake of the New Madrid fault. US1/1/2014
252109.401.121/8/2011
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael receives permission to buy the F-22 Raptor.US1/1/2014
400396010.901.109/13/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YX-Prize victory will spawn a variety of competitors and competitions, resulting in commercial dominance of the spacelaunch field within 20 years. Sci/Tech1/1/2014
12085791.483.0910/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUkraine signs the Free Trade Association Agreement with the EU.Russia12/31/2013
01010.001.0011/13/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe price of gold drops below $1,000 an ounce.World12/31/2013
11617.001.064/15/2013
Con
Lifetime
NBrink of War in the South China SeaChina12/31/2013
6806261.922.092/16/2013
Con
Lifetime
YGold hits $2,000 an ounce.General12/31/2013
63038417.101.162/1/2013
Con
Lifetime
YGold hits $2,000 an ounce.World12/31/2013
501063.121.471/10/2013
Con
Lifetime
YAt least 1 country leaves the Euro currency by end 2012 Europe12/31/2013
91640845.461.221/27/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAs a result partly of US influence, open liberal reform breaks out in Muslim nations from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan.Middle East12/31/2013
155169011.901.095/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
YIraq divides violently upon sectarian lines as Shia and Sunnis become clients of Iran and Saudi Arabia respectively.Middle East12/31/2013
20013257.631.155/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
YPrice of gasoline stays above $5.00 per gallon for at least six months.US12/31/2013
55180033.731.033/27/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NSudan Sundered, War WidensWorld12/27/2013
000.000.006/18/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Football Giants become the first home team to host a Super Bowl.Sports12/11/2013
0126126.001.009/4/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Jacksonville Jaguars dont win a single game this year.Sports11/20/2013
01010.001.0010/7/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YMcAuliffe defeats Cuccinelli for the VA Governorship.US11/6/2013
101.001.009/19/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe U.S. stock market crashes by at least 20% this fall.US11/1/2013
0110110.001.008/8/2013
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Boston Red Sox win the world series.Sports10/31/2013
01010.001.009/30/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Detroit Tigers win the world series.Sports10/26/2013
01010.001.009/30/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe L.A. Dodgers win the world series.Sports10/19/2013
01010.001.009/30/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YCory Booker wins the Senate election seat in NJ.US10/18/2013
1001.0010.009/24/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YPennsylvania State Football wins a conference game in the 2013 season.Sports10/13/2013
1101.0011.007/25/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Atlanta Braves win the world series.Sports10/8/2013
01111.001.009/30/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Generals in Pakistan overthrow the elected government in a coup.Middle East10/2/2013
1161162.001.011/16/2013
Con
Lifetime
NEric Holder resigns due to one of the scandals currently mentioned, but not including Fast and Furious.US10/2/2013
1111.0912.005/16/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Pittsburgh Pirates end their losing streak and make the playoffs.Sports9/24/2013
101.001.007/18/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe US Congress authorizes a strike on Syria.US9/22/2013
11112.001.099/4/2013
Con
Lifetime
YAngela Merkel and her centrist coalition lose out to the leftists in the upcoming election, and she is turned out of office.Europe9/22/2013
011.001.004/29/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YJulia Gillard and the Labor Party get voted out of office in the Australian Elections.World9/7/2013
10101.00101.004/30/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YNASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will successfully land on Mars in operational condition by the end of 2012. Sci/Tech9/7/2013
4351061.245.105/13/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YFilner resigns as mayor of San Diego.US8/25/2013
101.001.007/31/2013
Con
Lifetime
YPhil Mickelson wins the PGA Championship.Sports8/12/2013
033.001.008/6/2013
Con
Lifetime
NTiger woods wins the PGA Championhsip.Sports8/12/2013
000.000.008/6/2013
Con
Lifetime
YLois Lerner gets fired from her position at the IRS.US8/5/2013
01313.001.005/22/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YDetroit files for bankruptcy.US7/18/2013
20001.00200.001/31/2013
Pro
Lifetime
YMorsi gets removed as Egypts leader.Middle East7/7/2013
101.001.006/25/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe Republican candidate beats the Democratic candidate for Kerrys senate seat in the MA special election.US7/6/2013
01111.001.005/1/2013
Con
Lifetime
YWar between Egypt and Israel.Middle East7/6/2013
100202921.291.0511/14/2012
Con
Lifetime
YSyria gets attacked by NATO forces as Turkey invokes the NATO Charter.Middle East7/6/2013
02121.001.0010/10/2012
Con
Lifetime
YWar between China and Japan.China7/6/2013
011131,113.001.009/19/2012
Con
Lifetime
YWar in Korea.China6/1/2013
2005713.861.354/3/2013
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorists will kill more than 20,000 American civilians by April 2013.Terrorism4/15/2013
104639544.781.262/15/2005
Con
Lifetime
YLebanon devolves into civil war as a result of the conflict in Syria.Middle East4/15/2013
5093019.601.0511/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
YAhmedinajad gets removed from his position in Iran, either voluntarily (he is forced from the position, but lives) or involuntarily (he is assasinated).Middle East4/15/2013
1509607.401.163/14/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe next Pope chosen will be an American.World3/13/2013
26031.001.032/11/2013
Con
Lifetime
YThe next Pope chosen will be from Africa.World3/13/2013
751212.611.622/11/2013
Con
Lifetime
NThe next Pope chosen will be from Asia.World3/13/2013
1001.0010.002/11/2013
Pro
Lifetime
NThe next Pope chosen will be from South America.World3/13/2013
01010.001.002/11/2013
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael and Syria go to war.Middle East3/7/2013
0501501.001.0011/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael launches an attack on Gaza that includes ground forces.Middle East3/7/2013
01111.001.0011/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
YItaly leaves the Euro.Europe2/13/2013
0511511.001.006/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
NThe 49ers beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl.Sports2/13/2013
1511.0716.001/23/2013
Con
Lifetime
YNaval Clash in the South China Seas between China and another country.China2/13/2013
0253253.001.006/18/2012
Pro
Lifetime
YJohn Kerry is the next Secretary of State.US1/30/2013
1611.0617.0011/13/2012
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Kerry becomes Secretary of Defense.US1/30/2013
13031.001.0311/16/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NNetanyahu wins the snap election that was just called, and is asked to form a government.Middle East1/26/2013
000.000.0010/9/2012
Con
Lifetime
YNuclear device detonated in an American population center.US1/26/2013
185481527.031.0412/21/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YRegardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office.General1/26/2013
2281261.0188.732/29/2008
Con
Lifetime
YIran exerts dominance over Iraq, before end of Obama 1st term.Iraq1/26/2013
46836318.761.131/31/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama and Congressional leaders announce the US will join with the EU under a common governmentUS1/26/2013
125216518.321.067/30/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YChuck Hagel gets nominated as Secretary of Defense.US1/13/2013
501.005.0012/19/2012
Con
Lifetime
YAccusations that the BP escrow fund money has found its way into Democrat operative hands become public.US1/1/2013
1112563.311.437/10/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIndia and Pakistan sign a security and cooperation agreement ending 60+ years of mutual hostility.World1/1/2013
50020245.051.255/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YWorst gasoline shortages since WWII with prompt calls in Congress to nationalize oil companies.US1/1/2013
702694.841.261/17/2009
Con
Lifetime
YMan made global warming disaster prophets will reverse direction in the face of record cold. Afterwards, they will warn that "greenhouse gases" cause ice ages.General1/1/2013
1715324.111.321/17/2009
Con
Lifetime
YBy 2012, Moslem scholars will publish evidence that Jesus did not die on the cross.World1/1/2013
154531793.061.492/26/2006
Con
Lifetime
YUS Congress with the President will outlaw ownership of gold by individuals in the USUS1/1/2013
1132030.091.0311/22/2008
Con
Lifetime
YFederal government rescues New York Times from bankruptcy.US1/1/2013
538077.001.013/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YUS will remove its military from Afghanistan under pressure from the Afghan government.Middle East1/1/2013
1169564.181.022/14/2009
Con
Lifetime
YAfghan government will pressure the US to remove its military presence from Afghan soil.General1/1/2013
32120157.281.162/6/2009
Con
Lifetime
YA Monthly Average Of US Dollar Inflation Will Exceed A 16% Annualized Rate For Some Month Before Years End 2012. US1/1/2013
105317302.641.6112/31/2008
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs.US1/1/2013
1823824.001.009/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
YUS to experience Weimar style hyperinflation before the end of 2012.US1/1/2013
1259208.361.149/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
YGermany leaves the Euro.Europe1/1/2013
76032505.281.238/27/2010
Con
Lifetime
YClass action lawsuit opens up the NFL to lesbian and transgender players.US1/1/2013
0273273.001.0011/1/2009
Con
Lifetime
YMostly conservative Websites become blocked. Government declares cyber attack emergency. Situation remains unresolved and unclear.US1/1/2013
1515511.331.107/10/2010
Con
Lifetime
YEric Holder resigns prior to the end of the 1st term of the Obama administration, due to scandal over refusal to enforce the Motor Voter law, or over the New Black Panther Partys voter intimidation.US1/1/2013
1262263.001.007/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YReal unemployment exceeds 35% under Obama although not reported as such by MSM.US1/1/2013
0161161.001.006/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
YJoint force including participation of Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia carry out air strike on Iran.Middle East1/1/2013
105347034.051.036/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIran becomes a military dictatorship under the IRGC. No civilian rule.Middle East1/1/2013
2106013.861.356/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
NFidel Castro dies.World1/1/2013
112.002.0010/19/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Assad regime falls.Middle East1/1/2013
1150046.451.023/8/2012
Con
Lifetime
Ygold will fall below $1400 by 12/31/12General1/1/2013
06161.001.006/23/2012
Con
Lifetime
YGold will fall below $1400 per oz by 12/31/12 Europe1/1/2013
531163.201.026/21/2012
Con
Lifetime
NAssad uses his WMDs (chemical, biological, et al) on Israel in an attempt to widen the war to an Arab-Israeli conflict and stay in power.Middle East1/1/2013
000.000.007/23/2012
Con
Lifetime
NAssad uses WMDs (chemical, biological, et al) against his own people in an attempt to stay in power.Middle East1/1/2013
000.000.007/23/2012
Con
Lifetime
NSyria splits along sectarian lines. The country exists in name only, and becomes a tribal confederation.Middle East1/1/2013
000.000.007/23/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Syrian civil war expands to include Iraq.Middle East1/1/2013
0111111.001.007/20/2012
Con
Lifetime
YSpain exits the Euro.Europe1/1/2013
0511511.001.006/3/2012
Con
Lifetime
YChen Guangcheng becomes the figurehead for domestic unrest in China, causing massive economic damage by the end of the year. China1/1/2013
03131.001.005/3/2012
Con
Lifetime
YGold hits $2,000 an ounce.General1/1/2013
2953119.311.051/24/2012
Con
Lifetime
YGreece and Turkey go to war over Cyprus.Middle East1/1/2013
02222.001.001/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YChina attacks India by 2013.China1/1/2013
110291527.501.049/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
YObama will be the last US president elected under the constitution of 1789 (completed 1787).US1/1/2013
126240620.101.054/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YCongress passes law mandating purchase of savings bonds through employer witholding above and beyong that for taxes.US1/1/2013
50024555.911.203/22/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YEnd of World fails to materializeWorld12/21/2012
16171801.119.983/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
NWar between Northern & Southern Sudan. Ethiopia will come to the aid of Southern Sudan.World12/13/2012
59801.00598.001/8/2011
Con
Lifetime
NSusan Rice gets nominated by Obama as the next Secretary of State.US12/13/2012
501.005.0011/26/2012
Con
Lifetime
YNational health Plan causes quality of care to severely drop in the USUS12/13/2012
38010453.751.367/4/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NCatalonia votes to secede from Spain.Europe11/29/2012
011.001.009/24/2012
Con
Lifetime
NSECDEF Panetta remains SECDEF for Romney (al a "Gates").US11/16/2012
141301.215.706/10/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NObama re-electedUS11/8/2012
5916742.141.888/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
NRepublicans gain control of the Senate in the 2012 election.US11/8/2012
14404401.314.2711/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
NObama will be a one term president.US11/8/2012
279022101.792.2611/11/2008
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrats regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2012 election.US11/8/2012
986507.631.1511/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
YKarzai is assassinated in coop. A tacit US complicity come to light after the fact.Middle East11/8/2012
655158.921.138/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YTodd Akin defeats Claire McCaskill for the Missouri senate seat.US11/8/2012
51802.571.649/5/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NTim Kaine defeats George Allen for the Virginia Senate seat that Jim Webb is vacating.US11/8/2012
000.000.009/21/2012
Pro
Lifetime
YElizabeth Warren defeats Scott Brown for the Mass. Senate seat.US11/8/2012
200681.343.9412/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
NGeorge Allen defeats Tim Kaine for the VA senate seat.US11/8/2012
6151.0813.2010/21/2012
Con
Lifetime
NAllan West wins re-election for his congressional seat.US11/8/2012
6111.0262.0010/20/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe US presidential election ends in an electoral vote tie of 269-269 (its actually mathematically possible).US11/8/2012
10556.501.188/17/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe upcoming elections this November are suspended.US11/8/2012
0117117.001.002/2/2012
Con
Lifetime
NThe Republicans increase their number of seats in the House of Representatives.US11/8/2012
150101.0716.006/15/2011
Con
Lifetime
YPrior to the 2012 general election, documents will be provided proving that Pres. Obama is not a natural born citizen of the US.US11/5/2012
09191.001.004/19/2011
Con
Lifetime
YVoters overiding concern in 2012 will be national security.US11/5/2012
02525.001.0011/15/2009
Con
Lifetime
NThe Detroit Tigers beat the San Francisco Giants in the World Series.Sports11/4/2012
000.000.0010/23/2012
Con
Lifetime
YStates will notify 18-26 year-olds on Medicaid, that their medical insurance coverage is at risk and may be means tested before the November 2012 elections.US11/4/2012
0201201.001.006/21/2012
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael attacks Iran militarily before the US elections.Middle East11/4/2012
0700700.001.008/10/2012
Con
Lifetime
NIn the Balkans, there will be at least 1 Terrorist attack or lethal act of violence committed by radical Muslims, targeting Pro-U.S. Muslim communities or individuals. Terrorism11/4/2012
1001.0010.0010/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YObama visits Israel before the 2012 election.US11/4/2012
1021522.501.055/18/2011
Con
Lifetime
YTea Party Sunders, costs GOP next Presidential Election. US11/4/2012
403198.981.136/22/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIran announces that it has detonated an underground nuclear device.Middle East11/4/2012
1649466.771.176/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
NOctober surprise: massive rioting based on either race or unions in support of Obama in an attempt to sway or suspend the elections.US11/4/2012
1051.503.003/26/2012
Con
Lifetime
YIn an effort to shore up his re-election prospects, Obama orders US military action against Iran to take out their nuclear capabilities.US11/4/2012
0220220.001.0012/22/2011
Con
Lifetime
YIran tries to block Straits of Hormuz; also launches CW/UW effort to destabilize GCC, in response to an imminent US/GCC/NATO campaign against IGRC and Iranian nuclear weapons program.Middle East11/4/2012
0601601.001.005/15/2012
Pro
Lifetime
YGM will still be owned by the Federal Government at the end of the Obama PresidencyUS11/4/2012
3802251.592.698/30/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Yankees win the American League Championship.Sports10/18/2012
011.001.0010/6/2012
Con
Lifetime
YTurkey invades Syria.Middle East10/16/2012
1510511.001.004/13/2012
Con
Lifetime
NThe Nationals win the National League championship.Sports10/13/2012
000.000.0010/6/2012
Con
Lifetime
YHugo Chavez dies before the Venezuelan election happens.World10/8/2012
9102.111.902/22/2012
Con
Lifetime
NPresident Obama orders the release of oil from Americas strategic petroleum reserveUS10/1/2012
3001.0030.002/15/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe UN takes military action in support of Turkey against Syria for the attack on the Turkish jet.Middle East10/1/2012
04141.001.006/26/2012
Con
Lifetime
YObama dumps Biden, and chooses someone else as his VP running mate in the 2012 election.US9/30/2012
1802352.311.774/29/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe newly elected government in Greece is unable to hold, and new elections are held in the fall.Europe9/30/2012
000.000.006/18/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Mets make the MLB playoffs.Sports9/21/2012
011.001.007/11/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Fed launches QE (quantitative easing) round three (QE3) just before the election in an attempt to boost Obamas chances.US9/18/2012
000.000.008/3/2012
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton becomes Obamas VP Candidate, and Joe Biden becomes Secretary of State.US9/9/2012
011.001.002/9/2012
Con
Lifetime
NThere is an assassination attempt on Biden when he goes to Tampa for the Republican Convention.US9/1/2012
000.000.008/22/2012
Con
Lifetime
NEric Holder is removed from office due to Fast and Furious.US9/1/2012
2601.0026.002/1/2012
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaida launches a terrorist attack at the London Olympics.Terrorism9/1/2012
156.001.206/26/2012
Con
Lifetime
YMike Huckabee becomes the Republican VP candidate.US8/11/2012
01111.001.005/10/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NPaul Ryan is the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
252009.001.134/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YSarah Palin is the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
01111.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YJeb Bush is the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
2116.501.184/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YMarco Rubio is the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
0200200.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YRob Portman (US SEN., OH) becomes the Republican VP candidate.US8/11/2012
11011.001.104/15/2012
Con
Lifetime
NJohn Kyl becomes the Republican VP candidate.US8/11/2012
000.000.007/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
NKelly Ayotte becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
000.000.007/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
NBobby Jindal is the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
000.000.007/9/2012
Con
Lifetime
NTim Pawlenty becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
101.001.006/19/2012
Con
Lifetime
YAllen West becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
011.001.004/5/2012
Con
Lifetime
YRick Santorum becomes the Republican VP Nominee.US8/11/2012
01111.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YVirginia Governor McDonnell becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
4216.251.194/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YRick Perry becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
01010.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YSusannah Martinez becomes the Republican VP nominee.US8/11/2012
0201201.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YChris Christie is the Republican VP candidate.US8/11/2012
011.001.004/4/2012
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael attacks Iran to destroy the nuclear sites. The attack can be either air, commando, or a combination of the two.Middle East8/2/2012
2598040.201.032/25/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Prime Minister has sacked the Defense Chief in Pakistan. The military attempts a coup detat to regain control.Middle East8/2/2012
2201101.501.011/11/2012
Con
Lifetime
YHizballah takes over the Lebanese government.Middle East6/30/2012
01616.001.0011/23/2011
Con
Lifetime
YStephen Chu resigns or gets fired as the head of the DOE as a result of the Solyndra scandal.US6/30/2012
1215216.001.0011/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Euro ceases to exist as a currency.General6/30/2012
0697697.001.006/26/2011
Con
Lifetime
YWar between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia IranMiddle East6/30/2012
0730730.001.004/14/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAnimal rights or Ecological terrorists kill at least 1 civilian in the continental United States, whether as collateral damage, or as part of deliberately lethal terror attacks.Terrorism6/30/2012
115120511.481.107/2/2010
Con
Lifetime
YDetroit files for bankruptcy.US6/30/2012
9112.221.821/10/2012
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea has another nuclear test.China6/30/2012
15051.001.024/9/2012
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State in order to head the World Bank.US6/30/2012
0212212.001.001/18/2012
Con
Lifetime
YGreece leaves the Euro, and goes back to the drachma.Europe6/30/2012
0121121.001.001/12/2012
Con
Lifetime
YMajority of Liberal Supreme Court Justices will vote to completely overturn ObamaCare in an effort to boost federal, state and local Democratic election results November, 2012.US6/28/2012
05151.001.006/9/2012
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Miami Heat win the NBA Championship.Sports6/28/2012
11801.00118.006/11/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Supreme Court severs and overturns the mandate, but keeps the rest of the legislation known as "Obamacare" intact.US6/28/2012
110102010.271.113/29/2012
Con
Lifetime
NThe Supreme Court overturns "Obamacare" in its entirety.US6/28/2012
4451001.225.453/29/2012
Con
Lifetime
NNBA referees ratio of fouls for 2012 championship will exceed 55%/45% for Miami Heat/OKC Thunder.Sports6/22/2012
000.000.006/21/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Boston Celtics win the NBA Championship.Sports6/10/2012
01010.001.005/3/2012
Con
Lifetime
YRick Santorum is the Republican nominee.US6/10/2012
077.001.002/8/2012
Pro
Lifetime
YScott Walker wins the recall election as Wisconsins Governor.US6/6/2012
11101.00111.005/24/2012
Con
Lifetime
YMilitary action against Iran. The coalition will be led by the US. This will not include an ground forces, unless Iran counterattacks into one of the neighboring countries.Middle East6/5/2012
0719719.001.0012/25/2011
Con
Lifetime
YNewt Gingrich becomes the Republican nominee.US5/31/2012
729242.711.0211/7/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YMitt Romney becomes the Republican Candidate for President.US5/31/2012
55111.206.004/12/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe Republican partys caucus/primary system fails to produce a clear nominee, and the Republicans have a brokered convention.US5/31/2012
25252.002.001/2/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Rangers win the Stanley Cup.Sports5/26/2012
01111.001.004/13/2012
Pro
Lifetime
NObama gets a primary challenge.US5/23/2012
2402452.021.9812/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe L.A. Lakers win the NBA Championship.Sports5/22/2012
02020.001.005/3/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chicago Blackhawks win the Stanley Cup.Sports4/24/2012
01010.001.004/18/2012
Con
Lifetime
NNewt Gingrich withdraws from the Republican primaries.US4/15/2012
2531.129.333/16/2012
Con
Lifetime
YPhil Mickelson wins the Masters.Sports4/13/2012
066.001.003/31/2012
Con
Lifetime
YRory McIlroy wins the Masters.Sports4/8/2012
066.001.003/31/2012
Con
Lifetime
YTiger Woods wins the Masters.Sports4/8/2012
01010.001.003/31/2012
Con
Lifetime
YThe "Arab Spring" comes to Russia, and Putin Falls.Russia4/4/2012
58518.001.0612/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAt least one member of the Arab League attacks Syria militarily.Middle East3/31/2012
01818.001.0011/13/2011
Con
Lifetime
NGreece defaults.Europe3/31/2012
11215601.503.001/17/2012
Con
Lifetime
YSyria unleashes terror attacks, either by itself or through its proxies, against the Arabian countries (Jordan, Saudi Arabia, etc.) in the Arab League that have called for the boycott.Middle East3/31/2012
1122621.551.0511/15/2011
Con
Lifetime
YWar between Turkey and Israel.Middle East3/31/2012
0227227.001.009/6/2011
Con
Lifetime
NObama has now said that the SEALs made the decision to kill Bin Laden. Obama throws the SEALs under the bus, and charges are brought against them.US3/31/2012
11323171.284.575/10/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YCivil war in Syria.Middle East3/2/2012
1101.0011.0011/21/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe revolution in Syria succeeds in overthrowing Assad and the ruling leadership.Middle East3/2/2012
251376.481.189/2/2011
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorists detonate either a nuclear device or a "dirty bomb" in Russia.Russia3/2/2012
551774.221.312/19/2011
Con
Lifetime
YObama decides not to run for a second term.US3/2/2012
4441111.251.016/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
YWar on the Korean Peninsula.China3/2/2012
4054614.651.072/25/2011
Con
Lifetime
YMassive rioting in North Korea leades to civil disorder.China3/2/2012
2027114.551.072/25/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Muslim Brotherhood takes over the Egyptian government, and marginalizes the army.Middle East3/2/2012
1106637.031.172/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
YEgypt and Israel go to war. Either side may be the aggressor.Middle East3/2/2012
1022923.901.042/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
YObama is easily re-elected over republican Newt Gingrich and independent Charles Crist in 3-way race.US2/19/2012
0114114.001.008/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIncursion into Somalia by a country not neighboring. Number of troop or duration irrelevant, as long as it involves deliberate use of conventional forces.World2/19/2012
35903.571.398/18/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Giants beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl.Sports2/6/2012
10102.002.001/24/2012
Con
Lifetime
NAn act of politically motivated act of terrorism perpetrated by a homegrown lone wolf in the US occurs.Terrorism2/2/2012
3041.138.508/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
YJanet Napolitano loses her job as a result of Operation Fast and Furious.US2/2/2012
652074.181.317/9/2011
Con
Lifetime
YEric Holder resigns as a result of the ATF "gun walker" scandal.US2/2/2012
10748.401.146/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
YJanet Napolitano resigns for reasons that have nothing to do with gunwalker or any other issue.US2/2/2012
01616.001.008/28/2011
Con
Lifetime
NKhalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency.US1/25/2012
446751.176.9511/14/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThere is an assassination attempt on Sarah Palin.US1/22/2012
01717.001.003/9/2011
Con
Lifetime
YApocalypse will come.World1/22/2012
10094510.451.113/10/2010
Con
Lifetime
YShots fired near President Obama.US1/20/2012
2654092.541.651/16/2009
Con
Lifetime
YRick Perry becomes the Republican nominee for President.US1/19/2012
10455.501.224/25/2011
Con
Lifetime
YEURCHF to go back to 1.50Europe1/13/2012
50712.421.707/1/2011
Con
Lifetime
NHerman Cain becomes the Republican nominee for President.US1/9/2012
1901902.002.005/14/2011
Con
Lifetime
YRon Paul wins the Iowa caucus.US1/4/2012
022.001.0011/27/2011
Con
Lifetime
YMichelle Bachmann becomes the Republican nominee for President.US1/4/2012
2002842.421.706/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
YNewt Gingrich wins the Iowa caucus.US1/4/2012
54610.201.1111/27/2011
Con
Lifetime
YRick Perry wins the Iowa caucus.US1/4/2012
022.001.0011/27/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YMitt Romney wins the Iowa caucus.US1/4/2012
1101.0011.0011/27/2011
Con
Lifetime
YHugo Chavez dies.General1/2/2012
15051.001.026/25/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YNASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will be successfully launched and on its way to Mars by the end of 2011. Sci/Tech1/2/2012
22001.00220.005/13/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAmericans assisting forces opposing the LRA accused of suborning human rights abuses before end of 2011.World1/1/2012
01414.001.0010/19/2011
Con
Lifetime
YTim Geithner resigns.US1/1/2012
602204.671.277/1/2011
Con
Lifetime
YSamantha Powers leaves her post as special adviser to Obama, voluntarily or non-voluntarily.US1/1/2012
01111.001.005/8/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe state of California experiences what would be called "sovereign default," but what the rest of us refer to as bankruptcy.US1/1/2012
10657.501.152/13/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Kim family gets deposed, and is replaced by a military junta.China1/1/2012
503187.361.161/6/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe recently passed legislation, popularly know as "Obamacare," gets repealed.US1/1/2012
1003914.911.2612/20/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States and Iran achieve a diplomatic break-through, and resume relations.Middle East1/1/2012
1936804.521.2812/31/2010
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Obama gets removed from office by Congress invoking the 25th Amendment.US1/1/2012
0946946.001.0011/16/2010
Con
Lifetime
YVatican calls for a new crusade against extreme Muslim groupsTerrorism1/1/2012
2065133.551.0311/5/2010
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro dies.World1/1/2012
01717.001.004/21/2011
Con
Lifetime
YOpen revolt in China.China1/1/2012
538878.601.011/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YNPR gets defunded.General1/1/2012
1538526.671.043/13/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe fued between Ahmedinejad and Khamenei comes to a head, and Khamenei (or his loyalists) have Ahmedinejad removed in one form or another (ousted from his office, killed, exiled).Middle East1/1/2012
46915454.291.3012/31/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe founder of wikileaks, Julian Assange, gets assassinated. General1/1/2012
30012325.111.2411/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIsraeli Strike Leads to WarMiddle East12/31/2011
02121.001.009/6/2011
Con
Lifetime
YObama voluntarily resigns from office before his term expires.US12/31/2011
0731731.001.0011/16/2010
Con
Lifetime
YWar Between India and PakistanWorld12/31/2011
20012757.381.164/25/2009
Con
Lifetime
YValerie Jarrett leaves the White House in one way or another (resigns, retires, gets fired).US12/31/2011
03636.001.005/4/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAt some point during the year The House of Representatives approval rating will be higher than Obamas.US12/31/2011
3558317.661.061/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
Ydetroit files for bankruptcy in 2011US12/31/2011
2018710.351.1112/13/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe S&P 500 Stock Index will close below 1,000 before 31 December 2011.US12/30/2011
1902342.231.813/26/2011
Con
Lifetime
YDouble dip recession becomes new great depression.US12/30/2011
651753.691.377/10/2010
Con
Lifetime
NThe price of gold will hit or exceed $2,000 an ounce.General12/30/2011
4864571.942.061/18/2011
Pro
Lifetime
NBill Daley is forced out or resigns as Obamas Chief of Staff.US12/8/2011
01010.001.009/16/2011
Con
Lifetime
YCivil War in Greece.Europe12/3/2011
0236236.001.006/26/2011
Con
Lifetime
YMilitary coup detat in Turkey.Europe11/15/2011
0887887.001.007/29/2011
Con
Lifetime
YPalestine gets statehood from the UN.Middle East11/1/2011
403188.951.139/12/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe Texas Rangers beat the St. Louis Cardinals in the World Series.Sports10/29/2011
100171.176.8810/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe Phillies win the NLCS.Sports10/8/2011
000.000.009/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Yankees win the ALCS.Sports10/7/2011
011.001.009/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YSarah Palin will run for president in 2012.US10/5/2011
7007172.021.9811/15/2009
Con
Lifetime
YArmed conflict between Turkey and Syria.Middle East10/1/2011
04040.001.006/26/2011
Con
Lifetime
YGreece defaults.General10/1/2011
54510.001.116/21/2011
Con
Lifetime
YA western power (the US, EU, UN, or anyone else) comes to the aid of the rebels in Syria.Middle East10/1/2011
2304803.091.484/28/2011
Con
Lifetime
YItaly defaults.Europe10/1/2011
01414.001.007/10/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Jordanian government collapses. The Royal family flees the country.Middle East9/1/2011
5563512.551.092/1/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Saudi Royal family gets overthrown.Middle East9/1/2011
0436436.001.001/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe Assad family gets overthrown in Syria.Middle East9/1/2011
2403312.381.731/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
YAfghan campaign will dramatically improve for ISAF once herion trade disrupted significantlyMiddle East9/1/2011
1151282.111.908/29/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Libyan conflict results in a stalemate. Neither side can win, so Libya splits into two states; Khaddafi controlled in the west, rebel controlled in the east.Middle East8/22/2011
0121121.001.004/6/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Libyan rebels (with or without external aid) defeat Khaddafy and his backers.Middle East8/22/2011
15192251.157.753/10/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YGhaddafi gets overthrown in Libya.Middle East8/22/2011
8752401.274.651/30/2011
Con
Lifetime
NTim Pawlenty becomes the Republican nominee for President.US8/15/2011
200201.1011.004/13/2011
Pro
Lifetime
Y10% negative Stock Market adjustment.US8/9/2011
101.001.005/11/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe President and the Republicans fail to reach a compromise on the debt ceiling, and no deal is made by midnight on 8/2/11.US8/3/2011
5307.001.177/14/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YThe NFL settles its strike, and the 2011 season gets played either in its entirety or with a shortened schedule.Sports7/26/2011
101.001.007/22/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe NFL settles its labor dispute, and the 2011 season gets played as scheduled.Sports7/1/2011
1411101.782.281/2/2011
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State.US7/1/2011
1058059.001.0211/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Nam (the eldest son) gets assasinated.China6/30/2011
0436436.001.0010/26/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe government of Iran gets overthrown.Middle East6/30/2011
223521,177.001.009/26/2010
Con
Lifetime
YObama gets impeached..US6/30/2011
51142369.291.1211/23/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NAnthony Weiner resigns from congress before the next election.US6/16/2011
610017.671.066/1/2011
Con
Lifetime
YTurkey leaves, or is kicked out of, NATO.Middle East6/1/2011
121625136.421.016/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
NThe current leader of Yemen falls.Middle East6/1/2011
215101.0522.504/4/2011
Con
Lifetime
NMitch Daniels becomes the Republican nominee for President in the 2012 election.US5/22/2011
10102.002.004/14/2011
Con
Lifetime
YDonald Trump becomes the Republican candidate for President.US5/16/2011
02020.001.004/18/2011
Pro
Lifetime
YManchester United reclaims the Premier League title.Sports5/14/2011
101.001.009/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe next terror attack in the US after Times Square will be initially blamed on either "right wingers" or tea partiers, by a mayor or higher level politician, long before the facts become clear.Terrorism5/11/2011
252710109.401.015/9/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NRobert Gates resigns as Secretary of Defense.US4/27/2011
552.002.003/31/2011
Con
Lifetime
YThe UN Commission formally accuses HizbAllah of the assasination of Rafik Hariri.Middle East3/31/2011
2566327.521.0412/16/2010
Con
Lifetime
YChavez, in an attempt to shore up his Bolivarian revolutionary credentials, invades Curacao.General3/31/2011
0798798.001.007/22/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NGas prices hit $5.00 a gallon by Labor Day.US3/5/2011
351154.291.302/5/2011
Con
Lifetime
YWar in the middle east between Israel and Hizballah, Syria, Lebanon, Iran. Israel may fight one of the listed countries, or some combination of them, including all of them.Middle East3/1/2011
3351118.001.0110/9/2010
Con
Lifetime
YPalestinian complaints about possible resumption of construction in Jerusalem lead to dissolution of peace talks, irrelevant of whether the construction was actually restarting.Middle East2/23/2011
4040011.001.108/23/2010
Con
Lifetime
YRussia will invade former soviet countries Russia2/8/2011
0871871.001.006/21/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe Pittsburgh Steelers win the Super Bowl.US2/7/2011
12930.001.031/2/2011
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton resigns to challenge Obama for the Democratic nomination.US1/31/2011
3173724.771.045/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIn Afghanistan, Karzai Attempts to Negotiate a Separate Peace Without the US.Middle East1/31/2011
1104605.181.245/9/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YThere will be a clash on the high seas, and neither the US or Russia will be the aggressor.World1/30/2011
12061.0521.003/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
YLarge battle between two blue water navies.World1/30/2011
0486486.001.005/5/2010
Con
Lifetime
YNancy Pelosi resigns from the House.US1/25/2011
1110111.001.0110/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Jets win the Super Bowl.Sports1/24/2011
011.001.0011/26/2010
Con
Lifetime
NDa Bears win the Super Bowl.Sports1/23/2011
000.000.001/17/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe Atlanta Falcons win the Super Bowl.Sports1/17/2011
000.000.001/2/2011
Con
Lifetime
NThe New England Patriots win the Super Bowl.Sports1/17/2011
000.000.001/2/2011
Con
Lifetime
YWar breaks out in Middle East and Israels first attack strategy is Syria.Middle East1/2/2011
1207557.291.1610/13/2010
Con
Lifetime
YCivil disorder in North Korea.China1/2/2011
3806269.671.009/9/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIran announces they have the bomb.Middle East1/2/2011
51325266.001.004/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YWar in Korea.China1/2/2011
1089190.101.015/25/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael launches an air strike against Iran.Middle East1/2/2011
49166034.881.032/22/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIraq will become a weak Federal Republic with a strong Kurdish area, a Shi'a area under Iranian domination and a Sunni area that is in chaos.Middle East1/1/2011
6457972.241.815/10/2007
Con
Lifetime
YGas hits $6.00 per gallon.US1/1/2011
541183.201.016/8/2010
Con
Lifetime
YObamas policies towards Israel cause the current government to collapse, and a government more to Obamas liking to take its place.Middle East1/1/2011
5048310.661.103/21/2010
Con
Lifetime
YQueen Elizabeth turns over most of her official duties to her eldest grandson, HRH Prince William.Europe1/1/2011
0440440.001.001/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
YObama administration indicts senior elected official for authorizing torture.US1/1/2011
100222923.291.044/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama makes diplomatic accomodation with Taliban allowing the US to disengage in Afghanistan without immediate loss of face.US1/1/2011
3077926.971.043/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
Yusa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike.Terrorism1/1/2011
100215922.591.057/7/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheive a diplomatic brake through before end 2010Middle East1/1/2011
1006607.601.152/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YCivil disorder in Russia.Russia1/1/2011
0856856.001.002/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
YWar between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella.China1/1/2011
229461,474.001.006/27/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists.China12/31/2010
123937614.041.331/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YObama Will Seek To Organize The National Community Down To the Grass Roots LevelUS12/31/2010
1702402.411.7111/29/2008
Con
Lifetime
YUSAF and NASA jointly develop the first ever Fighter jet working on non-gasoline fuels.US12/31/2010
1112353.121.476/15/2007
Con
Lifetime
YUS to experience Weimar-style hyperinflation before end of 2012US12/31/2010
1136137.001.018/27/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NThe FCC classifies broadband networks as common carriers under Title 2 of the Communications Act, giving the government control over pricing and access. US12/31/2010
02121.001.004/12/2010
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Hillary Clinton will order U.S. military forces NOT to intervene when Communist China attacks Taiwan in 2010.China12/31/2010
0328328.001.005/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YUnemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010.US12/31/2010
54024305.501.226/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
YFlight of major advertisers takes Rush Limbaugh off the air in all but a few markets.US12/31/2010
100112012.201.093/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YFalkland Islands revisitedWorld12/30/2010
0286286.001.003/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
NPresident Obamas strategic arms reduction treaty will not be ratified by the SenateUS12/22/2010
3652051.562.784/11/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NUS casuaties in Afghanistan in 2010 will increase more than 50% from 2009 casualtiesUS12/13/2010
55512.001.096/29/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NA Federal judge in Virginia is about to rule on the constitutionality of Obamacare. He will rule that the Obama Health Care Legislation is unconstitutional.US12/13/2010
1102052.861.5410/19/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIran military will be disabled by World super powersMiddle East12/1/2010
100171018.101.069/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
NA Republican becomes the next Governor of Illinois.US11/17/2010
1601.0016.007/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
YFinal composition of the US Senate after the mid-terms is 49 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and 2 Independents.US11/5/2010
23016.001.072/22/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YRepublican gain a majority of Governorships after the mid-term elections, with a minimum of 28 statehouses held by the Republicans.US11/3/2010
4501.0045.0011/1/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNancy Pelosi loses her 2010 re-election bid.US11/3/2010
1451552.071.941/19/2010
Con
Lifetime
YChristine ODonnell beats Coons for the Delaware senate seat in a major upset.US11/3/2010
02424.001.0010/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YBarbara Boxer is defeated in her re-election bid.US11/3/2010
502005.001.257/25/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YRepublicans gain at least 4 seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections.US11/3/2010
16664501.274.7011/5/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YRepublicans gain at least 30 seats in the House in the 2010 mid-term electionsUS11/3/2010
8707101.822.2311/5/2008
Con
Lifetime
NNancy Pelosi will be the Speaker of the House for the 112th Congress.US11/3/2010
955901.0911.611/12/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NNancy Pelosi will not be the Speaker of the House for the 112th Congress.US11/3/2010
000.000.001/12/2010
Con
Lifetime
NDeval Patrick is NOT re-elected as the Governor of Massachusetts.US11/3/2010
12151.0425.207/28/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NRoland Burris will not run for re-election. A republican wins his seat in 2010.US11/3/2010
16566.001.027/14/2009
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrats retain majorities in both houses of Congress.US11/3/2010
223205510.221.117/30/2010
Con
Lifetime
YRepublicans hold at least 50 seats in the Senate after the 2010 mid-terms.US11/3/2010
2137018.621.0612/2/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YNikki Haley gets elected as the Governor of South Carolina.US11/3/2010
5101.0051.006/23/2010
Con
Lifetime
YDick Blumenthal loses the CT race for the Senate to the Republican candidate (either McMahon or Simmons).US11/3/2010
16252.561.645/24/2010
Con
Lifetime
YA Republican wins one of the two NY US Senate seats.US11/3/2010
10516.101.209/23/2009
Con
Lifetime
YMeg Whitman wins the 2010 California Gubernatorial election.US11/3/2010
2104002.901.537/28/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Republican candidate wins the 2010 NY Gubernatorial Election.US11/3/2010
1048149.101.027/22/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Republicans take back the House of Representatives in the 2010 mid-terms.US11/3/2010
5756152.071.937/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
NHarry Reid loses his re-election bid in 2010.US11/3/2010
4653001.652.555/20/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Texas Rangers win the World Series.Sports11/2/2010
12324.001.0410/24/2010
Con
Lifetime
YYields on 10 year Treasuries will be over 5.0%US11/1/2010
2057029.501.044/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe 2010 mid-term US Elections are cancelled.US11/1/2010
0483483.001.004/18/2010
Con
Lifetime
YRussian Incursion into Eastern EuropeRussia10/30/2010
1063664.601.0212/21/2009
Con
Lifetime
NThe Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series.Sports10/24/2010
000.000.009/29/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe New York Yankees win the World Series.Sports10/23/2010
011.001.009/29/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YRahm Emmanuel leaves his position as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago.US10/1/2010
5601.0056.009/9/2010
Con
Lifetime
YChavez gets thrown out of office in Venezuela.World9/30/2010
0336336.001.001/27/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NSino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere IncidentChina9/24/2010
113515732.391.721/23/2006
Con
Lifetime
YOne or more civilians will be shot dead by uniformed officers (police/military) of an EU state other than the UK while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK. Europe9/22/2010
1025826.801.043/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
NUSA will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike.Terrorism9/2/2010
000.000.007/7/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWar in the middle east between Israel and at least one (or more) of the usual suspects (Iran, Syria, Hizballah, etc.). Either side may be the instigator.Middle East9/2/2010
4242011.001.105/6/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YMcCain defeats Hayworth in the Republican primary.US8/25/2010
25601.00256.004/4/2010
Con
Lifetime
NRoland Burris will not run for re-election. Another Democrate wins his seat in 2010.US8/4/2010
6702101.314.197/14/2009
Con
Lifetime
YAndrew Cuomo is the Democratic nominee for the NY Gubernatorial election.US8/1/2010
201006.001.207/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korean nuke test.China8/1/2010
14748.001.026/1/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIsraeli-Iranian Airspace IncidentMiddle East7/31/2010
1537626.071.0412/21/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YSpain defeats the Netherlands on the World Cup.Sports7/11/2010
6001.0060.007/8/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YHealth care reform passed by November 2, 2010US7/6/2010
13321.0267.509/19/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YAfter thorough investigation, links between the Times Square bomber and the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), are confirmed.Terrorism7/6/2010
4101.0041.005/4/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael allows, or fails to physically stop, at least one ISM or related groups ship from running the Gaza blockade before the end of this month, deliberately or not.Middle East7/1/2010
313044.331.026/1/2010
Con
Lifetime
YCivil disorder in North Korea.China6/30/2010
125121110.691.102/6/2010
Con
Lifetime
YNancy Pelosi is removed as Speaker of the House.US6/30/2010
0161161.001.001/20/2010
Con
Lifetime
YRahm Emmanuel resigns as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago.US6/30/2010
02323.001.001/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong-Un (the youngest son) gets formally introduced as the successor to Kim Jong-Il.China6/30/2010
15012109.071.121/7/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dow Jones Industrials will still be above 10,000 by June 30, 2010.US6/30/2010
7017352.051.9512/11/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dow Jones Industrial Average closes below 8000 by June 30,2010.US6/30/2010
5787158.401.0112/11/2009
Con
Lifetime
YGold price exceeds $1500 per troy ounce by June 30, 2010. General6/30/2010
1041642.601.0212/11/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition.China6/30/2010
119361,937.001.0012/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
YCarole Browner gets fired as a result of Climategate.US6/30/2010
0741741.001.0012/4/2009
Con
Lifetime
YEric Holder resigns as AG.US6/30/2010
3336011.911.0911/20/2009
Con
Lifetime
YRahm Emmanuel resigns as WH Chief of Staff to run for Burris seat in the US Senate.US6/30/2010
0261261.001.0011/11/2009
Con
Lifetime
YWar between Venezuela and Colombia.World6/30/2010
2083042.501.0211/10/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKeith Olbermann loses his job at MSNBC.General6/30/2010
1027528.501.042/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
NThe trial of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed is moved out of NY.Terrorism6/30/2010
10901.00109.001/28/2010
Con
Lifetime
YRahm Emmanuel resigns or gets fired as White House Chief of Staff.US6/30/2010
2136018.141.061/20/2010
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Il dies.China6/30/2010
4541610.241.1112/27/2009
Con
Lifetime
YRussia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine.Russia6/30/2010
21131566.501.0010/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
NKevin Rudd is voted out of office. A Liberal Party (Australias conservatives) member replaces him.World6/24/2010
000.000.0012/7/2009
Con
Lifetime
YUN intervention necessary in ThailandWorld6/15/2010
06161.001.005/16/2010
Con
Lifetime
NSenator Blanche Lincoln loses her run-off to Lt. Gov. Bill Halter for the Democratic nomination to run for the Senate from Arkansas.US6/9/2010
211.503.005/20/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YCarly Fiorina is the Republican candidate for the US Senate.US6/9/2010
13611.01137.004/24/2010
Con
Lifetime
YGround intervention in SomaliaTerrorism6/6/2010
0521521.001.0012/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
YOne or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act on or before Thursday 3 June 2010 Europe6/3/2010
100107111.711.093/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Taliban seize control of Pakistan in a coup detat (with inside help).Middle East6/1/2010
51341269.201.004/10/2009
Con
Lifetime
YUnited States Airport screening adopts profiling tactics to increase passenger safety.Terrorism6/1/2010
0116116.001.001/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
YForeign Assistance in USA Gulf Oil SpillUS5/31/2010
01717.001.005/12/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YCharles Djou wins the special election for the House or Representatives seat in Hawaii.US5/23/2010
601.006.002/1/2010
Con
Lifetime
NA Republican wins the special election for Murthas seat in Pennsylvania.US5/19/2010
3002001.672.502/10/2010
Pro
Lifetime
NGordon Brown and Labor get voted out of power, and lose the election to the Tories.Europe5/11/2010
521002.921.521/11/2010
Con
Lifetime
YManUtd win the Prem 2009-2010Sports5/10/2010
011.001.005/26/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YTimes Square Bomber, American quickly captured.Terrorism5/4/2010
20701.00207.005/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
YObama proposes a surtax on natural gas, both in order to taise revenue and to help the green energy industry. US5/2/2010
103075308.501.007/10/2009
Con
Lifetime
YSyria and Israel go to war with each other.Middle East5/2/2010
011591,159.001.002/9/2010
Con
Lifetime
YChris Dodd gets indicted for the Countrywide Mortgage ScandalUS5/1/2010
050005,000.001.0010/24/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power China5/1/2010
462453810.821.1010/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFormer Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska files suit against the Public Integrety Division of the Department Justice. US4/1/2010
149995,000.001.004/6/2009
Con
Lifetime
YDavid Patterson resigns as Governor of NY.US3/31/2010
113001,301.001.003/4/2010
Con
Lifetime
YHarold Ford runs for, and wins, one of the NY Senate seats.US3/3/2010
011.001.001/24/2010
Con
Lifetime
YA Mumbai style attack targeting US citizens occurs or is attempted.Terrorism3/1/2010
2805502.961.512/15/2009
Con
Lifetime
YWar Between Israel and Hizballah in Lebanon.Middle East3/1/2010
25014806.921.178/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YJanet Napolitano resigns or gets fired as a result of the recent terrorism incidents.US3/1/2010
1910911.001.0012/28/2009
Con
Lifetime
YWithin the next 6 months, Israel will make a major incursion into the Gaza strip, involving missile attacks and ground troops, that lasts over 72 hours.Middle East2/11/2010
30122498.471.138/4/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YWho Dat? Who Dat? Who Dat Dere Gonna Beat Dem Saints!?. The New Orleans Saints win the Super Bowl.Sports2/7/2010
20101.00201.001/27/2010
Con
Lifetime
YIran will have a nuclear weapon that it can launch against Israel by the end of 2010 Middle East2/2/2010
274472618.251.065/9/2007
Con
Lifetime
YPalestinian Power Shift. Hezballah is left as the dominant faction due to infighting between Hamas and Fatah, and lack of trust by the Palestinians between the two factions.Middle East1/31/2010
0520520.001.0012/27/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Saints beat the Vikings in the NFC Championship game next Sunday.Sports1/25/2010
401.004.001/17/2010
Con
Lifetime
YThe next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in.US1/21/2010
59144098.461.138/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YCaroline Kennedy will run for Hillarys Senate seat the attainment of which being a necessary preliminary to raising money for a presidential campaign.US1/21/2010
100164517.451.0612/25/2008
Con
Lifetime
NAfter one year, President Obama''s appointments will have fewer women and minorities than did President Bush''s at one year of his first term.US1/21/2010
14957801.522.924/13/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YScott Brown defeats Martha Coakley in the Massachussetts special election to fill Ted Kennedys seat.US1/20/2010
2101161.552.811/1/2010
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Dallas Cowboys break their streak, and win a play-off game with Wade Phillips as coach..Sports1/10/2010
50101.00501.001/3/2010
Con
Lifetime
YSenator Dodd loses his 2010 re-election bid, and a Republican takes his seat.US1/6/2010
28543.501.023/27/2009
Con
Lifetime
YArlen Specter will be re-elected to the Senate in 2010.US1/6/2010
25012586.031.204/29/2009
Con
Lifetime
YUs Treasury Secretary Geithner resigns.US1/2/2010
2108124.871.263/19/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe NY Times files for bankruptcy under either chapter 11 or chapter 7.US1/2/2010
3754652.241.8112/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Syrian government is unable to maintain control over the various factions. There is a revolt, and the ruling Assad family gets overthrown.Middle East1/2/2010
2050826.401.0411/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YChina is unable to maintain its rate of economic growth, and slides into recession. This causes massive riots, and a state of civil disorder that results in another "Tianamen Square" massacre.China1/2/2010
97540255.131.2411/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YFormation of a Arab Gulf Treaty Organization. Any two or more of the following Iraq, Kuwate, Barain, Qutar, UAE treaty with the United States to suport each others defence. Formal name may varie.Middle East1/2/2010
2743217.001.069/24/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2009. Middle East1/2/2010
123032933.681.3712/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YPakistan descends into civil disorder. Their army is deployed to crush the uprising.World1/2/2010
5058012.601.0912/8/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Iranian government is unable to maintin control, and the people revoly and overthrow the mullahs.Middle East1/2/2010
110111011.091.1011/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YAs a result of the financial crisis, Russia loses it internally, and descends into civil disorder.Russia1/2/2010
23514477.161.1611/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YWar Between Israel and Iran.Middle East1/2/2010
5074515.901.078/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YAfter the State dinner fiasco, Desiree Rogers goes under the bus.US1/2/2010
07171.001.0012/2/2009
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State.US1/2/2010
1062163.101.029/10/2009
Con
Lifetime
YNancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker of the House.US1/2/2010
30010714.571.285/14/2009
Con
Lifetime
YGordon Brown is no longer Prime Minister. A Tory becomes the new English PM.Europe1/2/2010
180032002.781.563/30/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dow closes below 6,000.US1/1/2010
156034403.211.451/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dow closes above 11,000.US1/1/2010
53529056.431.181/7/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama administration indicts former DoJ attornies for providing legal memos justifying torture.US1/1/2010
2029015.501.074/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama administration indicts CIA and/or military interrogators for acts of torture.US1/1/2010
2029015.501.074/22/2009
Con
Lifetime
NBy the end of 2009, the Large Hadron Collider will have failed to detect neutralinos, gravitons, or the Higgs BosonSci/Tech1/1/2010
22596651.294.409/2/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010.US1/1/2010
110266725.251.047/31/2006
Con
Lifetime
YInitiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US.General1/1/2010
51544859.711.1112/26/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count.World1/1/2010
54041868.751.138/25/2005
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Barak Obama will launch a peacekeeping operation into SomaliaWorld1/1/2010
29017316.971.1712/9/2008
Con
Lifetime
YBefore the end of the year, one or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act. (Ends Dec 31 2009) Europe1/1/2010
1108608.821.133/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YAfghan government collapses. World1/1/2010
503407.801.151/25/2009
Con
Lifetime
NPresident elect Obama will propose some kind of permanent floating or fixed tax on fuel to keep gas above $2.25 a gallon to help and promote research into alternative fuels and transportation.US1/1/2010
110701.642.5712/26/2008
Con
Lifetime
YIn the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009US1/1/2010
99453746.831.027/26/2006
Con
Lifetime
YObama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees.China1/1/2010
504950100.001.014/23/2009
Con
Lifetime
NThe Indianapolis Colts go undefeated in the regular season.Sports12/27/2009
200601.304.3312/14/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YThere will be an al qaeda-style terrorist attack within the first 18 months of the new presidents term.Terrorism12/26/2009
255611901.473.159/16/2007
Con
Lifetime
YNew Orleans Saints go undefeated.Sports12/20/2009
01010.001.0012/1/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NPrice of Gold goes above $1200/ troy ounceGeneral12/1/2009
75610202.351.742/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Il dies.China12/1/2009
40233159.281.027/13/2009
Con
Lifetime
YMore US soldiers for AfghanistanUS11/29/2009
1582052.301.7710/16/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08.Terrorism11/17/2009
101630164.001.014/24/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jung Il SuccessionWorld11/11/2009
120132612.051.093/8/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YSpot price of gold will exceed $1100.00 per ounce.General11/6/2009
36001.00360.003/8/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Yankees win the World Series.Sports11/5/2009
419501.129.3810/26/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Republican Candidate defeats the Democratic candidate in the Virginia Gubernatorial election.US11/4/2009
3101.0031.007/16/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YGovernor Corzine loses his re-election as NJs governor, and a Republican wins.US11/4/2009
1101.0011.003/27/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YHoffman defeats Scozzafava in the NY 23 race.US11/4/2009
3001.0030.0010/20/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Republican candidate (Harmer) defeats the Democratic candidate (the Lieutenant Governor) for Ellen Tauschers seat in the California District 10 special election.US11/4/2009
0101101.001.0010/28/2009
Con
Lifetime
YA party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules. US11/1/2009
6156392.041.963/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YLeon Panetta resigns as the head of the CIA.US11/1/2009
115128012.131.098/24/2009
Con
Lifetime
YSino-US Flare-upChina10/30/2009
120193617.131.063/9/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Yankees win the AL Pennant.Sports10/26/2009
5111.0252.009/28/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe LA Dodgers win the NL Pennant, and represent the NL in the World Series.Sports10/22/2009
077.001.0010/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure.China10/21/2009
139140111.081.105/26/2009
Con
Lifetime
YBefore the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK. Europe9/22/2009
1596597.001.003/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YBefore the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by soldiers of the British Army while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom. Europe9/22/2009
10092610.261.113/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YIsraeli-Iranian ConflictMiddle East9/12/2009
200196910.851.103/8/2009
Con
Lifetime
Y$4.00/gal or above gas prices in US by labor day, 2009.US9/3/2009
101756176.601.014/20/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKorea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country.China9/1/2009
111038904.501.2912/17/2008
Con
Lifetime
YAn unclaimed firebombing of an ACORN office within the next three months will be vehemently blamed on "right wing extremsism" withoutsuppritng evidence...to incite violence against the right.US9/1/2009
27013666.061.206/17/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NThe swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people.World8/28/2009
1001482.481.684/29/2009
Con
Lifetime
YBefore the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom. China8/23/2009
110147414.401.073/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy.US8/3/2009
020472,047.001.0011/17/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians.General7/30/2009
100199120.911.055/20/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama visits Gaza.US7/20/2009
1438439.001.001/19/2009
Con
Lifetime
YA major provocation by North Korea against South Korea. This may be an attack at sea at the northern limit line, an attack at the dmz, or another type of attack that stops short of an all out war.China7/7/2009
110132813.071.086/5/2009
Con
Lifetime
NThe OAS expels Honduras as a result of the "coup."World7/4/2009
3001101.373.737/1/2009
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" GovernmentChina7/1/2009
2567928.161.049/30/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRoland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat.US6/30/2009
1231412.151.872/21/2009
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro dies.General6/30/2009
45219055.211.241/12/2009
Con
Lifetime
YA free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised.Terrorism6/30/2009
0942942.001.0012/1/2008
Con
Lifetime
YCoup detat in ThailandWorld6/30/2009
5045810.161.114/14/2009
Con
Lifetime
YThe UN commission announces that Hezballah was responsible for killing Hariri, not Syria. This sparks another civil war in Lebanon.Middle East6/24/2009
0111111.001.005/28/2009
Con
Lifetime
YAfter six months, President Obama still will not have filled his Cabinet (Dept Secretaries, NSA, WH CoS).US6/21/2009
6507402.141.884/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YA major terrorist attack on US soil within 180 days of Obama InaugurationTerrorism6/20/2009
200030002.501.6711/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
YAhmedinejad fails to win the upcoming election in Iran. Mousavi (the principal opponent) gets enough votes to win, or at least force a run-off.Middle East6/15/2009
1114115.001.016/1/2009
Con
Lifetime
YPrior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. Middle East6/9/2009
20010796.401.1912/21/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YUS cuts DDG-1000 in new budgetUS6/2/2009
1401.0014.002/26/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YUS cuts FCS in new budgetUS6/2/2009
2301.0023.002/26/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NUS cuts F-35 in new budgetUS5/31/2009
020612,061.001.002/26/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YUS cuts F-22 Raptor in new budgetUS5/31/2009
311251.0813.442/26/2009
Con
Lifetime
YPakistan Collapses.Middle East5/31/2009
0425425.001.004/30/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama nominates Granholm to fill Souters vacant seat.US5/26/2009
11011.001.105/18/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama appoints Deval Patrick to the Supreme Court replacing Souter.US5/26/2009
02121.001.005/17/2009
Con
Lifetime
YObama nominates Hillary Clinton to fill the Souter vacancy.US5/26/2009
0171171.001.005/3/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YNorks explodes a bigger nuc.World5/25/2009
100351.353.864/23/2009
Pro
Lifetime
YMan Utd win 2008-09 PremSports5/16/2009
3438731.0248.1010/9/2008
Con
Lifetime
YEFV will be declared vital to national security and remain a viable programUS5/4/2009
2020511.251.103/1/2009
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Obama normalizes relations with Cuba.US5/2/2009
84527644.271.315/24/2008
Con
Lifetime
YJapan shoots down the North Korean missile launch.China4/5/2009
2019810.901.103/16/2009
Con
Lifetime
YA nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel.Terrorism4/1/2009
55167031.361.039/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YUS will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009.US3/31/2009
1048549.501.0211/24/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YIsrael election Feb. 10. Likud wins and forms goverment.Middle East3/27/2009
220181.0813.2211/12/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China.US3/21/2009
0462462.001.0010/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea.US3/21/2009
0451451.001.0010/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
NThe next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both.US3/21/2009
7633501.463.1810/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine.US3/21/2009
0201201.001.0010/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRussia places nuclear tipped missiles in Kaliningrad. The next presidents first crisis will be a move against NATO.US3/21/2009
603296.481.1811/7/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be the flight of investment capital in reaction to an anticipated explosion in taxes and regulation.US3/21/2009
14206201.443.2910/24/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea.US3/21/2009
502265.521.2210/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel.US3/21/2009
806619.261.1210/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine.US3/21/2009
2527612.041.0910/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia.US3/21/2009
201508.501.1310/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops.US3/21/2009
1216114.421.0710/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe next presidents first crisis will be a war between India and Pakistan as a result of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai.US3/21/2009
0136136.001.0011/28/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YIran will not use nukes on Israel.Middle East3/20/2009
13833171.235.365/18/2007
Con
Lifetime
YOne of the Big three automakers will cease to exist.US3/1/2009
60637037.111.1612/18/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YBenjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime MinisterMiddle East2/23/2009
5702011.353.842/9/2009
Con
Lifetime
NChavez loses his proposed referendum.World2/16/2009
2601601.622.631/14/2009
Pro
Lifetime
NAFC team wins the Super Bowl.Sports2/1/2009
1105015.551.221/13/2009
Con
Lifetime
YUS will attack territories under Pakistans administration before end of Jan 2009Terrorism2/1/2009
1003204.201.3111/24/2008
Con
Lifetime
YIt will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died.China2/1/2009
160242316.141.0710/27/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel.Middle East2/1/2009
241475920.751.055/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
YCaroline Kennedy will be selected to fill the balance of Hillary Clintons term in the US Senate.US1/23/2009
3040414.471.071/19/2009
Con
Lifetime
NCaroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton as senator for New YorkUS1/23/2009
8853501.403.5312/18/2008
Con
Lifetime
YGeorge W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president.US1/20/2009
92041065.461.2211/19/2004
Con
Lifetime
NUSA or Israel will bomb Iran's NukesIraq1/1/2009
269823021.852.171/26/2007
Con
Lifetime
YIn about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces".World1/1/2009
191724772.291.778/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YCuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves.World1/1/2009
69223654.421.2911/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YArab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU).Middle East1/1/2009
22510795.801.214/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YDow Jones average will close below 6000`US1/1/2009
61016983.781.361/18/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIran will launch a nuclear attack against IsraelMiddle East1/1/2009
131312724.871.041/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies.China1/1/2009
32020007.251.161/2/2006
Con
Lifetime
YTom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance lawsUS1/1/2009
56526525.691.219/28/2005
Con
Lifetime
YOsama bin Laden will be killed by the end of 2008Terrorism1/1/2009
5781157.201.019/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRaul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamedWorld1/1/2009
25021499.601.122/19/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008China1/1/2009
270258310.571.101/25/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YRafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008Europe1/1/2009
12882621.205.929/13/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000US1/1/2009
1861862.001.0010/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YVenezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces.World1/1/2009
29515156.141.193/3/2008
Con
Lifetime
YChina will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008China1/1/2009
153075206.001.0012/23/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008.Middle East1/1/2009
28821228.371.1412/19/2007
Con
Lifetime
YDick Cheney does not finish 2nd term.US1/1/2009
102739734.871.2611/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCivil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008Middle East1/1/2009
100040005.001.259/19/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJapan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power.General1/1/2009
128537153.891.3511/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. US12/19/2008
354965142.861.011/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRadical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries.Middle East12/15/2008
109122123.031.497/2/2005
Con
Lifetime
YBoeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. US12/9/2008
3158713.771.363/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States and Iraq fail to reach a security agreement that authorizes the US to maintain its troops in Iraq. Iraq11/28/2008
2006024.011.3310/28/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSen. Ted Stevens(R) AK loses his bid for reelection.US11/8/2008
02020.001.0011/3/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSrnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count.US11/8/2008
2193252.481.672/9/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YCalifornia will pass Prop 8 defining marriage as being between a man and a woman.US11/5/2008
2101551.742.3510/31/2008
Con
Lifetime
NRepublicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives.US11/5/2008
2251261.562.7910/24/2008
Con
Lifetime
NIn a re-match of the 2004 governors race in Washington State, this time Rossi defeats Gregoire.US11/5/2008
101.001.0010/24/2008
Con
Lifetime
NDemocrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3.US11/5/2008
15064301.294.504/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
NThe Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives.US11/5/2008
8307051.852.189/11/2008
Con
Lifetime
NAl Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008..US11/5/2008
160411.264.9010/25/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 electionsUS11/5/2008
100344635.461.0311/19/2006
Con
Lifetime
YRepublican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election.US11/5/2008
172528072.631.617/8/2006
Con
Lifetime
NRepublican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election.US11/5/2008
362513751.383.644/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
NRep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell.US11/5/2008
42911.00430.0010/23/2008
Con
Lifetime
NMcCain will be elected president of the United StatesUS11/5/2008
281022211.792.2712/29/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YObama is elected President of the United StatesUS11/5/2008
292619451.662.504/8/2008
Con
Lifetime
YBarrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate.US11/4/2008
3091031.331.0310/2/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YThe person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator.US11/3/2008
32042251.0715.2410/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state.US11/3/2008
256231010.021.1110/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy.US11/3/2008
52910102.911.5210/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YOctober Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October.Middle East11/2/2008
80038475.811.2110/4/2008
Con
Lifetime
YStrategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreementUS11/2/2008
172133962.971.5110/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President.US11/1/2008
65643677.661.1511/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq.Middle East10/31/2008
35222964.691.026/28/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008US10/31/2008
202050103.501.0112/16/2007
Con
Lifetime
YTampa Bay beats Philadelphia in the World SeriesSports10/29/2008
11516.001.0710/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States,US10/15/2008
71033705.751.2110/24/2007
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States.US10/15/2008
111538854.481.2910/21/2007
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States.US10/15/2008
170335533.091.488/4/2007
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination).US10/15/2008
20101551.751.025/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRaul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrantsWorld10/15/2008
208249513.001.082/19/2008
Pro
Lifetime
NThe S & P 500 will be below 1000US10/7/2008
1147544.181.023/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSarah Palin drops out as McCains runnning mate.US10/5/2008
013291,329.001.009/2/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThis is the year! After last winning the World Series in 1908, the Chicago Cubs win the world Series in 2008Sports10/5/2008
1110111.001.019/17/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSarah Palin resigns as McCains VP candidate.US10/5/2008
40018465.621.229/3/2008
Pro
Lifetime
NWill history repeat itself? Last year, the NY Mets had a 7 game lead with 17 left to play. This year, they lead by 3 1/2 games with 17 left to play. Will the Mets choke again?Sports9/27/2008
1120121.001.019/11/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chicago Cubs winn 100 or more games during the regular season.Sports9/27/2008
0116116.001.009/3/2008
Con
Lifetime
YMike Huckabee will be elected President of the United StatesUS9/27/2008
104205320.741.0511/27/2007
Con
Lifetime
YJoe Biden withdraws as Obamas running mateUS9/27/2008
1038639.601.039/10/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YNew England Patriots will NOT go undefeated in the regular season in 2008.Sports9/21/2008
32201.00322.002/4/2008
Con
Lifetime
YNew center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. US9/14/2008
14411779.171.122/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YRudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for PresidentUS9/9/2008
163133693.071.488/4/2007
Con
Lifetime
YNewt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for PresidentUS9/9/2008
30230577.831.011/26/2007
Con
Lifetime
YArkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election.US9/9/2008
31152550.191.0211/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President US9/9/2008
66043407.581.158/9/2007
Con
Lifetime
YSenator McCain picks Governor Sanford as his VP running mate.US9/5/2008
01818.001.003/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSenator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidateUS9/5/2008
0944944.001.0012/30/2005
Con
Lifetime
YFred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election.US9/5/2008
88541495.691.213/29/2007
Con
Lifetime
YCharlie Crist will be the republican VP nominee.US9/5/2008
0371371.001.005/22/2008
Con
Lifetime
YBobby Jindal will be the Republican VP nominee.US9/5/2008
55752.361.735/22/2008
Con
Lifetime
YWill Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate?US9/5/2008
4107732.891.534/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YMcCain picks Lindsey Graham as his VP.US9/5/2008
0120120.001.004/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YSenator McCain picks Governor Pawlenty as his VP running mate.US9/5/2008
15594.931.253/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
NSenator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mateUS9/5/2008
205115411.752.333/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YRiots break out at the 2008 Democratic Convention US9/2/2008
2805603.001.505/2/2008
Con
Lifetime
YMassachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee.US9/1/2008
18512597.811.157/27/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSenator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate.US9/1/2008
45188742.931.027/2/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Republicans will delay their convention because of Hurricane Gustav.US9/1/2008
136501.373.728/31/2008
Con
Lifetime
NJoe Biden will makes at least one verbal gaff during the DNCC in Denver.US9/1/2008
1000601.0617.678/26/2008
Con
Lifetime
YFormer governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination.US8/31/2008
145153011.551.092/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
NHillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.US8/31/2008
384012221.324.142/11/2006
Con
Lifetime
YGovernor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic partyUS8/31/2008
1012913.901.082/4/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidateUS8/31/2008
143614352.002.007/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
NPollution mars Bejing Olympic gamesChina8/31/2008
13071491.119.772/6/2008
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race.US8/31/2008
150368825.591.044/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YObama will choose Al Gore as his running mate.US8/31/2008
157484331.851.035/20/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / ObamaUS8/31/2008
5910183.001.013/5/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YObama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for PresidentUS8/31/2008
347811601.334.001/6/2008
Con
Lifetime
YObama picks Christine Todd Whitman for his VP slot.US8/31/2008
0190190.001.004/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
NSenator Obama selects Bill Richardson as his VP running mate.US8/31/2008
6711251.196.373/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YBaharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. Middle East8/31/2008
71187227.371.044/13/2006
Con
Lifetime
Y2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan China8/22/2008
51845499.781.117/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YSen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic partyUS8/15/2008
5062213.441.082/9/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YUSA defeats China in Basketball.China8/10/2008
50151.01101.208/7/2008
Con
Lifetime
YC. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008US8/1/2008
166036353.191.462/21/2006
Con
Lifetime
YSenator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate.US8/1/2008
0113113.001.003/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YNYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate.US8/1/2008
2009125.561.222/12/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy.US7/31/2008
57515283.661.3812/8/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThe US Congress will either overturn the USAF tanker in its entirely or they will force the USAF to split the award between Northrop and Boeing.US7/17/2008
221471.215.703/5/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThere will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States.Terrorism7/1/2008
500450010.001.117/6/2007
Con
Lifetime
YIranian backed Shiites take over IraqIraq6/30/2008
211272713.921.088/26/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th.US6/8/2008
4052101.522.933/21/2008
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war.Middle East6/5/2008
131038453.941.341/13/2008
Con
Lifetime
YIndia will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft World6/3/2008
212154113.551.399/13/2007
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro diesWorld6/3/2008
73523074.141.322/19/2008
Con
Lifetime
YChina puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollarChina6/3/2008
90142295.691.213/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YChina military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. China5/1/2008
50140949.171.123/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
YBear Stearns fails to find a buyer, and ceases to exist as a going business.US4/15/2008
15253.001.023/16/2008
Con
Lifetime
YThe Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election.US3/31/2008
85541765.881.2011/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election.US3/31/2008
31123558.571.1311/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSimba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in MarchWorld3/30/2008
20122262.101.022/15/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YCity of Vallejo CA. will avoid filing bankruptcy.US3/15/2008
42951.0186.803/1/2008
Pro
Lifetime
YBoeing will have firm orders for at least 650 787 Dreamliners (all models) before the delivery of the first aircraft in May 2008.Sci/Tech3/8/2008
780101.0179.008/24/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season.Sports2/3/2008
69510882.571.641/22/2008
Con
Lifetime
YKarl Rove will lose his White House job.US2/3/2008
141016912.201.837/3/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YBefore the next election in Russia, there will be at least one significant incident of violence or intimidation directed against a prominent person or group opposing Putin & those with him.Russia2/3/2008
10811101.1010.834/26/2005
Con
Lifetime
YGen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. NominationUS1/24/2008
2956479.001.003/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YDonald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm.US1/24/2008
149618442.231.8112/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSan Diego Chargers will go to the 2007 Season Super Bowl.US1/24/2008
110431,044.001.001/27/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YGov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse.US1/14/2008
735251.0330.4011/18/2007
Con
Lifetime
YIndianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl.US1/14/2008
1041742.701.021/27/2007
Con
Lifetime
YLegal challenge to use of Airbus A380 in US.Sci/Tech1/13/2008
198730952.561.641/18/2005
Pro
Lifetime
NGeorgian election disputes result in violence that either jails or injures more than 100 protestors.World1/13/2008
0110110.001.001/6/2008
Con
Lifetime
YNASA will retire a Space Shuttle Orbiter by the end of 2007.Sci/Tech1/12/2008
65533006.041.207/14/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAirbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007.General1/12/2008
1592052.291.786/12/2007
Con
Lifetime
YAn Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti.Terrorism1/11/2008
37121456.781.1710/23/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YThe number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006Iraq1/11/2008
394111361.294.471/23/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YThe number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.Middle East1/11/2008
275614701.532.877/16/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YU.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006US1/11/2008
11828151.692.453/27/2006
Con
Lifetime
YRon Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire PrimaryGeneral1/11/2008
367464113.651.088/9/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YRafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008Europe1/11/2008
100111.001,002.009/13/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YBoeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007.General1/11/2008
139201.001,392.002/4/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YThe number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.China1/11/2008
302116351.542.857/17/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YBarack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic CaucusUS1/10/2008
18716031.324.1012/3/2007
Con
Lifetime
YZimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. World1/8/2008
41324332.001.005/18/2007
Con
Lifetime
YGovernor Doyle of Wisconsin will be indicted.US1/8/2008
654237.511.1511/8/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YWindows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating SystemSci/Tech1/8/2008
9536081.642.571/10/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YMike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred.US1/8/2008
13051321.1010.891/10/2007
Con
Lifetime
NNot a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007.US1/8/2008
504613051.264.8712/11/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAmerican will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out.Middle East1/8/2008
80542476.281.1912/3/2006
Pro
Lifetime
NIranís nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secretMiddle East1/8/2008
97710372.061.9411/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAn administration official, US House representative or US Senator will publicly advocate restoring Saddam to power in Iraq in order to end what they will call chaos.Iraq1/8/2008
100133114.311.0810/24/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAny military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World1/8/2008
152203914.411.0710/20/2006
Con
Lifetime
YA Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government.Iraq1/8/2008
57544708.771.134/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch IsraelMiddle East1/8/2008
170433722.981.511/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YCuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the USGeneral1/8/2008
66202131.621.031/20/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YAmerican nuclear power is back!US1/8/2008
7291311.186.567/26/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIraq assumes responsibility for its own security.Iraq1/8/2008
110136413.401.081/27/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe S&P will be over 1600 by the last day of this year.US1/8/2008
1352353.001.0011/2/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007US1/8/2008
55042008.641.138/4/2007
Con
Lifetime
YIran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year.Middle East1/8/2008
229411,471.501.004/12/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007US1/8/2008
92533974.671.272/24/2007
Con
Lifetime
YCivil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008Middle East1/8/2008
32510214.141.327/23/2006
Con
Lifetime
YA passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked.Terrorism1/8/2008
236494521.951.057/19/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAmerica will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq.Middle East1/8/2008
32111104.461.297/10/2006
Con
Lifetime
YBird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count.US1/8/2008
77243926.691.184/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008.Terrorism1/8/2008
68437136.431.1811/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSaddam Hussein regains dictatorial power in IraqMiddle East1/8/2008
161493031.621.039/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAfter winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms.US1/8/2008
215483823.501.048/24/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008Middle East1/8/2008
185131502.701.599/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YDomestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration.US1/8/2008
186832222.721.5811/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRussia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran.Middle East12/16/2007
705619.011.127/31/2007
Con
Lifetime
YTurkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August.Iraq12/9/2007
148035783.421.415/30/2007
Con
Lifetime
YTarget Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season.US12/4/2007
194231002.601.631/27/2007
Con
Lifetime
YUS fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUSRussia12/4/2007
65045758.041.149/15/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force.World12/4/2007
202587130.351.017/31/2007
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees.US11/29/2007
38532689.491.1211/10/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World SeriesSports11/29/2007
26189273.771.0111/10/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft.US11/29/2007
45023176.151.1911/9/2006
Con
Lifetime
NRepublicans React To Election. Giuliani In and Dobson Out.US11/29/2007
13561.0423.5011/9/2006
Con
Lifetime
YBush Will Select A Successor And Replace Cheney With That Successor.US11/29/2007
016061,606.001.0011/8/2006
Con
Lifetime
YBush Will Conduct a White House Makeover. Conservatives Purged. Cheney And At Least Rice Will Be Gone To Purchase Peace With Democrats.US11/29/2007
50304161.821.0211/8/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAny military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World11/29/2007
35624477.871.158/28/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAl Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. Middle East11/29/2007
41127282.751.004/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YWeapons of mass destruction ie. Chemical bio. or atomic will be found by end of 2007 in Iraq. however the Government will try to suppress this Info under NATIONAL SECURITIES ACT.Iraq11/29/2007
101000101.001.012/21/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League PennantSports11/29/2007
2303152.501.017/2/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division.Sports11/29/2007
1104174.791.267/2/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe Colorado Rockies win the World Series.Sports11/29/2007
2105703.711.3710/16/2007
Con
Lifetime
NAl Qaeda style Islamist will throw Pakistans Prime minister, Musharef, out of office.Middle East11/29/2007
000.000.009/4/2007
Con
Lifetime
NThe Milwaukee Brewers will finish over .500Sports11/29/2007
23761.0340.507/2/2007
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran.General11/29/2007
204987250.351.006/21/2007
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael and Syria will go to war by the end of the summerMiddle East11/29/2007
150491433.761.036/9/2007
Con
Lifetime
YTurkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force.Europe11/29/2007
300484217.141.064/14/2007
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle EastMiddle East11/29/2007
61530256.001.004/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
NCivilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute).Middle East8/6/2007
5551001.186.558/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Bolton keeps his post as US Ambassabor to the United Nations.US8/6/2007
100149515.951.0711/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Dallas Mavericks will win the NBA Championship.Sports8/6/2007
22515217.761.151/25/2007
Pro
Lifetime
YThe coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. World8/6/2007
45285201.119.7112/5/2006
Con
Lifetime
YSegolene Royal will be elected President of France.Europe8/6/2007
31011914.841.264/14/2007
Con
Lifetime
YU.S. military will deploy Arabic language translation computer.Middle East8/6/2007
440970823.061.059/21/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NWTI Crude Oil will be trading at or between $55.00-$60.00 (USD) a barrel by 01/31/07.World8/6/2007
99124533.481.409/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YNigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. World8/6/2007
2703352.241.813/17/2006
Con
Lifetime
YPope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007World8/6/2007
71743837.111.164/19/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIndia will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07Terrorism8/6/2007
019981,998.001.008/11/2006
Con
Lifetime
YJapan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes.World8/6/2007
156635363.261.447/26/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YApple's iphone will be a runaway hit ALL across NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE and will be SOLD OUT IN NO TIME..General8/6/2007
32101.00321.007/2/2007
Con
Lifetime
YSectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation.Middle East8/6/2007
51665334.001.0011/23/2006
Con
Lifetime
YOsama Bin Laden killed, body produced.Middle East8/6/2007
100542185.201.244/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar.Middle East8/6/2007
21158076.241.014/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YNATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT.Middle East8/6/2007
255449218.961.003/24/2006
Con
Lifetime
Yyear, 2007 NYC, will be attacked again by terrorist!Terrorism8/6/2007
142533538.571.032/5/2006
Con
Lifetime
NFord Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy.US8/6/2007
460635051.762.3112/2/2005
Con
Lifetime
YGeneral Motors will file for bankruptcy.US8/6/2007
218729192.331.7511/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07.World8/6/2007
131018162.391.723/27/2007
Con
Lifetime
YSyria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime. Iraq8/6/2007
61494582.071.012/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YHezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon.Middle East8/6/2007
27524179.791.117/16/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will withdraw for more settelments after the Gaza disengagment planMiddle East8/6/2007
900900011.001.1012/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUPS will cancel its A380F order leaving Airbus without any customers for the A380.General8/6/2007
54024705.571.221/21/2007
Con
Lifetime
NBears win '07 Superbowl.Sports8/6/2007
39536201.167.382/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YSeahawks will win the 07 SuperbowlSports8/6/2007
100359336.931.032/7/2006
Pro
Lifetime
NColts win '07 Superbowl.US8/6/2007
151037353.471.402/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
YBefore all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize.Iraq8/6/2007
335315510.421.1112/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In ExileIraq8/6/2007
385471713.251.085/9/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThere will be a war between America and Iran by the end of the year.Middle East8/6/2007
000.000.003/18/2007
Con
Lifetime
YU.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005US1/18/2007
131225452.941.527/26/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YHugo Chavez will be re-elected president of Venezuela on December 3rdWorld1/18/2007
121401.334.0311/27/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAmerica will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006.Middle East1/18/2007
20165283.601.0110/1/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YFormer Sandinista leader Daniel Ortega will win the November presidential election in Nicaragua.World1/18/2007
203111.002,032.009/12/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YSen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn.US1/18/2007
21761811.0813.028/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YTaiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with ChinaChina1/18/2007
1207357.131.167/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
Yexpansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)by at least 1 additional memberChina1/18/2007
702604.711.277/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWalid Jumblat is assasinated in Lebanon, sparking hostilities between pro Syrian and anti Syrian forces in Beirut, Israel uses this to invade Lebanon. Middle East1/18/2007
21111053.861.023/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YFinland applies for NATO membership.Europe1/18/2007
95387241.761.022/12/2005
Con
Lifetime
NIsrael will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006.Middle East1/18/2007
11415981.522.917/26/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000US1/18/2007
14812011.148.377/24/2006
Pro
Lifetime
NIsrael's incursion into Gaza will not stop the Qassam rocket attacks Middle East1/18/2007
2705453.021.507/8/2006
Con
Lifetime
YDuring the next presidential administration, bills will be introduced in the House and Senate that would allow non-natural-born US Citizens to run for President.US1/18/2007
281631182.111.908/24/2004
Con
Lifetime
NIllinois will approve public funding for stem cell research.US1/18/2007
8947211.812.2412/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMalaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government.World1/18/2007
24721109.541.123/19/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEhud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006.Middle East1/18/2007
3508563.451.418/11/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran on the Iranian nuclear facilities.Iran will counter with terrorist attacks and open attacks on Israel and the Gulf States.Middle East1/18/2007
0505505.001.004/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran, on the Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel will not be hidden it will be open war fare. Iran will counter with direct attacks on Israel.Middle East1/18/2007
0104104.001.004/11/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles.Middle East1/18/2007
98042685.361.234/9/2006
Con
Lifetime
YUS and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. Iraq1/18/2007
107628963.691.374/8/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda will attack two souther or western or midwestern American Cities simultaneously China1/18/2007
102629263.901.003/10/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda will stage an attack in Washington D.C. against the White House Pentagon or Capitol Building before the end of the yearTerrorism1/18/2007
215975285.521.002/14/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YSocial Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006.US1/18/2007
23581301.0619.142/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YA civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo.Europe1/18/2007
1008579.571.121/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAfter Bush leaves office, Blair will follow him, and amid Democratic backlash to indict Bush appointees, another US terror attack will take place on the scale of 9-11 or the UK train attacks.Terrorism1/18/2007
1075576.501.0112/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office.US1/18/2007
364473614.011.0810/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil WarIraq1/18/2007
34527889.081.127/24/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSuccessful or not, there will be an attempt to carry out an attack on American citizens from Canadian soil.Terrorism1/18/2007
24110185.221.242/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
NAl qaeda will stage a major attack against an American City, resulting in at least 500 people killed or injured.Terrorism1/18/2007
287321501.752.341/29/2006
Con
Lifetime
YDick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006.US1/18/2007
38531229.111.121/4/2006
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006.World1/18/2007
74624774.321.301/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule.China1/18/2007
170273617.091.0612/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU.Europe1/18/2007
1250042.671.0211/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWilliam Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations.World1/18/2007
32021767.801.151/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Repubilcans lose the Senate.US1/18/2007
7575611.081.107/4/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. US1/18/2007
72029655.121.241/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
NIsrael will destroy Iranís nuclear facilities.Middle East1/18/2007
291222841.782.279/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YOne or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel.Sci/Tech1/18/2007
41028017.831.1511/10/2004
Con
Lifetime
Y1st Terrorist Nuke Will Be Of Pakistani Origin -designed or built there, or uses Pakistani fissionables. Can be a "dirty" device if it uses a chain reaction, or be captured w/o going off.Terrorism1/18/2007
123840604.281.304/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YLast US combat troop removed from Iraq.US1/18/2007
85202924.871.043/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSaddam WMD found before 12/31/06Middle East1/18/2007
215679.001.019/4/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006. World1/18/2007
82542216.121.207/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World SeriesSports1/18/2007
31496499.671.001/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YPrince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season.Sports1/18/2007
50129526.901.043/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YDemotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections.US1/18/2007
247225452.031.973/19/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan.World1/18/2007
503503111.001.105/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from LebanonMiddle East1/18/2007
3361121.331.018/15/2006
Con
Lifetime
YCastro dead.World1/18/2007
87611432.301.778/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YChina liberates North KoreaChina1/18/2007
500465810.321.1110/31/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YEU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states.Europe1/18/2007
44406571.157.7610/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAmerica will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise".Middle East12/30/2006
250311113.441.0811/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
NResults of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate.US12/30/2006
149510911.732.3710/24/2006
Con
Lifetime
YRove's October Surprise - Scenario 1: Permanent tax cuts.US12/30/2006
0570570.001.009/27/2006
Con
Lifetime
YJihadis attempt to assassinate Pope Benedict during his upcoming visit to TurkeyTerrorism12/30/2006
39120246.181.199/23/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda assasinates President Bush. Terrorism12/30/2006
20137669.801.016/3/2006
Con
Lifetime
YInternal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention.World12/30/2006
37530719.191.123/26/2006
Con
Lifetime
YArnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California.US12/30/2006
175033402.911.5212/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA prominent Democratic Party politician (current or former: Senator, Representative, Cabinet Officer, or Governor) will be accused of financially benefiting from the U.N. Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program.Iraq12/30/2006
330383312.621.0911/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAnbar province will declare its independence from Iraq.Iraq12/30/2006
154323522.011.058/28/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUnited Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program.Europe12/30/2006
425459611.811.091/25/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 electionsUS12/30/2006
201430002.491.671/24/2006
Con
Lifetime
YInterting of aircraft fuel tanks will be recognised by JAA/FAA as mandatory before end of 2006. To be installed in a/c capable of such modifications in a phased manner over several years.Sci/Tech12/30/2006
5306252.181.8512/15/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany.Europe12/30/2006
62512202.951.5112/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
NTarget Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season.US12/30/2006
275922551.822.2212/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAt least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season.US12/30/2006
228276713.141.0812/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA Hurricane hits the Iberian Peninsula during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season.Europe12/30/2006
3749414.351.0712/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YDiplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed.US12/30/2006
18614058.551.1311/2/2005
Con
Lifetime
YVenezuela attacks ColombiaGeneral12/30/2006
275274710.991.1010/24/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMilitary conflict erupts between India and Pakistan.World12/30/2006
26421679.211.125/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAsian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemicWorld12/30/2006
111755755.991.204/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
NNY Attorney General Elliot Spitzer elected governor of New York stateUS12/30/2006
7201001.148.204/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State.US12/30/2006
136396930.181.033/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
YXM8 uses caseless ammoUS12/30/2006
111682153.911.014/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YTainted MLB Records Will Be TossedSports12/30/2006
110178117.191.063/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme. Middle East12/30/2006
100169517.951.068/24/2006
Con
Lifetime
YAssad regime in Syria fallsMiddle East12/30/2006
100183919.391.058/9/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YAt least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election.US12/30/2006
363615831.443.308/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YJapan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles China12/30/2006
26249897.081.017/13/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing.Middle East12/30/2006
30200367.771.016/20/2006
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrat Bill Nelson will NOT be re-elected to the U.S. Senate representing Florida.US12/30/2006
170229814.521.074/20/2006
Con
Lifetime
NEvidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley.Middle East12/30/2006
286121801.762.312/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
NIsrael Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y.Middle East12/30/2006
305227861.912.101/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YRepublicans gain at least 2 more (For 57+) Senate seats after the 2006 election.US12/30/2006
221736652.651.6011/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHamid Karzai will be overthrown in a coup or assassinated.Middle East12/30/2006
462459110.941.1011/19/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe Coup attempt in Thailand will failWorld10/21/2006
20154278.101.019/19/2006
Pro
Lifetime
YThe current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement.World10/21/2006
251301.129.378/30/2006
Con
Lifetime
YVenezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars.World10/21/2006
46154034.481.037/19/2006
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Chen in Taiwan will be overthrown by the people and force to resignChina10/21/2006
0650650.001.009/19/2006
Con
Lifetime
YUN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September.Middle East10/21/2006
162397150.811.018/25/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine.Sci/Tech10/21/2006
35517505.931.208/10/2006
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missleChina10/21/2006
70543567.181.167/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YUS troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000.Iraq10/21/2006
276645452.641.6112/22/2005
Con
Lifetime
NI. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation.US10/21/2006
44887101.167.3211/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWorld War 3 Is Coming In 2006China10/21/2006
200489725.491.044/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true.World10/21/2006
40272469.101.018/22/2006
Con
Lifetime
YNasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon.Middle East10/21/2006
2934468.001.007/28/2006
Con
Lifetime
NCondoleeza Rice will defeat Hillary Clinton to become the first female President of the United States.China10/21/2006
000.000.007/26/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile testWorld10/21/2006
160377824.611.046/27/2006
Con
Lifetime
YJapan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against ChinaChina10/21/2006
289471817.331.069/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJapan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. China10/21/2006
154418128.151.049/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YU.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to CypresMiddle East8/30/2006
56021874.911.267/14/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will retake a large portion of the Gaza StripMiddle East8/30/2006
110152114.831.076/27/2006
Con
Lifetime
Y22nd of August, Iranian Attack on IsrealMiddle East8/30/2006
36428908.941.138/5/2006
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael will succeed in detstroying Hezballahs mobile missilesMiddle East8/30/2006
20141171.551.017/19/2006
Con
Lifetime
YKazahkstan government becomes offical (even if temporary) a pro-communist regime takes power.World7/14/2006
035583,558.001.003/26/2006
Con
Lifetime
YWal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq Iraq7/14/2006
265481119.151.063/10/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YCrude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months.General7/14/2006
282723851.842.196/26/2005
Pro
Lifetime
NNorth Korea will launch its Taepodong-2 missle in defiance of the Inernational community.World7/14/2006
177021682.221.826/20/2006
Con
Lifetime
YMontenegro declares independence of Serbia by July 13, 2006.Europe7/14/2006
161736103.231.4511/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YGold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium. World6/1/2006
34024378.171.144/12/2006
Con
Lifetime
Ythe US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. US6/1/2006
170485129.541.049/13/2005
Con
Lifetime
NA Shia-dominated Iraqi Defense Force that will crush the insurgency utilizing ruthless tactics. The American electorate will look the other way and accept this as acceptable.Iraq6/1/2006
311619851.642.5712/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YChinese government abandons communism, turns to capitalist economy, but retains government leaders and most aspects of govt and laws stay the same (lack of human rights, etc.) China6/1/2006
334481815.431.075/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006.Middle East6/1/2006
170490029.821.032/22/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program.Middle East6/1/2006
154038853.521.401/6/2006
Con
Lifetime
YTony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom.Europe6/1/2006
52045379.731.115/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIf convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison.US4/13/2006
162279018.221.064/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMorgan Stanley Dean Witter will no longer be an independent entity, either through a merger, acquisition, or sale.General4/13/2006
75247534.001.033/30/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe falling dollar/euro exchange rate will drive the German economy formally into recession by the end of 2005Europe4/13/2006
152134883.291.4412/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China.China4/13/2006
830830011.001.104/22/2005
Con
Lifetime
NMuslims somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-muslims or destroy a non-muslim place of worship, between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006.World4/10/2006
1851101.592.683/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe next Space Shuttle launch will occur in March 2006.Sci/Tech4/10/2006
80510564.811.028/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIf Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat.World4/10/2006
60144168.351.146/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YBashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region. Middle East4/10/2006
241480220.931.053/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YColin Powell to become UN Secretry GeneralWorld4/10/2006
456387142.931.011/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
NAl qaeda will attack simultaneously oil and liquified natural gas facilites in several cities within the next year.Terrorism3/12/2006
000.000.003/7/2006
Con
Lifetime
YChristians somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-christians or destroy a non-christian place of worship between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006.World3/12/2006
019851,985.001.003/1/2006
Con
Lifetime
YThe Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety.US3/12/2006
27012205.521.2211/16/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YSamuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/2006
331517501.532.8911/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAriel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister.Middle East3/12/2006
375540715.421.078/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/2006
504980100.601.0111/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february.Europe3/12/2006
376469513.491.089/28/2005
Con
Lifetime
YFundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met.Terrorism3/12/2006
57244528.781.1311/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFormal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East.US3/12/2006
138446034.331.303/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTurkey formally accepted into European Union.Europe3/12/2006
107043865.101.243/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIndependent Palestinian state created.Middle East3/12/2006
510600012.761.093/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
Y[Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s].US1/24/2006
175847323.691.371/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YZarqawi will be captured with help from Al-ZwahiriMiddle East1/24/2006
43602901.501.0011/12/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe BCS snubs an undefeated team for the second straight year.Sports1/24/2006
100146015.601.0710/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIran stops/restricts oil export and causes significant rise in crude oil prices.Middle East1/24/2006
153415228.671.0010/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YHarriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US1/24/2006
77049807.471.1510/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English.Terrorism1/24/2006
54647709.741.117/22/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YKarl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair.US1/24/2006
462526301.572.7610/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWhen William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US1/24/2006
51232367.321.167/27/2005
Con
Lifetime
YDemocrats & EU leaders call for Bush to resign over the Katrina tragedy. France renews UN talks on Kyoto. Whitehouse expedites NATO troop recall for redeployment to Katrina-hit disaster areas. US1/24/2006
101748175.801.019/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThere will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend.Terrorism1/24/2006
55044799.141.127/23/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIslamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope.Terrorism1/24/2006
310473216.261.077/14/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAsian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD.China1/24/2006
101449145.901.017/7/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThe price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD.World1/24/2006
258224451.952.064/19/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005.US1/24/2006
106042405.001.254/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSaddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial.Iraq1/24/2006
112415938.131.036/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself).World1/24/2006
156537035.421.035/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YNigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone.World1/24/2006
135150112.121.095/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005.US1/24/2006
405100128.501.014/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
NMichael Jackson will not be found guilty of child molestation by January 1, 2006.US1/24/2006
21905441.255.034/7/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YSocial Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005.US1/24/2006
45654501.1011.143/9/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAny military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World1/24/2006
85642695.991.201/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAny military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US.US1/24/2006
316375212.871.081/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAl-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship.Terrorism1/24/2006
328327110.971.101/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro dies in 2005.World1/24/2006
495450910.111.112/2/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMajor vote fraud allegations in the Washington and Wisconsin 2004 elections finally produce effective reforms. US1/24/2006
150158511.571.091/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YJPMorgan/Chase will acquire Merrill Lynch in a Stock Swap to create the United States largest financial services firmUS1/24/2006
130400031.771.031/15/2005
Con
Lifetime
YBy 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves.US1/24/2006
39034459.831.111/12/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company.Terrorism1/24/2006
33726518.871.1311/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorists take the United States to court.Terrorism1/24/2006
2207374.351.3011/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe House of Representatives will vote to suspend U.S. funding of the United Nations until Kofi Annan resigns.General1/24/2006
101040685.031.2512/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIrreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split.Europe1/24/2006
90291533.391.0311/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIran and Russia actually finalize and sign spent-fuel return and recycling protocol for Bushehr nuclear reactor. Russia actually completes delivery of fuel assemblies to reactor. Middle East1/24/2006
45122065.891.2010/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUnited States implements conscription.US1/24/2006
202482824.901.0410/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIslamic terrorists will successfully smuggle WMD into the U.S. via Mexico.Terrorism1/24/2006
272474218.431.0611/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
NMajor combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. Middle East1/24/2006
285122851.802.259/24/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea and Iran will form an alliance and try to nuke Israel.World1/24/2006
264526175.081.019/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCongress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration ObjectionsUS1/24/2006
65547468.251.144/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YU.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq.US1/24/2006
129144374.441.293/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YDonald Rumsfeld will not be the US Secretary of Defense at the end of 2005.US1/24/2006
284030462.071.9311/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUSA starts a selective draft. Draft would tap people with desired language, analysis, and tech. skills to fill posts that are not filled by hiring in the US military, CIA, NSA, and/or other US deptUS1/24/2006
117139954.411.293/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSaddam escapes imprisonment, bargains his way out, is released, or is busted out by sympathizers.Iraq1/24/2006
300475416.851.065/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YA Chinese taikonaut (astronaut) is lost in a fatal accident during a space mission.China1/24/2006
22512856.711.1811/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YLast US combat troop removed from Afghanistan.US1/24/2006
196232412.861.083/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material.World1/24/2006
39129708.601.133/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNext use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle.Terroism1/24/2006
71645557.361.163/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
NUS Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months.US12/10/2005
385811751.304.286/1/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YTarget Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season.US12/10/2005
260225201.972.031/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria.Terrorism12/10/2005
356717601.493.031/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
Ythe north korean goverment will fall this time next year. World12/10/2005
169033152.961.5112/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague.Europe12/10/2005
175215813.331.0811/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCrude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005.World11/10/2005
105040734.881.269/29/2005
Con
Lifetime
YPresident George Bush's disapproval ratings on the war in Iraq will increase to at least 75%.General11/10/2005
57044318.771.138/22/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThere will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October.Sports11/10/2005
25051151.0522.787/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect.Iraq11/10/2005
91067658.431.138/30/2005
Con
Lifetime
YChicago Cubs win the World SeriesSports11/10/2005
55497891.511.014/13/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state.Iraq11/10/2005
110283026.731.048/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor.US11/10/2005
244624542.002.007/20/2005
Con
Lifetime
YRunaway Bride marries (anybody)Sports11/10/2005
125037904.031.335/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMinutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 US11/10/2005
332664021.001.054/6/2005
Con
Lifetime
NIraq Al Qaeda leader Zarqawi is killed or captured prior to the January election.Iraq11/10/2005
280524981.892.1210/1/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAmerican Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time.US11/10/2005
81741896.131.203/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRenminbi/US4 exchange rate Exchange rate for the Chinese Renminbi/ Yuan Vis a vis the US $ will be below 7.800 Renminbi per 1 US $ , On or before 30 September 2005 China10/7/2005
62013533.181.4610/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YExchange rate will fall below 7.80 Chinese Renminbi (Yuan) per dollar on or before 30 September 2005 China10/7/2005
30017556.851.1710/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions.World10/7/2005
143935903.491.402/14/2005
Con
Lifetime
YNationals CollapseSports10/7/2005
201438.151.148/9/2005
Con
Lifetime
YRegime change in SyriaMiddle East10/7/2005
316515217.301.063/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YInsurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignationIraq10/7/2005
606229104.821.016/16/2005
Pro
Lifetime
NThe NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference.Sports10/7/2005
209124312.161.865/3/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YKofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General World10/7/2005
69192081.0334.263/29/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSyria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. Middle East10/7/2005
351473314.481.072/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS and non-Iraqi allies have fewer than 100,000 troops in IraqIraq10/7/2005
160040603.541.392/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS announces plans to privatize Fannie MaeUS10/7/2005
92295033.071.032/10/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Milwaukee Brewers will finish the 2005 season at or above .500.Sports10/7/2005
157912371.782.2812/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorist group enters the US through either Canada or Mexico, and successfully conduct dirty bomb or nuclear attack on American soil.Terrorism10/7/2005
94940525.271.2311/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWithin one year, hard evidence is found that Osama bin Laden is alive and is running Al Qaeda from Pakistan. Due to "diplomatic" reasons, U.S. Armed Forces will be unable to act on this information. Terrorism10/7/2005
88041725.741.2110/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
NRussel Crowe settles out of court with Estrada with a payment over $5 million dollarsGeneral9/22/2005
70221.314.188/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YHaliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. US9/22/2005
126517902.421.719/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMalaysian Central Bank will break the US Dollar / Malaysian Ringgett peg (currently at 3.80) before China devalues the Yuan or by June 1st, 2005World9/22/2005
310517017.681.061/14/2005
Con
Lifetime
NSelf styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005. Iraq9/22/2005
289821201.732.375/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
NHardliner Lionel Mtshali takes leadership of the Inkatha Freedom Party after the General conference July 2005.World9/22/2005
138761.552.825/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
YMultiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists.Terrorism9/22/2005
56244488.911.131/1/2005
Pro
Lifetime
NBrewers sign Ben Sheets to a contract extension.Sports9/22/2005
321315.091.243/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. Europe9/22/2005
352020951.602.6811/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNorth and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border.World9/22/2005
115539924.461.292/13/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida.US9/22/2005
300464616.491.068/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government.US9/22/2005
110841954.791.263/19/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed servicesUS9/22/2005
31022198.161.142/10/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YIsrael completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. Middle East9/22/2005
606216651.274.6410/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPopular American documentary film maker murderedUS9/22/2005
80492462.551.029/19/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe death toll from Katrina will exceed 300 as determined two weeks from now.US9/14/2005
26512001.0814.268/31/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YSpace Shuttle Discovery, currently on mission STS-114 MCC, will land safely in August.Sci/Tech8/23/2005
2161101.00217.108/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22Iraq8/23/2005
5059102.801.558/17/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YA Russian military mini-sub and its 7 member crew stuck about 200 meters down in Russia's Pacific waters on 8/5/05 after the vessel's propeller got entangled in fishing nets will all be rescued alive.Russia8/23/2005
1345501.0427.908/5/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Iraqi convention will not meet its deadline of August 15 to finish Iraq's new constitution.Iraq8/23/2005
7395201.702.427/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YChief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15.US8/23/2005
134036853.751.367/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael occupies part of LebanonMiddle East8/23/2005
60419170.851.015/14/2005
Con
Lifetime
NPresident Bush selects a woman judge to replace Sandra Day O'Conner.US8/10/2005
000.000.007/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba.World8/10/2005
252569103.761.016/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YGasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005.US8/10/2005
131036943.821.353/22/2005
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor.US8/10/2005
85131016.411.067/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe US will suffer 50+ deaths in a terrorist attack.Terrorism8/10/2005
000.000.007/7/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YNASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st.Sci/Tech8/10/2005
341617021.503.014/29/2005
Con
Lifetime
YTom DeLay resigns as House Majority LeaderUS8/10/2005
357472414.231.084/11/2005
Con
Lifetime
NJohn Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations.US8/10/2005
385211901.314.243/19/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWhen William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US8/10/2005
215129702.381.7211/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAs a result of the Iraqi Oil-for-Food corruption investigations, Kofi Anan will resign as Sectretary-General of the United Nations.Iraq8/10/2005
210430212.441.7010/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YConservative mullah elected president in IranWorld8/10/2005
168217572.041.966/10/2004
Con
Lifetime
YLibya is found to have secretly hidden WMD from inspectors, despite its promises.Terrorism8/10/2005
355503215.171.073/30/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YNew York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics.World7/6/2005
24212501.1010.686/24/2005
Con
Lifetime
YChief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks.US7/6/2005
75828344.741.276/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
YSharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled.Middle East7/6/2005
435456611.501.102/25/2005
Con
Lifetime
YOsama bin Laden caught or killedTerrorism7/6/2005
143495735.661.035/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe U.S. will conduct aerial eradication of Afghan poppy fields during the 2005 growing season.World7/6/2005
51646279.971.111/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
NNASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th.Sci/Tech7/6/2005
392318501.473.122/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea sets off a nuclear weaponWorld7/6/2005
148737793.541.392/10/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS invades SyriaMiddle East7/6/2005
255476819.701.052/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS invades IranMiddle East7/6/2005
138494636.841.032/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YU.S launches airstrikes on targets in SyriaMiddle East7/6/2005
156135053.251.451/3/2005
Con
Lifetime
YWhen William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US7/6/2005
210829792.411.7111/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHouse of Saud loses power in Saudi Arabia, overthrown by internal forces.Middle East7/6/2005
470468010.961.104/10/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months.Terrorism7/6/2005
426461611.841.094/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YA supertanker (VLCC) is sunk by Islamic terrorists in the Strait of Malacca.Terrorism7/6/2005
51045119.851.113/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YReunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea.World7/6/2005
58044238.631.133/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPentagon announces that XSS-11 microsat will be explicitly tested to fill ASAT role Sci/Tech6/10/2005
153498133.561.0310/15/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YBush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. World6/10/2005
74704251.0618.583/17/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS forces in Iraq decline to under 60,000.Middle East6/10/2005
108040224.721.2710/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YDonald Rumsfeld resigns or is otherwise removed from his post as US Secretary of Defense.US5/31/2005
213929002.361.7412/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAirstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. Middle East5/31/2005
480452510.431.1110/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUS Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities.Middle East5/31/2005
164934803.111.479/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIn the first half of 2005, the President will announce plans to pull most or all U.S. troops out of Iraq.Iraq5/31/2005
72049467.871.159/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
YA medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist.Terrorism5/31/2005
210501724.891.049/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSuccessful Al'Qaeda strike in France.Terrorism5/31/2005
191532112.681.604/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSyrian troops withdraw completely from LebanonMiddle East5/31/2005
228027612.211.833/16/2005
Con
Lifetime
YFrance will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29.Middle East5/31/2005
196131032.581.634/9/2005
Con
Lifetime
YEngland win the Six nations with a Grandslam.Sports5/31/2005
400472512.811.081/18/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAerial Chemical or Biological attack on Israel via Syria / LebanonMiddle East5/31/2005
195504826.891.0411/8/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YYassir Arafat dies, paving the way for a comprehensive peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians.Middle East5/31/2005
337821151.632.602/3/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NIn May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency.Europe5/11/2005
5057442.471.684/18/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YLabour party wins British general electionEurope5/11/2005
45071501.0331.054/13/2005
Con
Lifetime
YRobert Mugabe is re-elected President of Zimbabwe with 80% of the vote.World5/11/2005
4559153.011.503/30/2005
Con
Lifetime
YAustralian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three monthsIraq5/11/2005
180606734.711.032/1/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election.World5/11/2005
314472616.051.0710/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAnother coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year.World5/11/2005
75042586.681.184/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YKurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle.Iraq5/11/2005
185334102.841.543/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWill Chile grant Bolivia the access to the Pacific that they are asking for.World4/20/2005
414495110.631.013/21/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope.World4/19/2005
36558101.225.512/5/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe next Pope will be from Portugal, Spain or a western European country south of the Alps.General4/19/2005
35010754.071.334/15/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Next Pope Will Be From Latin AmericaGeneral4/19/2005
68414783.161.464/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union).General4/19/2005
7593513.471.084/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe next Pope will NOT be a European.World4/19/2005
332518061.542.844/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YNext Pope will take the name Pius XIII.General4/19/2005
2021011.501.104/10/2005
Pro
Lifetime
NCardinal Joseph Ratzinger is chosen to replace John Paul II as Pope General4/19/2005
76023164.051.333/27/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe price of oil will exceed $65 US dollars.US4/17/2005
000.000.004/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
NThe price of oil will exceed $70/bbl.World4/17/2005
000.000.004/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YA civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligenceMiddle East4/17/2005
350472114.491.072/25/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination.Iraq4/17/2005
60500084.331.012/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
YUS bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons.Middle East4/17/2005
539562911.441.1010/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAfter president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism.Middle East4/17/2005
182487827.801.049/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YProvided he wins the election, Bush promotes a flat tax or other similarly radical reform of the IRS early in his second term.US4/17/2005
169233092.961.519/12/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Montreal Expos do NOT move to Washington D.C. in 2005.Sports4/17/2005
71542866.991.1711/19/2004
Con
Lifetime
YChina invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent.China4/17/2005
455459811.111.107/12/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor al-Qaeda attack in Italy or against a major Italian target abroad.Terrorism4/17/2005
224732022.431.703/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUS Army adopts 6.8mm round for its new M-8 assault rifle. Heavier round favored because it is deadlier than 5.56mm round.US4/17/2005
120737954.141.324/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor Al Quaeda base discovered in Indonesia. Indonesian military moves in to crush it with the help of US advisors.Terrorism4/17/2005
66056469.551.123/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael evicts/drives out nearly all Palestinians from Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank.World 4/17/2005
455051113.241.013/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe 2004-2005 NHL Season will be un-cancelled.Sports3/15/2005
014541,454.001.002/21/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month.Middle East3/15/2005
214128762.341.742/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
YIran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment.World3/15/2005
617499123.931.0112/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCarlos Beltran will be signed by the New York Yankees before March 1, 2005.Sports3/15/2005
100040015.001.2511/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCBS memos found to be work of pro-Bush agents.US3/15/2005
200549928.501.0410/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in EuropeTerrorism3/15/2005
351610818.401.069/19/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled.Sports2/20/2005
52062701.0520.281/26/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program.Middle East2/20/2005
79642056.281.199/9/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YNew England Patriots win the SuperbowlSports2/6/2005
45905001.1110.182/4/2005
Con
Lifetime
Nthe eagles will win the Superbowl Sports2/6/2005
000.000.002/6/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe interem government due to govern Iraq between July 1 and elections next year does not last until elections, but resigns or is thrown outIraq2/3/2005
406459512.321.095/15/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YIraqi National Elections will be held by June 30, 2005Iraq2/3/2005
46123891.0812.865/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRed sox free agents Jason Varitek and Orlando Cabrera will both stay with the red sox for 2005.Sports2/3/2005
15511868.651.1311/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
NIraqi insurgents will conduct at least three major attacks causing major civilian casualties prior to the elections on 30 January 2005.Iraq2/3/2005
683822261.334.071/8/2005
Con
Lifetime
NIraqi elections occur on January 30, 2005 as scheduled with the majority of eligible Iraqis participating.Iraq2/3/2005
366513901.383.6412/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe UN will declare the Iraqi elections invalid and illegitimateIraq2/3/2005
185332172.741.589/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
YLeader of the main al-Qaeda cell in North America is caught and found to be an American (born) citizen.Terrorism1/30/2005
123542824.471.295/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
NDecember 2004 COMEX gold settles at/above $436.50.World1/30/2005
22682151.0911.5510/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUS Cancels F-22 fighter.US1/30/2005
73043186.921.173/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEastern Ukraine Secedes in election dispute.Russia1/30/2005
301470016.611.0611/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEU ends the Ukraine election dispute.Russia1/30/2005
034243,424.001.0011/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUkraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election.General1/30/2005
54544909.241.1211/25/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPittsburgh Steelers win Superbowl.Sports1/23/2005
157848934.101.321/14/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YDeath toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000.World1/20/2005
47729211.196.181/9/2005
Con
Lifetime
YThe Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX Sports1/16/2005
119739224.281.311/9/2005
Pro
Lifetime
YMahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005.Middle East1/10/2005
77153001.0426.7212/29/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YDeath toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000.World1/4/2005
52641001.0253.6412/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year.World1/4/2005
30121388.101.1411/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEU launches sanctions on the Ukraine govt over the continuing electoral standoff there. EU refrains from referring the issue to the United Nations.Europe1/4/2005
50112123.421.0411/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YKim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year.World1/4/2005
80046886.861.1711/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUS - North Korean Military Incident in the Sea of JapanGeneral1/4/2005
40032929.231.1211/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSyrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near BeirutMiddle East1/4/2005
31526579.431.1210/12/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe BCS (Bowl Championship Series) system will snub at least one undefeated team.Sports1/4/2005
25111701.0715.779/30/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YWhile the reelection of George W Bush will prompt predictions of liberals and other leftists leaving America, no such exodus (at least not a statistically significant one) will actually take place. US1/4/2005
37341101.0334.9510/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIn the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection.US1/4/2005
86548106.561.189/22/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YA Mid Major, either Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville or Utah will rise to #6 and receive a BCS bowl bid.Sports1/4/2005
45284751.1010.539/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIf George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion.Iraq1/4/2005
174222713.801.089/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMilitary aircraft shot down deliberately by US in air to air combat before 1/1/2005Sci/Tech1/4/2005
517694214.431.079/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year.Terrorism1/4/2005
86541855.841.219/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSaddam is tried and executed before the end of the year.Iraq1/4/2005
100540245.001.256/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRussian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq.Iraq1/4/2005
379462813.211.088/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSupreme Court Justice William Rehnquist will resign before Januay 1, 2005.US1/4/2005
131541384.151.3211/8/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThere will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year.US1/4/2005
43436601.157.5811/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi will be assassinated before the beginning of next year.Iraq1/4/2005
178634932.961.516/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHijacking of oil supertanker ship, then sailed into major US port and blown up causing environmental disaster.Terrorism1/4/2005
100344035.401.034/13/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNational elections in IraqIraq1/4/2005
184132312.761.573/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBreakaway republic from IndonesiaWorld1/4/2005
89399545.891.023/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YU.S. combat troops sent to Columbia to fight narco-terrorists.US1/4/2005
150416428.761.043/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor Islamic terrorist attack attempted in Australia in the fortnight immediately before the Federal Election.Terrorism1/4/2005
68344007.441.163/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRevolution in IranMiddle East1/4/2005
218028322.301.773/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUN imposes trade sanctions on Iran for failure to cooperate with IAE Comission.Middle East1/4/2005
73943516.891.173/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIndia and Pakistan will make a peace deal over Kashmir by the end of the yearWorld1/4/2005
88143905.981.201/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael launches a pre-emptive airstrike against Iran's nuclear weapons production facilities.Middle East1/4/2005
213628742.351.743/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIslamic radicals stage revolution in Pakistan and take over government.World1/4/2005
330494615.991.073/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerririst attack in Finland.Terrorism1/4/2005
170324320.081.053/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
YChechnya granted independence by Russia.Russia1/4/2005
325946186.811.013/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIslamic Terrorists use a nuclear (including dirty bombs), biological or chemical weapon against the west, on any scale.Terrorism1/4/2005
132538453.901.343/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFidel Castro dies, prompting a revolution in Cuba.World1/4/2005
54145559.421.123/16/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting.US12/30/2004
46633551.0814.1410/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YItaly will be attacked by Al Masry brigades and will leave Iraq.Terrorism12/30/2004
61595398.591.018/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBefore December 13, Media Reports of Massive Election Fraud Causes Suspension of December 13 Electoral College Vote or a massive change in electoral vote.US12/22/2004
245475720.421.0511/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
NIf President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forcesIraq12/22/2004
375517321.463.179/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWith final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. US12/22/2004
355042145.061.0111/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YScott Peterson will NOT receive the death penalty for murdering his wife and unborn child.US12/22/2004
55045879.341.1212/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAnother hurricane (Category 1 or higher) will strike Florida this hurricane season.US12/6/2004
115495044.041.0210/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTurkey will be accepted into the EUWorld12/6/2004
490454310.271.117/7/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YUS and Iraqi government forces will claim victory in Fallujah without capturing/killing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Iraq12/6/2004
5083701.0173.6111/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFrench Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UNIraq12/6/2004
495051104.081.012/1/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe AUC demobilization collapses, leading to a tacit alliance between the AUC and the Colombian government against FARC.World12/6/2004
349488214.991.073/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YZimbabwean financial and civil meltdown causes South African intervention to rectify. Mugabe flees to third country to avoid trail for crimes against humanity.World12/6/2004
426549613.901.083/17/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YCondi Rice next SecStateUS11/15/2004
10001.00100.0011/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YScott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child.General11/12/2004
660681811.331.1010/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBush names brother and Florida governor Jeb Bush to replace John Ashcroft as U.S. Attorney General.US11/11/2004
0467467.001.0011/9/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YNational elections in Afghanistan.World11/9/2004
3311101.334.013/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
NMt St Helen's will not have a volcanic eruption this year.US11/9/2004
13103201.245.0910/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YArafat "officially" declared dead by PLO.Middle East11/9/2004
241226032.081.9311/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YDan Rather is found to be the source of the CBS-promoted anti-Bush CYA documents.US11/7/2004
106270628.001.009/10/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSomeone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign.US11/7/2004
83541665.991.209/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIsrael Will Pre-Emptively Nuke Iran This Year If Kerry Is Elected President, i.e., Before His Inaugeration. See http://windsofchange.net/archives/004885.phpMiddle East11/7/2004
466498211.691.094/20/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NSinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary.US11/3/2004
127034753.741.3710/14/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNational League Team wins 2004 World Series.Sports11/3/2004
41017045.161.2410/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTaiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring.China11/3/2004
46018495.021.257/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
NNational Missile Defense site in Alaska goes operational before the US presidential election.US11/3/2004
312319561.632.604/14/2004
Con
Lifetime
Y2004 Election Results: Bush wins second term, Republicans lose majority in Senate but pick up at least one more vote in House of RepresentativesUS11/3/2004
64543897.801.1510/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAnaheim Angels win World Series!Sports11/3/2004
3993332.001.0010/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YLos Angeles Dodgers win World Series!Sports11/3/2004
1509510.001.0010/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRepublicans pick up at least 5 seats in the US senate from the November 2nd, 2004 elections.US11/3/2004
51524025.661.2110/25/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YRepublicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate.US11/3/2004
43446701.157.4810/19/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NU.S. presidential election: The difference in the electoral vote totals of the Republican and Democratic candidates will be within 40 (for example, 289 to 249).US11/3/2004
261327112.041.968/29/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will hit $53 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/2004
31911321.0425.1710/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will drop to $47 or less per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/2004
47517974.781.2610/5/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YGeorge W. Bush is re-elected. US11/3/2004
375014101.383.6610/31/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YWhoever wins Florida wins the electionUS11/3/2004
49334651.0911.6111/1/2004
Con
Lifetime
YKerry revealed before Election Day to been given an Other-than-Honorable or Dishonorable Discharge from the U.S. military during the Vietnam WarUS11/3/2004
53520064.751.2710/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBy 8pm EDT on Wednesday, November 3rd, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute.US11/3/2004
144619942.381.7310/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIn response to an al Qaeda catastrophic act of terrorism on the US homeland, President George Bush will nuke bin Laden's suspected location (the border of Afghanistan/Pakistan).US11/3/2004
90542765.721.2110/14/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Kerry wins the Presidential election.US11/3/2004
112538784.451.2910/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe percentage difference between Bush and Kerry in the Florida vote count will be less than 1%.US11/3/2004
93131384.371.3010/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBy 8pm EST on Tuesday, November 9th, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute.US11/3/2004
65730255.601.2210/15/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YGeorge W. Bush wins the Presidential election.US11/3/2004
295820801.702.4210/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Kerry elected President.US11/3/2004
197230942.571.6410/7/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YPresident Bush wins reelection.US11/3/2004
382013001.343.949/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YOsama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections.US11/3/2004
90942395.661.219/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWill Bush win a plurality of votes, but lose in the electoral college (e.g. inverse of 2000)?US11/3/2004
150195214.011.088/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJohn Kerry wins more than 60% of the popular vote for president on November 2.US11/3/2004
103541445.001.258/30/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YBush reelected in November 2US11/3/2004
321720551.642.573/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
NDemocrats demand recounts of 2004 Presidential election ballots in several states.US11/3/2004
320518021.562.781/31/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YPresident Bush is reelected and receives more than 50% of the Popular vote.US11/3/2004
306321191.692.453/30/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YRepublicans maintain control of Senate.US11/3/2004
44704951.1110.0310/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election.US11/3/2004
754547.051.1710/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHomeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election.Terrorism11/3/2004
75517983.381.4210/6/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.US11/3/2004
33223978.221.1410/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YGeorge Bush will be assassinated before election.Terrorism11/3/2004
100424743.471.0210/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIn a move reminiscent of the 2002 New Jersey senate campaign, the democratic national committee replaces John Kerry with another candidate.US11/3/2004
50256052.201.029/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCatastrophic seismic event occurs on the West coast by election day.US11/3/2004
275259310.431.119/29/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections.Terrorism11/3/2004
44413814.111.329/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHigh ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections.US11/3/2004
4393622.771.059/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YKerry gets new campaign manager.US11/3/2004
203729692.461.699/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlinesTerrorism11/3/2004
182132972.811.559/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YOsama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections.Terrorism11/3/2004
107747235.391.238/21/2004
Con
Lifetime
Y A major Terrorist attack somewhere in the Midwest in October results in mass casualties and leads Bush to indefinately postpone the 2004 Presidential Election and declares Martial Law Terrorism11/3/2004
121538124.141.328/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRussia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq.Iraq11/3/2004
382438512.481.097/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPLO and PA Chairman Yassir Arafat dies.Middle East11/3/2004
3550615.461.0710/27/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda will conduct multiple simultaneous attacks using powdered anthrax in Washington D.C. and New York, shortly before the US Presidencial elections.US11/3/2004
105268326.551.0410/14/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAl-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election.Terrorism11/3/2004
112240684.631.2810/11/2004
Con
Lifetime
YForged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.)US11/3/2004
123137854.071.339/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YIraqi WMD stockpiles located - in Syria/Bekaa ValleyIraq11/3/2004
180531992.771.562/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YYasser Arafat killed in an IDF attack.Middle East11/3/2004
79842276.301.193/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
NMajor al-Qaeda attack in the United States or against a major American target abroad.Terrorism11/3/2004
356015211.433.341/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YResponsibility for the Abhu Ghraib incident will be charged to an officer with rank lower than Lt. Colonel.US11/3/2004
213128792.351.745/5/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NBoston Red Sox win the World SeriesSports10/28/2004
157034633.211.459/18/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YHamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan.World10/28/2004
52151451.0336.978/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YYankees sweep the Red SoxSports10/20/2004
110126823.441.4110/13/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series.Sports10/18/2004
157234833.221.459/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YOsama Bin Laden killed or captured right in time for US elections.US10/16/2004
227127352.201.834/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections.Terrorism10/9/2004
295497117.851.069/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRash of wildfires throughout the Rocky Mountain region is connected to an Al'Qaeda or subsidiary; includes discovery/nullification of unexploded incendiary devices.Terrorism10/9/2004
496466810.411.114/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YA Canadian Team Wins the X-Prize.Sci/Tech10/6/2004
100241225.121.049/21/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YThe X-Prize is won, an attempt to privately launch a shuttle twice within 14 days.Sci/Tech10/4/2004
359115331.433.346/13/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home. Iraq10/3/2004
170495630.151.035/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea is caught proliferating nuclear materials.World10/3/2004
564520310.231.113/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor al-Qaeda attack in Europe.Europe10/3/2004
152541823.741.363/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFor his role in the National Guard memo scandal, Dan Rather resigns or is fired as anchor of the CBS Evening News by the 1st of October.US10/1/2004
115268724.371.049/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YThe Milwaukee Brewers finish above .500.Sports10/1/2004
55236644.021.026/26/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister.Europe10/1/2004
110528949.081.025/9/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAl Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. Terrorism10/1/2004
72543276.971.174/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCongress overrides the Army's decision to cancel the Comanche.US10/1/2004
90212724.631.043/28/2004
Con
Lifetime
YNorth Korea attacks South Korea.World10/1/2004
324714148.311.013/16/2004
Con
Lifetime
YGen. Pervez Musharraf will be overthrown by Islamists in Pakistan.World10/1/2004
376540815.381.073/17/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YDisclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher.US9/16/2004
410115471.383.655/5/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRather admits two documents forged and apologizes on TV.US9/16/2004
59735026.871.179/11/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org.US9/15/2004
153097207.471.008/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YImam Ali shrine complex is raided succesfully, but major damage occurs to the shrine; thus, sparking a mass Shia upraising.Iraq9/15/2004
22198891.361.018/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTransport Bomb Attack Occurs--"The US Department of Homeland Security has warned that bombs hidden in luggage could be used to attack buses and railways in big US cities this summer." (BBC)Terrorism9/15/2004
57948799.431.124/3/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWMD attack against London. Terrorism9/7/2004
71052498.391.143/29/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YBush's approval rating 50+% after RNC.US9/4/2004
389411451.294.408/25/2004
Pro
Lifetime
Y300 people arrested during Republican National Convention.US9/4/2004
22482901.138.758/24/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRussian authorities diffuse "school hostage crisis" without civlian casualtiesTerrorism9/3/2004
148225716.251.079/1/2004
Con
Lifetime
YDick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004.US9/3/2004
159134853.191.463/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorist attack somewhere in the United States on September 2nd the day President Bush gives his speech at the RNC.Terrorism9/2/2004
72833825.651.228/4/2004
Con
Lifetime
Yoil closes above $50.00World9/1/2004
43622186.091.208/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPeace efforts in Najaf fail and the Imam Ali shrine complex is raided to evict Muqtada al Sadr and his army.Iraq9/1/2004
80324664.071.338/17/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YIran is found to be actively supporting sabotage and/or terrorism within Iraq.Iraq8/30/2004
14351151.0813.486/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games.Terrorism8/30/2004
247425842.041.963/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
NAmerican fatalities in Iraq pass 1000. (For purposes of arbitration, CNN's special report on Coalition Casualties will be used; at this writing that number is 646)Iraq8/29/2004
279722161.792.264/15/2004
Con
Lifetime
YPresident Bush will attend the Olympics in Greece.US8/28/2004
121221519.311.058/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAn explosion severely damages the Imam Ali shrine. Iraq8/27/2004
160155210.701.108/20/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWill the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004?Iraq8/15/2004
51040208.881.134/21/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YMajor Chenchen attack in RussiaRussia8/1/2004
9907611.772.303/28/2004
Pro
Lifetime
NThe Supreme Court Rules that detainees at Guantanamo have the right to appeal to the Federal courtsUS8/1/2004
167324382.461.694/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBob Graham will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/2004
602374.951.256/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHillary Clinton will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/2004
23010215.441.236/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTom Vilsack will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
2805272.881.536/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YBill Richardson will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
2539616.841.066/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YWesley Clark will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
552465.471.226/17/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YJohn Edwards will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/2004
234912201.522.936/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YJohn McCain will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
0976976.001.006/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YEvan Bayh will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
2033217.601.066/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YRichard Gephardt will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
116816792.441.706/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
YChuck Hagel will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004
2211106.501.016/17/2004
Con
Lifetime
Y9/11 commission explicitly blames BushUS7/23/2004
183251514.741.073/28/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSuccessful Al'Qaeda strike in France.Terrorism7/14/2004
86243566.051.204/8/2004
Con
Lifetime
YAs a result of the Abu Ghraib scandal, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld resigns.US6/30/2004
150383426.561.045/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
NOsama Bin Laden capturedTerrorism6/30/2004
359525051.702.441/22/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor terrorist attack on Montreal public rail system prior to 06/28/04 Canadian General elections. Terrorism6/29/2004
83485259.461.026/1/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHillary announced as a Vice-Presidential running mate in 2004 election.US6/1/2004
440461111.481.101/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YCivil war erupts in Iraq. Shiites, Sunnites, Kurds attack Coalitian Forces and increasingly also each other.Iraq6/1/2004
97552206.351.194/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YSpain decides not to appear like they are intimidated by al Qaeda and keep their troops in Iraq.Terrorism6/1/2004
78542226.381.193/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YTerrorist attack in Finland.Terrorism6/1/2004
43375888.401.013/20/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YOil price rises above $44US6/1/2004
240413101.542.844/2/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUS opens the strategic oil reserves to ease fuel prices.US6/1/2004
67044767.681.153/30/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHighly sophisticated trojan virus program unleashed on the internet, more devastating than ever seen, variants plague internet for months. Sci/Tech5/1/2004
55944518.961.131/31/2004
Con
Lifetime
YUSA led troops attacks the city of Najaf in Iraq and kill or arrest Al-Sadr. Iraq4/24/2004
100600061.001.024/18/2004
Con
Lifetime
YHamas stages a terror attack against Americans in revenge for their leaders being killed by the Israelis. Terrorism4/22/2004
229551525.081.043/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YMajor Hamas attack against Israeli civilians, killing at least a hundred people. Terrorism4/22/2004
480650414.551.073/23/2004
Con
Lifetime
YFalluja, Iraq declared pacified by April 15.Middle East4/15/2004
380371610.781.104/7/2004
Con
Lifetime
YA definitive link is made between Al Quaeda and the ETA with regard to the bombings in MadridTerrorism4/9/2004
83742516.081.203/17/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YInsurgent fatalities occur in Iraq.Iraq3/30/2004
5112671.0177.303/15/2004
Pro
Lifetime
YPatriots win the 2004 Super Bowl.Sports1/31/2004
6002001.334.001/24/2004

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