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Subject: The politics of oil shale (Dems stonewall oil shale development)
Zhang Fei    6/7/2008 3:29:37 PM
(Quote)
You'd think this would be oil shale's moment.

You'd think with gas prices topping $4 and consumers crying uncle, Congress would be moving fast to spur development of a domestic oil resource so vast - 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil shale in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming alone - it could eventually rival the oil fields of Saudi Arabia.

You'd think politicians would be tripping over themselves to arrange photo-ops with Harold Vinegar (whom I profiled in Fortune last November), the brilliant, Brooklyn-born chief scientist at Royal Dutch Shell whose research cracked the code on how to efficiently and cleanly convert oil shale - a rock-like fossil fuel known to geologists as kerogen - into light crude oil.

You'd think all of this, but you'd be wrong.

Last month, the U.S. Senate's Appropriations Committee voted 15-14 to kill a bill that would have ended a one-year moratorium on enacting rules for oil shale development on federal lands (which is where the best oil shale is located). Most maddening of all - at least to someone like myself not steeped in the wacky ways of Washington - the swing vote on the appropriations committee, U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., voted with the majority even though she actually opposes the moratorium.

"Sen. Salazar asked me to vote no. I did so at his request," Landrieu told The Rocky Mountain News. A Landrieu staffer contacted by Fortune doesn't dispute this, but notes that Landrieu did propose a compromise which Republicans rejected.

Arghh!

She was speaking of U.S. Sen. Ken Salazar, D-Colo., who has emerged as the Senate's leading oil shale opponent. Salazar inserted the aforementioned moratorium into an omnibus spending bill last December, and in May he proposed a new bill that would extend the moratorium another year.

Salazar's efforts have essentially pulled the rug out from under Shell (RDSA) and other oil companies which have invested many, many millions into oil shale research since the passage of the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which established the original framework for commercial leasing of oil shale lands. (Last year, oil shale represented Shell's single biggest R&D expenditure.)

Salazar says he's simply trying to slow things down in order to ensure environmental considerations don't get trampled in the rush to turn western Colorado into a new Prudhoe Bay. But, ironically, his bid to extend the moratorium comes at a time when his fellow Senate Democrats have been blasting Big Oil for not reinvesting enough of their profits into developing new sources of energy.

I recently spoke with Republican U.S. Sens. Orrin Hatch of Utah and Wayne Allard of Colorado, the two lawmakers working hardest to end the oil shale moratorium. Here are some excerpts from the interviews:

Fortune: Why do you consider developing oil shale such a high priority?

Sen. Hatch: We have as much oil in oil shale in Utah, Wyoming and Colorado as the rest of the world's oil combined. Liberals and environmentalists can talk all they want about wind, solar and geothermal - all of which I'm for - but last time I checked, planes, trains, trucks, ships and cars don't run on electricity. 98% of transportation fuel right now is oil. Ethanol is the only real alternative, and we're seeing that ethanol has major limitations.

It's pathetic. Environmentalists are very happy having us dependent on foreign oil. They're unhappy with us developing our own. What they forget to say is that shipping fuel all the way from the middle east has a big greenhouse gas footprint too.

Fortune: Any hope of changing Sen. Salazar's mind? After all, he says he's not opposed to oil shale production in principle.

Sen. Allard: His mind seems pretty set. His argument is, if we delay this, it gives us an opportunity to phase it in gradually. But he's got it turned around. We need the rules and regulations in place first. When the oil companies go to bid on their leases, they need have some idea what their royalties might be and what their remediation requirements might be [for restoring the land at spent drilling sites].

Fortune: Have you talked to Shell about this?

Sen. Allard: We have, and they've indicated a great deal of frustration. They've put it this way: Look, we can't continue to invest millions and millions of dollars in this kind of research without seeing some light at the end of the tunnel.

Fortune: Sen. Salazar insists he just wants to take things more slowly.

Sen. Hatch: Sen. Salazar and the Colorado governor [Democrat Bill Ritter] say they don't want it to happen too fast. Well, the existing law that I sponsored [which became part of the 2005 energy act] makes it abundantly clear that each governor gets to decide how quickly developments should move forward in their respective states. [Salazar and Ritter] know that. What they're really doing is making sure that the governor of Utah and the governor of Wyoming never gets to make that decision for themselves.

Fortune: One of Sen. Salazar's environmental concerns involves water and the big draw on local water supplies required for oil shale production. Based on my reporting in western Colorado last year, this seems like a legitimate concern. What's your take on this?

Sen. Hatch: Let's compare it to ethanol. Corn needs about 1,000 barrels of water for the energy equivalent of a barrel of oil. That's a crazy amount of water, but it's worked out alright so far because corn is grown in rainy areas, for the most part. But if you want to increase the amount of ethanol, you're going to have to go to irrigation, and then there will be major water limits on how much we can afford to grow.

On the other hand, the Department of Energy estimates that oil shale will require three barrels of water for every barrel of oil.

Fortune: Of course, water is a lot scarcer in western Colorado than it is in Iowa.

Sen Hatch: It is, but remember the oil companies are going to use and recycle the water. And while we're on the environmental impact, let's talk about land use and wildlife habitat. One acre of corn produces the equivalent of 5 to 7 barrels of oil. One acre of oil shale produces 100,000 to 1 million barrels.

Fortune: With gasoline at $4, why this isn't this more of a front-and-center issue for consumers and voters?

Sen. Hatch: I'm generally the last guy to lambaste the media, but generally you do not hear these facts. We're sending $600 billion annually to enemies of our country. If one acre of oil shale produces 1 million barrels of oil, that's 1 million barrels that we would not be importing from Russia and the Middle East. People are going to go berserk when they find out that all along we had the capacity, within our own borders, to alleviate our dependency in an environmentally friendly way.

Ironically, the local governments in Colorado's oil shale areas do support oil shale development, but it's being stopped by the ski-resort elites. A couple months ago, an article came out about how the city of Aspen was being besieged with building applications equating to about $2 million in development a day. Now if those nice, rich people in Aspen really cared about the environment, they might save an acre or two of those beautiful forests they're building on and support some oil-shale development in the not-so-nearby and not-so-beautiful oil shale areas of Colorado.

Fortune: Has oil shale development always been a partisan issue or is this something new?

Sen. Allard: It is something new. The issue with the Democrats now is they want to cut off any source of carbon. And there are those in the Senate who believe the more expensive you make gasoline, the less driving people do and you force conservation by making driving so expensive people can't afford it.
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eldnah       6/8/2008 3:02:48 PM
Of course the people whose driving will be restricted are not the Gulfstream crowd but the middleclass folks who needs two incomes and/or work extra jobs.  
 
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Zhang Fei       6/8/2008 6:36:21 PM
The whole point of elitism isn't simply that the elites must live in luxury - other must live in oppressive squalor. From an elite standpoint, the problem with America is that too many of the hoi polloi get to live well, which dilutes the whole point of elitism.
 
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Nanheyangrouchuan       6/11/2008 3:06:11 PM
PUHLEEEEEEEEEASE!
 
The ranchers, farmers and ordinary townspeople in NW Colorado know about the disaster that is the tar sands and oil shale developments in Alberta, Canada.  They know that the air is choked with hydrocarbon vapors and the wastewater cannot be treated with current technology so it is left in giant pools until "something" fixes it so it can be released.
 
They don't want their lands turned into a black moonscape.
 
 
 
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eldnah       6/12/2008 4:25:28 PM
As I understand it, oil tar sands and oil shale are two different beasts. Oil tar sands are essentially strip mined and require approx. 20X the water per barrel of oil extracted vis-a-vis in situ shale oil extraction. Necessary environmental mitigation is also substantially less with shale oil which is said to be profitable when the price per barrel of oil exceeds seventy dollars per gallon. If people demand oil be extracted and processed without disturbing a blade of grass they are either naive, unrealistic or obstructive. 
 
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FJV       6/13/2008 5:26:56 AM
Maybe the senators know that the huge increase in oil price is not so much due to shortage *1), and for that reason they are hesitant to create new oil wells/supplies. Also in my opinion you'ld drill in Alaska before starting on tar sands. For all they know the "oil bubble" can pop and they are left with an investment that does not make money.

*1) Even if you believe in peak oil, the argument is made that the rise in oil prices is too steep to be explained by declining oil reserves. Also the current supply of oil contradicts the current high prices of oil. The reasons given for the oil prices that I have read are the lower dollar, speculation, increased demand and political unrest in oil producing regions.




 
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eldnah       6/13/2008 1:35:27 PM
One aspect of the price of oil is rarely mentioned and that is the declining value of the dollar, the currency oil is still traded in. The Euro has increased its value against the dollar by about fifty percent in the past few years. If I ruled an oil kingdom and I could in the recent past sell a barrel of oil for $1 then take that dollar and buy a new Airbus for my county's airline but now Airbus say I want $1.50 for my plane because the dollar is not worth what it was, what do I do? Do I say, okay I'll sell 1 1/2 barrels to get money for the plane I need or do I say hell, I'll just raise the price to $1.50 per barrel? Gets you from $66.667 per barrel to $100 per barrel pretty easily without even taking into account increasing demand vs supply.  
 
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CJH       6/14/2008 8:38:49 AM
"What they forget to say is that shipping fuel all the way from the middle east has a big greenhouse gas footprint too. "
 
A very good point.
 
 
"And while we're on the environmental impact, let's talk about land use and wildlife habitat. One acre of corn produces the equivalent of 5 to 7 barrels of oil. One acre of oil shale produces 100,000 to 1 million barrels. "
 
 
"Sen. Allard: It is something new. The issue with the Democrats now is they want to cut off any source of carbon. And there are those in the Senate who believe the more expensive you make gasoline, the less driving people do and you force conservation by making driving so expensive people can't afford it. "
 
With the liberals, it's all about control. They would rather rule in their own created hell than serve in heaven.
 
But then ethanol is the more politically correct buzzwordism. With political correctness, rationality is a liability.
 
 
 
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CJH       6/14/2008 9:40:18 AM

PUHLEEEEEEEEEASE!

 

The ranchers, farmers and ordinary townspeople in NW Colorado know about the disaster that is the tar sands and oil shale developments in Alberta, Canada.  They know that the air is choked with hydrocarbon vapors and the wastewater cannot be treated with current technology so it is left in giant pools until "something" fixes it so it can be released.

 

They don't want their lands turned into a black moonscape.

 

 

It is not clear, if I understand this Wikipedia item right, that Albertans would agree with your "black moonscape" characterization.

link
Please give your sources for "They know that the air is choked with hydrocarbon vapors and the wastewater cannot be treated with current technology so it is left in giant pools until "something" fixes it so it can be released".
 
What makes this dubious is that the producer is throwing away money in atmospherically vented hydrocarbon vapors.
 
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CJH       6/14/2008 9:45:18 AM
"Carbon dioxide sequestration" link
 
 This is a supposed "carbon footprint" reduction strategy. Where they are going to put it is what interests me. Synthetic limestone anyone?
 
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CJH       6/14/2008 9:58:34 AM

PUHLEEEEEEEEEASE!

 

The ranchers, farmers and ordinary townspeople in NW Colorado know about the disaster that is the tar sands and oil shale developments in Alberta, Canada.  They know that the air is choked with hydrocarbon vapors and the wastewater cannot be treated with current technology so it is left in giant pools until "something" fixes it so it can be released.

 

They don't want their lands turned into a black moonscape.

 

 

 

Nope, I don't see any corraboration of your assertions here either.
"http://oilsands.alberta.ca/"

 
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CJH       6/14/2008 10:19:27 AM
" PUHLEEEEEEEEEASE!
 
The ranchers, farmers and ordinary townspeople in NW Colorado know about the disaster that is the tar sands and oil shale developments in Alberta, Canada.  They know that the air is choked with hydrocarbon vapors and the wastewater cannot be treated with current technology so it is left in giant pools until "something" fixes it so it can be released.
 
They don't want their lands turned into a black moonscape."
 
OK! Here is the Sierra Club's damning assessment -
link
 
"Tailings lakes could leak toxic pollution into the water system having impacts throughout the Mackenzie River Basin, which spans from the tar sands area in the south through to the Arctic Ocean."
 
Yes, theoretically it could happen. Big deal!
 
 
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CJH       6/14/2008 10:24:20 AM
"Sen. Allard: It is something new. The issue with the Democrats now is they want to cut off any source of carbon. And there are those in the Senate who believe the more expensive you make gasoline, the less driving people do and you force conservation by making driving so expensive people can't afford it. "
 
This nails it about the Democrats. For all standard of living intents and purposes, the Democrats are our nation's enemies.
 
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Nanheyangrouchuan       6/14/2008 7:00:36 PM
A quick tutorial on oil shale:
"http://ostseis.anl.gov/guide/oilshale/index.cfm"

waste products of current oil shale extraction methods:
1. acid mine waste
"http://www.osti.gov/energycitations/product.biblio.jsp?osti_id=6210746"

2. " Principal waste products of oil shale extraction constitute up to 125% of the original volume, and disposal may, therefore, affect vast land areas." "Retort waters contain relatively high concentrations of complex, soluble organic components and the spent shales contain potentially leachable salts and organic pyrolytic products"

"http://jeq.scijournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/8/1/14"

3. pg 4, 5 (lower left corner), "http://www.princeton.edu/~ota/disk3/1980/8004/800410.PDF"
4. Testimonials from Alberta government researchers: "http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=522326"
5. Look at the tailings ponds! "http://pubs.pembina.org/reports/OSF_Fact72.pdf"

There is also one particular organic acid which is untreatable with current technology that makes the water unreleasable to surrounding waters.

I'm not saying that we shouldn't develop oil shale, but we should make oil companies jump through hoops, obey the law and not destroy the surrounding land so they can cut corners and make a few more bucks.  They'll make their profit even following BACT and they should be happy with that.

I'm curious as to why Republicans are so eager to push through oil shale development to the point that water and land resources are placed at risk:

"http://search.denverpost.com/sp?keywords=oil+shale&aff=3&searchbutton.x=7&searchbutton.y=6&searchbutton=Search"

 
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CJH       6/15/2008 12:44:17 PM
It just looks as if Democrats object to oil production in principle.
 
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Nanheyangrouchuan       6/15/2008 4:24:57 PM

It just looks as if Democrats object to oil production in principle.


Maybe if Republicans weren't so defensive about the oil industry's sloppiness...
 
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