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Subject: Dassault VP : Rafale's successor will join Eurofighter Consortium-like Euro Consortium.
SlowMan    10/19/2009 4:07:06 PM
New York Times article < link >

"Dassault appears to be thinking along the same lines. Eric Trappier, executive vice president at Dassault Aviation, said that Rafale?s ?successor will probably be designed through a European cooperation, from 2025.? "

So this is the end of all-French fighter aircraft.
 
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jackjack       10/27/2009 2:33:03 AM
"The point is, if Rafale were to suddenly secure two or three customers, or acquit themselves in a war (either of which could easily happen),"
 
welcome, do you think one bag of pixie dust will be enough, or will we need 2  bags for this to happen
but why encourage them .. they will print out your words and pin it to the head of the bed and read it aloud at night, as they self-pleasure themselves
 
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Godofgamblers       10/27/2009 3:59:38 AM

"The point is, if Rafale were to suddenly secure two or three customers, or acquit themselves in a war (either of which could easily happen),"
 

welcome, do you think one bag of pixie dust will be enough, or will we need 2  bags for this to happen

but why encourage them .. they will print out your words and pin it to the head of the bed and read it aloud at night, as they self-pleasure themselves



haha i appreciate your sense of humour, jj, don't forget though that i could post links of various forums where the Harrier, for example, is ripped apart. many claimed and still claim that it is useless because of the massive development costs, the fact that it has never scored a kill in AtoA combat, etc etc
But the fact is, that the harrier has serves and continues to serve an important role. it does have shortcomings, but any weapons system does....
 
Now, as for the technical claims of the French contingent, i cannot opine, not having a background in these matters.... usually in such technical matters i rely on the wisdom of senior posters such as Herald, GF, warpig and FS to guide me....
 
It's quite hilarious though, after reading these threads, to read the wikipedia entry on the Rafale. It discusses all the same design "issues" but in a completely dispassionate manner, without the hyperbole or personal attacks. the difference is striking... makes you wonder how relevant these issues are. 
 
Funny, in French "rafale" means "burst", usually referring to bullets. Little did the manufacturers of the Rafale know that the "bursts" the Rafale elicited were not in combat but on internet pages! hahaha
 
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Lynstyne       10/27/2009 4:06:17 AM




"The point is, if Rafale were to suddenly secure two or three customers, or acquit themselves in a war (either of which could easily happen),"

 



welcome, do you think one bag of pixie dust will be enough, or will we need 2  bags for this to happen



but why encourage them .. they will print out your words and pin it to the head of the bed and read it aloud at night, as they self-pleasure themselves









haha i appreciate your sense of humour, jj, don't forget though that i could post links of various forums where the Harrier, for example, is ripped apart. many claimed and still claim that it is useless because of the massive development costs, the fact that it has never scored a kill in AtoA combat, etc etc
 
Not usually one to be Pedantic but in 1982 the Harrier scored a few.
 
If you meant in US service probably correct but as its a CAS aircraft i wouldnt expect it to.

But the fact is, that the harrier has serves and continues to serve an important role. it does have shortcomings, but any weapons system does....

 

Now, as for the technical claims of the French contingent, i cannot opine, not having a background in these matters.... usually in such technical matters i rely on the wisdom of senior posters such as Herald, GF, warpig and FS to guide me....

 

It's quite hilarious though, after reading these threads, to read the wikipedia entry on the Rafale. It discusses all the same design "issues" but in a completely dispassionate manner, without the hyperbole or personal attacks. the difference is striking... makes you wonder how relevant these issues are. 

 

Funny, in French "rafale" means "burst", usually referring to bullets. Little did the manufacturers of the Rafale know that the "bursts" the Rafale elicited were not in combat but on internet pages! hahaha




 
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Godofgamblers       10/27/2009 4:20:37 AM
Ah that's great. I'm happy to be corrected. I think the Harrier is a fantastic piece of work.
 
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gf0012-aust       10/27/2009 4:25:55 AM

It's quite hilarious though, after reading these threads, to read the wikipedia entry on the Rafale. It discusses all the same design "issues" but in a completely dispassionate manner, without the hyperbole or personal attacks. the difference is striking... makes you wonder how relevant these issues are. =

gg, for a scholar I am surprised at your comment.  (rhetorical) you are aware that anyone can edit wiki, and that it is regarded as an almost useless source unless quoting empirical data?  data vs opinion.  referenced data vs extrapolation.  data vs agenda.  'tis a no brainer.  its why modern militaries allow internal wikis (which can't be seen by the public) but advise staff not to gather material on wiki (as supporting material).  

give me half an hour and I could run up a web page extolling the virtues of stalin and provide all manner of references to "prove" that he never had a moustache.

nobody uses OS wiki as a source to validate their position (unless it's empirical measurable references)

no offence, but you're a self admitted francophile :).  technology needs to be discussed without national bias or rose coloured glasses.

I deal with french defence companies through work, I don't see the same nonsense coming out of their shop - and they certainly give us more data than what you see on open forums. (hence why my eyes roll to the back of my head when people make claims about Rafale technical issues etc and claim technical primacy.  Hence my revulsion at cavalier implications of truth.

as I said, you may be more patient, but I am well and truly over some of the idiots.

 
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Godofgamblers       10/27/2009 4:56:57 AM
i was making no comment on the veracity of the wiki entry, gf; what i meant in my own clumsy way is that the wiki discussion is completely dispassionate and the contrast with these threads is quite funny... well, to me it is at least, though it just may be my sense of humor:)
 
i am sort of surprised to see BW speaking with such authority on this board since if i remember right he was a sniper; how is it that he is discussing stealth tech and radar signatures?!! quite interesting....
 
thanks for the compliment, btw, but i'm not a scholar.... just a normal joe.
 
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gf0012-aust       10/27/2009 5:14:35 AM
thanks for the compliment, btw, but i'm not a scholar.... just a normal joe.

you're far more sage than scholar...  :)
 
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Godofgamblers       10/27/2009 6:52:43 AM
"Scholar", "sage", there are so many words for "bum" in English heheh
 
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MK       10/27/2009 8:14:56 AM
m²No you didn't. The cross sensor work among the Australians, British, Germans, Americans, Italians, Norwegians, and the Dutch (even the Turks) never stopped. Guess whose names you significantly don't see? Israel, Korea, and France,   Guess what all the named have in common? (Its the F-35, Some are in, some are OUT. Gee (treachery, selling restricted technologies to none NATO and untrusted adversary states) I wonder why?).

I don't dispute that there was some collaboration and sharing of technology in general, I just don't believe that there was/is a full transfer of technology. Otherwise we wouldn't see so many independant seperate AESA research and development programmes with the same goal besides various nations/manufacturers including those you listed. We would see standardized TRMs and other related tech on US and European AESA systems, europeans wouldn't opt for a european solution and they wouldn't competing in the way they do.

But they screwed it up. Let me write it again. They screwed the RBE2 up. It radiates side-lobe noise.

I mean to remember that I have read about the side lobe issues, but can't judge further on that as I lack additional details.

Actually the software claim is also fallacious.  especially if the code model for the PESA beam steer is WRONG. 

You mean related to the side lobe issues?

I wouldn't trust THALES to tell me how to wire a lightbulb. Nor would I trust them to tell me the first thing about how to pour water out of a boot. As much as they've screwed up in avionics I'm surprised they've not been prosecuted for fraud.

OOPS.  Ever wonder why Thales is regarded as incompetent?  
 
What has Thales to do with the Captor?  And what has bribery to do with the quality of the actual product (it might have but that's not a must)?

CAESAR doesn't rely on gallium arsenide, MEADS does.

It actually did. If they will opt for GaN on a Captor-E production version remains to be seen. The TRMs used on the CAESAR demonstrator were actually GaA based.

Not for the Americans apparently or they would gimbal their sets.
Wonder why?

They might have reduced the looses of performance when directing the beam at higher angles, but the issue of a small aperture of a fixed array at its gimbals remains. Unless the americans found a way around physical laws, which can't be changed their ESA designs will underlay the same physical principles as any other ESA design.

The Germans did all the engineering. The French pit in a project manager (lawyer/politician) like they usually try to do. THERE IS A HINT THERE, MK..

Could you please share that hint if possible?

Its better than the gibberishg you tried to pass off, as its actually better and more generous assumpyions to the Squall than the numbers you tried to use. It also goes into far more technical detail than you asked.as it looks at burden loads and fuel fraction.s as an operating condotion than just quoting numbers off some wiki page .

There is no gibberish, if you had actually read what I wrote and compared the data I supplied with that stated in the document you linked to, you would realise that the data I provided were actually more worse for the Rafale. The empty weight stated in the document is actually ~450 kg lower than the one stated by official sources! That means if the guy who has assembled that document had used the empty weight I supplied (stated in a programme document and on the EC 1/7 website) the results for the Rafale would be a bit more worse!

In effect look at page 7 of the powerpoint. That extra thrust the Typhoon has means that dirty at altitude it can point better than the Squall. There is no way to escape what are good guesses based on assumed equivalents that are assigned for both planes. For one thing if you think the CAT limits for the Typhoon are too high then you really did not read page 1.

Look my point is that you stated the Rafale is underpowered and has a bad (high) wingloading. That is certainly bollocks and that is what I countered by bringing up data (from the operators/manufacturers). I could have further elaborated, but felt it should be sufficient. This is not a Rafale vs Typhoon issue for me, but rather a conter against unfounded claims. Compare the Rafale's TWR and wingloading  with that of other aircraft as well, not just the Typhoon and you'll see that your claims are overly exeggerated in a negative direction, albeit I agree that the view of some Rafale fans here is exeggerated in the opposite direction (the positive/optimistic one). I assess it from an objective view and try to be as neutral as possible on that.
 
I actually value that comparison as a fair assessment and one can clearly see the good intentions of the creator to provide an objective assessment on the base of PUBLICALLY available data. He got the Rafale's empty weight and Typhoon's fuel load wrong, albeit on a 50% internal fuel computing base the ratio of the results remains  unchanged. I actually pointed out that the guesses leave room for errors. The results can be both better or more worse for both aircraft in reality. The conclusions may give us a rough indication in the right direction, but they aren't definite.

A broader overview of TWR & wingloading parameters for different modern combat aircraft, kept simple but on purpose.
 
Computations for wingloading and TWR with 50% and 100% of internal fuel:
 
Sequence of data as follows:
Empty weight/internal fuel/static reheat thrust/wing area
 
F-15C (F100-PW-200):
12800 kg/6103 kg/2 x 10800 kg/56.49 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.3:1
Wingloading: 280 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.14:1
Wingloading: 334 kg/m²
 
F-15E (without CFT):
14369 kg/5952 kg/2 x 13200 kg/56.49 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.52:1
Wingloading: 307 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.3:1
Wingloading: 359 kg/m²
 
F/A-18C400/402 (F404-GE-400/402):
10455 kg/4926 kg/2 x 7257 kg (8053 kg)/38 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.12:1 (1.24:1)
Wingloading: 340 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 0.94:1 (1.04:1)
Wingloading: 404 kg/m²
 
 F/A-18E:
14318 kg/6682 kg/2 x 9980 kg/46.45 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.13:1
Wingloading: 380 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 0.95:1
Wingloading: 452 kg/m²
 
F-16C blk 52+ CFT:
9500 kg/4463 kg/13200 kg/27.87 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.125:1
Wingloading: 421 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 0.945:1
Wingloading: 501 kg/m²
 
MiG-35 (9.61):
11500 kg/5200 kg/2 x 9000 kg/43 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.27:1
Wingloading: 328 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.077:1
Wingloading: 388 kg/m²
 
JAS 39C:
6800 kg/2400 kg/8200 kg/24.80 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.025:1
Wingloading: 322 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 0.89:1
Wingloading: 371 kg/m²
 
Gripen NG:
7100 kg/3360 kg/10000 kg/24,80

Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.14:1
Wingloading: 354 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 0.956:1
Wingloading: 421 kg/m²
 
Rafale C:
9500 kg/4750 kg/2 x 7650 kg/45.7 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.29:1
Wingloading: 260 kg
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.07:1 (1.04:1)
Wingloading: 312 kg/m²
 
Typhoon:
11000 kg/4950 kg/2 x 9180 kg/50 m²
 
Values at 50% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.36:1
Wingloading: 269.5 kg/m²
 
Values at 100% of internal fuel:
TWR: 1.15:1
Wingloading: 319 kg/m²
 
1.) If you have any questions for the source of the specific data feel free to ask, I have written them out of my head and might got something wrong, but the values should be basically correct
 
2.) These are basic calculations, but they should be sufficient to show my point.
 
As you can see the Rafale has actually the lowest wingloading of any combat aircraft in close to NTOW (light AA configuration) configuration and with 50% fuel as well. It's TWR is actually superior to that of most other fighters with few exceptions such as the F-15 or Typhoon and of course a non CFT equipped Block 50+/52+ will fare better.
 
I read the same crap ten years ago when we first came up against the bird. "The only reason the Americans won five for five was because they out marketed us!", is what that article boils down too. If that was the case then there wouldn't be French Lafayettes in Singaporean service. Those would be Ingersoll ot Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding frigates. Not even bribes could get Dassault or Thales over the Singapore competition, and believe me they tried. The French lost on the MERITS, as in that their bird had no merits in the air, where it counts.

Not on the day when its introduced into service! I also hate to break the news to you, but aside from its engines and its radar, the F-22 is 1980s avionics crap arcvhiotecture wrapped in a 21st Century shell.. That still puts it FAR ahead of the Squall, which looks like 1970s avionics crap in a 1980s air frame built to a 1930s quality finish. The RUSSIANS build better.  Take a look at a Sukhoi  next to a Squall some time. Compare the avionics and the total finish. Its just not the Americans who out-build the French. Don't forget, that the RUSSIANS beat the Rafale in several competitions too!.
 
Well the views on why the Rafale lost out in several competitions differ, depending on who you ask. What is true or wrong is particularly difficult to determine. The Rafale also made it further in several competitions than some other aircraft (also it lost to some  of the same types in others). The Rafale has certainly drawbacks which speak against it on the export market. At the time an aircraft enters service it is obselete in the way that technologies found on that aircraft has been superseded, albeit they aren't obsolete in the way as those newer technologies will require years of development, debugging and testing before being fielded and by that time they are superseded again.
 
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french stratege       10/27/2009 8:16:39 AM
I read the same crap ten years ago when we first came up against the bird. "The only reason the Americans won five for five was because they out marketed us!", is what that article boils down too. If that was the case then there wouldn't be French Lafayettes in Singaporean service. Those would be Ingersoll ot Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding frigates. Not even bribes could get Dassault or Thales over the Singapore competition, and believe me they tried. The French lost on the MERITS, as in that their bird had no merits in the air, where it counts.
Well, facing Rafale in a true competition, US won Korean market and Singaporian with F15 in both case.
Report on criterias and notes were never published in both markets even both Rafale and F15 were finalists.
Some says that pressure of USA on Korea or Singapore on defense issues (like futur availability of F35 or some weapons syetems) since US protect both countries, let them won.
Moreover S vs euro parity did not help.
Before Rafale was not mature and we had nothing to show except paper.
On paper Rafale was ranked same than F35 in Dutch competition.Still Dutch choose F35 (on price issues!)
 
Air power is key of USA power and USA try to get monopoly on that as a supplier for western world.
Beating other competitors is important, especially if losing would give credibility to a competitor and a competitive product that USA has no control on like France.
US naval industry is not competitive since targeted on superships like Seawolf, Virginia, super carriers, DD 51 which are unaffordable.No affordable medium size product proposed on market or SSK.
Competition on naval systems is between France, Germany and Italy.
 
Now Rafale is maturing, is in service in the first 4th+ F3 version, has an AESA and range of weapons is extending.
Its roadmap is evolving toward a 5th generation fighter parity.
F18E or F15 (or Eurofighter) are less and less potent competitors.
Potential buyer has something to see now and can have more confidence in the futur of the program and its roadmap funding and updates.They have also a better view of F35 and its availability and cost and it makes Rafaleconcept more interesting than in the past.
Any customer who have not possibility to get F35 with control on, and can buy outside USA, will look for Rafale now (or Pak Fa).
 
 
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jackjack       10/27/2009 8:57:08 AM
m²No you didn't. The cross sensor work among the Australians, British, Germans, Americans, Italians, Norwegians, and the Dutch (even the Turks) never stopped. Guess whose names you significantly don't see? Israel, Korea, and France,   Guess what all the named have in common? (Its the F-35, Some are in, some are OUT. Gee (treachery, selling restricted technologies to none NATO and untrusted adversary states) I wonder why?).
 
you can add japan to the last list, people are still upset about a us IP marine propeller milling lathe to russia
 
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MK       10/27/2009 9:05:09 AM
On paper Rafale was ranked same than F35 in Dutch competition.Still Dutch choose F35 (on price issues!)
 
Was it just on cost grounds? I know the rating was 697 points for the F-35 (which did not even exist at that time) and 695 points for the Rafale. But it was merely a paper exercise rather than a true evaluation of the RNLAF.

Now Rafale is maturing, is in service in the first 4th+ F3 version, has an AESA and range of weapons is extending.

The current Rafale F3s don't have an AESA. The sole demonstrator is currently fitted to B301 which is not in frontline service. 
 
Its roadmap is evolving toward a 5th generation fighter parity.

With the difference that the Rafale will never achieve the level of stealthyness  of the F-22 or F-35, at least not when it comes to RCS.
 
F18E or F15 (or Eurofighter) are less and less potent competitors.

All of these types will be further developed as well. I hardly see why they should become less competitive over time.
 
Potential buyer has something to see now and can have more confidence in the futur of the program and its roadmap funding and updates.They have also a better view of F35 and its availability and cost and it makes Rafaleconcept more interesting than in the past.

The problem is how will the situation look like in 10+ years. You have a roadmap for the next few years up to 2018, albeit not everything seems to be funded right now. We don't know if the french can/will afford the specified total number of 294 and while the prospects in some markets look promising at the moment, no deals have been signed up to date! What will be the cost for spares and upgrades in the long term? As the Rafale will form the back bone for the AdA and MN it will certainly be further developed for the next 2+ decades, the question is at what pace.
 
Any customer who have not possibility to get F35 with control on, and can buy outside USA, will look for Rafale now (or Pak Fa).
TEST
 
They can also opt for the Gripen NG, Eurofighter or Su-35 and possibly MiG-35. The Super Hornet remains an option as does the F-15 and the F-16 though not all of them might be in production any more in a few years which will narrow the selection down. 
 
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sentinel28a       10/27/2009 1:32:59 PM
It depends on the article when it comes to Wikipedia--I've noticed that the further removed from "modern" history or controversy, the more accurate it is.  The article on, say, Otto II is probably safe; not too many internet trolls looking for trouble with the Middle Ages.  Sarah Palin, not so much. 
 
The Rafale article addresses both the shortcomings and the advantages of the Rafale; it's probably accurate to a point.
 
 
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french stratege       10/27/2009 1:51:47 PM
The current Rafale F3s don't have an AESA. The sole demonstrator is currently fitted to B301 which is not in frontline service. 
AESA radar production is launched and available end of next year in 2010, and any order of a Rafale now can includes it.
In fact if you launch an order now , you need 3 years to get your Rafale.
 
Its roadmap is evolving toward a 5th generation fighter parity.
With the difference that the Rafale will never achieve the level of stealthyness  of the F-22 or F-35, at least not when it comes to RCS.
I have never said that.However rafale RCS can still diminish probably by a ten factor and ECM add equivalent of a further 10 to 100 time reduction equivalent:
indeed reducing by 3 range of a radar with sophisticated ECM is equivalent to diminish by a 81 factor RCS by passive means.So it would surely put Rafale in the same class of F35.
F18E or F15 (or Eurofighter) are less and less potent competitors.
All of these types will be further developed as well. I hardly see why they should become less competitive over time.
Few improvment is possible to their basic airframe shortcoming regarding RCS optimisation or manoeuvrability unless Boeing invest a lot on its own funds and develop a potent active signature management.
 
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Hamilcar    This is going in circles.   10/27/2009 2:10:48 PM
I've read over three dozen Rafale threads on this board. There are two champions of the bird who repeat the same wrong  canards over and over. They don't know what they discuss. I will have one more post on this thread for the sake of MK who does know what he discusses, to ashow hbim where he and I see the same data and reach different conclusions, and then I will leave the subject alone I think. You cannot convince the biased that they are wrong on the merits, no matter how many times you knock down the wrong information they write or assert.
 
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