The Strategypage is a comprehensive summary of military news and affairs.
 News As History - March 20, 2010




New Strategy - Wargames at Discount Prices
1.Modern Air Power: War Over the Middle East
2.Commander: Napoleon at War
3.Close Combat: Watch am Rhein
4.Gallic Wars
5.Fast Action Battle: The Bulge

100+ Computer and Board games all with free shipping.
 
 
 
Military History | How To Make War | Wars Around the World Rules of Use
How to Behave on an Internet Forum
Fighters, Bombers and Recon Discussion Board
Sign In   Return to Topic Page
Subject: Dassault VP : Rafale's successor will join Eurofighter Consortium-like Euro Consortium.
SlowMan    10/19/2009 4:07:06 PM
New York Times article < link >

"Dassault appears to be thinking along the same lines. Eric Trappier, executive vice president at Dassault Aviation, said that Rafale?s ?successor will probably be designed through a European cooperation, from 2025.? "

So this is the end of all-French fighter aircraft.
 
Quote    Reply

Email Me When A New Comment Is Made
Show Only Poster Name and Title     Sort in Reverse Order Posted

Pages: PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17   NEXT
Lynstyne       10/21/2009 1:44:51 PM





Had France gone for a simpler (less sophisticated possibly single engined design) It would have been ready a lot earlier it would have had a much wider market and probably been a best seller now that may or may not have meant dropping the carrier capable requirement (hence my suggestion that the hornet would perhaps have been an option). You would have had all those Mirage customers (less those France Pissed off). Ive no doubt a few recent F16 orders would have gone Frances way (esp if U.S stores werer integrated). and it may have put a nail in the Grippens coffin by being ready first.

 


Thats an easy criticism to make with the benefit of hindsight but if you look at the circumstances under which the Rafale was concieved you will see that it isn't really fair. The Rafale and Typhoon first and foremost came out of a joint European Cold War requirement to beat the SU-27 and Mig-29. The SU-27 and derivatives in particular are tough customers and a less sophisticated platform would provide less certainty of achieving this goal. The attack function and the desire to achieve export orders were more important to France than Germany, the UK, Italy and Spain, which is why they split from the Eurofighter consortium, but the primary goal of being able to beat the Russian fighters was still the driving force behind the design.

 

So when you consider that the primary goal was to provide the French with a fighter to beat the Russians, going with a more sophisticated type was the right decision. I put the export performance down to a tight post-Cold War market which the French couldn't do anything about and a diverse range of choices for customers, for example from the F-16 and the Gripen at the lower end and the F-15E at the upper. Its been disappointing for the French but having a more capable type to ensure thier national security is the most important thing, something that I think the Swedes sold themselves short on with the Gripen.

 

Whats more I'm not convinced that your export oriented plan would have worked anyway. Dassault was already producing an excellent less sophisticated export earner in the Mirage 2000 so anything new that was less capable than the Rafale would just see customers saying "why would we bother upgrading?" and Dassault saying "Why would we bother establishing a new line when our old one will do the job?"

 

As alluded to by other posters the really big mistake was the decision to go with the Rafale M over the F-18, but that isbecause of the deficient state that it left French naval aviation in for so long, rather than because of any impact on the program.


 

 


Critisism noted.
As you say i am working with the benefit of hind sight,
 
The carrier capability was allways going to be a bone of contention to a pan european design, as for the G/A role Im sure with negotiation that role could have been designed in (theyve had to do it anyway) if France had been more willing to allow a bit of give and take.
 
I cant see a home built fighter of any sophistication emerging from europe again, the huge costs and shrinking market  dictate collaborative efforts either Pan european or across the pond.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

french stratege       10/21/2009 3:12:10 PM
Nice to see you here Alexis
Even assuming that cooperation with the US is impracticable because we would risk becoming a mere satellite, that cooperation with Russia is not possible because Moscow prefers to remain independent and that we decide cooperation with China is not desirable because it would be provocative to the US and Japan and because we don't trust Beijing on property rights, India and Brazil could be valuable partners. Also more hypothetically Japan or Israel, depending of course of the future of their respective strategic relationships with the US, and their willingness to remain dependent on Washington
Cooperation with Russia is provocative to USA and not in our interest.
Israel will stick with US products as long USA give 3 billions $ each year in aid.Moreover I don't think a lot of french politicians and diplomats would be happy to see israeli aircrafts bombing arabs.
 
BTW today Kuwait declares it is interested and waiting for Dassault offer.
 
Quote    Reply

sentinel28a       10/21/2009 7:36:18 PM
I don't know, FS...de Gaulle screwing the Israelis out of the Mirage 5 really worked out well for France, didn't it?  It's not like you've had any problems with Arab terrorism since...except, of course, you have.  France of all nations should know the price of appeasement.  In any case, Israel does buy French equipment, and if they haven't bought the Rafale, it's because they don't want or need it--being satisfied with late-model F-16s until the F-35 rolls around.  (Now if the F-35 gets cancelled...maybe.)
 
Getting back to the topic--could the F-18 have operated off the Foch/Clemenceau?  I would think it would be too heavy with not enough deck space.  If that's not true, then the F-18 would've been a good choice--though I can see, given France's somewhat understandable desire to steer a middle course, why they would pump money into the Rafale and not just buy F-18s.  (Though I notice France did finally say "screw it" and bought C-130s rather than wait umpteen years for the A400M.)
 
 
Quote    Reply

Alexis       10/22/2009 11:28:15 AM

Cooperation with Russia is provocative to USA and not in our interest.

Israel will stick with US products as long USA give 3 billions $ each year in aid.Moreover I don't think a lot of french politicians and diplomats would be happy to see israeli aircrafts bombing arabs.
 

Hello FS! I also was glad to see you reversed your decision last year not to take part on these boards.

I agree with both your points... as far as the present situation in world relations is concerned. But we're speaking of decisions which would become final maybe a decade from now. My hypothesis is that the present economic crisis is a global depression, at least as devastating as the 1930s', and whose most important stages are still to come.
In this case, geopolitical consequences can be expected to be very large, and are largely unpredictable by now.
International relations in the 2010s decade may turn out to be just as quiet, stable and devoid of surprises as they were in the 1930s. That's why I would say no cooperation scenario should be closed by now.


 
Quote    Reply

Alexis       10/22/2009 11:32:49 AM

I don't know, FS...de Gaulle screwing the Israelis out of the Mirage 5 really worked out well for France, didn't it?  It's not like you've had any problems with Arab terrorism since...except, of course, you have.  France of all nations should know the price of appeasement.
 

Actually, Sentinel, De Gaulle did not "screw" the Israelis. He just advised them - admittedly in no uncertain terms... - to refrain from beginning armed attacks against Arabs in 1967, in spite of the closure of the Aqaba gulf by Egyptian forces giving Israel the formal right to consider itself at state of war, arguing that Israeli victory was anyway certain given the forces in opposition and that the Arab bluff should not be called, and warning that France would not support (with spare parts etc.) armed attacks begun by Israel.
 
His concern was also that Israel having conquered the lands it was yearning for (West Bank mainly) would not be ready to relinquish their control to their inhabitants after the war and that the armed conflict which would ensue against Arab resistance ("which Israel would call terrorism") would become a deadend impossible to solve, this just as the pride wound suffered by the Arabs at the time of Israel creation needed time to heal, instead of more land loss with unpredictable consequences.

This is precisely what he publicly expressed in press conference six months after the 1967 war, at a time when it had become obvious that Israel was indeed set on settling the occupied territories, never to let them go. I would say time has fully validated his concerns.
 
 
Arab terrorism in France in the 1990s had little if anything to do with the 1967 conflict. It was the consequence of French support to the Algerian government struggling against an Islamist insurgency which lost in the end, at a time when many countries, the US included, were maintaining contacts with those Islamists so as to prepare good relations after their arrival to power...

Like most Islamist forces, these were inspired by Wahhabism, the state ideology of Saudi Arabia. Which I think is more of a US ally than of a French one... even if also we are admittedly sometimes complacent about them.
 
Had France supported Israeli occupation of the territories occupied in 1967, and continued to support until now like the US are doing, it would not have lessened any bit Islamist terrorism. Maybe it would have worsened it.


 
Quote    Reply

sentinel28a       10/22/2009 1:43:36 PM
Alexis, that's ridiculous.  Israel had paid for those Mirage 5s, and de Gaulle voided the contracts.  If he had merely advised them not to do whatever, why cancel them?  The only way I can resolve what de Gaulle did and what you wrote is to say de Gaulle punished the Israelis for not listening to him, which is childish.  Moreover, the Mirage 5s ended up in AdA service, with all the instructions still in Hebrew, and the AdA didn't want or need a clear-weather fighter bomber in notoriously wet Central Europe.  Sucking up to the Arabs hasn't really helped France in the Middle East that much.
 
I don't want to hijack the thread to talk about Israeli policy, but why is it Israel has to give up territory it takes in wartime but no other country does?  I don't see France giving Calais back to England anytime soon.
 
 
Quote    Reply

Bluewings12       10/22/2009 5:02:03 PM
Lynstyne :
 
""Why , why is it so stupid . The rafale is sadly the wrong aircraft at the wrong time for the wrong market.(...)
I will one last time try to converse with you.  ""
 
It is stupid because you did not take a step back and think like a French  DGA or DoD Official . I don 't have much time right now (I 'll have more 2moro) but to make it short , France and the DGA (Delegation Génerale de l 'Armement) needed a fighter for both the FAF and MN . After the split with the EC proposition (Typhoon "rafalerized") , the DGA asked Dassault to design something to fit the French first . Dassault ' s prototypes of early Rafales were very much within the DGA requirement :
 
but the Avioner said that he could do much better regarding LO and avionics .
With the Rafale Co1 , they knew that they had a winning ticket :

 
Dassault and its Partners also explained to the DGA , to the FAF and to the MN what a Rafale F1 then F2 , then F3 (etc) could do and what technology employed would be :
 
 
All of this to say that France needed the Rafale because of 3 things :
-1) R&D and to give a shape to our engineerers 's capabilities .
-2) To kill two birds with the same stone : FAF and MN : one single aircraft to fit them all
-3) The proposed aircraft was going to be better than the EC program or the Hornets .
 
That 's why it would have been stupid to get more Mirages and buy Hornets or even later SHs to the US  .
 
 
Cheers .
 

 
 
Quote    Reply

jackjack       10/22/2009 10:12:29 PM
""Dassault ' s prototypes of early Rafales were very much within the DGA requirement :""
 
what ? you mean they wanted a first batch of planes to put in a warehouse and never fly
 
Quote    Reply

Lynstyne       10/23/2009 7:52:24 AM

Lynstyne :

 


""Why , why is it so stupid . The rafale is sadly the wrong aircraft at the wrong time for the wrong market.(...)

I will one last time try to converse with you.  ""


 

It is stupid because you did not take a step back and think like a French  DGA or DoD Official . I don 't have much time right now (I 'll have more 2moro) but to make it short , France and the DGA (Delegation Génerale de l 'Armement) needed a fighter for both the FAF and MN . After the split with the EC proposition (Typhoon "rafalerized") , the DGA asked Dassault to design something to fit the French first . Dassault ' s prototypes of early Rafales were very much within the DGA requirement :

 

but the Avioner said that he could do much better regarding LO and avionics .

With the Rafale Co1 , they knew that they had a winning ticket :




 

Dassault and its Partners also explained to the DGA , to the FAF and to the MN what a Rafale F1 then F2 , then F3 (etc) could do and what technology employed would be :

 


 

All of this to say that France needed the Rafale because of 3 things :

-1) R&D and to give a shape to our engineerers 's capabilities .

-2) To kill two birds with the same stone : FAF and MN : one single aircraft to fit them all


-3) The proposed aircraft was going to be better than the EC program or the Hornets .

 

That 's why it would have been stupid to get more Mirages and buy Hornets or even later SHs to the US  .


 

 

Cheers .


 




 



Thank you for a more reasoned reponse.

You did however misunderstand me on one point. I was not advocating France buy more Mirage , my suggestion was that the Rafle was designed more as a Mirage succesor (f16 / grippen competitor) - A suggestion whos flaws were pointed out by sentinal (i think).
 
It could sill have been Marinised fulfilling that requirement.  Such an aircraft may well not have been the biz A2A hence why i suggested Staying on with Typhoon or perhaps buying a number as a dedicated A2A fighter.
 

 
 
Quote    Reply

Das Kardinal       10/23/2009 10:20:42 AM
No, Lynstine, the Rafale wasn't to be the Mirage's successor. Well, not only. It was to replace the Mirage family (2000 and F1), the Etendards and Corsairs in MN service, the Jaguar, the Mirage IV. All of them. 
 
Quote    Reply

Das Kardinal       10/23/2009 10:28:54 AM
Damn, there's no way to edit a message. Promise, I won't turn into cwDeici 2 :-D
Settling for a "cheap and chearful" Mirage replacement (with a navalized version) that wouldn't do the A2A (or A2G) job well enough that another type should be purchased to complement it would have negated the goal of the program : one platform to fulfill every mission.
Case in point : AdA or MN Rafales can do A2A, A2G, AShW, Recon... effectively (yes it took the F3 standard but there it is now). 
Typhoon will have to be complemented by JSFs in A2G. JSFs will have to be complemented by Typhoons in A2A (at least that's the current thinking among operators). Maybe the combo's going to be better in pure efficiency, but it's still two very different platforms, thus increasing costs and complication. 
Of course it's always a compromise, in the end.
 
Quote    Reply

MK       10/23/2009 2:18:52 PM
I think there is a broad misunderstanding of the reasons why France left the EFA programme. It was certainly not because of carrier compatibility issues, but due industrial reasons and the AdAs requirements. Back in 1982 the MN studied the option of procuring the F/A-18 which would have been able to operate from the french carriers. The french did not decide to go ahead with a navalized new fighter (Rafale) before 1986 and at that time France had already left the EFA programme. It was the french demand for design leadership and 50% workshare, the usage of the M88 7-7.5t class engine under development by SNECMA at that time. The remaining partners didn't accept that, 3 of them already collaborated on the Tornado and persued a partnership of equals and a workshare arrangement based on the total numbers to be procured by each nation. Other differences concerned the configuration and class of the aircraft. The french required a 9t fighter with strong emphasis on AG operations, germans and italians were looking for a pure airdefence fighter/interceptor in the 10t class, powered by 8-8.5t class engines, while the brits and spanish prefered a heavier multirole fighter optimised for AA, with a secondary AG role in the 11-12t weight class and with an engine thrust between 9-11t. The french additionally prefered Dassault's proposal for a close coupled canard design with side mounted intakes, while the others prefered the long coupled configuration with chin mounted intakes.
 
Would it have been better for the MN to procure the F/A-18? At that time yes, given the lengthy development phase of the Rafale, in the long term a common type fleet for both AdA and MN is certainly more economical.
 
Is the Rafale M a bad striker because it thought about purchasing twin-seaters, something the AdA did? Not worse than the F/A-18C/E in comparison to the F/A-18D/F.
 
 
The french can be proud of the Rafale, but it shows that nowadays it is even more difficult to fund such a project all alone and I have my doubts that France would be able to do that again. It's not that their industry isn't capable of doing so, but the ability of the french state to afford such a project.
 
Quote    Reply

Bluewings12       10/23/2009 4:49:18 PM
jack :
 
(Me)""Dassault ' s prototypes of early Rafales were very much within the DGA requirement :
(You) what ? you mean they wanted a first batch of planes to put in a warehouse and never fly""
 
Huh ??? Do you understand "requirement" ? You know, stuff like aerodynamics , weight , thrust , range , max load , hard points , etc ... 
 
Lynstyne :
""Thank you for a more reasoned reponse.""
 
You 're welcome Lynstyne .
 
""the Rafale was designed more as a Mirage succesor (f16 / grippen competitor)""
 
I disagree strongly and I don 't see it this way at all because your way is wrong on every accounts .
---First error : why the Mirage successor would compete in the F-16/Gripen class and /or league ???  The F-22 is the "successor" (if I may say) of the Eagle , but the difference is enormous in between the two . The difference in between a Mirage 2000-5 and a Rafale is also enormous .
---Second error : you rate the successor of the Mirage in the F-16/Gripen league when the Mirage is already amongst the best in this very league . You are underrating or looking down on the M2000 .
 
""It could sill have been Marinised fulfilling that requirement.""
 
No . Dassault and the Marine Nationale tried to turn the Mirage into a Carrier capable aircraft and the blueprints suggested a 80% change with the airframe (which was in itself a show stopper) , a complete redesign of the under carriage and frame support , new hard points and then , a single engine aircraft was simply ... unthinkable anymore .
 
MK , excellent post . As usual :-) May I ask you who you are by the way ?
 
Cheers .


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

Hamilcar    Excellent post.   10/23/2009 5:19:18 PM

I think there is a broad misunderstanding of the reasons why France left the EFA programme. It was certainly not because of carrier compatibility issues, but due industrial reasons and the AdAs requirements. Back in 1982 the MN studied the option of procuring the F/A-18 which would have been able to operate from the french carriers. The french did not decide to go ahead with a navalized new fighter (Rafale) before 1986 and at that time France had already left the EFA programme. It was the french demand for design leadership and 50% workshare, the usage of the M88 7-7.5t class engine under development by SNECMA at that time. The remaining partners didn't accept that, 3 of them already collaborated on the Tornado and persued a partnership of equals and a workshare arrangement based on the total numbers to be procured by each nation. Other differences concerned the configuration and class of the aircraft. The french required a 9t fighter with strong emphasis on AG operations, germans and italians were looking for a pure airdefence fighter/interceptor in the 10t class, powered by 8-8.5t class engines, while the brits and spanish prefered a heavier multirole fighter optimised for AA, with a secondary AG role in the 11-12t weight class and with an engine thrust between 9-11t. The french additionally prefered Dassault's proposal for a close coupled canard design with side mounted intakes, while the others prefered the long coupled configuration with chin mounted intakes.

 

Would it have been better for the MN to procure the F/A-18? At that time yes, given the lengthy development phase of the Rafale, in the long term a common type fleet for both AdA and MN is certainly more economical.

 

Is the Rafale M a bad striker because it thought about purchasing twin-seaters, something the AdA did? Not worse than the F/A-18C/E in comparison to the F/A-18D/F.


 

 

The french can be proud of the Rafale, but it shows that nowadays it is even more difficult to fund such a project all alone and I have my doubts that France would be able to do that again. It's not that their industry isn't capable of doing so, but the ability of the french state to afford such a project.


The Super Hornet is vastly superior to the Rafale as is the standard Hornet simply because of the radar, the missiles,  and two generations of air warfare experience that showed what worked and what didn't. The French made a 1985 guess about what air warfare, air to air and air to ground, would look like, and they guessed wrong. They chose the wrong radar development path, tried to build the wrong kind of missile to go with that radar, and they developed an underpowered set of engines to go with that aircraft. Their partners had access to Russian and American data, and refused to follow the French into a blind dead end plane. Its sad, really, because Dassault was warned by Aeromachi and MBB that they were headed the wrong technical way.
 
Now the French belatedly develop a whole class of standoff weapons, and they try to fix the RBE2 radar with a new  AESA front end copied from the Americans (don't be deceived by the advertusing fluff, it's a blatant Thales copy of American NG tech)  as well as update and product improve the less than satisfactory M-88 engines which, as reported from the Rafale's brief Afghanistan foray, failed to even meet the minimum hours mean hours between teardown, the French Air Force expected.  

 
 
 
Quote    Reply

french stratege       10/23/2009 5:23:42 PM
  Some stuff to correct:
 
I think there is a broad misunderstanding of the reasons why France left the EFA programme. It was certainly not because of carrier compatibility issues, but due industrial reasons and the AdAs requirements. Back in 1982 the MN studied the option of procuring the F/A-18 which would have been able to operate from the french carriers.
True that French navy wanted at a time F18C
The Dassault negociated with Boeing and proposed to co invest with Boeing in F18E to satisfy ASAP MN needs if a french naval version was not be developped or later.
 
 The french did not decide to go ahead with a navalized new fighter (Rafale) before 1986 and at that time France had already left the EFA programme. It was the french demand for design leadership and 50% workshare, the usage of the M88 7-7.5t class engine under development by SNECMA at that time.
We wanted a 30% workshare not 50%
It was not Dassault who decided to leave program but french procurement authory (DGA) because other were willing to give Dassault 30% of worksahre and lead on program but British wanted R&R to get the lead on engine which would put Snecma at risk of losing its design competency.
France wanted to preserve all expertise to build a national plane so can not accept to have a secondary part on engine.
 
The french required a 9t fighter with strong emphasis on AG operations, germans and italians were looking for a pure airdefence fighter/interceptor in the 10t class, powered by 8-8.5t class engines, while the brits and spanish prefered a heavier multirole fighter optimised for AA, with a secondary AG role in the 11-12t weight class and with an engine thrust between 9-11t. 
Granted Dassault wanted to build a polyvalent fighter like F16 or F15 is and not a air to air only plane since he thought that on long term export market want a polyvalent plane.
Other reasons on technical issues are secondary.
The main issue was to preserve french expertise and not give it for free.
 
Would it have been better for the MN to procure the F/A-18? At that time yes, given the lengthy development phase of the Rafale, in the long term a common type fleet for both AdA and MN is certainly more economical.
 It would have been better to buy 15 to 30 F18C as an interim measure and introduce Rafale naval version in 2008
 
Is the Rafale M a bad striker because it thought about purchasing twin-seaters, something the AdA did? Not worse than the F/A-18C/E in comparison to the F/A-18D/F.
 This is ridiculous.Single fighter are good enough.Twin seater are only better to drop LGB but since JDAM or AASM exist it is less important.
 
The french can be proud of the Rafale, but it shows that nowadays it is even more difficult to fund such a project all alone and I have my doubts that France would be able to do that again. It's not that their industry isn't capable of doing so, but the ability of the french state to afford such a project.
The french state can afford such a project if our military command is able to rationalize french defense budget and spend correctly its money.
However if a futur cooperation is possible without the drawbacks we have seen on eurofighter, we will do it.
 
Quote    Reply
Pages: PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17   NEXT



StrategyWorld.com© 1998 - 2010StrategyWorld.com. All rights Reserved. StrategyWorld.com, StrategyPage.com, FYEO, For Your Eyes Only and Al Nofi's CIC are all trademarks of StrategyWorld.com Privacy Policy