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Subject: Rafale F3 leading Brazilian F-X race on the promise of extensive tech transfer over Super Hornet
SlowMan    8/4/2009 3:43:03 PM
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Contenders

Rafale F3 : $130 million per plane + extensive tech transfer
Super Hornet : $90 million per plane, weapons and support + will buy some parts from Brazilian suppliers.
Gripen NG : $60 million per plane. Will build half of NGs in Brazil.

Rafale F3 is favored over Super Hornet because of the promise of an extensive tech transfer.
 
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french stratege       9/10/2009 12:59:46 PM
It is a deal on the same magnitude that France had with Israel or USSR with China in the sixties.
 
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SlowMan       9/10/2009 2:26:58 PM
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According to AFP, Brazilian president received a letter signed by Sarkozy guaranteeing unrestricted tech transfer, and this was the final nail that closed the deal.
 
The US countered by announcing that US would transfer technology necessary for local production of Super Hornet, meaning just airframe fabrication and assembly tech and not AESA radar or avionics.
 

 
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sentinel28a       9/10/2009 2:33:06 PM
FS, Brazil doesn't depend on the US for hardly anything in its armed forces.  Most of its Army equipment is either home-grown or French; most of its naval equipment is European, and only a third of the air force uses American equipment (the C-130, KC-707 conversions, and F-5s)--everything else is either French or made by EMBRAER.  The Rafale will likely replace the F-5, since the Mirage III was already replaced by the Mirage 2000.
 
And as usual, Bluewings, you can stop the mental masturbation over the Rafale anytime.  Can the F3 lase its own bombs?  Because earlier Rafales couldn't.  The Super Hornet could from the moment it rolled out of the factory.  With suitable improvement, the Rafale would be the equal of a Super Bug, but not as it sits now and certainly not as it was rolled out.
 
Good heavens, French guys! Your pet aircraft finally got a good contract!  Be happy with that.
 
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Rufus       9/10/2009 3:33:55 PM
"FS, Brazil doesn't depend on the US for hardly anything in its armed forces.  Most of its Army equipment is either home-grown or French; most of its naval equipment is European, and only a third of the air force uses American equipment (the C-130, KC-707 conversions, and F-5s)--everything else is either French or made by EMBRAER.  The Rafale will likely replace the F-5, since the Mirage III was already replaced by the Mirage 2000."
 
 
Something one would think a self proclaimed expert would already know...
 

 
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Bluewings12       9/10/2009 3:44:47 PM
sentinel :
""And as usual, Bluewings, you can stop the mental masturbation over the Rafale anytime.""
 
Uh ? Maybe it is you who should inform yourself ...
 
""With suitable improvement, the Rafale would be the equal of a Super Bug""
 
??? excuse me but the Rafale won on technical every evaluation and competition it did enter . That goes for South-Korea , Singapore , Switzerland and Brazil . Tell me , how often the SH was dropped first or second ? So ?..
 
Are the foreign armed forces overestimating the Rafale  when they flew it or are the internet posters underestimating the aircraft ? Pick your choice ...
 
FS , could you please find an official paper who proves your saying regarding who will build the aircraft , thank you .
 
Cheers .
 
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Rufus       9/10/2009 4:05:02 PM
"??? excuse me but the Rafale won on technical every evaluation and competition it did enter . That goes for South-Korea , Singapore , Switzerland and Brazil . Tell me , how often the SH was dropped first or second ? So ?.."
 
LMAO, once again you are nothing but a pathetic liar bluewings. 
 
Addressing only the new material and not the previous losses the Rafale has suffered that have already been hammered into the ground 100 times in 100 other threads... how do you figure the Rafale "won on technical grounds" when the Brazilian airforce has not even completed its study of the competitors?
 
You are a liar and a troll.
 
 
 
Boeing Sweetens Offer to Brazil to Win Jet Fighter Contract

By Joshua Goodman

Sept. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Boeing Co., sweetening its bid to beat out Dassault Aviation SA and win an order for 36 jet fighters from Brazil?s air force, offered to assemble most of the proposed contract?s F/A-18 Super Hornets in the country.

The planemaker wants to manufacture the first 12 planes in the U.S. and transfer equipment and tools to assembly lines to Brazil so Sao Jose dos Campos-based Empresa Brasileira Aeronautica SA could assemble the remainder, said Mike Coggins, who is overseeing the sale for Boeing.

?If Brazil chooses to exercise this option, we?re on board, and the U.S. government has been on board since February, when they granted us full authority and approval,? Coggins said in a phone interview from Brasilia. ?We do recognize it is important to Brazil that these jets are final-assembled here.?

Boeing wants to prevent France?s Dassault from winning work that analysts estimate could be valued at as much as 5 billion euros ($7.29 billion). The Chicago-based company made its offer last week, before French President Nicolas Sarkozy traveled to Brazil, pitching Dassault?s Rafale jet with a promise to build some locally as well as buy 10 Embraer military transport aircraft.

Boeing, Dassault and a third finalist, Sweden?s Saab AB, are being allowed to amend their bids delivered in June, Coggins said. Brazil?s air force will make its recommendation this month, Coggins said. (Politics Politics Politics... what kind of a leader picks his favorite plane before the airforce has even issued its recommendation?...)

France?s government promised to grant Brazil exclusive rights to sell the Rafale in Latin America. Coggins called the offer a ?marketing ploy? since few other regional buyers can afford the plane or have committed to other suppliers.

?We feel that Brazil?s goals of national autonomy and industrial development are best served by a 30-year partnership with the largest aerospace company in world,? he said.

Under Boeing?s offer, Embraer would perform both the final assembly on the remaining 24 jets and ?do the same work should the number of jets grow,? Coggins said.

 
 
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Bluewings12       9/10/2009 4:30:05 PM
What some have to understand is this : the most important part of the deal is not the sale in itself but the political side .
 
Brazil sees itself as a big member of the G20 (like India) and they want to have their word to say . France doesn 't have a big influence in South-America besides few small weapons sales here and there , nothing much in fact but we already have a long time business history with the Brazilians . What France did and still doing in the UAE is a good deal for both sides , a win-win situation . We try to do the same with Brazil , we bring our hardware and knowledge to better their armed forces , we share our technology (not in the case of the UAE) and we get decent money , political friendship and trust . 
 
Brazil knows that they will have air superiority over South-America with the Rafale and a second to none Sea and ground striker . Then , if they want to "reverse engineering" Spectra (or else) , it will be LEGAL for them to do so and they will even get help from the French , they want to learn and they are ready to pay top money for and that is part of the deal .
The US don 't want to share and they are loosing in the long term .
Basically , France doesn 't give much of a crap if the Brazilians open up the French "gizmos" because we always are one generation ahead and they have to learned how to do it by themselves and that takes time .
 
Then , Brazil will also get the possibility to sell their futur home built Rafales (!) which is enormous in itself (at least regarding the International Law) . I can ' see Lockmart or Boeing doing the same (rolling eyes) .
Of course this is purely theorical , why would Brazil sell Rafales to Bolivia , Colombia , Peru , Venezuela , etc ?
 
Then , there is the French nuclear tech , our highly capable diesel Subs and a Nuclear attack Sub , attack shoppers , etc ...
From a customer PoV the difference in between a US deal and a French deal is about trust and friendship . Where one try to sell a fighter without the maintenance (F-35) , the other gives everything and get an Ally .
 
Who 's getting the better deal and the last laugh ?
 
Cheers .
 
 
 
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Bluewings12       9/10/2009 4:40:08 PM
Rufus :
""You are a liar and a troll.""
 
No , it is just that I am informed and you are not .What I said is now a well known fact reported by FAF officials (Like the Col. Moussez) . Indeed (as I said many times) Rafale won on every technical evaluation it did participate . Stop insulting me and do some research , thank you .
 
Cheers .
 
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sentinel28a       9/11/2009 12:26:58 AM
Bluewings, if the Rafale won on technical terms in all those countries...why is Brazil the only one besides France (and possibly Libya--haven't heard anything about that for awhile, what happened there?) who has bought it?  Switzerland and Taiwan are on hold, Singapore and South Korea went for the F-15E, Morocco went for the F-16.  If the Rafale is such a world-beater, why isn't it selling?  Given the tech transfer Brazil is getting, one could make the case that Sarkozy basically bribed the Brazilians into buying it.  It almost sounds like the Brazilians wanted the tech and the nuclear submarines, and bought the Rafale because otherwise they wouldn't be getting it.  "Oh, all right, Sarkozy, we'll buy the damn thing! Now give us the other stuff!"
 
And actually, France has done pretty good in South America, especially with air forces.  Brazil and Peru fly Mirage 2000s, Colombia flies Mirage 5s, Ecuador flies Jaguars and Gazelles, Argentina flies Mirage IIIs and Super Etendards.  French Exocets came close to forcing the British out of the South Atlantic.  Those aren't small, isolated arms sales, but big time pitches.  And why not? The Mirage series is exceptional, the Su is a great airplane. 
 
You wonder why you're not taken seriously here?
 
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doggtag    WTF moment #2: We're not dead yet!   9/11/2009 8:10:08 AM
Saab refuses to concede defeat as well, it seems...
 
Saab Takes Part In the Continued Fighter Procurement Process in Brazil
link
 
 
 
Seems that nobody seems to know anything at all after all.
All three offerors are still saying they're in the competition, no one's admitting defeat, yet anything coming out of Brazil seems to be predominantly pointing to France's favor.
 
In another time and place, I'd call this humor.
 
 
 
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Bluewings12       9/11/2009 9:31:47 AM
Sentinel :
""Bluewings, if the Rafale won on technical terms in all those countries...why is Brazil the only one besides France (and possibly Libya--haven't heard anything about that for awhile, what happened there?) who has bought it?  Switzerland and Taiwan are on hold, Singapore and South Korea went for the F-15E, Morocco went for the F-16.  If the Rafale is such a world-beater, why isn't it selling?""
 
We all know that a big weapon sale is 1) a political thing , 2) a financial thing . Whoever wins the technical evaluation cannot be certain to be chosen as the winner .
We shouldn 't have competed in South Korea in the first place , the F-15 was basically chosen before the competition started . The Koreans had too much to loose if they went for a non US aircraft . In Singapore , the Rafale did not get any backing by the French Gov and the package was really expensive (Dassault 's mistake) . Maroco was a complete cock-up from the French and a hard wake up call .
We have really good hope to see the Swiss going for the Rafale  , the Lybian deal seems (to me) dead in the water . Taiwan is a different fish , they have the money , they already use M2000 , but the US pressure might be too big for France to win the contract .
 
The Rafale is not a world-beater , it is only the best 4.5 gen operational Fighter .
 
Cheers .
 
 
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SlowMan       9/11/2009 10:49:46 AM
@ Bluewings12

> We shouldn 't have competed in South Korea in the first place , the F-15 was basically chosen before the competition started.

Yes, Korean Airforce was basically looking for a bomb truck, and Strike Eagle was the bomb truck, not Rafale. Past Korean experiences with French tech transfer wasn't positive and this weighed against Rafale bid as being untrustworthy.

> Taiwan is a different fish , they have the money , they already use M2000, but the US pressure might be too big for France to win the contract.

It's not the US pressure. Taiwan basically banned French weapons from their military after qustionable actions on French part, namely Mirage 2000 delivered with A2G feature deleted and an example subsequently provided to Chinese PLA for study and Lafayette-class frigate that was delivered with critical subsystems missing.

So who knows, Brazil might turn anti-French once they start getting Rafale deliveries. France promises to transfer 100% of Rafale, but might honor 70~80% of it. Still more than what Boeing is permitted to transfer even if Brazil gets 70% of what's promised.

The US is notorious for strict tech transfer control, but do honor tech transfer agreement 100% and the quality of transferred tech is superior to what you get from anywhere else, with single possible exception of missiles(which Russians are considered superior, especially in propulsion and flight control).

> it is only the best 4.5 gen operational Fighter .

That title belongs to Typhoon, not Rafale.
 
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Blue Apple       9/11/2009 11:21:19 AM
Seems that nobody seems to know anything at all after all.
 
I think there are several ways to interpret what's going on.
 
One theory is that pro-US (or Sweden) elements in the FAB tried to prevent a Rafale selection by
1) delaying the selection process (initially due in August) ubtil Octover the 23rd
2) start a smear campaign (+ well-timed "leak" of F-18/Gripen winning the evaluation) after Sarkozy visit
 
Thus the joint Lula/Sarkozy statement would be a preemptive strike vs reluctant (bribed?) parts of the FAB.
 
Another theory is that the new statements about the competition being still open is simply legal protection against future lawsuits and that the Rafale selection is final.
 
Another one is that it's a ploy from Brazil to get even better terms from all contestants (final offers were made in June).
 
At this point everything is possible (in fact all three theories may be correct - they're not mutually exclusive).
 
 
Korean Airforce was basically looking for a bomb truck, and Strike Eagle was the bomb truck, not Rafale.
 
Rafale is an excellent bomb truck (among other things) with >10 tonness of external payload (for an OEW of <10 tonnes!).
 
IIRC, the Korea technical evaluation was not binding if the two airplanes were within 2% of each other. A clever change of scale in the evaluation (from grades between 0 and 100 to grades tbetween 60 and 100) made it possible to reduce the Rafale lead enough that the F-15 could be selected without violating the tender process.
 
After that episode, it's no wonder Dassault declined to answer the JASDF RFP...
 
(Singapore was mainly the result of very weak dollar vs very strong euro, making the Typhoon/Rafale twice as expensive as a couple of years before)
 
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SlowMan       9/11/2009 12:53:39 PM
@ Blue Apple 

> One theory is that pro-US (or Sweden) elements in the FAB tried to prevent a Rafale selection

And give up on nuclear sub. Brazil's determined to have nuclear sub, and I am sure this deal could be changed if the US agrees to sell nuclear subs to Brazil. But not until then.

> Rafale is an excellent bomb truck (among other things) with >10 tonness of external payload

No it isn't. You cannot compare bomb hauling capability of a 36 ton aircraft with a 24 ton aircraft at take off. The missile profile called for 4 x 2,000 JDAMs, 4 missiles(2 AMRAAM + 2 AIM-9X), targeting and EW pods, and external fuel tanks to fly 1,000 km, release bombs, 1 minute of afterburner burn, and then come back. Strike Eagle could do this, Rafale couldn't.

Beside, Strike Eagle was battle-proven, while Rafale's A2G wasn't. Not sure if Rafale even had a working targeting pod back in 2002.

> to reduce the Rafale lead enough that the F-15 could be selected without violating the tender process.

I am sure that the outcome might have been different if Dassault went to the length that they are going in Brazil in Korean F-X. The truth is that Dassault wasn't as desperate as they are today.
 
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Rufus       9/11/2009 1:16:34 PM
"I think there are several ways to interpret what's going on.
 
One theory is that pro-US (or Sweden) elements in the FAB tried to prevent a Rafale selection by
1) delaying the selection process (initially due in August) ubtil Octover the 23rd
2) start a smear campaign (+ well-timed "leak" of F-18/Gripen winning the evaluation) after Sarkozy visit
 
Thus the joint Lula/Sarkozy statement would be a preemptive strike vs reluctant (bribed?) parts of the FAB.
 
Another theory is that the new statements about the competition being still open is simply legal protection against future lawsuits and that the Rafale selection is final.
 
Another one is that it's a ploy from Brazil to get even better terms from all contestants (final offers were made in June)."
 
 
 
How about a theory that is at least semi-plausible?  Lula, a politician, cares a whole heck of a lot more about scoring some political points than he does about his airforce's requirements and is willing to try to push through a deal he thinks would benefit him personally over a deal that would result in his airforce being equipped with the best possible fighter for their needs.

There is really no other way to interpret his decision to come out in favor of the Rafale when the airforce itself hadn't issued their recommendations.  He wanted to make the big announcement with Sarkozy there on hand in front of the lights, cameras, etc...   This is not all that different from various US politicians that will push for any program that happens to employ workers in their home state/district regardless of the military's needs.
 
As for the Rafale's past failures... the bottom line is that while it is a highly capable aircraft compared to the vast majority of fighters in service in the world today, it is only an average performer when compared with other late-model 4th-generation jets and is handicapped by an extremely high price, missing features, and a rather poor selection of integrated weapons and sensors.
 
The Rafale's problems are not political and they never have been.  France has always been able to sell its other equipment very successfully and that is not about to change, because much of France's equipment is extremely competitive.  The Rafale has never secured a sale because it has just never been that competitive. 
 
 
 
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