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Subject: Rafale F3 leading Brazilian F-X race on the promise of extensive tech transfer over Super Hornet
SlowMan    8/4/2009 3:43:03 PM
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Contenders

Rafale F3 : $130 million per plane + extensive tech transfer
Super Hornet : $90 million per plane, weapons and support + will buy some parts from Brazilian suppliers.
Gripen NG : $60 million per plane. Will build half of NGs in Brazil.

Rafale F3 is favored over Super Hornet because of the promise of an extensive tech transfer.
 
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Bluewings12       9/9/2009 8:30:20 PM
This is already a done deal Gentlemen , Brazil is in and for a long time cooperation with France .
 
I have the same view than many military observers here in France , Brazil needs the French superior knowledge on Nuclear technology so they decided to buy our tech and technology transfert for Subs AND Nuclear power stations . They also need an excellent multi-role fighter with proven capabilities in long range missions and Air to Sea strikes and our Rafale fit the bill with the weapons to go with (AASM , Mica and Exocet) .
Furthermore , Nicolas Sarkozy did what Chirac and Mitterand never did : He is supporting the French engineering and offering excellent long term deals for decent money . The technology transfert will be total and two third of the total production will take place in Brazil , which is a win-win situation for both parties .
The USA can 't beat that for many reasons we are all aware of .
 
Besides , why Brazil should buy a lesser plane by choosing the Super Hornet ??? 
Brazil will get the "full-on" Rafale F3 with AESA and all the bells and whistles (bare the Nuclear ASMP capability) and God knows what they are going to ask to Dassault and Thalès to fit in as long as they pay for it . Brazil knows what the actual operational Rafale F3 is and what the fighter will be in 3 years time .
 
Then , am I the only one to think that it would be an excellent opportunity for France to build a real Rafale capable Nuclear Carrier for Brazil ? They already know how to use our old stuff so they might be interested in the latest one ...
 
Basically , it is a win-win situation . France has a new market .
 
Cheers . 
 
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french stratege       9/9/2009 8:30:58 PM
"- Technology transfer.  This is complicated by the fact that Dassault is not 100% French.  Sarkozy pledged to handle this but the Brazilians still have some doubts. "
Dassault is 100% french in fact (even EADS has an important but minority share and EADS is not 100% french).
But it is a private company.
The deal is in our favor but Brasilian has a legal process and a law system and it is indeed premature to say we have won the contract before legal process ended.
However it is difficult to USA to counter our offer (even much more expensive for Brasilian military) unless they have exact information on tech we accepted to transfer, in order to make a similar counter offer (but they would need congress approval).
It is difficult to match french offer.
Brasil want to have full control of its weapons and a seat in UNO security council so to be able to withstand pressure on weapons sales (to avoid embargo), so to get technology and source code.We accept that in order to get more influence in a multipolar world.
We are offering the same partnership now to India: we build your independant military power and you deal with us.
 
Rufus: Super Hornet had APG79 radar which was the only advantage over Rafale with RBE2 PESA but we offer RBE2 AESA.

 
 
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gf0012-aust       9/9/2009 9:59:30 PM
Personally, I have no problem with France selling to Brasil - if it was to China then I'd be amping up the volume.

If they pull it off, then good on them.  However, lets wait and see how it pans out - we've all seen the "sure thing" announcements in the past. 
 
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sentinel28a       9/9/2009 11:23:24 PM
Bluewings is right--there's no way the US would ever offer that much.  Mainly because France is giving away the farm on this one.  Won't Dassault be losing jobs overseas, and money on this deal?
 
All that aside, I am genuinely glad to see the Rafale get a good buy. 
 
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Phaid       9/9/2009 11:54:03 PM
Wow, 38 seconds.
 
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Rufus       9/10/2009 1:54:31 AM
Ah, the trolls are back.  I suppose that was predictable enough.
 
"Rufus: Super Hornet had APG79 radar which was the only advantage over Rafale with RBE2 PESA but we offer RBE2 AESA."
 
You have already received the benefit of far more education from posters here than you have deserved french stratege.  Why don't you go reread one of the several very very long threads that demonstrate what an idiotic statement the above is. 
 

 
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Rufus       9/10/2009 2:05:00 AM
 
So yes, once again it becomes obvious that if the Rafale is able to win it will only be because of politics, not capabilities.  The Brazilian Airforce had not even finished its evaluation of the proposals before Lula attempted to force through a decision in favor of the Rafale. 
 
Despite this there are clearly numerous potential problems that may arise when it comes to actually negotiating the deal.  The Rafale's costs and performance are simply not competitive with the other bidders and it is possible the Brazilian defense establishment will try to fight this decision to avoid equipping their airforce with an inferior jet for the next few decades just so Lula can score a few short term political points with Sarkozy.
 
 
h*tp://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jC9Pt66Ns4wKk0d4fQ891K_4-zrw
 
Brazil's plan to buy French fighter jets hits turbulence
By Claire de Oliveira (AFP)
 

RIO DE JANEIRO — Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's stated plans to award a multi-billion-dollar fighter jet contract to France ran into turbulence on Wednesday amid pressure from rival bidders and Brazil's air force.

The selection process "has not yet finished," Defense Minister Nelson Jobim said in a statement late Tuesday.

Brazil "will continue with negotiations with the three participants; they will be followed up and the proposals potentially reshaped," he said.

That position ran counter to official statements by Lula and his government on Monday -- during Brazil's Independence Day attended by French President Nicolas Sarkozy -- to the effect that the deal had all but sealed in favor of France's Rafale jets made by Dassault.

"President Lula has announced the decision by the Brazilian side to begin negotiations with the GIE Rafale to acquire 36 Rafale combat aircraft," Lula and Sarkozy said in a joint statement on that day.

Brazilian Foreign Minister Celso Amorim specified that the decision to extend the talks with Dassault "was not adopted in relation to the other two" bidders, Boeing of the United States and Saab of Sweden.

A Rafale spokesman at the time told AFP that "President Lula's declaration clearly means that the Rafale has won the competition."

But Brazil's air force, which had not yet submitted its painstakingly detailed analysis of all three contenders to Lula, objected to being sidelined, analysts said.

"I think our president got a bit ahead of himself," said one Brazilian military analyst, Alvaro Pinheiro.

"The problem is that the final report (by the air force) was to be submitted at the end of October," he said.
 
...
 

By plumping for the Rafale jets before the tender procedure was complete, Lula was short-circuiting the Brazilian congress's defense committee, to the fury of party leaders, he explained. Jobim's backtracking was to placate them.

Nevertheless, he said, because it appeared that a political deal had been struck directly between Lula and Sarkozy, "it is very difficult to reverse this."

Boeing, which was offering its F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter, and Saab, talking up its Gripen NG aircraft, both emphasized that they had not been notified that the Brazilian tender had been settled in favor of Dassault.

The US government, which authorized the export sale of the F/A-18, said in a statement through its embassy in Brazil: "We understand that a final decision has not yet been made regarding the winner of the contract."

The F/A-18, in its opinion, "is the best in comparison to its competitors," it said.

It also objected to Lula's explanation that he preferred the Rafale because of France's offer to share all the technology that goes into the jet so Brazil could one day build its own fighters.

Approval by the US Congress "means that (the) US government?s approval of the transfer to Brazil of the advanced technologies associated with the US government?s offer of the F/A-18 Super Hornet is final," it said.

"The United States welcomes the opportunity to enter into open negotiations," the statement said.

 
 
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Blue Apple       9/10/2009 2:12:32 AM
Establishing a market for Brazilian-built Rafales.  Sarkozy promised that he could bring Dassault to give Brazil exclusive marketing rights for the Rafale in South America.  This however has not been agreed to by Dassault.
 
You might actualy try to read other people posts. Dassault CEO explicitely stated that they offered such rights to Brazil.
 
In fact this whole article looks like uninformed conjectures, Sarkozy did not make any promise without consulting Dassault beforehand. This is not Marocco v2, this time all players have coordinated their positions.
 
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Phaid       9/10/2009 8:13:03 AM
You might actualy try to read other people posts. Dassault CEO explicitely stated that they offered such rights to Brazil.
 
The article I linked was about an interview with the Brazilian defense minister, not about what people on strategypage have posted.
 
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doggtag    Brazil's WTF moment:   9/10/2009 10:10:33 AM
...Duh, Which Tactical Fighter again?
 
Apparently, no one knows for sure...
 
From the good crew at Defense-Aerospace.Com,
Thursday, Sept 10, 2009 Press Releases:
 
Interesting.
 
Yeah, Boeing has a great aircraft offer.
 
But a lot of work still needs to be done to determine who else in the US is going to get onboard to assist with upgrading a large number of Brazilian Army components (AFVs, logistics vehicles, artillery, commo, etc), who in the US will help them not only with a nuclear sub, but with SSKs also, and who in the US is going to help them do what appears to be a pretty good sized rehabilitation and modernization of a good many Brazilian defense areas (bases, shipyards, airfields, etc) ?
 
Read deeper into the contracts and see what all is at stake that Brazil has ambitions to do.
(Why would the US want to help Embraer with its KC-390 program, especially as one of its chief rivals is the US-built C-130 family? ...even though Boeing might have a chance at destabilizing LockMart's corner on that market, if it did...)
 
Here's another catch:
Call it trying to market his own country's concerns or whatever,
but France's PRESIDENT went to Brazil and talked with their president over the matter (a lot of cooperative development, in fact),
whereas, has the US president even made the slightest interest in visiting the Brazilian president on Brazil's terms to discuss Brazil's plans?
No, the US president is too bothered with health care reform, a roller coaster of an economy where people don't really know who to believe anymore, and a handful of other domestic issues,
to have any concern over what Brazil would like to do.
In the political arena, that can also have a lot to do with closer ties between countries.
 
Seeing as France knows SSKs, France knows small surface combatants, and France knows carrier construction that Brazil could afford in its future, it just seems like France has more to offer Brazil, and France's president isn't afraid to make a personal appearance on behalf of his country's offering.
 
This new American president wants to build partnerships with other nations (who just so happen not to have a lot of crude oil to offer us), then maybe he (POTUS) needs to wake up and realize that if you want closer ties with other countries, you meet them more on their convenient terms, not entirely on your own.
The US can't be seeing the Brazilian fighter program, or the Indian one for that matter, as a real serious issue, or more US politicians would be more active in securing these improved international relations.
Yeah, I know: as much as I hate politicians getting involved in every little thing, in part that is in their job description, especially where international partnerships are concerned.
What if Brazil decides to start thinking like that?  "US political structure doesn't really want to focus on this large Brazilian issue, so why should we honor any "friendship" and accept their trade offer so eagerly?"
 
Sarkozy is playing the better politician in this instance, whereas the US political leadership, so far, has shown it just can't be bothered with it.
Anhyone else think that might carry some weight in Brazil's final decision?
 
We heard France's stories on this.
We've heard Brazilian versions.
And now a US response or two.
Question is: whose propaganda do we believe?
 
 
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SlowMan       9/10/2009 10:45:49 AM
@ sentinel28a

> Mainly because France is giving away the farm on this one.

Desperate people take drastic actions.

@ Rufus

> once again it becomes obvious that if the Rafale is able to win it will only be because of politics, not capabilities.

Most international arms trade is like that.

>  it is possible the Brazilian defense establishment will try to fight this decision to avoid equipping their airforce with an inferior jet

And not get the tech and nuclear subs?
 
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SlowMan       9/10/2009 10:53:29 AM
@ gf0012-aust

> yes genius, read it again.  or do you struggle to comprehend the written word.

And you seem to struggle to read people's intentions from the picture.

> what relationship does the photo have to the fact I stated.

You stated that F-22 wasn't noisy enough to violate local EPA rule. Kedena residents strongly disagree based on the posted picture of protest.

> and the aircraft were banned when and where under what local statute?  they haven't.

They did. Except that USAF and the higher ups in Japanese government decided to ignore it.

>  its a public debate that has not turned into anything formal

Actually the resolution was passed unanimously.

> and 3 others who have no NATO affiliation at all.

Israel and Singapore aren't JSF partners, but Security Cooperative Participants. JSF was basically a program to develop a new NATO standard fighter like F-16 before it. Accordingly it addresses the needs of NATO members, not that of countries in high security threat region.

> SHornet is not being wound down.

US Navy doesn't want more of it and is cutting down purchases. There are some in Washington DC who want USAF to adopt Super Hornet to fill the fighter gap, we will see.

But the firm orders for Super Hornet is being depleted rapidly.

> as backdoor enquiries from other countries.

Such as?

@ Phaid

> Lula's announcement was based on the agreements reached in the discussions with Sarkozy.  But this was only the first step.

Yes, but the backing of Brazilian president makes it difficult for the defense minister to overturn his boss's preference.

> So, basically, none of the French promises are really concrete at all, and neither Dassault, SAAB, nor Boeing have made their Best And Final Offers.

I am pretty sure Boeing and Saab's bid doesn't include nuclear subs. French package does.

@ Bluewings12

> Besides , why Brazil should buy a lesser plane by choosing the Super Hornet ???

Because the package is more comprehensive.

I agree Rafale F3 is a lesser plane than Super Hornet is. However, the carrot of full tech transfer and nuclear sub dangling in front was just too much for Brazil to pass.

 
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Bluewings12       9/10/2009 12:02:54 PM
SlowMan :
""I agree Rafale F3 is a lesser plane than Super Hornet is""
 
Actually , I meant the opposite .
 
The Brazilian deal is in fact (in total) worth $17.1 billion .
- Euro 5.5 billion for the Rafales without weaponry (1 more billion for the weapons)
- Euro 1.85 billion for 50 Eurocopters
- Euro 4.9 billion for 4 Scorpenes and a nuclear attack sub
 
Then , there is also the related and needed infrastructures and the Tech transfert . Dassault will build the first 6 Rafales in France and the others will be sent in kit to the Brazilian assembly line . Not a single screw or bolt will be built in Brazil .
 
The most important part is not the deal in itself but the new long term cooperation in between France and Brazil .
 
Cheers .

 
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french stratege       9/10/2009 12:52:06 PM
Rufus
Even the famous pro Eurofighter biased study from British DERA (with underestimates on mica or Rafale performance) put Rafale F3 with PESA above F18 and SU35).
Now we offer Rafale F3+AESA.
Game over on performance vs F18E.
F18E will be similar to Rafale only on radar and combat autonomy and inferior for rest.
Our offer to brasil is much more expensive than US one but we offer opportunity to Brasil to become a nation free on pressure from major weapons suppliers.
Of course a part of brasilian army is not in favor of Rafale since Brasilian military will have to pay price difference on their budget (so less for the rest).
But if Brasil want to be a major diplomatic player in the world with an autonomous defense, they have no choice unless US make a better offer and respect it.
 
Now Rufus I offered to some US SP members to meet them when I was in USA months ago to prove them who I'am.You would have been clearly surprised.You are clearly uninformed.
 
 
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french stratege       9/10/2009 12:58:00 PM
"Dassault will build the first 6 Rafales in France and the others will be sent in kit to the Brazilian assembly line . Not a single screw or bolt will be built in Brazil .
"
It is false Bluewing
We offer Brasil to coproduce the Rafale including on some high tech components according to number they buy, and likely full access to drawing and software except some very specific secrets.
However it is obvious that code would be modified with them in order to not give away some France specific features likley on ECM and ECCM.I don't know any nation in world which give all the same source code for export for such systems.
It is a strategic partnership which will remove US dependance of Brasil.
Likely we will make such an offer to India
 
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