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Subject: Rafale F3 leading Brazilian F-X race on the promise of extensive tech transfer over Super Hornet
SlowMan    8/4/2009 3:43:03 PM
< link > Contenders Rafale F3 : $130 million per plane + extensive tech transfer Super Hornet : $90 million per plane, weapons and support + will buy some parts from Brazilian suppliers. Gripen NG : $60 million per plane. Will build half of NGs in Brazil. Rafale F3 is favored over Super Hornet because of the promise of an extensive tech transfer.
 
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Rufus       9/8/2009 1:56:24 PM
You are really going overboard there dogtag...
 
As you said earlier, this is about a lot more than just the aircraft order.  Brazil is trying to form a broader defense/industrial partnership than the US really has any interest in.

As I stated earlier, while such a relationship can be rewarding it can also be very very difficult to manage.  (Just look at the issues the Indians have been having with the Russians.)

 
 
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Rufus       9/8/2009 2:00:04 PM
"The US arms sales bid is strong in three following cases.

1. The customer has dollars to blow, usually some middle eastern OPEC member nation.
2. The customer doesn't have an indigenous aviation industry ambition.
3. The customer is either Japan or Korea, two most reliable weapons customers of US.

In all other cases, the US arms sale bid gets blown out of water by cheaper Chinese or Russian weapons, as weapons from these two can't be beaten in terms of value/price ratio."
 
You remain a joke slowman.
 
Just look at the JSF consortium sometime kid...  See where they fall into your idiotic list. 
 
As for Chinese/Russian weapons... are you kidding?  China is barely a blip in the international fighter market and Russia has only a fraction of the sales the US does.  (and has been fading for years)
 
 
 
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SlowMan       9/8/2009 2:34:51 PM
@ Rufus

> You remain a joke slowman.

At least I am not a proven liar like you are.

> Just look at the JSF consortium sometime kid...  See where they fall into your idiotic list.

Most of JSF members aren't top repeat US arms buyers.

< link >

Top 5 US arms customer for 2008

1. Israel <- shops US arms with US taxpayer's money. Not a JSF partner, but a SCP instead.
2. Saudi Arabia <- shops US arms with oil dollars. Not a JSF partner.
3. South Korea <- shops US arms by selling cars and TVs in the US. Not a JSF partner.
4. Egypt <- I don't know how they raise fund to shop US weapons. Not a JSF partner. 
5. Poland <- I don't know how they raise fund to shop US weapons. Not a JSF partner.

As you can see, none of top 5 customers are JSF partners, and the omission of Israel, Korea, and Japan, countries facing the biggest security threats in the world from the JSF partner's list shows that F-35 really isn't suitable for their needs and those countries are dreaming of importing F-22 if this option was available. The only reason Israel is buying F-35 is that they are not paying for it and they don't face thousands of Chinese fighters.
 
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sentinel28a       9/8/2009 3:17:36 PM
The reason why countries buy Russian and Chinese is because they either a) lack money to buy the good stuff or b) people who make the good stuff won't sell to them.
 
Look at China's main aircraft buyers: Pakistan, Bangladesh, Burma, Iran, Zimbabwe, and occasionally Egypt.  None of those countries, with the possible exception of Bangladesh, are anywhere near stable.  Pakistan buys Chinese because China remains their only counterweight to India. 
 
If you buy Russian, you are getting a fairly good base product, but spare parts will be constantly a problem, as will quality control.  You may also find that buying cheap also means you get what you pay for.  That Su-30 Mk. Infinity may be sexy, but you may also have to replace the avionics and the radar as the West develops newer and newer things each year.  It's a good alternative if you have a poor country that needs fighters now, but not much of a long-term investment.  (The exception being the MiG-21, which remains competitive--though again, you'll need to have IAI or someone else upgrade your Fishbeds.)  So yes, you will get a great price.  Value? Not so much.  Even the North Vietnamese, who until 1972 rarely lacked for spare MiG parts, found maintenance (albeit in a tropical environment) a nightmare on their MiGs, and had lower sortie rates per aircraft than the USAF did.
 
I agree with Doggtag that we've probably missed an opportunity in Brazil, but we must also remember that the French are offering a lot more than I think any American company would be prepared to (especially in the current anti-business environment we live in).  The US has definitely had a NIMBY complex for just about forever.  Germany offered the Gepard to the US Army as a fine ADA platform, but the Army insisted that it have its own, built and designed in the US.  The result was the failed Sgt. York, and to the best of my knowledge we still lack a decent ADA platform--though maybe that's not as much of a problem, given that our armed forces have operated in an air superiority environment since about 1943.  I think we have let a lot of foreign-designed or produced weapons systems go by because they weren't produced in some Congresscritter's home district.
 
Another reason we're failing in South America is due to the current administration seemingly bent on bending over for Chavez, but undermining the hell out of non-totalitarian governments of Honduras and Colombia.  Maybe Obama is more worried about what Huge Ego will say if we sell Super Hornets to Brazil, but that's a discussion for another time.  (We did sell F-16s to Peru.)
 
 
 
 
 
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Rufus       9/8/2009 3:44:12 PM
Most of JSF members aren't top repeat US arms buyers.

Top 5 US arms customer for 2008


Damn you are dense kid... the US is the largest player in the arms export market by so far it isn't even funny.  If one country or another happens to be the biggest customer on a given year that is likely because they were the biggest spender in the world that year.
 
All of the JSF program participants are major buyers or US arms, and none of them fit anywhere into your idiotic list. 
 

 
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gf0012-aust       9/8/2009 3:55:45 PM
All of the JSF program participants are major buyers or US arms, and none of them fit anywhere into your idiotic list. 

 
ignore him.  when he talks about things like the "top 5" US arms buyers and extrapolates that with the release of sensitive material and sharing - then he has publicly demonstrated again that he's clueless.  None of his "top 5" have even the remotest access to the same tech sharing and development of the 4 eyes community - and hence his repeated lack of comprehension of things like ITARs matters when it comes to exporting and co-developing tech.
its when he makes claims like the prev that you know that he's out of his depth.  he's an attention seeeking wannabe - walk away




 
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Rufus       9/8/2009 4:19:08 PM
 
 
 
Indeed...
 
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SlowMan       9/8/2009 5:01:35 PM
@ gf0012-aust

> All of the JSF program participants are major buyers or US arms

They are actually NATO members buying what's supposed to be a NATO-standard fighter with single exception of Australia, a non-NATO country.

Again, none of JSF partners are major US arms customers.
 
> ignore him.

And ignore you too.

>   None of his "top 5" have even the remotest access to the same tech sharing and development of the 4 eyes community

Considering how UK is talking about possibility of being forced to send its F-35s to the US for maintenance, I don't think the sharing goes too deep. Heck, UK actually contributed to a significant portion of F-35B's development yet they still can't get full access to F-35B.

Of course, I know you are going to deny this report from UK just like how you denied the validity of reports of Kedena residents revolting against F-22 and Kedena municipal assembly passing a resolution demanding removal of F-22 from their town.
 
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Blue Apple       9/9/2009 3:10:48 AM
Back on topic(?), an interview of Eric Trappier, Dassault "directeur général" (CEO?):
 
Rafale au Brésil : le directeur général de Dassault s'explique

Eric Trappier, directeur général international de Dassault a été au coeur des négociations pour la vente de Rafale au Brésil. Il a bien voulu répondre à nos questions;

Où en est-on vraiment aujourd'hui ?

Factuellement, il y a la déclaration commune des présidents français et brésiliens qui annonce que le choix du Brésil se porte sur le Rafale. C'est donc la fin du processus de compétition [avec le F-18 américain et le Gripen suédois]. Maintenant, il faut négocier les termes précis du contrat.

Cela va durer longtemps ?

D'expérience, c'est assez long, même dans le cadre d'un accord de gré à gré. Il faut discuter les clauses techniques, le financement, les contreparties, etc. On peut tabler sur six à neuf mois.

Depuis combien de temps discutez vous avec les Brésiliens ?

Huit ans. Nous leur avons d'abord proposer le Mirage 2000 et ils en ont achetés quelques uns en seconde main. Puis lorsque les discussions se sont ouvertes, nous avons présenté le Rafale. Entre-temps, Dassault est devenu actionnaire [minoritaire] d'Embraer. Ce qui a fait la différence, c'est l'engagement du président de la République dans cette affaire, qui a créé une véritable "war room", avec l'amiral Guillaud, son chef d'état-major particulier, les grands services de l'Etat et les industriels.

Le Rafale que les Brésiliens veulent acheter est-il le même que celui en service dans l'armée de l'Air ?

On part de l'avion français, puis on prend en compte les désiderats de nos clients. Les Brésiliens souhaitent par exemple intégrer certains équipements à bord de l'avion. Nous le ferons en partenariat avec eux.

De quel type d'avions les Brésiliens ont-ils besoin ?

Un appareil polyvalent, et le Rafale l'est. Ils souhaitaient un bimoteur, car le Brésil est un immense pays avec des territoires déserts. En cas de panne d'un réacteur, l'avion peut quand même rentrer sans que le pilote soit obligé de s'éjecter au dessus de l'Amazonie. Le domaine air-air avec la police du ciel, la sécurité de l'espace aérien intéressent beaucoup les Brésiliens, ainsi que le domaine air-mer.

Les Rafale pour le Brésil seront-ils intégralement construit là-bas ?

Nous avons fait une offre d'implanter une chaîne de montage au Brésil. Du côté français, il n'y a pas de restrictions en matière de transfert de technologie ou de fabrications. Embraer est un industriel majeur et il y a également de nombreuses PME dans l'aéronautique. Le choix final incombe aux Brésiliens. Quelle part voudront-ils construire dans leur pays ? C'est ce qui va désormais se discuter. Car construire un avion et toutes ses pièces nécessite des investissements lourds. Les industriels brésiliens vont examiner avec nous cette question, en fonction de leurs plans de charge, dans un partenariat intelligent.

N'est-ce pas une forme de délocalisation ?

Tout ne sera pas fabriquer là-bas. On estime que ce contrat représente 6000 emplois en France, pas seulement chez Dassault, mais également chez Safran, Thalès et dans les PME. Au Brésil, on parle de 3000 emplois. Si la France n'avait pas remporté ce contrat, il y aurait eu des emplois créés au Brésil par nos concurrents, mais aucun en France ! Pas de contrat, égal zéro emploi.

Quel est le montant de ce contrat ?

De l'ordre de cinq milliards d'euros.

Le Brésil pourra-t-il exporter des Rafale ?

Nous leur avons en effet proposer une clause de commercialisation pour l'Amérique latine. Le Brésil est une puissance régionale.

Trente-six Rafale, ce n'est qu'un premier lot ?

La Force aérienne brésilienne parle un appel d'offres pour trois fois 36 Rafale, soit 108 au total.

En échange, la France va acheter des KC-390 au Brésil. De quoi s'agit-il ? Quelle sera l'implication de Dassault ?

Le KC-390 d'Embraer est un futur avion de transport militaire tactique, qui pourrait être le successeur du Hercules C-130 américain. Il faut bien comprendre que ce qui lie la France et le Brésil est un partenariat stratégique. Il faut qu'il y ait un équilibre des in
 
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gf0012-aust       9/9/2009 3:11:38 AM
unbelievable.

I know you have an attention seeking disorder, but at least make the effort to pretend to understand what some of us are talking about.

kadena pictures - read your posts, read my responses.  don't establish causal links to non existent comments.

JSF consortium - they're not all NATO (and that ignores your lame attempt to causal link by referencing Australia)

5 countries with more weapons purchases than those in the 5 eyes community?  it aint what you buy buddy, its what you get access to.  Bottom line is that Australia and UK have the highest level of access to all US tech.  None of the 5 major buyers even have officers present in some of the critical US battlecomms areas.  They're non players.

keep on going, you're just digging a bigger hole and showing how little you do know about this event space.
 
 
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