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Subject: Rafale F3 leading Brazilian F-X race on the promise of extensive tech transfer over Super Hornet
SlowMan    8/4/2009 3:43:03 PM
< link > Contenders Rafale F3 : $130 million per plane + extensive tech transfer Super Hornet : $90 million per plane, weapons and support + will buy some parts from Brazilian suppliers. Gripen NG : $60 million per plane. Will build half of NGs in Brazil. Rafale F3 is favored over Super Hornet because of the promise of an extensive tech transfer.
 
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sentinel28a       9/20/2009 6:50:59 PM
My guess is that Brazil wants a genuine modern multirole fighter, with probably an eye towards replacing their F-5s.  The Rafale is a good choice in that regard.  I don't recall the arrangement with the Mirage 2000, which I would regard as still a superb interceptor; a mixed Mirage/Rafale force would give them an edge on Venezuela.  (Venezuela's Flankers are nothing more than overcompensation by Chavez IMHO; most of his air force still depends on Mirage 5 retreads and F-5s, now that his F-16s have been grounded.)  I thought that the Rafale might have potential of a follow-on to replace the A-4s on the Sao Paulo, but Doggtag (I believe) tells me that the Rafale's a bit too heavy for combat operations off that carrier.
 
At this point, I would say that Brazil's only real rival in South America is Peru, which is operating mostly Russian equipment, and Chile, which just started fielding F-16s to replace their Mirages.  Argentina has potential, but their economy is hurting and they're still depending on ancient A-4s and Mirages.  Colombia's in kind of the same boat, with upgraded Mirages and Kfirs, but both nations really need a newer multirole fighter.  Dassault could do worse to push the Rafale there, and I wonder if that's one of the reasons for the Brazil partnership.
 
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Bluewings12       9/20/2009 7:07:23 PM
What is the current US position regarding H. Chavez and his foolish behavior ?
We have some news and reports here in France and it seems that the Obama admin (POTUS , Pentagone , NSA) are keeping a good eye on the clown with a sarcastic smile . Is that correct ?
 
Cheers .
 
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Bluewings12       9/20/2009 7:13:26 PM
gf :
""a basic aircraft assessment would involve typically over 50,000 identified line items - and thats before getting into combat vignettes""
 
Ok . Do you remember what was the Oz 's request (about flying hours/landings) for your SHs ? It might help ;-)
 
Cheers .
 
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gf0012-aust       9/20/2009 9:03:37 PM

Ok . Do you remember what was the Oz 's request (about flying hours/landings) for your SHs ? It might help ;-)

I do for some and I'm not saying.

1) because it's treated by the manufacturers as commercial in confidence against the RFT
2) because some of the requirements directly impact upon mission issues, planning issues, combat vignettes etc...
3) when other manufacturers appeal against a decision, even they do not get access to the other vendors specific submission vectors.  They get debriefed, but they don't get data
eg one aircraft assessment I was involved with involved literally "tonnes" of supporting documents/material. the integration docs alone run into thousands of pages against specific criteria.
correspondingly, whenever you see stats and figures quoted on the internet as capability tipping points, then the odds are more than 99% that its BS.  no one with any credibility is going to quote detail as the implications are legal and in most countries, criminal.  nobody is going to quote real meaningful material on the internet as its not worth losing your job "just to correct" statements.  If it's OSINT, and validated, then maybe.  But no-one is going to run primary and get their nuts cuts off just to score points in an internet debate.

why?  because everyone doesn't leak data as it would destroy the trust between the manufacturer and potential customers.
they would never get a sale in the future from that country or its immediate friends for a long long time - if ever.

there is a bit of a difference between engineering empirical stats and performance stats against an RFT.  eg the materials list you show for Rafale is almost nonsensical as the actual quantum is into double figures.  so, the diagram is in real terms meaningless 


 
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Bluewings12       9/20/2009 9:33:42 PM
gf :
""I do for some and I'm not saying.
1) because it's treated by the manufacturers as commercial in confidence against the RFT""
 
Of course but please can you give me the proof that you know of , that would prove your status to me (no bad intended) .
 
""2) because some of the requirements directly impact upon mission issues, planning issues, combat vignettes etc...""
 
Obviously , I agree but we are talking about the planned flying hours and landing (I quote) "under a severe usage spectrum" . Can you provide any infos about your SHs ?
 
""3) when other manufacturers appeal against a decision, even they do not get access to the other vendors specific submission vectors.  They get debriefed, but they don't get data""
 
What is your point regarding my questions ?
The rest of your post is sound but it seems to me that  : or 
-1) you know nothing and you can 't answer my questions (no big deal)
-2) you know and you are bluffing
 
Cheers .

 
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Bluewings12       9/20/2009 9:59:39 PM
I am sorry but I must re-post what I said not long ago because it is of the utmost importance to me :

""What is the current US position regarding H. Chavez and his foolish behavior ?
We have some news and reports here in France and it seems that the Obama admin (POTUS , Pentagone , NSA) is keeping a good eye on the clown with a sarcastic smile . Is that correct ?""
 
You prefer my personal E-mail to respond , no prob . Just ask .
 
Cheers .
 
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sentinel28a       9/21/2009 12:57:49 AM

What is the current US position regarding H. Chavez and his foolish behavior ?

We have some news and reports here in France and it seems that the Obama admin (POTUS , Pentagone , NSA) are keeping a good eye on the clown with a sarcastic smile . Is that correct ?


 

Cheers .



Can't say what DoD's is, but Obama's official position is "I'm bending over, Hugo!"
 
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duplex       9/21/2009 6:56:06 AM
BW..   Rafale is a  better overall fighter  than the other two contenders  no doubt except SH's strike capability . But she is  vastly overpriced.
Considering the fact the deliveries would start in  2013  and Dassault will  produce only one fighter a month the next 5 years ! you can imagine the overheads and  unit costs.. and the sad thing is that  DASSAULT is ready to give away everything for 36 fighters only !!  including their excellent fly by wire and EW technology  in which Dassault and Thales are very good !  everybody knows that.
20 years ago DASSAULT would say to everyone  demanding the same  ' Fcuk off ' and today they  agree on almost everything ... SAD  almost  pathetic
 
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Das Kardinal       9/21/2009 2:28:47 PM

BW..   Rafale is a  better overall fighter  than the other two contenders  no doubt except SH's strike capability . But she is  vastly overpriced.

Considering the fact the deliveries would start in  2013  and Dassault will  produce only one fighter a month the next 5 years ! you can imagine the overheads and  unit costs.. and the sad thing is that  DASSAULT is ready to give away everything for 36 fighters only !!  including their excellent fly by wire and EW technology  in which Dassault and Thales are very good !  everybody knows that.

20 years ago DASSAULT would say to everyone  demanding the same  ' Fcuk off ' and today they  agree on almost everything ... SAD  almost  pathetic

I wouldn't be so sure that Rafales are vastly overpriced. You have to look at overall cost during the whole planned service life, and according to the Brasilian government Rafale's cheaper than the SH in that regard. I'd love to see the figures but I guess they'll never be made public !
Regarding delivery rate, the manufacturing line has a significant growth margin right now (because it's rather underutilized). IIRC the max production rate without adding another production line is 33 planes/year.
Then apparently a significant fraction of the Brazilian order will be assembled in Brazil.
Dassault's subcontractors were complaining about low rates, no doubt they'll jump on the opportunity to produce more components.
I think everyone's going to gain something in the deal. 
As to the tech transfer, it is a bit annoying in a general sense, but it's become almost unavoidable now. At least Brazil isn't China. And any tech transfer will involve "developed", mature, tech, that is not the cutting-edge of research, so... Dassault and Co will retain an advantage (if they don't sit on their collective ass doing nothing, of course).

Well, I guess we can all start to fantasize about a future Rafale vs Su35 "incident" now :-P 
 
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Bluewings12       9/21/2009 3:25:22 PM
Sentinel :
""Can't say what DoD's is, but Obama's official position is "I'm bending over, Hugo!""
 
Really !? Seen from here , it is surprising response . I know that Obama is not very popular right now (but he 's right to do what he does) but Chavez is not a good person .
 
Duplex :
""But she is  vastly overpriced.""
 
Not "vastly" , the jet is a bit overpriced . The maintenance cost seems to be what was planned and the FAF and MN are happy with it so far .
 
""you can imagine the overheads and  unit costs..""
 
This is the reason why the Rafale's production needs to go up at at least 1.5/1.7 aircraft per month . Then the cost will stay put , if I may say .
 
""the sad thing is that  DASSAULT is ready to give away everything for 36 fighters only !!""
 
And another 84 mores after 2015 . The total request from Brazil is for 102 fighters .
 
""including their excellent fly by wire and EW technology  in which Dassault and Thales are very good !  everybody knows that.""
 
That is incorrect . The ToT is not on the critical parts of the aircraft , far from it . In fact , the ToT is not really about the Raale itself but about Subs , nuclear reactors and C4s . The main parts of the fighter will be build here in France and then sent to the Brazilian assembly lines (themselves built under French license) .
 
Dassault is getting a good deal , France is getting a good deal and Brazil is getting an excellent deal .
 
Cheers .

 
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