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Subject: Why 183 Raptors is NOT enough.
Herald12345    6/28/2009 2:53:01 PM
Study results follows in next post.

Herald
 
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gf0012-aust       7/3/2009 9:50:01 PM
That entire agreement was predicated on a few factors that have changed since.

eg USAF doesn't appear to be tooling up for that mission set replacement (spark replacement_
USMC is staying with Prowlers as it does not want to go with the growlers until bedded in.  IIRC, they've just funded refurbs on a significant number of them.  They also don't appear to be convinced that the growler is as capable as a direct replacement at this point in time.  basic issues such as capability, flexibility and getting growler package sets to replicate prowler capability (at a minimum) don't appear to have come to pass.

so USMC intends (if I'm still current) keeping their prowlers for another 6-8 years.

all of that is also now exposed to the 2014 ewarfare comms proposals which are also being pushed out .

hence the mumblings that B1's and B52's may yet do an ewarfare lazarus.... 

all in all, its a tad confusing.  JED had some articles on it a few years back, but  my copies are 1200k's away. :)
 
 
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Herald12345       7/3/2009 10:25:21 PM




All of your arguments are based on hope and paper aren't they? What happems when the SHOOYING starts?



 SHooting isn't going to start there in case YOU FAILED TO NOTICE THE DETAILS.

Incompetent argument based on hope. PRC bandit actions are what I see, not your assertionns

Your house of cards collapses. CREF treaties against assassination and violation of national frontiers to stage air attacks.



 YOU DONT HAVE A CLUE WHAT YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT...LOL

The reaties are there being violated. I have supplied the data to show this. You';ve supplued nothing except an assertion whuch is of cou8rse a lie.


If we do0n't respect TREATY framework now, what makes you think we'll respect such  treaties in WAR?

BECAUSE I'VE FOUGHT WARS MORON AND YOU HAVEN'T. I know how CURRENT DoD and Allied militaries view collateral damage because I've been trained over and over on the matter. YOU HAVEN'T. WE NEED ACCESS TO FOREIGN BASES AND OVERFLIGHT if we intend to get the USAF into the fight. We aren't going to do things that would COMPEL Allied politicians to deny us access for fear of PRC retaliation.

No you haven't. What you've done is gone where you were told to go and shot at who m you were told to shoot. You have no more understandfing of what is going on than any other minor cog in the so called war effort. Don't pretend you do.. The ROEs are there for you to follow not decided by you or even understood by tou as the criteria for a soldier are different for a pilot or a sailor. Don't pretend about this. Your so called experience dpoes not translate across the for5ce envelope. You don't even know how your own tools operate or why your ROE has tpo hbe technology driven for you by thokse tools.
 
Once again you are a foillower who pretends he leads and understands. Why do you suppose we attacked the funeral and murderted those eighty civilians again? What ROE were applied?     
 
  
Like I said elsewhere this becomes  an ego defense for you once you lose on the physics and strategy and now yoi frabkly grasp at foolish and OUTDATED straws.


 You know neither Physics or Strategy.
 
Oh? Now we stoop to lying now, Darrth? Whi Us Murrat Mann Gellman and Lisa Randall and what did they doi again, PUNK?   
Easy to see at this point.


 SEE WHAT? A GLCM that cant reach the target and has an inappropriate payload to destroy it?

The GLCM under discussion. can have an elongated fuel tank and carry a 250 kilogram warhead with a shaped charge.
 
Total package can arrive with about 108,900,000 joules at Mach 1 before the explosion.
 
ADD THE EXPLOSION.after the SAO buries itself into the dam face at Mach 0.9?  Who doesn't know physics, LIAR?
 
1,045,000,000 joules after the explosion 
 
As for your pretty map, RUSSIA. Even the PRC bandits are not that INSANE, though apparently you are. Just how does a spasm attack on Russia or a US toer one ally serve the Chinese people in the negotiation and conflict resolution phase? 

You incompetent. WTF are you talking about Russia for? Look South to the ALLIED NATIONS WHERE OUR BASES ARE. 

I mentioned our tier one allies as well., you incompetent. Besides do you think Russia is going to be happy when their radars see those PRC missiles climb over their  horizon? This is what I mean by you being incompetent to the point of insanity. You just don't think too well do you? You actually LIED on top of it. Amazing!   
 
This is what I mean by your complete lack of strategic vision or COMMON SENSE. You don't know this part of warfare at all.
 
Herald

No, you don't know what you mean. You don't know anything about war, strategy and you have ZEROcommon sense. If you did, you would not make the simple rookie mistakes you do about EOF and collateral damage issues among many of your other glaring errors such as when you actually thought giving missiles to civilian ship crews was more appropriate than pistols, rifles and MG for EOF. You're act is over. We know Herald. It's obvious. STOP PRETENDING TO KNOW.

-DA 

Take your own advice and stick to driving. Leave physics and MISSILES alone too, LIAR.


By the rules I can't tell you what you are, but your lies and incompertence as cited above; reveal you exactly. That (the mathermatics espcially; that called you a liar) is sufficient.


Herald
 
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warpig       7/3/2009 11:30:24 PM
Dude, you should consider some sort of prescription, if possible.  Seriously.
 
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lurker       7/4/2009 2:33:06 AM
I have to say, I was really enjoying reading this thread until now. This vitriol/ repeated name calling etc etc spoils otherwise great debate/discussion.
 
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DarthAmerica       7/4/2009 3:00:13 PM

I have to say, I was really enjoying reading this thread until now. This vitriol/ repeated name calling etc etc spoils otherwise great debate/discussion.

Agreed.

-DA 
 
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Spiky    Nice Post   7/4/2009 4:10:00 PM

 

Interesting thread but for the rude herald rants. Would that herald could learn to express himself in an adult manner. There would likely be larger participation and more genuine information traded in a spirit of polite disagreement. herald has good ideas but does not know how to face factual rebuttal. Perhaps he should spend a year in kindergarten to develop those skills before returning here and renewing his relationship with US.

 

As to the topic as it has evolved: We won't bomb dams. Period, full stop. Although it might be considered a legitimate target within the structure of a all out conflict with China like WWII was, it is problematic since should we prevail in the war we will have to pay for the rehabilitation as part of our "Marshall plan" to rebuild our enemy (we rebuild every enemy we defeat. Vietnam should have surrendered to US then we would have turned them into a modern Japan by the mid 80's). That repair work would just cost too damn much. Second, killing civilians wholesale was proved to be a stupid tactic in WWII since it makes the enemy's civilian population become more aligned with their despotic rulers and fight harder against US. Bombing the dam isn't a logical choice in this conflict in particular since we would be attempting to support Taiwan and we can effectively neuter the dam by cutting it's power stations without busting the dam itself. The job of busting the power grid is a whole lot easier than dealing with the effects of a shattered dam deluging thousands of square miles of farmland and villages. Case closed on that silliness.

 

A Question to carry the debate into current US foreign policy: We agree here that the US must act quickly in the event of all out war between Taiwan and PRC. We would have about a week or so to provide meaningful support before Taiwanese leaders might begin to bend under the stress of continuous missile bombardment and a naval blockade, perhaps an outright invasion.

 

Would we intervene militarily in Taiwan? or would our current political leadership attempt to negotiate a settlement? We have not intervened in Central America where Venezuela has moved upon Honduras, Niciragua, and other formerly friendly nations. Chavez is acting overtly in support of very bad people and against our former allies in the area. This constitutes a rollback of the Monroe Doctrine. We have sided with the Iranian backed Hamas/Hezzbollah in The Palestinian Territories. We have given $900 million to them in spite of their acts of direct aggression against our former ally Israel. That money is in direct support of those that have been our enemies. No debate there is there? We are not going to stop North Korea from shooting missiles at Hawaii but instead stand ready to use our interceptors. Wouldn't it be better to stop the missile on the pad if it appears it will be shot over Japan at US? Simply put, we aren't going to stop anybody militarily from doing anything are we?

 

Given our demonstrated shift away from confrontation, why would China expect US to intervene? IF they attack our bases then yes we would probably have to respond, but if they simply gin up a reason to invade Taiwan and leave US alone, might they expect to face our diplomatic prowess and nothing else? Hillary Clinton is the very essence of a China friendly US agent. Why would she be expected to stand up to China when her husband gave China the ability to target US with modern ballistic missiles? Obama can't find enough offense to even speak out on behalf of Iranian dissidents let alone Chinese dissidents. Given the current US position wouldn't it be up to other interested parties in the region to interevene if any military intervention was expected at all? That wouldn't be likely either because any parties who might defend Taiwan would do so against the threat of US sanctions.

 

We don't need any Raptors if we never intend to use them do we?

 

Check Six

 

Rocky

 

 


In general, I agree with this entire last post of yours. I believe the Chinese would have the upper hand politically with our current administration if it came to a Taiwan/Chinese confrontation. I'm afraid we would be flanked politcally before Obama decided to use the military, and the Taiwanese would capitulate.
 
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Herald12345    U ansswer a fool with what he deserves.   7/5/2009 1:39:28 AM
Seriously, when are you  guys going to catch on as to what a prevaricator he's turning into?
 
Takes time, I know but its as plain as Jane's to me.
 
Sort of like Blue Wings and his new "friend", that he brought on-board to try to buttress his lying carcass in that other thread..
 
Herald .  
 
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DarthAmerica    MOVE ON HERALD   7/5/2009 11:58:57 AM

Seriously, when are you  guys going to catch on as to what a prevaricator he's turning into?

 
WHEN ARE YOU GOING TO CATCH ON THAT PEOPLE DON'T CARE ABOUT YOUR PERSONAL GRIEVANCE? SERIOUSLY, YOU ARE DESTROYING THE JOY OF POSTING HERE. AND DON'T USE A WORD YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND.


Was I being a prevaricator when I posted the document that proves the United States is LEGALLY FORBIDDEN from bursting Three Gorges? 

Was I being a prevaricator when I mentioned that this thread was started based on a Rand report that people took out of context based on biased APA input and it was invalid in the context of numbers of F-22s?

Was I being a prevaricator when I told you missiles would be inappropriate for Civilians on Merchant ships trying to conduct EOF?

Was I being a Prevaricator when I told you that that touch screes are used in fighter cockpits?

Was I being a prevaricator when I informed you that the USA does not run an MSR through the city of Basrah and I knew that be cause I traveled the MSR several times a week personally?

Was I prevaricating when I said that UAS technologies are rapidly advancing and that they could be operated securely in denied airspace and that advanced LO versions of UAS existed?


NO 

 
You on the other hand. I can prove right now that you are either a prevaricator or ignorant on the subject of PRC capabilities. Yes, PROVE RIGHT NOW. Remember when you said that Anderson AFB would be a "Smoking Hole" in the ground? Yes, Herald, you said that. You mentioned it in the context of being justification for this silly dam busting lunacy. When confronted by others about exactly how the Chinese would do this since

A: They have a no first use nuke policy

B: First use would expose them to our far superior and more numerous nukes

C: They don't have conventional capability to do what you said
 
In other words, you are either ignorant about PRC nuclear policy and conventional capability, OR you are equivocating to support your flawed argument that Three Gorges is a valid target. In other words,

EQUIVOCATING=PREVARICATE

By definition. Unless you want to just admit that you were ignorant and you have now learned something. Herald, anybody reasonable can read the argument above and see that what I wrote is true. And because you are letting your emotions get the better part of your judgement these are EASY cases to make against you. Please stop now and join the rest of us who know how to have friendly disagreement. It is not a personal attack on you when folks dont share your view. Get used to that because it's life dear. You don't see me cursing Rocky on his OJ, MJ or Obama views. Warpig either. Nor do I insult GF who I know disagrees with SecDef Gates on some issues and the Raptor in particular. So the real question is when are you going to join us and adhere to the rules and discuss like an adult with at least Kindergarden experience?
 
 
 

Takes time, I know but its as plain as Jane's to me.

Sort of like Blue Wings and his new "friend", that he brought on-board to try to buttress his lying carcass in that other thread..

Herald .  



 
Seriously, talk to somebody. Maybe even Bluewings. At least he actually knows how not to make disagreement a character assassination.

-DA 
 
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Reactive       7/6/2009 10:45:41 AM
Herald, DA, providing that you both don't actually say the things you do with the genuine malice that might be assumed, I think you're both able to give as good as you get, I'd put money on the fact that you'd get on over a beer.
 
 
I don't want to interject into this war, but I think this might be a timely reminder that we will very soon see what BO is made of (as well as european politicians) regarding the situation in Xinjiang, It could well (not enough information available at present time) be a massacre of similar proportions to that of Tianenmman square, it will be interesting to see if we can summon the balls to make any statement other than "appealing for calm", if that is the extent of criticism from the West then I, for one, will be utterly ashamed.
 
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DarthAmerica       7/6/2009 1:25:34 PM

Herald, DA, providing that you both don't actually say the things you do with the genuine malice that might be assumed, I think you're both able to give as good as you get, I'd put money on the fact that you'd get on over a beer.


 Herald is a smart person. I have great respect for his ability to discuss technical subjects and knowledge in general. If he would manage to temper his responses and extend the same courtesy to me as I have to him by squashing this beef I'd be more than happy to by him a beer or discuss with him any topic...

 

I don't want to interject into this war, but I think this might be a timely reminder that we will very soon see what BO is made of (as well as european politicians) regarding the situation in Xinjiang, It could well (not enough information available at present time) be a massacre of similar proportions to that of Tianenmman square, it will be interesting to see if we can summon the balls to make any statement other than "appealing for calm", if that is the extent of criticism from the West then I, for one, will be utterly ashamed.


Yes, BHO will be tested as all Presidents are. However, with regard to internal Chinese affairs which clearly this is, I'm at a loss as to what he is supposed to do other than make a statement condemning the acts of violence. All to often geopolitical reality trumps ideology and principle and nations are often compelled to deal with nations they otherwise wouldn't in the absence of some national interest. This is just the reality of the situation...

-DA 


 
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Herald12345       7/6/2009 3:26:45 PM

Herald, DA, providing that you both don't actually say the things you do with the genuine malice that might be assumed, I think you're both able to give as good as you get, I'd put money on the fact that you'd get on over a beer.

I don't want to interject into this war, but I think this might be a timely reminder that we will very soon see what BO is made of (as well as European politicians) regarding the situation in Xinjiang, It could well (not enough information available at present time) be a massacre of similar proportions to that of Tianenmman square, it will be interesting to see if we can summon the balls to make any statement other than "appealing for calm", if that is the extent of criticism from the West then I, for one, will be utterly ashamed.

Well Honduras is a leading indicator.
 
As for the no first use policy that the TRUCK DRIVER  claims the PRCs Bandits had.
 
The claims of tyrants are not worth the lies they sign.
 
The Medium Range Missile Treaty they signed?
 
What is Saudi Arabia doing with all those Chinese MRBMS?

Well?
 
I don't need to listen to bumblers and liars long to know who they are. 
 
HONDURAS, Darth. Your pinko hero backs Zaloya, who was constitutionally deposed and exiled for trying to foment a Marxist revolution  
 
The Interregnimist sides with Chavez in this.
 
His political stripes are plain now.
 
 
 
Well?

As for smoking hole; that is a metaphor, learn the difference between figure of speech and technical term such as "e4ffectivelt suppressed", you prevaricator, and quit trying to strawman your way out arguments you lose and qiyit trying to fly assimptiona as facts when i can dredge up facts to prove you are a fantasist, and the one who needs the mental health proferssional to ground you IN REALITY.
 
Lie about your own qualifications. Assume facts not in evidence, attack personal character of your far more qualified opponents and them LIE on top of it with your incoherent and logicless posts?
 
At the others; do you seriously think I would have a beer with this "person".
 
You know how I treat falsehood?
 
Herald
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
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DarthAmerica    You're becoming a joke...   7/6/2009 3:44:53 PM
Herald...

 

...You really need to calm down. And you are seriously insulting people who are in harms way ON YOUR BEHALF behind the wheels of M915, M1151 and HETs in the US Army and USAF alike. You should stop doing that. Too many of them are dying doing that most dangerous job for you to be allowed to keep posting about them and the nature of their work the way you do. I can tell you that a number of people are getting a bit tired of you doing that.

I have not insulted you and yet you are continuing to behave like this. Why? What's you beef? You cannot call me a prevaricator without calling yourself hypocrite in the same breath and I've proven that. So what is the problem? 

-DA 
 
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Reactive       7/6/2009 4:00:09 PM




Herald, DA, providing that you both don't actually say the things you do with the genuine malice that might be assumed, I think you're both able to give as good as you get, I'd put money on the fact that you'd get on over a beer.






 Herald is a smart person. I have great respect for his ability to discuss technical subjects and knowledge in general. If he would manage to temper his responses and extend the same courtesy to me as I have to him by squashing this beef I'd be more than happy to by him a beer or discuss with him any topic...



 



I don't want to interject into this war, but I think this might be a timely reminder that we will very soon see what BO is made of (as well as european politicians) regarding the situation in Xinjiang, It could well (not enough information available at present time) be a massacre of similar proportions to that of Tianenmman square, it will be interesting to see if we can summon the balls to make any statement other than "appealing for calm", if that is the extent of criticism from the West then I, for one, will be utterly ashamed.







Yes, BHO will be tested as all Presidents are. However, with regard to internal Chinese affairs which clearly this is, I'm at a loss as to what he is supposed to do other than make a statement condemning the acts of violence. All to often geopolitical reality trumps ideology and principle and nations are often compelled to deal with nations they otherwise wouldn't in the absence of some national interest. This is just the reality of the situation..

I think political dialogue regarding "chinese human rights" has become the inconvenient awkward footnote in diplomacy rather than something that was expected to improve in return for increased trade and access for and with China.
 
The ruling party will scarcely be able to contain their joy that, a riot just as significant as those in tibet before the olympics, has gone completely unquestioned. I don't like what that signifies, obviously I understand about political necessity, and the unfortunate reality for "principles" in those instances, what I don't like is the fact that we have allowed ourselves to become so reliant on China that we can't afford to maintain ours (principles) when we really should.
 
For a comparable (or hey, even if it was fractional) scale unrest to tiananmen, it seems that we're far less concerned. For a death toll 10x higher than that in Iran, it worries me that it is being wilfully swept under the carpet.
 
And that surely has future implications for Taiwan.
 
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DarthAmerica       7/6/2009 5:17:00 PM

I think political dialogue regarding "chinese human rights" has become the inconvenient awkward footnote in diplomacy rather than something that was expected to improve in return for increased trade and access for and with China.


 

The ruling party will scarcely be able to contain their joy that, a riot just as significant as those in tibet before the olympics, has gone completely unquestioned. I don't like what that signifies, obviously I understand about political necessity, and the unfortunate reality for "principles" in those instances, what I don't like is the fact that we have allowed ourselves to become so reliant on China that we can't afford to maintain ours (principles) when we really should.


 

For a comparable (or hey, even if it was fractional) scale unrest to tiananmen, it seems that we're far less concerned. For a death toll 10x higher than that in Iran, it worries me that it is being wilfully swept under the carpet.

 

And that surely has future implications for Taiwan.




 
I'm not ready to characterize the implications of this for Taiwan as that is clearly not treated as an internal issue by the international community. However it does suggest the strength of the PRC Government that it is able to effectively put down unrest and continue to function unabated. The ability to quickly put down dissent is a fundamental operational concept of an authoritarian gov because failure to do so has the potential for destabilizing the government and turing the state security apparatus on itself rather than abroad and on external interest. In that spirit I can see second order effects for Taiwan. ie the PRC Gov is not so consumed with internal issues that it can't simultaneously react to the Taiwan issue. 

BTW, I'd like to interject something here about US Geopolitical interest and who happens to be the POTUS at the time. We are all mulling the decision by the DoD to CAP F-22 production among other things and the assumption is that a Democratic President and BHO in particular would respond meekly to PRC aggression. Historical Data suggest otherwise. Directly relevant to the thread, F-22 cuts and caps have been on going for almost 20 years though both Republican and Democrat Admins. The current SecDef was appointed by GWB, is a Republican and it was under President Bush(Both) that the F-22 numbers were cut and then capped. President Obama is merely continuing what is turning out to be bi-partisan USG policy with regard to this fighter.

And with regard to Taiwan. During the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis is was non other than President Bill Clinton that ordered USN CVNs to literally get directly involved in breaking up that dispute and communicating in no uncertain terms that the USA is willing to make a military challenge over the issue. Putting 2 of the USNs most critical strategic assets into harms way with 10,000+ sailors lived in the balance is no small effort. Thats a lot of lives to risk for a Party that is considered to be risk adverse with regard to warfare. President Bush didn't exactly turn the USAF/USN loose or SOCCOM loose to free the captured EP-3 crew. I just think peoples political biases more often than not inhibit the ability to see that the POTUS position is one that requires a much more moderate approach that is a lot less than what extremist on both sides would prefer. So while Mr. Obama may be kinder and gentler diplomatically speaking, I don't think the fact that he is carrying a very big stick is lost on the Chinese. 

-DA 
 
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usajoe1    DA   7/6/2009 5:29:47 PM
So while Mr. Obama may be kinder and gentler diplomatically speaking, I don't think the fact that he is carrying a very big stick is lost on the Chinese.

You call appeasement and apologizing, kinder and gentler? Can you tell me the diffrence between Carter and Reagan? They were both kind, moral man, but there foreign policy was competely diffrent. You see the diffrence? Obama is the new Jimmy Carter in a time we need a Reagan.

 
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