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Subject: SecDef Gates recommends halting F-22 and POTUS Helo production
DarthAmerica    4/6/2009 3:53:07 PM
h*tp://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D97D4QTO1&show_article=1 Apr 6 02:44 PM US/Eastern By ANNE GEARAN AP Military Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - Defense Secretary Robert Gates on Monday recommended halting production of the F-22 fighter jet and scrapping a new helicopter for the president as he outlined deep cuts to many of the military's biggest weapons programs. Gates said his $534 billion budget proposal represents a "fundamental overhaul" in defense acquisition and reflects a shift in priorities from fighting conventional wars to the newer threats U.S. forces face from insurgents in places such as Afghanistan. The department must ensure it has the right programs and money to "fight the wars we are in today and the scenarios we are most likely to face in the years to come, while at the same time providing a hedge against other risks," Gates said as he revealed details of his budget for the next fiscal year. The promised emphasis on budget paring is a reversal from the Bush years, which included a doubling of the Pentagon's spending since 2001. Spending on tanks, fighter planes, ships, missiles and other weapons accounted for about a third of all defense spending last year. But Gates noted more money will be needed in areas such as personnel as the Army and Marines expand the size of their forces. Gates will likely face stiff resistance in Congress, where lawmakers are wary of losing defense contractor jobs with an economy in crisis. Some defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin Corp. have warned of huge layoffs if programs are cut. Production of the F-22 fighter jet, which cost $140 million apiece, would be halted at 187. Plans to build a new helicopter for the president and a helicopter to rescue downed pilots would be canceled. A new communications satellite would be scrapped and the program for a new Air Force transport plane would be ended. Some of the Pentagon's most expensive programs would also be scaled back. The Army's $160 billion Future Combat Systems modernization program would lose its armored vehicles. Plans to build a shield to defend against missile attacks by rogue states would also be scaled back. Yet some programs would grow. Gates proposed speeding up production of the F-35 fighter jet, which could end up costing $1 trillion to manufacture and maintain 2,443 planes. The military would buy more speedy ships that can operate close in to land. And more money would be spent outfitting special forces troops that can hunt down insurgents. "It is important to remember that every defense dollar spent to over-ensure against a remote or diminishing risk?or in effect to run up the score in a capability where the United States is already dominant?is a dollar not available to take care of our people, reset the force, win the wars we are in and improve capabilities in areas where we are underinvested and potentially vulnerable," Gates said. The Government Accountability Office reported last week that 96 of the Pentagon's biggest weapons contracts were over budget by a "staggering" figure of $296 billion. A bill in Congress would require the Pentagon to do a better job of making sure proposed weapons are affordable and perform the way they should before the military spends big sums on them. The Defense Department has already adjusted its acquisitions policy to achieve some of those goals. ------------------------------------------------------------------ I'm already bracing myself for the comments to follow... -DA
 
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DarthAmerica       4/16/2009 5:53:27 PM
Mustang,

You are contradicting yourself. LM which also sells the F-22, tells you the F-35 offers 400% more lethality over platforms like Typhoon and Su-30. You don't accept that. So why do you accept that their other product(F-22) would offer even greater capability?

Knowing that the simulation shows an F-35 is 400% more effective than planes like Typhoon, F-15 and Su-30, what would it's kill ratio be in theory?

Assuming you get the right answer, what exactly are you worried about. 

-DA 
 
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mustang22       4/16/2009 6:19:47 PM
DA,
 
I was already anticipating that you would make reference to Lockheed and the F-22. I believe factual knowledge based on real world experience that F-22 pilots have enjoyed. Granted it is simulated combat but the data supports the claims. The 4:1 theoretical kill ratio is based on the F-35's LO capability which it sacrifices with external stores. Sorry i'll take the 200:1 advantage that the Raptor enjoys. Supporting one platform based on real performance and discrediting another based soley on theory whether or not they are both products of LM is not a contradiction in my book.
 
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DarthAmerica       4/16/2009 7:36:27 PM

DA,

 

I was already anticipating that you would make reference to Lockheed and the F-22. I believe factual knowledge based on real world experience that F-22 pilots have enjoyed. Granted it is simulated combat but the data supports the claims. The 4:1 theoretical kill ratio is based on the F-35's LO capability which it sacrifices with external stores. Sorry i'll take the 200:1 advantage that the Raptor enjoys. Supporting one platform based on real performance and discrediting another based soley on theory whether or not they are both products of LM is not a contradiction in my book.


Another error. The F-35 simulation accounts for that. You are going to say that, 4 air to air missiles aren't enough...ect. Thats a tired old argument that's been disproven over and over and over. No offense but your opinion is based on a flawed understanding. The 400% improvement of the F-35 is not meant to say that it will get 4:1 against any particular platform. it means that the F-35 will offer a 400% improvements COMPARED to it's nearest competitor. IOW, if Tyhoon or F-15 can get 10 to 1, F-35 will get 40 to 1. Not F-35 kills F-15 4 to 1. That makes most threats almost completely ineffective against it at the systems level. ie if I deployed an F-35A squadron to battle,  unless I'm out numbered by extreme margins or out foxed, I'm good to go in air to air scenarios.

-DA 

 


 
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sentinel28a       4/16/2009 9:25:49 PM
On the contrary, DA.  Where I think you and Gates are making a huge mistake is assuming that nothing will change in the next 15 years. 
 
As I pointed out before, it's great and wonderful that we're working on 6th gen fighters.  Where are they? Are they ready for production in two years?  If so, I'll agree with the decision to cap the F-22.  If not, then we need something to bridge the gap.  The F-15 won't cut it.  By 2025, it'll be a 55 year old design.  55 years ago, the F-86 was frontline equipment, and technology moves faster today than it did in the 1950s. 
 
Okay, China and Russia are five years from their 5th gen fighters.  Great.  Wouldn't it be awesome to have a fleet of F-22s ready to confront such a threat, rather than relying on 4th generation fighters and the F-35--which won't be able to achieve the level of air superiority as the F-22--to pick up the slack?
 
Face it, this is a political decision made without the input of the people who will be risking their ass if Gates and you are wrong.  Nothing good ever came out of political decisions made on weapons systems.  Again, if the government was making cuts across the board, I might feel better about this.  But they're not.  Obama's spending like money can be pulled off the cherry trees in Washington, yet he wants to cut necessary defense programs.  That should raise a very big "why?"  I mean, if he's going to run up a $9 trillion deficit and devote several billion to Hamas, then he should be able to get up off a few bil to keep the F-22 in low-scale production. 
 
I keep bringing up Barney Frank's snarky comment about the military not needing "fancy toys."  The Democrats have had the military in the crosshairs since last November.  This is just the start.
 
 
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DarthAmerica       4/16/2009 11:04:23 PM

On the contrary, DA.  Where I think you and Gates are making a huge mistake is assuming that nothing will change in the next 15 years. 

 You can think that but then you will be wrong. Rather, try to understand what I'm saying. FORGET ABOUT HOW COOL THE F-22 is. Its just a tool in a tool box full of them. I'm not trying to patronize you and I offer an apology in advance. 

As I pointed out before, it's great and wonderful that we're working on 6th gen fighters.  Where are they? Are they ready for production in two years?  If so, I'll agree with the decision to cap the F-22.  If not, then we need something to bridge the gap.  The F-15 won't cut it.  By 2025, it'll be a 55 year old design.  55 years ago, the F-86 was frontline equipment, and technology moves faster today than it did in the 1950s. 

 That comment above is not logical. Why would we have or need a 6th Gen platform 6 years after the F-22 went IOC? WE DONT HAVE A FREAKIN GAP. We have an access abundance of air power. Also, you stating the F-15 wont cut it is plain wrong. New builds and upgrades are still being produced! An F-15 of 2009 is not the F-15 of the early 1980s. They are radically different and with next decades upgrades will be even more advanced. That plane has an enormous amount of growth potential due to size. You cannot compare it to an F-86. It's almost like you are being purposely blind to advances in technology. 

Ask yourself why if the F-15 wont be viable in 15 years, why are top rates high quality airforces like S Korea, Singapore and Israel buying and upgrading them? Why would Boeing roll out the F-15SE is the design was obsolete? You aren't making sense.

Okay, China and Russia are five years from their 5th gen fighters.  Great.  Wouldn't it be awesome to have a fleet of F-22s ready to confront such a threat, rather than relying on 4th generation fighters and the F-35--which won't be able to achieve the level of air superiority as the F-22--to pick up the slack?

 OK, I really must be in an alternate universe. WE HAVE F-22's. WE DON'T NEED F-35's to be F-22's. Just like we dont need F-16's to be F-15s. Sure roles overlap in some areas. But they are designed and procured based on different requirements. 

Face it, this is a political decision made without the input of the people who will be risking their ass if Gates and you are wrong.  Nothing good ever came out of political decisions made on weapons systems.  Again, if the government was making cuts across the board, I might feel better about this.  But they're not.  Obama's spending like money can be pulled off the cherry trees in Washington, yet he wants to cut necessary defense programs.  That should raise a very big "why?"  I mean, if he's going to run up a $9 trillion deficit and devote several billion to Hamas, then he should be able to get up off a few bil to keep the F-22 in low-scale production. 
I keep bringing up Barney Frank's snarky comment about the military not needing "fancy toys."  The Democrats have had the military in the crosshairs since last November.  This is just the start.

I know now why I get paid what I do. Sentinel, I'm not saying there isn't a counter argument to Gates and myself that has to be considered. But this circular error filled argument that the people on the site regurgitate over and over isn't it. Do you see the ease with which I'm able to factually counter all of this point by point?

-DA


 
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DarthAmerica       4/17/2009 12:30:24 AM
To WHOM it may apply.

It is an invalid criticism of the joint strike fighter that its internal air to air armament is less than that of aircraft that carry weapons externally. That comparison completely ignores certain facts. Historically, recent history that is, suggest that carrying more than 2-4 air to air missiles during air combat is redundant. Having spent the last couple of hours after work looking through documented instances of air combat. It seems that 2-4 missiles is more than enough. I also think back to times I've seen actual F-16s, F-18s and other aircraft configured for air combat during both peace and war time, they are almost never carrying more than a pair or two of air to air missiles. They are however almost always carrying external fuel tanks. This leads into my other point. The joint strike fighter when not carrying external weapons will have a much cleaner aerodynamic profile in addition to its stealth features. This means that not only will threat aircraft be less likely to detect it, it would also have an advantage due to its clean configuration and high thrust. In conclusion, it will get the initiative over its opponents both before and after detection. The latter of which in all likelihood being the detonation of an air missile. One cannot underestimate the value of surprise. To make an analogy, lone snipers have decimated much larger enemy units in spite of the fact that they are not as heavily armed. But in the joint strike fighter's case, if it does need to be more heavily armed, it can carry external weapons.

-DA 
 
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warpig       4/17/2009 10:10:30 AM
Besides DA certainly being correct that four AIM-120 will be plenty for most scenarios, I continue to offer this unprovable opinion.  While it certainly is a fact today that the the F-35 can only carry four missiles internally, it's my opinion that anyone who honestly thinks this means the F-35 can not be modified to carry more than that internally is just out to lunch.  The day the need for greater internal carriage is officially expressed by DoD and the money to make it happen is found in the DoD budget, is the day L-M rolls out their delivery schedule showing when internal carriage of six AIM-120s will be accomplished (and it won't take long to accomplish, either).  Personally, I figure the likelihood of exactly that sort of event occurring sometime between the F-22 acquisition program irrevocably ending (c.2010) and the first squadron of Russian and/or Chinese "5th" generation jets reaching IOC (c.2015-2020) is about 1.
 
 
 
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mustang22       4/17/2009 10:15:12 AM
DA,
 
You still have not addressed my question as to why we would need to spend a trillion dollars on a program that's mission could be performed by existing aircraft with sufficient F-22 support, especially in the low level conflicts you base your arguments on. Please explain to me where we stand once the F-22 line is closed and the unlikely and rare(sarcasm) event that a major weapons program is cancelled(F-35). Zumwalt, Seawolf(after 3 boats), FCS, Crusader, Sgt York, B1(until Reagan came along) just a few that haven't made it.
 
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LB    I'll Alert the Media   4/17/2009 10:18:52 AM
Alert the Media:  Immediate Press Release- DA announce air superiority fighter planes need only carry 2 or 4 air to air missiles and that carrying more is "redundant".
 
First you entire line of argument was the 178 F-15Cs the USAF is going to keep around was enough to supplement the F-22 (both of which normally carry 8 missiles in the air superiority role) and now the past few days you are asserting that the F-35 can supplement the F-22 in the air superiority role.
 
The article you yourself cited went out of it's way to point out that on multiple levels the F-35 is not a fighter, much less an air superiority aircraft.
 
Furthermore, you stated that you saw no need to compare the F-22 and F-35.  If you are going to assert that the F-35 can supplement the F-22 in the air superiority role than you must be able to compare the ability of each and know with some level of certainty how many F-35s are needed to do the air superiority job of one F-22.  At that point you can conclude which platform is more cost effective.
 
To WHOM it may apply.




It is an invalid criticism of the joint strike fighter that its internal air to air armament is less than that of aircraft that carry weapons externally. That comparison completely ignores certain facts. Historically, recent history that is, suggest that carrying more than 2-4 air to air missiles during air combat is redundant. Having spent the last couple of hours after work looking through documented instances of air combat. It seems that 2-4 missiles is more than enough. I also think back to times I've seen actual F-16s, F-18s and other aircraft configured for air combat during both peace and war time, they are almost never carrying more than a pair or two of air to air missiles. They are however almost always carrying external fuel tanks. This leads into my other point. The joint strike fighter when not carrying external weapons will have a much cleaner aerodynamic profile in addition to its stealth features. This means that not only will threat aircraft be less likely to detect it, it would also have an advantage due to its clean configuration and high thrust. In conclusion, it will get the initiative over its opponents both before and after detection. The latter of which in all likelihood being the detonation of an air missile. One cannot underestimate the value of surprise. To make an analogy, lone snipers have decimated much larger enemy units in spite of the fact that they are not as heavily armed. But in the joint strike fighter's case, if it does need to be more heavily armed, it can carry external weapons.




-DA 

 
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LB    I'll Alert the Media   4/17/2009 10:29:16 AM
Let us stipulate that one day the F-35 can carry more than 2 air to air missiles internally.  Today it carries two.  As of now there is no program for it to carry more than two.
 
So one day in the future it carries 4 or 6 missiles.  Exactly how effective might it be then compared to a F-22 and which aircraft is more cost effective to purchase in the air superiority role?
 
The F-35 is a stealthy strike fighter.  It's not, nor is it ever going to be, an air superiority fighter due to limitations inherent in it's design.  The ability to shoot down enemy aircraft does not an air superiority fighter make.
 

Besides DA certainly being correct that four AIM-120 will be plenty for most scenarios, I continue to offer this unprovable opinion.  While it certainly is a fact today that the the F-35 can only carry four missiles internally, it's my opinion that anyone who honestly thinks this means the F-35 can not be modified to carry more than that internally is just out to lunch.  The day the need for greater internal carriage is officially expressed by DoD and the money to make it happen is found in the DoD budget, is the day L-M rolls out their delivery schedule showing when internal carriage of six AIM-120s will be accomplished (and it won't take long to accomplish, either).  Personally, I figure the likelihood of exactly that sort of event occurring sometime between the F-22 acquisition program irrevocably ending (c.2010) and the first squadron of Russian and/or Chinese "5th" generation jets reaching IOC (c.2015-2020) is about 1.

 


 


 
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