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Subject: SecDef Gates recommends halting F-22 and POTUS Helo production
DarthAmerica    4/6/2009 3:53:07 PM
h*tp://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D97D4QTO1&show_article=1 Apr 6 02:44 PM US/Eastern By ANNE GEARAN AP Military Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - Defense Secretary Robert Gates on Monday recommended halting production of the F-22 fighter jet and scrapping a new helicopter for the president as he outlined deep cuts to many of the military's biggest weapons programs. Gates said his $534 billion budget proposal represents a "fundamental overhaul" in defense acquisition and reflects a shift in priorities from fighting conventional wars to the newer threats U.S. forces face from insurgents in places such as Afghanistan. The department must ensure it has the right programs and money to "fight the wars we are in today and the scenarios we are most likely to face in the years to come, while at the same time providing a hedge against other risks," Gates said as he revealed details of his budget for the next fiscal year. The promised emphasis on budget paring is a reversal from the Bush years, which included a doubling of the Pentagon's spending since 2001. Spending on tanks, fighter planes, ships, missiles and other weapons accounted for about a third of all defense spending last year. But Gates noted more money will be needed in areas such as personnel as the Army and Marines expand the size of their forces. Gates will likely face stiff resistance in Congress, where lawmakers are wary of losing defense contractor jobs with an economy in crisis. Some defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin Corp. have warned of huge layoffs if programs are cut. Production of the F-22 fighter jet, which cost $140 million apiece, would be halted at 187. Plans to build a new helicopter for the president and a helicopter to rescue downed pilots would be canceled. A new communications satellite would be scrapped and the program for a new Air Force transport plane would be ended. Some of the Pentagon's most expensive programs would also be scaled back. The Army's $160 billion Future Combat Systems modernization program would lose its armored vehicles. Plans to build a shield to defend against missile attacks by rogue states would also be scaled back. Yet some programs would grow. Gates proposed speeding up production of the F-35 fighter jet, which could end up costing $1 trillion to manufacture and maintain 2,443 planes. The military would buy more speedy ships that can operate close in to land. And more money would be spent outfitting special forces troops that can hunt down insurgents. "It is important to remember that every defense dollar spent to over-ensure against a remote or diminishing risk?or in effect to run up the score in a capability where the United States is already dominant?is a dollar not available to take care of our people, reset the force, win the wars we are in and improve capabilities in areas where we are underinvested and potentially vulnerable," Gates said. The Government Accountability Office reported last week that 96 of the Pentagon's biggest weapons contracts were over budget by a "staggering" figure of $296 billion. A bill in Congress would require the Pentagon to do a better job of making sure proposed weapons are affordable and perform the way they should before the military spends big sums on them. The Defense Department has already adjusted its acquisitions policy to achieve some of those goals. ------------------------------------------------------------------ I'm already bracing myself for the comments to follow... -DA
 
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DarthAmerica       4/7/2009 12:06:42 AM


Is there anybody out there who can make a case for more F-22's beyond you just you like it or you hate the Politicians behind not buying more? Seriously because we debated this over the weekend at the unit and nobody could honestly say that we can't accomplish our mission with the F-22's we have.




You keep begging this question as though we haven't been over all of the technical merits, but we have.  But at this point you're asking the wrong question.

No, I'm asking the question you need to ask yourself. Can the USAF perform it's missions with 150 +/- F-22's. Are there alternatives. The answer is yes! It may not be your preference. But you cannot deny it. And none of what you said constitutes a "technical" argument. It's your opinion which I will counter shortly...
 

You keep saying that we can save money by canceling the F-22.  But the F-22 is a working, available system here now.  So is the F-16.  The system that is not currently available and whose program costs we are far from finished paying for is the F-35.  That is the system we should cancel.

OK, so then what about all the countries who have placed orders for this aircraft? The cost of canceling the F-35 would be enormous from a financial and political point of view. 
 

Seriously: what capabilities does the F-35 bring to the fight in Afghanistan and Iraq that a F-16 Block 60 does not?  The F-35 has shorter range, less payload, much higher maintenance cost, and no capabilities whatsoever over the F-16 that matter one iota in a fight like that.  What's more, we're not finished developing it yet, and even when we do it will cost more per aircraft than the F-16.  So from the standpoint of cost and capability in current wars the F-35 makes no sense.

Plenty. Two I can think of are better situational awareness and lower operations cost. The cost that really matters. Also, smoother integration with NATO allies. And if need be, it would be a lot more survivable if things went tit's up in Pakistan and we had to take action there. Also, because it is stealthy, some of those drone attacks could be done by F-35's configured for LO with a lot heavier ordinance and plausible deniability to boot! 
 

On the other hand, there really aren't any aircraft flying that are significantly more capable than the F-16, and even the ones that come close wouldn't matter because if we canceled the F-35 we could easily afford to recapitalize the entire air superiority fleet with F-22s.  We'd have enough F-22s to do the OCA and DEAD missions that the F-15 and F-117 used to do, but better and more safely.  And, again, it's an aircraft that is paid for, a big aircraft that is expandable, and an aircraft that we know for sure works and is available today.

In what role? And why would I recapitalize my fleet with a platform I will not be likely to use as much? With an F-35 I can enjoy the best of both worlds and have much more flexibility.
 

You brought up logistics earlier.  How is the F-35 better than the F-16 in that respect?  We have a couple thousand F-16s now, and if we phased the Block 40/42/50/52 into the ANG and re-equipped active wings with Block 60s we'd have a massive advantage in logistics due to the commonality between all those airframes.  Meanwhile we have parts-hungry F-15s that are hard to support, and 178 "golden" ones won't get any better about that; and under Gates' plan we'll have 187 F-22s which will become increasingly hard to support for the same reason -- a small and ever dwindling support manufacturing base.

Look into the logistics program built into the F-35. Also, the F-35 goves commonality with the entire DoD and allies, not just the USAF.
 

I raised several technical concerns about the F-35: weight, heat dissipation, melting runways, and noise.  None of those has been fully addressed to date.  The weight issue was dealt with through redesign of internal structures -- which did bring the airplane's weight within margins,
 
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Phaid       4/7/2009 1:30:17 AM
Your post has been thoroughly countered. Point by point. Your view is too USAF fighter community centric and it is why Gates was brought in. I understand your feelings but your "logic" doesn't measure up.
 
LOL.  You responded to my points with baseless opinions and then declared victory.  Way to go.
 
You complain about lack of technical arguments, so here's one for you: explain how the F-35 will have lower operating costs than the F-16.  The F-35 is larger, heavier, burns more gas, and is more mechanically complex.  I hope I don't have to paste numbers to convince you of the size, weight, and mechanical complexity differences; as far as gas, according to Jane's, the F-35 burns 0.886 lb/hr/lbst gas in cruise, versus between 0.72 and 0.75 lb/hr/lbst for the latest block F-16s, and the F-16 is lighter (thus less lbst).  Also, the F-35 has all those stealth features that have to be kept in good shape.  So, where is all this savings going to come from?
 
I know it's tempting to quote that whole "commonality" brochure bullet, but it's basically BS.  Real commonality would be to capitalize on the existing logistics base for the F-16, which a Block 60 would have in spades, versus the much higher cost of both establishing a new logistics pipeline for the F-35 and maintaining the one for the F-16 as it phases out.

 
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VelocityVector       4/7/2009 1:47:04 AM

Your post has been thoroughly countered. Point by point. Your view is too USAF fighter community centric and it is why Gates was brought in. I understand your feelings but your "logic" doesn't measure up.

 

LOL.  You responded to my points with baseless opinions and then declared victory.  Way to go.

 

You complain about lack of technical arguments, so here's one for you: explain how the F-35 will have lower operating costs than the F-16.  The F-35 is larger, heavier, burns more gas, and is more mechanically complex.  I hope I don't have to paste numbers to convince you of the size, weight, and mechanical complexity differences; as far as gas, according to Jane's, the F-35 burns 0.886 lb/hr/lbst gas in cruise, versus between 0.72 and 0.75 lb/hr/lbst for the latest block F-16s, and the F-16 is lighter (thus less lbst).  Also, the F-35 has all those stealth features that have to be kept in good shape.  So, where is all this savings going to come from?


 

I know it's tempting to quote that whole "commonality" brochure bullet, but it's basically BS.  Real commonality would be to capitalize on the existing logistics base for the F-16, which a Block 60 would have in spades, versus the much higher cost of both establishing a new logistics pipeline for the F-35 and maintaining the one for the F-16 as it phases out.





Phaid, your F-16 example is carrying AMRAAM, heavier AESA and extra fuel plus increased drag?  Engine-wise alone, I don't see how you are arriving at your numbers in operational stance opposed by a competent foe.
v^2
 
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gf0012-aust       4/7/2009 4:55:34 AM
Regarding UCAV. There are some really radically advanced concepts out there. Some of it operationally tested. If people had any idea how far along we really were jaws would drop to the floor. Look at the known state of the art. Just imagine the kinds of classified programs out there now. 
-DA 

Well, there are a number of foreign countries testing UAV's in the middle of Oz at the moment - and then there is this little tidbit:
 
Boeing Wedgetail able to control drones
April 7, 2009 - 7:29AM

Australia's troubled Boeing Wedgetail airborne early warning and control (AEW and C) aircraft have demonstrated the ability to simultaneously control three unmanned drone aircraft.

In a trial conducted in the United States last month, operators aboard the RAAF aircraft flying over Washington state remotely flew three ScanEagle unmanned aircraft systems (UAS).

The airborne operators issued NATO-standard sensor and flight control commands by way of a UHF satellite communication link and ground-station relay.

Boeing will conduct another demonstration of this capability at RAAF Base Williamtown, NSW, next month with a Wedgetail controlling ScanEagles operated by Boeing Defence Australia personnel at Woomera, South Australia, 1,730km away.

Pierce Lutter, Boeing associate technical fellow for unmanned vehicle control systems, said this would have been a considerable achievement if conducted in a laboratory setting.

"But we used currently fielded platforms and systems in a real-world setting to demonstrate a new level of command-and-control capability for war fighters," he said in a statement.

Under the $3.45 billion Wedgetail program, Australia is buying six Boeing 737 airborne early warning and control aircraft, each equipped with an advanced radar able to watch over a 400km radius, directing fighters to any threat.

The project has faced significant delays because of technical problems with the radar.

Under the original delivery schedule, the RAAF was to receive its first Wedgetails in November 2006. Under a new deed of agreement with Boeing, the first aircraft will arrive this November to begin aircrew training. It will have limited operational capability.

The remaining aircraft are scheduled to arrive by mid-2010 with full capability.

During his visit to the US this week for the annual Australia-US Ministerial talks (AUSMIN), Defence Minister Joel Fitzgibbon will hold talks with US company Northrop Grumman on Wedgetail radar progress.

Australia troops employed ScanEagle drones in Iraq and currently do so in Afghanistan.

Maureen Dougherty, Boeing vice-president in charge of the AEW and C program, said the ability to remotely control ScanEagle substantially increased the operational versatility of Wedgetail.

She said it also demonstrated that operational 737 AEW and C systems were robust enough to allow integration of future capabilities.

In the test last month, three ScanEagles were launched from Boeing's Boardman Test Facility in eastern Oregon, about 190km away from the airborne Wedgetail.

Operators tasked them with area search, reconnaissance, point surveillance and targeting. 

ENDS



 
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gf0012-aust       4/7/2009 5:08:18 AM
I raised several technical concerns about the F-35: weight, heat dissipation, melting runways, and noise.  None of those has been fully addressed to date.  The weight issue was dealt with through redesign of internal structures -- which did bring the airplane's weight within margins, but left no room for expansion.  The heat dissipation issue is definitely an ongoing concern.  So are noise and so is VTOL thrust effect on runways and decks (though hardly an Air Force concern, but that's another story).  Buying the F-35 means we're buying an airframe that comes maxed out in terms of space, weight, and heat dissipation right from the factory.

I'm not sure I'd still be arguing about the acoustic issues, and I'm pretty sure I posted the commentary from the last JSF briefing I attended.  The dutch ran separate acoustic measurement tests which involved an acoustic management solutuion co-developed by USAF/LM and Australias DSTO (our equiv of DARPA) - the changes were significant enough to show that the JSF is within percentiles of the Gripen and F-16 (even with higher thrust), less "noisey" on the averaged deployment cycle test regime than an F-14D and an Eagle.  They also discovered that 85% of the typical flight profiles that a Gripen would require using its afterburner could be done sans afterburner on JSF.  Those tests were done in Nov last year and deliberately withheld while the program was finessed.  The first announcement re the cha nge in acoustic transmission levels was at Avalon in Aust on Mar 12.

I'd also question the issue of an easier spiral path on the F-22 compared to JSF.  RAAF NACC through repeated approaches by the DefMin have consistently indicated that even if we did have access to F-22 (based on Armitages unfortunate "throw away" comment to allow Aust entry and purchase) then they regarded that the future proofing of JSF was far more robust.  We're already aware of some tech migration issues with the F-22, and that comes direct from USAF 

For "us" we know its far easier to integrate the high bandwidth future comms slated for 2014 entry into USMilAir and 7 other countries is going to be easier on JSF. Some of those 7 are JSF customers, a portion are not. 

 
 
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Herald12345    Note that you have no crediibilty.   4/7/2009 7:17:49 AM

Herald,




All you have done is assert your well known vitriol towards the POTUS and SecDef. Noted, but I was more interested in some kind of solid analysis or opinion, even an good guess on why 100-200 more F-22's is going to make a difference in terms of not being about to win the skies. Obviously you do not have those answers. At least not to the standards we use in the military when we conduct IPB or threat analysis. Everybody pretty much lays out best and worse case scenarios in order to see if we can meet the commanders intent and at what cost. You aren't doing that. But it's cool, I'm not going to try to change your mind. I'll just agree to disagree and discuss this with people who want to back this up with some sort of data.







 

Is there anybody out there who can make a case for more F-22's beyond you just you like it or you hate the Politicians behind not buying more? Seriously because we debated this over the weekend at the unit and nobody could honestly say that we can't accomplish our mission with the F-22's we have.




-DA 




 

I have given the numbers and sorties analysis elsewhere. if you want it then look up the Guam scenbario and don't waste my time with your complaints that you cannot fathom why I arrive at the 250+ number.
 
Some of you don't seem to understand that you need numbers as well as quality to maintain a functioning CAP, that you need an active sapient control elememt locally in the machine to handle surprise events. That once the enemy aircraft is swept from the skies then you have to go rocket hunting, and that finally a it might be nice to be able to FRY enemy electronics with an in inventory bird than having to build a specialized hoodoo down the road after we get rid of the current cast of idiots who've run us into the ground defense and economy wise.
 
Once again the charge that I am politoically biased won't wash either. You defended these cretins. ikts up to you to establish why they aren't cretins. You've failed to suppply one scintilla of evidence that shows they kniow what they are doing.
 
I'm not here to educate you. I'm not here to make up for your shortfalls in understanding. If you can't understand that the US system starts with air superiority then that is too bad. If you don't know why we have to have a surprise attack cushion of fifty aircraft, a cointinental air defense coverage of fifty aircraft, a training coverage of twenty aircraft, an attrition cushion of thirty aircraft and an offensive war fighting force of one hundred aircraft then there is no hope of you understanding the more complex issues of why Sparkies cannot handle a Flanker surge with S-300 support and Y-8 coverage even with F-15 help over Taiwan. We need an aircraft that can fight over a SAM belt and blink Y-8 radar or don't you even read the intelligence reports about the Chinese anymore? 
 
Sheesh.
 
Herald
 
 
 
   
 
 
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mustang22       4/7/2009 8:43:12 AM
DA,
 
In the event that there is a major conflict with PRC and several hundred adequate F-15's and 16's are needed due to a shortage of F-22's, flying in a high SAM environment against hundreds of comparable aircraft, please state what you believe is an acceptable number of lost pilots and aircraft because Mr Gates wouldn't pony up the cash for 60 additional F-22's?
 
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JFKY    Gee Mustang22   4/7/2009 9:42:32 AM
How many Us citizens dead from an Al-Quaeda attack do you consider 'acceptble" for purchasing an extra 60 F-22's for a war that is most likely to NEVER happen?  But the pruchase of which divert resources from the War in Afghanistan?
 
See many can play that game.....
 
And yes, Herlad, DA has a good point. You want 250 F-22's, for fighting the PRC...but you don't discuss the trade-offs necessary within the fixed DoD budget to pay for them.  What do you give up to pay for them?  After all you've complained about the "gutting" of the Army, but your proposal guts it more...US GNP is shrinking, so even at a fixed rate of GNP for Defense the Defense BUdget will shrink.  You want more F-22's from a smaller pie, what will you cut to pay for them?
 
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Herald12345    JFKY reply.   4/7/2009 10:00:00 AM

How many Us citizens dead from an Al-Quaeda attack do you consider 'acceptble" for purchasing an extra 60 F-22's for a war that is most likely to NEVER happen?  But the pruchase of which divert resources from the War in Afghanistan?

 

See many can play that game.....

 

And yes, Herlad, DA has a good point. You want 250 F-22's, for fighting the PRC...but you don't discuss the trade-offs necessary within the fixed DoD budget to pay for them.  What do you give up to pay for them?  After all you've complained about the "gutting" of the Army, but your proposal guts it more...US GNP is shrinking, so even at a fixed rate of GNP for Defense the Defense BUdget will shrink.  You want more F-22's from a smaller pie, what will you cut to pay for them?

I'll give up those damned LCSes that don't do jack at all for my seapower for starters and about $60 billion in that new service to America bundle of crap social programs that that interregnumist plans to use as a government subsidized super ACORN subsidy.

Now then do you want to get SERIOUS with me, or do you want to keep putting up straw men?
 
Herald
 
 
 
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Herald12345    JFKY reply.   4/7/2009 10:21:27 AM
Follow up,
 
Nothing that BHO or that fool, Gates plans is going to stop the next Al Qaeda attack.
Item, that satellite canceled would have special forces to airpower node capacity that we now won't have.
Item, we will be left with less air and sea lift.
Item, we will be left with less ammunition stocks and funds for training. 
Item, we won't have a helo UCAS because of a canceled program in artilect research..
Item, we won't have theater missile defense because of MEADS funding cuts.
Item, no particle beam, because that would be deemed as OFFENSIVE and destabilizing, so budget cut.
 
How do we fight al Qaeda in Afghanistan or Pakistan if we can't control the SLOCS/LOCS and supply?
 
Once again I just ask simple common sense questions. How do you support a surrounded army when you don't fund the means to do so? How do you sustain an outnumbered  presence in bandit  country surrounded by hostiles when the enemy controls the land routes in amd out?
 
The question should be, do you want to kill Al Qaeda there; or do you want to die HERE? I get sick and tired of having to explain the obvious, that if you cannot secure your lines of communication and sustain your supply you will LOSE.   

Then there are the PRCs. They aren't going to play nice no matter how many lies you tell yourself. They fund the communist insurrection in eastern India. They supply the Paks with nuclear know how and rocket technology. Ditto the Saudis. They rape and pillage Africa. They tried to lodge into Canada and are trying to lodge into us. What the hell do you think is going on in the Pacific Northwest with their commercial imperialist adventuting in our oil shale fields for example?
 
Just what do you think is going on, JFKY?
     
Sheesh.
 
Herald

 
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