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Subject: X-Prize victory will spawn a variety of competitors and competitions, resulting in commercial domin
SYSOP    10/6/2004 11:31:46 AM
X-Prize victory will spawn a variety of competitors and competitions, resulting in commercial dominance of the spacelaunch field within 20 years.
Market forces will compel re-evaluation and withdrawal within 10 years by developed nations from treaties barring territorial land claims on other heavenly bodies in the solar system.
The space frontier will become the scene of a new landrush, as various interests compete to stake out their territorial and resource claims. Predictably, undeveloped nations will impotently protest as they are unable to partake in the new space race. Commercial interests will be the first to land human beings on Mars. A tourist resort theme park will be built on the Moon.
 
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gklepper    RE:X-Prize victory will spawn a variety...   10/6/2004 4:18:43 PM
It may be that the spaceships will be flagged by smaller nations... just as many US ships are flagged in Panama to eliminate regulations, duties, licenses and taxes. Look at the equatorial countries to offer up launch bases.
 
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gklepper    RE:X-Prize victory will spawn a variety...   10/6/2004 4:22:30 PM
Space mercenaries will offer up their services to take down low orbit satellites (with a low caliber machine gun) with no trace back to the sponsering nation. Look for an increase in space adventure fiction and books... along the lines of SciFi in from the 40's & 50's. note: truncate the subject line if replying to original post... it is too long for DB.
 
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Banger    RE:X-Prize victory will spawn a variety...   10/8/2004 7:46:49 AM
Maybe this prediction should have been narrowed a bit. I doubt I'll remember "buying" this in 2014.
 
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Akatsukami       7/3/2009 11:19:11 PM
X-prizes will be withdrawn, regulations will burke the private launch industry...and Akatsukami's Law of Space Industrialization will come into play:  if you want some from orbit, wait twenty years, and it will be available better and cheaper on the ground.
 
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