The Strategypage is a comprehensive summary of military news and affairs.
 News As History - November 24, 2009




New Strategy - Wargames at Discount Prices
1.Modern Air Power: War Over the Middle East
2.Commander: Napoleon at War
3.Close Combat: Watch am Rhein
4.Gallic Wars
5.Fast Action Battle: The Bulge

100+ Computer and Board games all with free shipping.
 
 
 
Military History | How To Make War | Wars Around the World Rules of Use
How to Behave on an Internet Forum
Prediction Market Discussion Board
Sign In   Return to Topic Page
Subject: Obama will be a one term president.
SYSOP    11/11/2008 7:39:57 PM
Obama will be a one term president.
Enter a more detailed explanation of the event. Give your thoughts of why or why not you think the even will happen. Let people know why you think this is important. This will posted to the message boards automatically.
 
Quote    Reply

Email Me When A New Comment Is Made
Show Only Poster Name and Title     Sort in Reverse Order Posted

Pages: PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11   NEXT
ker    Seprate Peace   10/15/2009 11:01:38 AM
NPR is reprting aligations that Italians in AG had paid protection moeny to the enemy and then with held that information from the French who relived them in the area.  French acted on the incompleat information, underestemated enemy streanth and intentions and took causaltys.
 
link NPR
 
 
link Pat Dollard on this issue
--------------------------------------
In my opinion doing counter terorism in the absence of counter insurgence is a formulal for the long term palistinanization of AF-PAK.  Bad idea.  Prevent defence is a nice way tolose slowly.  Anti-terror and stabliazation and development.  Or just cut off the food aid and block the roads out.  I'm sorry that would be wrong. 
--------------------------------------
Who invented the word formation "good taliban."  Now if good taliban are people who give you information dumps on the taliban and even fire on them and let alied forces monitor their activetys then it's great.  If good taliban ae just a new negotiating team it is ... well .... bad.
 
Letting the taliban be one or even five coletive barganing groups is failure on a delay fuese.  We need granularelity in atemps to peal off talaban.  The pealed off must be supervised. Any honor and credibility they recive must be earned with real constructive work towards a stable country.  I.E. thoughing the bad taliban under the truck repeatedly.
 
The seperat peace must seperate the bad guys from each other not the other way around.
 
Not a cover for half mesures and UN style under the table duplicity but demenstrated change.
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Bad to the Bone   10/15/2009 4:29:07 PM
Let me state clearly that the Taliban are not bad.  George Thorogood & the Destroyers are bad.
Shaft is super bad. Michle Jakson asked retoricly "Who's bad?" 
 
George Thorogood & the Destroyers - Bad to the Bone Lyric link
Terminator 2 vid link

On the day I was born, the nurses all gathered 'round
And they gazed in wide wonder, at the joy they had found
The head nurse spoke up, and she said leave this one alone
She could tell right away, that I was bad to the bone
Bad to the bone Bad to the bone B-B-B-B-Bad to the bone
B-B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-B-Bad Bad to the bone

I broke a thousand hearts, before I met you
I'll break a thousand more baby, before I am through
I wanna be yours pretty baby, yours and yours alone
I'm here to tell ya honey, that I'm bad to the bone
Bad to the bone
B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-Bad
Bad to the bone

I make a rich woman beg, I'll make a good woman steal
I'll make an old woman blush, and make a young woman squeal
I wanna be yours pretty baby, yours and yours alone
I'm here to tell ya honey, that I'm bad to the bone
B-B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-B-Bad Bad to the bone
--------------
What? Are they naughty little religious school boys now?  Soccor huligans? 
--------------
Rush is too bad for the NFL.  How will he sleep at night?
Lobbing for stronger ethics clauses in NFL contracts is seen as shifting moeny away from the players union and towards the owners.  Rush as an owner with  a very very very big golden mike was a threat to the union.  They pushed back and Rush road his free buzz right out the door.  The sharp end of the wedge is dog fighting. Then domestic violance.  Then intrusive drug/steroid testing.  In the end you get a fan player interaction formula based on nascar.  Very good for the owners but more work and less play for the players.  I bet that Rush will still keep the line of discusion open even though he's red lined. 
Haters haten.  Don't hate the player hate the game.
--------------
Are we chilling speach here.  Lets look back at Af-Pak.  If we want to help poeple follow their better angles we can give them some space to do the right thing.  That means giving them the preceptions that neather they nor their eforts will not be waisted if they resist the taliban.  Will the people in AF who hate the taliban belive that the "good taliban" arn't going to drag them into a soccor statium and AK them in the end zone when the Americans turn their backs?  How dose America creat the impresion that we are showing mercy to the involantary suporters of the taliban rather than that we are timid about facing off with the nastyer taliban?  That is a centrail question.
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Operationalism and Essentialism   10/15/2009 5:33:12 PM
How to Think Straight About Psychology  link
 
Operational thinking concerns it self with what can be messured and what specificly is done.
 
Essentialist thinking concerns meaning.
 
Keith E. Stanovich who wrote the above linked chapter summary and the book it is from argues that sientists are operationalist.  This is a valuable if limeted point.  Sientists and practicing psycologists wright reams of ethics guidlines for them selves and theose ethics are clearly an attempt to adress the meaning of their behavior. 
 
Team O has used the dicotomy between fact based Dems and faith based Republicans when they feel they are speacking to a friendly libral group.  In that context they are claiming to be, get things done, competent people victomised by spegitti monster worshipping wing nuts who need to trade their tin foil hats in for Thorazine.  It can be more sopisticated than that.  I belive it was in the speach where he apoionted his sience Tzar that O hit the high watter mark in this formulation.  I wish I had the quotes because it was very well crafted depiction of how he can employ the language of faith and values wile supordenating them to the prerogative ( exclusive or special right, power, or privilege: as (1) : one belonging to an office or an official body. Websters online) of sience to inform belife.
 
Then when team O is talking to mass audaunce they can take a different tack.  They vomit essentialist bumper stickers at some institution, banks corporations military, with compleat disregard to the oporational or oporationalist implications of their demands.  They did this to the goverment when they were not so far in goverment.  Bush lied and people died.  No blood for oil.  A favorite example of mine is the demand that people get homes.  It's unfare that you only loan to people who can pay back.  Here is a list of people you will give loans to or we will picket your bank.  Is that an exageration?  Votter intent is an essencilst thought.  Fill the ovals for two people running for a one winner race and your ballot is a no vote on that race is an opporationalist rule.  Landing on organizations carring out the funtion of the goverment or the ecconomie and vommiting essencalist demands at them is a well honed tecneque of the community organizer.  People just love you when you stick it to the man...until you get so good at it you are the man.  The pattern running through the O admins non-record of accomplishment following an expasive list of things they promised to have done by now ("On my fist day in office I will...")  is the colision of essecelist promise with oporational reality.  "...your ego is wrighting checks your body can't cash." 
 
America expects it's goverment and expecily it's President to do opporationalist and essencelist work at the same time in harmony.  Do you walk on your right leg or your left one?  Both and!  We are waiting for O.  O is waiting for his other leg to catch up to him.  He may need to crawal back and get it.
 
The health care debate is a crowning example of the clash of essentialism and oporations.  O has a wonderful list of nice things that should happen.  He expects the insurance companys and providers to fofill his list with out bothering him with the underlining medical and ecconomic realitys.  The ratio of doctors to patients matters.  Insurance only works when most people pay more than they recive.  It is betting against your self to solfen the worst posible losses not a warm comfy promise of security and satifaction.
 
The real oporational rules for the new health care system will not be writon until long after the voting stops.  What we are doing now is Kabuki theatre.  But it dose raise campain donations.
--------------------------
O has suporters from the Power of Now sean and the Power Now movement.  He should introduce them to eachother.
 
Quote    Reply

ker       10/16/2009 10:58:53 AM
O can't go out on a limb where his AF-Pak program is dependent on GOP votes.  W "forfited fredom of action on social and ideological issues" because of his committment to the war.  O is forfiting fredom of action for health bill.  He is with out the juice to push on health and war.  W spent like crazy, let libs have his ed policy, blew up entitalments and surendered veto powers to keep relationships he needed for war.  (I think this is Kraughthammer I'm chaneling.)  Dem hope investment in health will return more juice than O is putting in to it when he sighns a bill.  The bill may be too hollow to diliver the return he needs. He wanted it done by now. He thought it was a way to build confidence in his leadership on the way to ed reform.  Now Os all in and Emanual is looking for a way to make it real.  The victory lap in the rose garden might be anti-climatic.
 
-----------
Hill says shes very pleased w/ Russains.  Not nearly as pleases as they are w/ her.
Maybe they are goiong to wait for the second term before they and China crash the dollor on us.
When your enemy is flailing themselves stay out of the way.  And wait.
Goerge Soroce may be setting the table to do to the dollor what he did to the pound note. 
(Did I go to far there? He dosn't need the moeny.)
-----------
Insert your favorite ACCORN joke here
 
link Park episode
 
Monitor South Park very important political intelegence
-------------
The increasing population of polar bears is threating the populations of seal.  The mean meat eating bears club the seals on the skull wile they stick their noses up to breath.  Save a moma seal, shot a polar bear from a helo.
-------------
SNL wants me to whatch again.  But they are insolating O from the attack that he has taken reckless and very untransparent action of historical magnitude.  Sure he hasn't done what he promised.  Thank God you don't get all the goverment your grand children wount be able to pay for. 
------------
Nation building is like tecnology it never works.  When it fails you call it tecnology.  When it works you call it a ball point pen.  When it dosn't work you call it nation building.  When it works you call it S. Korea.
------------
Biden expert at deflecting militairy initatives and changing subject.  In team O that passes for gravatouse.  Where for art thoue Gates.
------------
Alibama and Mississippi would have liked a fly over.  O apologized for W and then to assure that he could keep appologizing for W O continued to do exactly what W did.  Sen. O with Landrews and Liberman crossed examined W's recovery people devastatingly.  Now we could roll that tape with a laugh track. 
------------
Pass Rush.  When you are getting inspected you decide what little eror you should make to give the inspectors an excuse to stop looking.  Rush went into the Rams buy attempt knowing he was targeted for removal.  Now that he's gone the remainder of the group is in a stronger negotating position.  Your first negotating position is always one you oposite number can not aford to let stand but one you can aford to back away from.  Rush was a negoeating stance and a distraction maybe. 
-----------
CBO climet bill distroys jobs.  Duh.
-----------
Zach Rosen is the keeper of the record of O's "unkept promises."   ???
 
"Thougse bloggers need to take off their pajamas and get dressed and realize that governing a closly devided country is complicated and difficult."  Team O walked that one back.  No it's easy.  Why didn't they mention that in the campain.
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Corection   10/16/2009 5:05:53 PM
Alow me to revise and extend.
 
I was wrong in my assement of Biden.  It would have been more accurate for me to have said that he is an expert in failing to prevent militairy oporations.  His oposition to Gulf War I and II, the surge are the high light reel of suporting evedence. 
 
Biden isn't in the keep the army pretty on the well groomed parade grounds but never use it it might get dirty type.
 
He is a reliable member of the let the Secial Forces do it all, all the time, by them selves caucuse. 
 
He presents his concerns in militairy terms but never mentions related details like half his party are pulling their hair out over their inability to spike W's war.  What you don't say speaks volumes. An exampail of this is his claim that the surge was unexceptable because not all the involved units were equiped with stryker vehicals.  Letting the fact that some componets of the force were more optomised for the mission than others be evedence that using any aditionsl forces was pointless. 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    J. Edgars Porn Stash   10/20/2009 5:50:01 PM
Empire gone but evil remains.
-----------------
The March comprehensive review wasn't so comprehensive apaerntly.  Were reviewing all over again. The analysis
to paralisis ration is coming into question.  I speculate that O mis estemated what his General in country would do.  I wonder who breifed him (O) on the political side. 
 
Good thing that the Dems were so full of grace and kindness when Rummy had to wrestle with this kind of problem.
It's not like O anounced anyones replacement early or anything recless like that.
-----------------
AG isn't Swizerland unless you remeber how the Swish became the Swish.  History of Swish unification might not be on O reading list these days- publicly or privatly. 
 
We woun't put a cast on your arm if it's broken because it's not strong enough to be a good local partner.  Come back to the doctor when your healthy.  This is what insurance companys do to sick people. Say they will help until you really need it and then say your too sick to get a doctor. 
 
Remember that if you creat uncertanty about American/Alied commitment to AG then you creat an incentive for our partners to hedge their bets.  The two best hedges are cash undre the mat and favores owed you by the other side.  I.E. when we talk about AG being to corupt to reform we increase the need for AG leaders to get in on the corpution.  Sealf fofilling profice.
 
------
R.O.E. paridoxical effect.   When they wanted to get bigger attendence at boxing matches they put gloves on the fighters.  It apeared to make boxing safer but in fact made it much more dangerious and debilitating to be a pro boxer.  The gloves reduced bleeding so the fights were much longer.  The gloves served as armor for the fist so boxers no longer feared braking their hands on the other guys skull and greatly increased the force of punches.  Result were many more and much harder impacts.  The brain damage that resulted was much worce for fighters than the cuts they used to get but helping the fighters was not the point. Getting ticket buyers to feel better about the sport was the point. 
 
R.O.E. that prevents some civilan deaths that would be made very visable by enemy info war oporations cause far more civian deaths in the future as the enemy use their new oportunitys they earn by not being dead.  So we are making some distant observers and the enemy feel better about the war by sacrificing the lives and potencheal fredom of AG civians on the alter of half mesures.  We should try very hard to never mistakenly kill a bystander.  Intentionaly killing a human sheild in the cause of stopping the use of human sheilds and protecting AG people from inslavement is a needed option. Never sloppy always flexable.
---------------------
Just because the spy tells you they work for Mosad doesn't mean they don't work for China or even the FBI.
---------------------
People want to gratify their desires but they also want the safe feeling they get by being seen as a person who conforms to social rules more than they gratify themselves.  So if I want to hang around with figety half dressed young girls but also want to be a pillar of moral restraint I join the group of men who go and find unpure women and strip them before stoning them.  We get the same sort of show but rather than giving the girl moeny to go away and forget us shes dead.  We still get to question and handle young girls but we are very extra moral because we are enforcing morality.  J. Edgar Hoover's was the nations sex police and the fringe benifit was that he got to keep the porn the agency seased for personal research. 
 
Helping the poor can be distorted in the same way.  Both side of the argument will tell you that they help the poor and that their oponets explote the poor.  In truth each side is exploting the poor in slightly different way and at the same time they are doing some service to the poor protect their ability to continue exploting the poor.  It's not people who hate the poor against people who love the poor.  It is two groups of people who explote the poor fighting over turf.  Helping the poor sometimes is a weapon you use to hold the turf you need to explote the poor in the future.  You use them to gratify your self wile at the same time protecting your rep as a extra moral person who knows what good for the poor and make other people do it. 
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Political Intelegence/ Howlling at the Moon   10/21/2009 3:47:07 PM
"If I'd had a little wiretap there, I could've been president."
Bob Dole on being Monica Lewinsky's next door neighbor at the Watergate complex when he was running for president.
From Newsweek
------------------------
We bombed the moon.  Could have saved a lot of moeny if Kennedy JFK had settled fo that.  The moon shots wern't faked but they should have been.  They were reality TV before some one figured out reality TV could be cheap.  They were cancled when the TV rating fell off. 
 
Space oporations should only be conducted when they have oporational relevance.  Finding out about water in space will be much easyer to do in 50 or 100 years.  The resurch will  be repeated then any way.  Anti-(former)soviet propoganda can be done better with humanitarian projects.  This was a religious exercise. 
 
When we can do something that matters like have a space collone that could re-colonize earth after a desater killed the whole human population on earth we should start thinking about it again.  The purpuse of space is to serve earth.  Being a two planet spicize is a nice idea.  Now is not the time to invest in the dream.  Let invest in this planet for a few more generations first. 
-----------------------------
Ecconomics is the (too frequeantly shotgun) marraige of math and moral philosopy.  "The mass media is largely innumerate and exploitatitive."  We have far to many explotiatitive mathmaticians and far to many innumerate moral phillosopers.  Some one needs to integrate this stuff and make it aprochable/compeling to the masses.  The AM raidio roadeo is taking it's shot.  Can you do any better?  Please?
 
Can it be compeling w/o being polemic???
------------------------------
Not every attempt to help the poor is self serving- only the one that you hear about in the press.  Some self intrests are more inlilghtened than others.  Beware people who tell you that their feild or area of study is about service but that other feild or area of study is all about greed and abuse.  The better plans for helping the poor may give aproperate tecnology to the poor more than they replace one goverment structure with another.  Unless ofcource I am the one who gets to target the goverment structure to get replaced and be the one to replace them.  Then it's death to the dictators.
-----------------------------
Third party canidates may be a sink to vent off anti Dem feeling, divide the oposition and protect volnerable Dems. 
 
Reed claims that he is a deathstar that will vaporise any oposition once it emerges.  He is hoping to prevent an attractive Republican from entering the race.  Is Reed threatoning dirty tricks and voter intimidation.  Not so that you could prove it in court.  The polotics of personal distrution (mutual asured distrution?) are in store.  What this dose for the Dems national brand is an open question.  The party that can place skilled "moderate" women in swing states will be the one to hold Senote magority. 
 
Knocking the Dems out of power for fun an profit is great.  If you really want good laws and strong armys for America the dirty little secret is that the Dem party needs to be cleaned up.  Fredom Democrates.
-----------------------------
Some times attempts to help the poor are just means to rangle yourself four rent controled apartments.
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Burry My Heart in SPIN GHAR   10/23/2009 6:08:16 PM
Can some one get the press corp started on the idea of Iranian Apartheid   link Am I talking about the mistreatment of the Turkmen, Kurds, Azeris, Baluchis, Arabs or the women?  Is it a religious issue?  Hey, throw what ever will stick.
-------------------
Lord Cheny held forth.  Keith "It Takes One to Know One" Oberman said that the plan that Cheny accused O of not acting on was not acted on by W.  Put one more name on my list of people who have figured out that O is what W was and that O will be what W is.  O has one foot on the bock and one foot on the boat.  The Shadow Director of National Intelegence says "Hey stupid your gona fall."  Team O attacks the messanger.  Cheny was not surprised.  O may be, again.
 
O and McCrystal have been talking more lattly. 
 
The Fall 08 reveiw that Cheny illuminated was concealed by the most transparent administration in history.  Well it was consealed by team W and team O at team O's request.  But now team O has done a cut and past job: ending the adrift of W policy by implementing the plan W handed them.  You can't call it plagerism because Lord Cheny entraped O into the entrapment.  O says, "The evil Republicans ate my home work and that's why were adrift.  No. No. The evil Republicans did my home work for me and thats why we are adrift.  Noooooo. The evil Republicans want me to say that so I'll look stupid.  Is it my war yet or are we just adrift?  Let me be perfectly clear that it is the Republicans fault that my war is adrift."
---------------------------
How many troops dose it take to win a war?  Ten present more than you enemy thinks you can raise.
---------------------------
O is victom to three ill conceved claims he made during the campain.  The beat Hill Clinton he said that he would be more agresive at national health care tha she would.  To look plausable as Comander in Cheif he said that his oposition to the 2nd Gulf war was not about his anumause towards W or general disaproval of the American military but was based on the belife that AG was the "nesairy war."  To knock down Mc/Palin he said that the ecconomy imploding and required unpresedented govermental corection.  Once he said those things he had no choice but to let congress brake the bank with stim spending.  Then he had to open the worlds biggest can of worms, national health, where he can pass a bill but may not produce a program tha meets expectatioins of eather his suporters or the people he promised favors to if they let him rework the ecconomy of health care.  All this and the Nobel committee left him wrong footed at just the time when AG couldn't wait for O's attention any longer.  The ellectorial magority O built needs to be rebuilt into a governing majority.  AND he needs a public Af-Pak plan to maintain confidence in his most transparent admin. in history.
-----------------------------
Picking the right numbers.  Number of jobs created by particulare goverment projects not U6 unemployment (looking+gave up+involentairly part time)     Likability/personal aproval not Job aproval among likly voters(now that O has the stink of reality on him can he draw none voters to the polls the way he didn't when he was a fantacy).  Spending cut by particulare inititave not absolute dollors spent by goverment.  Absence in increases in fed tax on some people not total change in faimly expendetures caused by goverment actions (inflation, interest, insurance preamims, taxes embedded in the cost of goods)
 
Hey wheres that Job you promised me????
 
If  you can't fix the problems get your votes by locking in target groups like FDR did.  When you can't fix the weather make your moeny by selling umbrealas.
---------------------------------
Team O vigouriously denies an enemys list to the point of saying that anyone who talks about the enemys list will be put on the enemys list.
----------------------------------
link
 
Spent the last year
Rocky Mountain Way
Couldn't get much higher
Out to pasture
Think it's safe to say
Time to open fire
And we don't need the ladies
Crying 'cuz the storie's sad
'Cuz the Rocky Mountain Way
Is better than the way we had
Well he's tellin' us this
And he's tellin' us that
Changes it every day
Say's it doesn't matter
Bases are loaded and Casey's at bat
Playin' it play by play
Time to change the batter
And we don't need the ladies
Crying 'cuz the storie's sad, uh huh
Rocky Moutain Way
Is better than the way we had
Hey, hey, hey, hey
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Demand a Better Supply   10/26/2009 3:00:22 PM
The question about the public option is not how it will be rolled out slow enough for people to not fight agaisnt it too hard.  The question is what will the public to option ratio be.  Will it be a individual choice or will it be a place the goverment choses to stick people who are inconvieant elsewhere. 
 
Health reform hub bub has opened room for some interesting things to get some oxegen.  This was not O intention but it was his effect.  Health insurance may in fact be interstate trade and regulated at the federal level.  Then you can open state borders to insurance competition because eacch state can write local rules that form barreors to entry of compeating insurance firms.  The employer role of paying for care/insurance dose not neseetae that they pick the provider-so consumers of care can pick the providers and insurers that help them.  The prefered payer arangements where the cost of your treatment depends on which insurance company is paying can be determined to be price fixing/bid rigging and ended opening competion based on what you do for the paitent and not favors you do under the table for hospital admins.
---------------------------------------
When I walk the streets, kings and queens step aside
Every woman I meet, always stays satified
I wanna be yours pretty baby, yours and yours alone
I'm here to tell ya honey, that I'm bad to the bone
B-B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-B-Bad B-B-B-B-Bad Bad to the bone
--------------------------------------------------
Special pay master is a danger because the kinds of people who can self finance a political campain or w/ information, visability or cash help a political change (that is more than Dem party marketing) can be powerfuly disincentivised from doing so by a political officer who controls their paycheck.  Special pay master should be phased out and never reesurected.
 
If you dislike the high pay what you need to do is run a competive enterprise and gather the costemers who share your disguseted.
 
Why do they make so much moeny.  Some of it could be racketering but more is going on that creats the envirment for the nastyer stuff.  If you are a good and responcible board member you want to hire a person who has been succesfull running a company as big or nearly as big as yours.  The people who have done that are well payed where they are and have a power ensentive to stay where they are.  Thats a difficult disencentive against them risking a move to you.  To over come that you got to pay significantly more than the curant employer.  This patern happens several times to the kind of people who end up leading the richest firms.  If you want to lower leaders pay then form exelent leadership development systems so that you have spare C.E.O.s waiting around for work.  Supply and demand baby.
--------------------------
If the AG Lords don't like the Patrayus/McCystal modle they are really going to hate the Sherman/Custer moddle.  They should be told about the warm thankyou gift the Chines gave the Vietmies for insuring comunist domination of indo china.  The film of the war crimes accusations against the chines for laser weapons would do nicly.  The Russians and the Iranians are going to be much less caring is Uncal Sam takes a powder.
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Never an Afterthought   10/27/2009 12:06:00 PM
Well it dose take a little wile to change the world.
------------
Going it alone, with a coalition of one- Snow, is a risky proposition.  It isn't enough to get a bill.  The people expect delivarables.  H.H.S. says the bill will drive up costs for Medicade medicare and private insurance.  The public options which depend on their ability to cost shift to private insurance by "negotiating" lower prices from providers put into that invirmet could look like the titanic feild of iceburgs.  They need to build a strong ship and account for the effects of cold watter on steel in ship hulls.  They are counting votes and ....   Well Reed thought he was counting votes but he let the AMA (who aparently hasn't stayed bought) promise him republican votes that weren't there to split helthcare spending into two bill so it looked cheaper.  Dosn't Reed talk to GOP anymore than O talks to McCrystal.  Egg on his face. Maybe they will talk more after national health passes.  The bill that crashed under Reeds comand was a ploy to take a big chunk of fed spending on doctors and move it out of the main bill.  Like my wife telling me she payed cash for a new sofa but not telling me she put the heating bill for two mounths on the master card to organize the cash for the sofa.  O wants a payed for bill and Reed wants a bill big enough to hold down suport from the left wing.  Who knew sausage was so hard to make.  Reed may also be hoping for big "union suport" in his re-election bid and/or a future job in the private sector.  That colors what he takes to O.  Mary Landrews and Ben Nelson have different interests but if we all walk the plank together it woun't be so scarry. 
 
White house to sen@     O.K. your the vote counter count the votes but don't come crying to me when your one short. 
----------------------------------------------------
J.P. O'rourke
 
link B and N
 
Drive like crazy is the single right now but check out the wealth of nations.  Seriously.
"They want to be here they just don't want us there"  that is they don't want to fix their country they just want to excape their country for America.  Death to America - give me a green card.
 
"When your house catches fire do you call Allstate or the firedepartment?"  "Framing this whole debate in terms of insurance is an indecation that goverment is full of a word we can't use on [Morning Joe]."  O'rourke seams to think that providing care is the solution rather than changing how we slice up the financing racket.  Nika called him a drunk and he loved it. 
 
Joe said O never tells us what he is thinking.  Transparance is for bumper stickers not the mind of the leader.
-----------------------------------
In American we pay b-ball coaches more than Generals.  That because the Generals have created a system where they train more Generals than they need.  Good for America and force but it dose lead to certain indigitys.
------------------------------------
O could save lives today by standing up with his pin on and saying that the Iraq constitution was worth 4000 KIA Americans.  American recruters, trainers and leaders don't need the help.  Iraqie trainers recruters and leaders don't quite need the help eather.  The AG recruters and trainers and leaders and the guys recruting agents inside the drug gangs need the moral suport from the POTUS.  But if O helps them he also get GOP elcted so win with out the flag waving boys the mans got other prioritys.
 
 
------------------------------------------
 
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Stop the Presses   10/29/2009 5:58:20 PM
Hill got one right on.  She spoke of the ark of history, the nilism of the enemy and congragulated the Paks for killing taliban.  You go girl.  Take that act to Kabul.
--------------------------------
Some things need to be stovepiped.  The national health bill is to big to fail, to complecated to work (systems of systems modified in very unsystematic ways) and to expencive to last.  Parts and concepts need to be seperated out and evaluated on their own merit.  That would result i much better oporational outcomes.  But.   Sence this about winning and lossing and not about improving helth we gona get the frankstyne bill from hell and spend a decade digging out from under it.  It will do a great job of increasing the desire for single payer.  That all it was supost to do in the first place.
 
Public option is popular with a majority but in effect it is too popular in too few places.  If one hand is frocen in a big ice block and the other is in a smallish fire you are on avagage slightly cool. 
----------------------------
I'm attempting to out line Kerrys Councel on Foren Relations speach.  Don't hold you breath.  My Eyes Glaze Over.  This is what I got so far.  You send a guy to a fight.  He asks for more bullets and also more drinking water.  Kerry says that it would be dumb to send the bullits w/o the watter so we need to think about this some more before we send anything.  Cognetive disidence.  The bullets are analiguse with troops/disrupt + clear efforts and the watter with cival afairs/build efforts. So if Kerry really has an idea that is more than an atempt to fog over the real issues why didn't he share it before McCrystal droped a steaming hot potato in O's lap. 
 
O is pulling all nighters to prove that he really works hard at school in finals week but he was blowing class off for most of the semester.  "...never rush the solum decisin to send you into harms way."  That would have been a great line 8 mounths ago.  O needs to be doing a great deal of contingency planning if his decision cycal is this labored.  He beter be seeing past the head lines to the posible future conflicts.  Then again he might just be fogging the issue.  Let people get bored with it before he dose anything to increase interist in an issue that isn't his strong suit. 
-----------------------------
The O dollor is worth 80 cents in W moeny.  Stealing from the poor and the rich at the same time.
-----------------------------
Cash for clunkers spend $24 K per car.  That can't be right.  More disinformation.
 
Quote    Reply

ker       10/30/2009 1:51:17 PM
Thought experiment.  Take every peron who has served in an American ground combat arms unit in the last 20 years.  Award one point for each year of service in those units.  Then asighn those points to the county the man live in wile attending highschool.  Devide the numbers by the population of the county wile the man was in highschool.  Then look for a correlation with the number and the presentage vote for Republicans in state wide elections.
 
My hypothicis is that W won his wars and his elections off the backs of the same people.  If you use service in a war zone rather than in a combat unit the coralation would weaken just a little.  (I skiped all the math and reserch stuff.  This is jurnalism and not sience. I called it a thought experiment. The working press just name a study they haven't understood and poor their editors opinion into the gap. This makes the editor feel very smart.)
 
I want to see O personal escourt the returning R.O.T.C. faculty onto the Harvard campouse.  If AG was a nessary war might we not want to use the nations intelecual resources to do that nessary work.  Maybe if the civiain and militairy sides of the coin talked to each other in school they might gell better in action.  State might even follow orders to report to the war zone. 
 
In war and counter-insurgency war even more psycology is key.  The ANA needs to belive that they can win before they have a chance to win.  There are ways to build confedence.  They conflict with O's electorial imparitives.  Afgans chose to make sacrifices every day.  From the cartilige in their knees to the safty of their familys they trade away things that are presious to them for the mission.  They are being asked to build new tradition with out which they will fail.  O can help with his words and actions but he has other traditions to worry about.  Americans who see Dems as solft on communisim and crime have a tradition of voting for republicans and O must dismantal that tradition.  Teroists were communists proxies and not anti-terorism is anti-communisms proxie because some fool said that communism evaporated.  It just rebranded it's self.  It's the old royalism in new drag.  O needs to be enough of a fighter to dispell the image of Dems as weak but he can't lagetimise the the fight too much or he defeats his own purpuse and devides his own party.  This is why the war on Rush gets stronger passion than the overseas contingency operation against the "bad taliban."
 
Now there are real underling questions that need examination.  This is a world war with a AF-PAK theator.  We can not invade every where so we must succeed where we invade.  If O has real ecconomie of force inovations he should by all means tell us about them.  I will make snide coments about why he didn't mention them when they were crucifing Rummy but that what you get with the big job.  The imparitive to inject justice and order into parts of the world who think they are safe to attack civalization dose not end if the first election isn't up to par.  All the other players who would like to kill Americans for fun and profit are watching.  They should not find comfort from our AG experience. 
 
---------------------------
 
How much GDP can you buy w/ borrowed moeny?
 
How much GDP can you counterift w/ exspancive moeny? 
 
Now lets get on to building a real ecconomie that isn't a funtion of gamming the statistics.  Think of national net worth where debt and inflation count on the negitive side of the leger rather than the positive. 
 
Factions of the Dem party including, by some accounts, Bill Clinton are posible debt hawks.  The formation of a speciel interest group that wants to protect the dollor by limeting the number of dollors created and the goverments borrowing might find very furtal ground to grow in these days.  It could openly imitate NRA tactics even nam it's self the National Dollor Assoceation. 
 
-------------------------------
 
link
Mathew Huh letter text.
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    New Hope   11/4/2009 11:09:24 AM
It's only the rich corupt dems in bed with Goldman Sacks that need to worry.  Funny how that dosn't comfort many Dems.
 
Change you can belive in.
 
O invested himself in the NJ race and then claimed to not even watch the results. 
 
NJ is lawyering up.  Dems need NJ as a resource state that exports political juice and moeny to fight in other states like Virgina. This fat white guy cost them resources.  Taxes, Jobs Corution. 
 
O was planning on winning Virgina again 12.  His election modle dosn't work as well when he is the incarge guy.  The souring retoric dosn't anymore.  The irony is on O face now.
 
O still needs to legeslate.  The price of votes is going up.  The quib to proqoe ratio is trending away from O's favor.
 
Gap and tax electricity took a hit under the watter line.  Who knew coal miners vote?  The war on the ecconomie is hell.
 
National health is going to be less ntional and more health.  And slower.  It ws sopost to be done by now.  August brake of what year?  The line that it won't increase the debt and deficit is shaping up to be O's WMD miscalculation.  The 30TH speach on this issue might change the game, not.  Get used to waiting.
 
O no longer has the momentum to reform education with out people asking why we took away their naborhood schools.  The slogans said it was for desegregation  but the central schools segregate the blacks right out of the college prep tracks.  Less separate but even more unequal.  The black kids have noticed.
 
And the O voters also are starting to notice that the wars didn't end.  If the war protests stoped but the wars didn't then were the war protests about something other than the war?   ???
 
If O wanted to control which GOP got miked up.  Rush yes.  Gingrich no.  Then NJ was a very big mike to give away.  Remember Witmans rebutal to Bill. 
 
"I want your children to raise their children in this state."
 
Blanch knows that it's a hell of a lot less work to louse the primary than to lose the general.  Do I see a Arkansaw for Lincon party line in the future?  Press release said she told O that taxes in the national health none plan concerned her and wanted to do it face to face.
 
---------------------------
Bruce Springsteen — My Hometown lyrics  link
 
I was eight years old and running with a dime in my hand
Into the bus stop to pick up a paper for my old man
Id sit on his lap in that big old buick and steer as we drove through town
Hed tousle my hair and say son take a good look around
This is your hometown, this is your hometown
This is your hometown, this is your hometown

In `65 tension was running high at my high school
There was a lot of fights between the black and white
There was nothing you could do
Two cars at a light on a saturday night in the back seat there was a gun
Words were passed in a shotgun blast
Troubled times had come to my hometown
My hometown, my hometown, my hometown

Now main streets whitewashed windows and vacant stores
Seems like there aint nobody wants to come down here no more
They're closing down the textile mill across the railroad tracks
Foreman says these jobs are going boys and they aint coming back to
Your hometown, your hometown, your hometown, your hometown

Last night me and kate we laid in bed talking about getting out
Packing up our bags maybe heading south
Im thirty-five we got a boy of our own now
Last night I sat him up behind the wheel and said son take a good
Look around
This is your hometown
 
Quote    Reply

ker    Who Lost Huh's Mind?   11/9/2009 7:51:01 PM
No Child Left Behind.  And if you belive that one I got a bridge to the future to sell you. 
-----------
When we think about suport for the troops and civilians carring out national police I think that intelectual suport is one of the needs.  Education broadly consitered is another story.  I'm talking about a official intelecual frame work to hang their efforts on.  We would want it to be more than a cover story but if that's all the Comanders got then he hast to send it.  American foren policy needs an elevator pitch (2 mike explanation and request for help) that every educated American can repeat and which a futioning majority can belive in.  Put that on O's to do list.
-----------
The Cold War Continues.
 
Mopping Up  WWII was long and sometimes aginizing work.  Clintons war in what used to be Yougoslavia was in part left overs from WWII and previous conflicts.  Winning sucks but not as much as the alternative. 
 
The prospect that the colapse of Warsaw Pact ment more work, death and expence was so unthinkable that we just didn't think it until we had too.  And then we still might not have thought about it too clearly. 
---------------------
"It's like playing chess with a monkey.  You get them to check mate, and then they swallow the king."  An unnamed diplomat, on the difficulty of nuclear talks with Iran.  Newsweek
 
In Iran "The South [East] will Rise Again!"
--------------------
Dems find false shelter in the NY 23 race.  It Cconservatives are so agresive that they are killing each other to get at the avalible Dems that not so good for dems.  Next time the conservatives house oporatioins are going to have an extreamly target rich envirment. 
 
The 1993 and 2005 patern is what the Dems don't want to talk about.  NY 23 is a good answer to a bad question for the Dems, something else to talk about.  They pretend they feel good about trading the Governorships of NJ and VA for a House seat.  In 03 and 05 the lose of NJ and VA went before the lose of the House majority.  The real battle ground now is canidate recruitment.  The GOP want posible strong canidates to see this as the year to go for it.  Dems want strong GOP prospects to fear right wing nuts to much to come forward.  Chris Mathews said that if unemploment stayed high the Dems could lose the House this time.  My question is weather the Dems lose more if they pass a national health law than they lost in 93 when they failed to pass one.  They are telling members that a passed law is needed for protection at the time of election. 
 
Cathlic Bishops call the bill  moeny laundering. Compelling people to act against their own concuse but passing the moeny through companys rather than the IRS so they can say no federal moeny goes to abortion.
 
 The Dems know moeny makes politics go round so they are sending moeny to their shock troops.  Women who get abortions tend to be uninsured or on parents insurance (which they don't want to use for privacy reasons).  If thease women get insurance in their own name they will reduce the number of discounted abortions.  Providers can raise price and plow the moeny into advacacy for Dems elections.  Same with protection of trial lawyers.
 
So the protection the bill is most likly to bring is the cash.  The voters who don't like the bill will be even more activated if it passes than if it fails.  The people who like it in the abstract find it to be to convoluted and watered down in reality. 
 
Pelosi relised 40 votes of members who would be hurt too much politicly if they suported to bill.  But they all voted for Pelosi with their organizational vote (to make her speeker).  What cover is it to vote agaisnt her bill after you voter her in as the person who got to write it.  She worked from the three committee bills but had a free hand to make choices in how they were reconciled.  Adding fine print as she went.  She will rewrite it all again for confrence committee but Reed will be in on the game then.
------------------
link Oversite Pannle has isue with the moral hazard of TARP.
 
The new bank busness modle has more to do with you friendship with the banking committee than any other factor.  It is a effective merger of the top banks and the state.  Some people say it is the privatization of profit and the socilization of hte losses.  I say it's worce than that.  The cats who get to make the big (multi-million dollors) paydays are into the Goverment/Party to way a degenerate gambler is into the mob.  They can be "preswaded" to do party work with their own moeny as well as with the banks decision making.  Then the goverment not only promotes the big banks with implyed promise of bailout but they pester small banks who were not any part of the problem with regulations that force up their fixed costs- prompting them to raise prices or merge to cover lawyers fees.  The two bigges banks are more freddy and fanned up than freddy and fanny.  Only solution is to trust bust the banks like gang busters but the campaine donations are oh so sweet. 
---------------
Winning the hearts and minds of our own goverment workers can't be this hard?  "Too much resistance from behind."
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

ker    11/11/11   11/11/2009 4:07:16 PM
 
 
     Thank You
 
Quote    Reply
Pages: PREV  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11   NEXT



StrategyWorld.com© 1998 - 2009StrategyWorld.com. All rights Reserved. StrategyWorld.com, StrategyPage.com, FYEO, For Your Eyes Only and Al Nofi's CIC are all trademarks of StrategyWorld.com Privacy Policy