The war on terrorist organizations gets a lot less media attention than does
the war with terrorists. The terrorist violence in Iraq, Israel, Chechnya,
Kashmir, Pakistan, Afghanistan, the Philippines, Indonesia and a few other
places gets a reporters attention. But there are more important developments,
with the terrorist organizations, that we hear little about. There?s a good
reason for that, as the war against the terrorist organizations is an
intelligence operation. Espionage agents, informants, spy satellites and
electronic eavesdropping are the principal weapons. The action, such as it is,
takes place in the shadows, and doesn?t make much noise.
Because of the
secret war against al Qaeda, a lot is known about the organization. This is
mainly because most of the members are not very well educated in areas like
OPSEC (operational security, keeping the enemy from observing your activities).
Email and phone messages are caught and recorded, while couriers, and what they
are carrying, are captured regularly. Fallujah yielded a large haul of al Qaeda
documents, as have raids in Pakistan and elsewhere. Hardly any of this stuff is
leaked to the media, lest al Qaeda find out how much the infidels know. But
despite their bumbling and amateurish efforts, al Qaeda members are out to kill.
They get their act together from time to time and pull off a major operation.
Until the movement dies out, which may take a generation, the war on terror will
continue.
Al Qaeda is not one organization, like the CIA, MI-6 or Mossad. Al Qaeda is a
coalition of over three dozen terrorist groups that cooperate, often loosely, in
their war against the infidels (non-Moslems). At the moment, the most powerful
branch of al Qaeda is the one operating in Iraq. And that?s because there, al
Qaeda has joined forces with the Baath Party, which is trying to return the
Sunni Arabs to power in Iraq. This reaffirms an old truism in the terrorist
world; you can?t succeed without money and a population to provide support.
Anywhere there are Moslems, you will find some who either approve of al Qaeda?s
goals (converting the world to Islam), or are willing to support al Qaeda
operations. The percentage of approvers is large, often a third or more of
Moslem populations. The percentage of supporters is much smaller. You can see
this from the small number of al Qaeda terrorist operations around the world.
With millions of Moslems in North American and Europe, there have been very few
al Qaeda terror attacks. In fact, those two areas have seen just one in the past
three years. It?s a different story in Moslem countries, where al Qaeda goals
also include replacing the current kings, dictators, or corrupt democracies,
with better government. One thing that must always be kept in mind is that the
Moslem world is, for the most part, poorly governed and economically backward. A
lot of the support for al Qaeda is actually rage at the inability of Moslems to
get their act together in the governance and economics department. Most Moslems
recognize that al Qaeda is just one more bad idea to afflict Islamic nations.
But for the moment, the al Qaeda crowd are winning the PR war. That will change
over time, but for now, al Qaeda is killing people. Most of those being killed
are Moslems.
The most active al Qaeda affiliates are in countries where
there are other issues in play. For example.
Chechnya- The Chechens have
been part of Russia for over a century, and have been fighting the Russians, on
and off, most of that time. The current bout of violence is winding down, but
has left in its wake a very effective, and bloody minded, group of Islamic
terrorists. The Russians, as they have done so many times before, are in the
process of killing all the Islamic terrorists in Chechnya, or driving them into
exile. But this process still has another year or so to go.
Saudi Arabia-
Al Qaeda's biggest financial supporters are here, as are one of the largest
pools of recruits. Saudi Arabia is the source of the strict, violent and
paranoid form of Islam (Wahhabism) that serves as al Qaeda?s religious
foundation. The family (the al Sauds) that rules Saudi Arabia also subscribes to
Wahhabism. So the battle in this kingdom is over which Wahhabist faction will be
dominant. The smart money is on the al Sauds, but you never
know.
Afghanistan- The Taliban are sort of al Qaeda Lite. Real al Qaeda
are operating in Afghanistan, but many of the Taliban factions are turning
against them. The majority of Afghans care for neither Taliban nor al Qaeda. But
at the moment, the Afghan al Qaeda are getting a lot of money and manpower from
Pakistani, and other, al Qaeda organizations. This is largely because al Qaeda
leader Osama bin Laden is hiding somewhere along the Afghan/Pakistan border. So
the