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Subject: Putins Savy Strategy
CJH    10/25/2014 8:34:11 PM
Putin Eyes Japan as New Gas Customer

To Japan, Russia is close and the US is far away.

And the US's political leadership makes itself appear unreliable.

Japan and the ROK would be helpful to Russia as allies.

 
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WarNerd       10/26/2014 12:53:04 AM
20 year old news.
 
This is the whole point of the Sakhalin Island gas projects.  Japan, South Korea, and China are the nearest customers.
 
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CJH       11/2/2014 11:19:44 AM
So why hasn't the deal become history?

20 year old news.

 

This is the whole point of the Sakhalin Island gas projects.  Japan, South Korea, and China are the nearest customers.

 
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keffler25       11/2/2014 1:13:02 PM
Because the Japanese have long memories, and so do the Chinese. Russia is an ENEMY.
 
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WarNerd       11/2/2014 4:52:07 PM
So why hasn't the deal become history?
They have been constructing the gas extraction, purification, and exported by pipeline to a LNG terminal at de Kastri on the Russian mainland (there aren’t good locations for terminals on Sakhalin) to export to Japan, Korea, and China.  They are still adding production capacity and need another export pipeline, so why not build it directly to the closest market?
 
The new pipeline has been in discussion for years, I was responsible for preparing a Class I estimate for it over 10 years ago.  They just finally finished negotiating the consortium agreement on who contributes how much and what they get for it, and are letting out the preliminary engineering contracts to work out all the details and final estimate.  Then, if the economics still look good, in a year or 2 they will open up for material and construction bids.  This is a multi-billion dollar project and probably another decade to finish.
 
It is going to be a fun project with miserable weather, thick winter ice, steep underwater slopes and deep water, then they will probably have to wind across Hokkaido to the south side between 5 active volcanoes and through dense urban areas.
 
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CJH       11/8/2014 7:43:28 PM



They have been constructing the gas extraction, purification, and exported by pipeline to a LNG terminal at de Kastri on the Russian mainland (there aren’t good locations for terminals on Sakhalin) to export to Japan, Korea, and China.  They are still adding production capacity and need another export pipeline, so why not build it directly to the closest market?

 

The new pipeline has been in discussion for years, I was responsible for preparing a Class I estimate for it over 10 years ago.  They just finally finished negotiating the consortium agreement on who contributes how much and what they get for it, and are letting out the preliminary engineering contracts to work out all the details and final estimate.  Then, if the economics still look good, in a year or 2 they will open up for material and construction bids.  This is a multi-billion dollar project and probably another decade to finish.

 

It is going to be a fun project with miserable weather, thick winter ice, steep underwater slopes and deep water, then they will probably have to wind across Hokkaido to the south side between 5 active volcanoes and through dense urban areas.

I see. The project itself has been in the "pipeline" for a period of time which is necessary for a project of this scale.  

 

 
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