All out war does not look like a real possibility.
However ?Never? seems to be quite a forgotten word in our days.
A ?hot? episode has the most probabilities of occurring.
The fact is that there are open legal disputes between the 2 countries?Cyprus Issue, Aegean continental sea shelf.
Also, the Turks have been trying in the past 14 or so years to raise an issue of ?grey? zones in the Aegean, the seriousness of that claim also seems quite ?grey?, so there are not many chances of Turkey going anywhere with this, regardless, they have been trying to take advantage by sea and air?.Turkish incursions into Greek Airspace (also recorded on Nato Radars), Turkish naval incursions into Greek waters (one of the best examples is the breeching of the ?Bodrum? F-501 Corvette on the reefs of Castelorizo island this past August, a few days after, Greek seals salvaged the ship?s sonar and other parts that broke off during the collision).
Clearly, Greece cannot afford to pretend that its neighbor is Sweden seeking only a fun summer in the Aegean. If that was the case, our borders would be open, and the only boats coming towards the Greek islands would be sailboats with happy tourists.
Also in Turkey there are human rights concerns, outlawing of political parties, military intervention in Turkish politics, the Kurdish issue, the huge issue of the acceptance of the Armenian genocide, and the list of problems goes on and on. A new development is the execution of Greek/Greek-Cypriot war prisoners by Turkish forces during the invasion of Cyprus. All these issues are raised in European political forums, and expressed when the European council comes to the point of determining how to proceed with Turkey?s application status.
The French and Germans are leading the way for a more ?favorable? relationship rather than full membership, fearing (they are probably right) of HUGE Turkish migrations in their countries.
To try to make Turkey more European seems like a long-shot, but will probably be more beneficial for neighbors like Greece. However it looks like the ?most European? that many countries are willing to make Turkey, is enough to exploit its? 70+ million inhabitants to more products and cheap factory labor.
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