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Subject: Why do American domestic airlines continue to fly old fleets of aircraft 20 yr old plus aircraft??
Rasputin    8/8/2007 3:26:24 AM
It seems that besides aeroflot (which is mordernizing) China domestic airlines and other South American third world airlines, American US domestic airlines seem to operate vast numbers of old 20 yr old plus aircraft.

Is there some kind of kickbacks or pork barrel rules given to US domestic airlines to operate old aircraft? Will they be penalized in their taxation if they bought Airbus or newer boeing aircraft? Seems like while the airlines of the rest of the world cue up to order new aircraft, the US domestic airline market is overcharging and flying super old birds?
 
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Lynstyne       8/8/2007 11:32:56 AM
I suspect this is the usual media jump on one almost fact seize upon another almost fact and jump to the conclusion that 1+1= 275.
 
Ive no doubt there are a few old aircraft in service with american airlines however im willing to bet that if you did what the journalists seem unable to do and look at a companies entire fleet you would see some new aircraft , some older aircraft, and the majority of the fleet somewhere in the middle.
 
Besides why buy new aircraft if your older well maintained aircraft are still economically viable, safe and servicable. After all new aircraft are expensive.
 
As for Airoflot buying new well lets be honest the old fleet failed to meet the above criteria - and not for nothing were they known as Aeroflop.
 
Incedently take a look at the average age of the worlds airforces tactical transport fleet. I reckon the average age of a c130 has got to be around 25-30 (higher if you exclude the J)
 
Regarding tax Older aircraft tend to be penalised because they fail to meet the newer more stringent requirements regarding environmental impact, typically noise.
 
Regards
 
 
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Wicked Chinchilla       8/8/2007 11:40:52 AM
Its all done by cost/benefit analysis and determining if the airframe is still safe to fly. 
 
If the plane is still safe to fly, and its cheaper to keep that older plane in the air than replace it with a new one, the plane stays.  Its just good business sense.  When it is more cost effective to replace an older aircraft, it is replaced. 
 
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Herald1234    Better maintenance.   8/8/2007 11:53:15 AM
and US aircraft just are better BUILT.
 
CBAs take that into account when replacement cycles we calculate.
 
Herald
 
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Lynstyne       8/8/2007 12:24:10 PM

and US aircraft just are better BUILT.

 

CBAs take that into account when replacement cycles we calculate.

 

Herald


I have to disagree with the build quality comment, in general i dont think theres much difference in how well built they are (ignoring perhaps former soviet block airframes), I would conceed maybe better designed particuarly from a mechanics point of view and possibly supported. If you were blind folded and placed inside an empty fuselage of both an A320 and a B737 you would be hard pressed to tell which was which.
 

 
 
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Herald1234    Anything that THALES has even a remote finger in is IPSO FACTO suspect.   8/8/2007 1:02:11 PM
That includes the otherwise FINE products put out by AIRBUS.
 
THALES is just no damned good.
 
Herald
 
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wjr1       8/8/2007 1:47:20 PM
All,

Just a little bit of data. US airlines are not subsidized and, over the last decade, many have been in and out of bankruptcy -- some on more than one occasion. Aircraft ages for the larger airlines are significantly older than you see elsewhere in the world. For an example, look at Northwest Airlines (where I sit in one of their World Clubs as I write this). Their most prevalent domestic aircraft (over 100) is the DC-9 --nearly all of which are older than most of the adult passengers.

To give credit where credit is due these aircraft are in remarkably good condition and the pilots love them because they  are "real" airplanes (in other words the pilots fly them as opposed to telling the computer what to do).

As to aircraft quality there are a number of things that need to be looked at. First, the actual lifetime that can be expected from a airframe. Let's, again, use Northwest as an example. I know a number of folks at NWA and I came across some interesting information from these folks. It turns out that the newer Airbus aircraft (320, 319) are aging at a rate that will retire them in a fraction of the time of some of the older equipment. These aren't my data, just what some of the NWA folks tell me.

Several years ago I sat next to the Chief Pilot of NWA on an Osaka run and I had a nice conversation with him. I asked him why NWA had chosen Airbus for some of their new gear and I asked him what, from his point of view the difference was between Airbus and Boeing. He popped up (the seat belt sign was off) and stomped on the floor board of the 747. He said that I should listen to the sound and then do the same thing on an Airbus. I later did and I got it. Airbus builds their non bearing elements much more lightly than Boeing. Now, while Airbus is not a Yugo it is certainly more like a cheap Ford than one of the older, industrial strength Mercedes'.

BTW, the reason that NWA bought (or leased) Airbus was kickbacks per this source. Most NWA employees that I have talked to did not want Airbus.

The reason I was interested in this was simple. I have trouble with the control systems design that Airbus uses as opposed to Boeing. Airbus uses a dead sick, algorithm dominate design. What this means is that they remove much of the proprioceptive feedback that pilots are used to with the non fly-by-wire aircraft (the stick pushes back when moved to extreme in an non proportional way). Further, the European design concept is to prefer the judgment of the computer to the judgment of the pilot. So, if the pilot decides that a certain convolution is required and the computer decides that this maneuver is outside the design parameters of the aircraft then the pilot will not be able to perform it.

Boeing, OTOH, built a proprioceptive, pilot dominate fly-by-wire system. All senses are used by the pilot and if the pilot decides that, for whatever reason, an outside the envelope move is needed the computer gets out of the way.

It's only at the extremes that these things are important. But when they are important I want a guy with twenty some odd years experience making the call and not a theoretical construct written by some guy safely on the ground some years ago.

Best,
wjr
 
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Rasputin       8/9/2007 12:29:58 AM
Those were quite a couple of good answers.

I was looking at the aviation records of 3rd world countries that continue to operate aging 20 + yrs aging airbuses and Boeings, makes no difference, for example Indonesia, these older smaller domestic flight aircraft simply either crash land or fall out of the skies at the rate of one per month. Since there is a limited lifespan to each aircraft, I was wondering why besides 3rd world airlines, American airlines continue to service 20 + yr old aircraft fleets. And their inefficiency in their fuel consumption passed to the consumers.

However it is a fact that in America there are people that can keep these old birds flying safely.

Still it does look as though the American domestic passenger does not get a good deal as compared to passengers in the rest of the world.

 
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Rasputin       8/9/2007 3:21:04 AM
Now that Virgin America is coming into the domestic airline foray, it would be interesting to see if the above answers and theorys hold true, or that the consumer does not care for antiques aircraft, but go for the best values.

Either way it is kind of weird that an American cabin crew union is protesting against Mr Richard Branson for bringing the budget airline to the old dame fleets.

 
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Lynstyne       8/9/2007 11:48:24 AM
Rasputin
 
As regards older aircraft and fuel efficiency, yes they are less efficient and that means a cost passed on to the passenger but dont overlook the fact that if youre paying for the new aircraft youre going to pass that cost on, now that may equateto more than the increased fuel costs of an older airframe.
 
As far as passengers are concerned whilst flying a new aircraft may sound sexier in reality if you board via an airbridge most people wouldnt know what they were flying on if they were not told, especially if the cabin had recently been upgraded - less common on short haul but long haul aircraft its big business trying to keep the cabin one step ahead of the oppositions.
 
 
 
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Gecko       8/9/2007 1:26:47 PM
Rasputin,

I am guessing you are probably talking about in relation to some of the European airlines and other parts of the world. This is most due to the surge of low cost airlines in Europe and asia due to increases in demand (especially in Asia). Most of these new airlines are exactly that, new airlines with brand with brand new fleets. While you will find most of the older carriers have the older and still very cost efficeint aircraft, as their increases in demand represent a smaller propotion of their entire fleet. For example if Delta has 300 aircraft, adding 30 new aircraft won't do much to the average age. But if Asian airlines have 30 aircraft and add 30 new aircraft their average age drops dramatically in half. Basically as you said above its usually cheaper to just refit the cabin to "modernize" their fleet tahn replace aircraft.

Also Herald do you do cost benifit analysis on comercial or millitary aircraft? They have completly different requirements for use so you cannot simplily state American commericial aircraft are better built than European if using millitary CBA's(if anything nowdays I would assume European standards may actually be a very small fraction higher than American standards; say 0.001%). Generally millitatry aircraft will require higher strength for a good CBA. In commercial aircraft weight and fuel are a larger fraction of entire lifecycle cost due to the reduces stress on the airframes.

Wjr1 jumping up and down is no indication of build quality. Can you say the same thing about a house? Will jumping up and down tell you if it is built upon a 200mm slab or a 100mm slab??? An example: Say the aircraft has a design life of 50 years, the floor of an airbus has a design life of 60 years and the floor of a 747 100 years. What is the point of the extra 40 years in the 747? It just adds weight and increases fuels costs. For the record the 747 will have a stronger floor because it has another story below the cabin and will require different strengthening requirements in the floor vs the single story airbus. Also bells and whistles can be nice for the pilot but, in the commercial aviation world if the pilot can do the job safely and at the same cost without all the bells and whistles, why on earth pay extra for the bells and whistles.



 
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Rasputin       8/10/2007 4:41:12 AM

Rasputin

 

As regards older aircraft and fuel efficiency, yes they are less efficient and that means a cost passed on to the passenger but dont overlook the fact that if youre paying for the new aircraft youre going to pass that cost on, now that may equateto more than the increased fuel costs of an older airframe.

 

As far as passengers are concerned whilst flying a new aircraft may sound sexier in reality if you board via an airbridge most people wouldnt know what they were flying on if they were not told, especially if the cabin had recently been upgraded - less common on short haul but long haul aircraft its big business trying to keep the cabin one step ahead of the oppositions.

 

 

Well said, you have shed some light on some good valid points, particularly that the big business is on the long haul international flights. And such long haul flights are usually flown by 747s. And even I have to admit, even when told and not having seen the pilots cockpit, I find it very hard or even impossible to discern the differences of the various 747s, for all I know the cabins could simply have been refurbished. For such aircraft that are still in production, the engines can just be easily replaced and upgraded when required.

However, won't older aircraft have higher maintenance costs due to their age, and like keeping an old clunker car running the parts, labour and time may not be worth running when compared to that of the cost of purchasing and utilizing newer and more efficient aircraft.

I do understand that in the United States, some of the domestic airlines, actually retain or still have the workshop capacity in their maintenance crews to actually manufacture or recondition parts, which is rather useful for out of production aircraft such as the DC9s. However for the 3rd world country airlines, it is kind of scary to think that they are charging budget prices for their flights, and you sort of guess that maintenance of their old aircraft fleet is not something that they have high on their agenda, which is to put the most planes they have up in the air to service the ever increasing demands for short haul flights in asia. Hence the negative view on old 20 yr plus aircraft.

 
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Lynstyne       8/10/2007 2:44:14 PM


Well said, you have shed some light on some good valid points, particularly that the big business is on the long haul international flights. And such long haul flights are usually flown by 747s. And even I have to admit, even when told and not having seen the pilots cockpit, I find it very hard or even impossible to discern the differences of the various 747s, for all I know the cabins could simply have been refurbished. For such aircraft that are still in production, the engines can just be easily replaced and upgraded when required.
 

However, won't older aircraft have higher maintenance costs due to their age, and like keeping an old clunker car running the parts, labour and time may not be worth running when compared to that of the cost of purchasing and utilizing newer and more efficient aircraft.
 
I appreciate what youre saying but it doesnt quite work out in that fashion - before i go any further i will apologise in advance if the following seems patronising or suck eggs, I have trouble explaining myself so im going to keep it very simple for my benifit not yours.
 
Scheduled maintenance checks are not affected by so much by aircraft age but by hours flown and type of operation.
A heavy maintenance check  (sometimes lasting 4-6 months) typically occurs around the (every) 5 yr mark - obviously youre more likely to find problems eg corrosion on an older airframe, but the intervals are the same.
 
Unscheduled maintenance failures will increase as equiptment gets older, however if the avionics are upgraded and if a mechanical part has been replaced its really only the airframe thats old. Critical systems are typicaly lifed so are constantly replaced,.
 
Engines are overhauled it is very rare (as in almost never) that an aircraft would be re-engined it just would not make financial sense in most cases - amongst other things the aircraft manafacturer has to design test test fly and then get the FAA CAA and all the rest to certify this.
 
You are correct in that there is a point that the aircraft will become uneconomically viable for the airline and then yes it will be replaced.
 
 Recent concerns and incidents regarding aging aircraft wiring may well change the dynamics. There has been a lot of talk about additional inspection of old wiring, and from some corners the proposal is to replace wiring when the aircraft gets to around 20-25 years old, this may result in lots of scrapped or sold off aircraft.
 
Just for fun check out the age of most cargo fleets - a hell of a lot of freighters are ex passenger that are not for a variety of reasons suitable for the airlines any more.
 
 
 


I do understand that in the United States, some of the domestic airlines, actually retain or still have the workshop capacity in their maintenance crews to actually manufacture or recondition parts, which is rather useful for out of production aircraft such as the DC9s.
 
Handy ability if they have the approval to do this, i find it suprising unless they have a lot of them that they do it in house and dont out scource, but as im british and a large fleet is more than 6, i cannot comment.
 
 
 However for the 3rd world country airlines, it is kind of scary to think that they are charging budget prices for their flights, and you sort of guess that maintenance of their old aircraft fleet is not something that they have high on their agenda, which is to put the most planes they have up in the air to service the ever increasing demands for short haul flights in asia. Hence the negative view on old 20 yr plus aircraft.
 
And that paragraph is the reason everyone wants to fly on a new airplane - well quite frankly id rather fly on a 25 year old N123AB or a G-ABCD than a 5 year old aircraft operated by a number of 3rd world airlines.
 
P.S
 
Many countries have a list of nations/ operators whose aircraft are not welcome in their airspace. following an incident possibly in the uk involving a newish operator - that had unbenown to the uk been banned from other european countries, the respective authorities decided to cross reference between themselves.
 
Now the Useful bit they now post the list online - so if youre traveling abroad give it a look.
(for the EU)
link
 

 
 
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Lynstyne       8/10/2007 2:47:40 PM
For those who dont want to troll the list avoiding anything Congolese, indonesian or from the Kyrgyz Republic seems a good starting point.
 
 
Kyrgyz Republic??   Anyone
 
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PowerPointRanger    Old vs new   9/10/2007 11:26:24 PM
Old doesn't always mean useless.  Airlines make a huge investment in an aircraft, maybe $250 million!  The margins on a commercial flight aren't much (I've read the typical airline turns a profit on the last two passengers).  So how many flights does that aircraft have to make to turn a profit?  You get the idea.
 
Newer aircraft may have some technical improvements that will make an aircraft safer or more fuel efficient or appealing to passengers (more room or other comforts).  But that doesn't make older aircraft unsafe or unprofitable.  And when a jet does become impractical for passenger flights, you can always use it for cargo or sell it to some third world airline.
 
Another interesting point here:
While most of the technical innovations in the last 30 years have improves safety and fuel efficiency, neither of these improvements have a big direct effect on the profitability of an aircraft.  The biggest cost of flying a commerical aircraft is actually labor (e.g. pilots, baggage handlers, screeners, ticket clerks, flight attendants, etc...).  You may have an employee for every passenger, and each of those employees will probably have medical benefits and a pension.  It adds up.
 
The point being that if I bought a DC-9 ten years ago for $100 million vs a 787 for $250 million today, I might save a bit on gas, but that DC-9 is probably already paid for.  Everything I make on it is pure profit.  But I still have to pay extra for that gas efficiency.  Is it worth it?  Maybe, but it will mean either a big increase in fuel costs or flying a lot of years.
 
 
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